1 population projections and high school enrollments 2013 to 2023 daniel martinez, phd director,...
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Population Projections and High School Enrollments2013 to 2023
Daniel Martinez, PhDDirector, Institutional Research
November 7, 2014
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Data Sources
• EMSI• California Department of Education• Maptitude• American Community Survey• COD MIS Files
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Source: Maptitude
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Population Change, Coachella Valley*2013
Total Pop2023
Total Pop% Change Total Pop
2013 15-19 Pop
2023 15-19 Pop
% Change 15-19
West Valley 163,584 180,160 10% 10,101 10,252 2%Cathedral City, CA 55,807 61,562 10% 4122 4213 2%Desert Hot Springs, CA 46,543 52,337 12% 3225 3315 3%Palm Springs, CA 52,348 56,090 7% 2185 2142 -2%Thousand Palms, CA 8,886 10,171 14% 569 582 2%
Central Valley 126,677 141,510 12% 5,687 5,711 >1%Indian Wells, CA 4,880 5,665 16% 71 68 -4%La Quinta, CA 42,338 47,844 13% 2655 2761 4%Palm Desert, CA 61,663 68,027 10% 2497 2426 -3%Rancho Mirage, CA 17,796 19,974 12% 464 456 -2%
East Valley 170,167 199,465 17% 13,755 14,742 7%Coachella, CA 43,023 51,202 19% 4156 4510 9%Indio, CA 96,974 112,710 16% 6926 7353 6%Mecca, CA 13,630 16,042 18% 1271 1372 8%Thermal, CA 16,540 19,511 18% 1402 1507 7%
Grand Total 460,428 521,135 13% 29,543 30,705 4%*Updated Source: EMSI
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Population Change Difference by Age, 2013-2023Coachella Valley-wide
West Valley Central Valley East Valley
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Diff <15Diff 15-19 Diff 20-24Diff 25-29Diff 30-34Diff 35-39Diff 40-49Diff 50+
Source: EMSI
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Coachella Valley Unified Desert Sands Unified Palm Springs Unified -
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1,222
2,234
1,936
1,183
2,248
1,932
1,228
2,448
1,932
1,243
2,358
1,785
1,364
2,502
1,805
Total Enrolled Grade 12, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2013-14
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Source: CDE
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Coachella Valley Unified Desert Sands Unified Palm Springs Unified -
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
918
1,934
1,538
958
1,902
1,478
995
2,073
1,565
917
2,004
1,470
Graduating Seniors, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2012-13
Source: CDE
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2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
5,392 5,363 5,608
5,386
4,390 4,338 4,633
4,391
Coachella Valley-wide, Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors2009-10 to 2012-13
Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated
81% 81% 83% 82%
Source: CDE
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2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
1,222 1,183
1,228 1,243
918 958
995
917
CVUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13
Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated
81% 81% 83% 82%
Source: CDE
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2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
2,234 2,248
2,448 2,358
1,934 1,902
2,073 2,004
DSUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13
Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated
87% 85% 85% 85%
Source: CDE
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2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
1,936 1,932 1,932
1,785
1,538 1,478
1,565 1,470
PSUSD, Ratio of Grade 12 Enrollment and Graduating Seniors, 2009-10 to 2012-13
Enrolled Grade 12 Graduated
79% 77% 81% 82%
Source: CDE
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2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-130
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
4390 4338
4633
4391
1221 12131099 1127
Capture Rate for COD, Coachella Valley-wide, 2009-10 to 2012-13
High School GraduatesCOD Enrollment
28% 28% 24% 26%
Source: CDE and COD MIS files
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CV Grads CV Capture DS Grads DS Capture PS Grads PS Capture0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Capture Rate by USD, Coachella Valley-wide, Average Capture Rate, 2009-10 to 2012-13
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
27% 28% 24%
Source: CDE and COD MIS files
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Source: Maptitude and CCCGIS
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Source: Maptitude and CCCGIS
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Educational Attainment, 25 years or older, 2013
Source: ACS
CVUSD Service Area DSUSD Service Area PSUSD Service Area0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
39%
17% 17%
47%
47% 51%
4%
7%7%
10%
28% 25%
Not a high school graduate High school graduate, no Associate's Associate's Bachelor's Degree or higher
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Where do M/T Students Live?
Source: Maptitude and COD MIS files
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For information about this presentation, please contactDr. Daniel Martinez
Director, Institutional [email protected]
760-776-7212