1 presented by empower it august 2008 european market overview heidelberg, germany
TRANSCRIPT
1
Presented by Empower ITAugust 2008
European Market Overview
Heidelberg, Germany
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Overview of the Market Place
3
““The dollar is down, so he’s The dollar is down, so he’s worshipping the Euro.”worshipping the Euro.”
4
Source: Information Service Food Marketing Institute April 2007 – ranking and sales information taken directly from Directory of Supermarket, Grocery & Convenience Store Chains
Rank Retailers2007 Sales (Billions)
1 Wal-Mart Supercenters $183.72 Kroger $66.63 Costco $59.04 Sam's Club $42.25 Safeway $40.56 Supervalu $37.07 Ahold USA $24.08 Publix Super Markets $21.79 Delhaize America $17.310 Meijer $13.211 H.E. Butt Grocery $12.412 Great A&P Tea Co $9.413 Winn-Dixie Stores $7.214 Giant Eagle $7.115 *DeCA $6.916 Whole Foods $6.6
*DeCA base sales adjusted by 30%
DeCA ranks 15th among America’s Top Food Retailers
DeCA vs Top AmericanRetailers
5
Consumer Packaged GoodsDollar Share by Channel
The average consumer makes one less shopping
trip per month today than five years ago
Club 7%
Mass 8%
Supercenter 12%
Grocery 51%
Wal-Mart 16%
Drug 5%
Dollar 6%
Source: Food Industry Review 2007
6
$38.517.83
6.15.58
4.243.9
10.86$50.04
12.9210.58
9.167.16
3.463.21
2.071.3
$4.663.24
1.42$3.52$3.26
0.19
GROCERY (TOTAL)Grocery (nonfoods)
Beverages (nonalcohol) Snacks (candy, sweet, salty)
Meal food itemsBeverages (alcohol)
All other grocery (food) PERISHABLES (TOTAL)
Meat, fish and poultry (fresh)Produce
Dairy Frozen foods
Deli-in-store (service)Baked goods (fresh)
Bakery-in-store (service) Deli-ref. (self-service)
FloralGENERALNontracked
TrackedHEALTH & BEAUTY CARE
PHARMACY
How $100 is Spent in Supermarkets
Source: Progressive Grocer, April 15, 2008 (www.ProgressiveGrocer.com)
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Consumers' Top Food Safety Concerns
49%
43%
38%
38%
37%
Bacteria/ Germ Contamination
Product Tampering
Avian Influenza
Terrorist Tampering
Pesticides & Herbicides Residues
Food Safety Concerns
Source: FMI's U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends 2007
8
Factors for Selecting a Grocery StoreBy Gender
Source: Food Marketing Institute’s U.S. Shopper Trends 2007
Key Factors Women MenHigh-quality fruits and vegetables 83% 61%Clean, neat store 80% 62%High-Quality meats 78% 60%Accurate shelf tags 75% 54%Used before/ sell-by date marked 73% 51%Low prices 70% 51%Convenient location 64% 55%Courteous, friendly employees 62% 45%Personal safety outside store 62% 33%Items on sale or money saving specials 61% 42%
9
Characteristics of Store FormatsRetail vs Military
Total Store Area
Avg. Total SKUs
Avg. Weekly Store Sales
% of Total Store Sales
Total Traditional Grocery $202,761 100%Traditional Supermarkets 52,100 45,500 $266,899 100%Fresh Format 36,000 30,000 $162,188 100%Limited-Assortment 15,000 1,400 $115,785 100%Super Warehouse 60,700 41,000 $538,741 100%Other (Small Grocery) 9,000 3,000 $23,599 100%Total Non-Traditional Grocery $116,327Wholesale Club 131,000 5,100 $985,183 59%Supercenter 184,100 125,000 $889,479 60%Dollar 7,400 4,900 $13,904 66%Drug 11,700 20,000 $40,894 34%Mass 115,600 95,000 $216,165 23%Military 29,400 15,000 $461,315 100%
Average weekly
customer transactio
ns are $58.57
compared to $27.34 outside
the gate!
Source: Willard Bishop’s Future in Food Industry Review 2007
DeCA is doing more with less!
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Now let’s take a closer look at DeCA Europe
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Source: 2007 Commissary Customer Service Survey (CCSS)Source: 2007 Commissary Customer Service Survey (CCSS)
DeCA EuropeCustomer Comparison
Sponsor Status Active Duty Retired OtherDeCA Europe 65.0% 15.3% 19.2%
ConUS 36.7% 56.7% 2.9%
Family Size One Two ThreeDeCA Europe 12.5% 25.2% 25.8%
ConUS 9.1% 34.5% 22.4%
Sponsor Age 18-24 25-34 35-44DeCA Europe 13.9% 27.8% 29.4%
ConUS 6.9% 14.0% 19.3%
58% of Military Shoppers in Europe fall into the 25-44 age group
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308 303 302 295 286 286 273 268 266 266
82 79 79 80 80 77 75 74 70 63 57
308
FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07
DECA Europe
Total number of stores open by year
Store count includes CDCs and Nexmarts
DeCA Store Count
The majority of store closures during the past 6 years has occurred in Europe
Source: DeCA Headquarters
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0.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07
Euro
pe (M
illions)
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
ConU
S (Billions)
Europe-Dollars
ConUS-Dollars
Source: American Logistics Association Site
Total DeCA Sales ConUS vs Europe Five-Year Trend (FY 2002 – 2007)
DeCA SalesFY07 vs FY03
Europe: +5.3%ConUS: +9.7%
Despite store closures, Europe has sustained 5.3% growth in the past 5 years
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Europe Average Dollar Sales per Store
…and average sales per store in Europe have increased dramatically
$6.98$7.46
$8.31
$6.32
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07
Europe Avg Sales Per Store (Millions of $)
Source: DeCA Headquarters & ALA Site
15
468
1012141618202224262830
JUL 0707
AUG04 07
SEP 0107
SEP 2907
OCT27 07
NOV24 07
DEC22 07
JAN 1908
FEB 1608
MAR15 08
APR 1208
MAY10 08
JUN 0708
Euro
pe
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
ConU
S
Europe-Dollars Europe-PackagesConUS-Dollars ConUS-Packages
(Millions)
Sales PerformanceConUS vs Europe 52-Week Trends
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
(Millions)
Europe +0.8% -4.3%ConUS +4.8% -0.3%
$ % Chg
Pkg % Chg
52 Wk Trend vs YAG
4 Wk Pd. Ending:
16
0.0
-0.7 -0.6
-2.2
-0.7
-2.4
0.3
7.0
0.71.2 1.0
4.3
2.7
4WK JUL 0707
4WK AUG04 07
4WK SEP 0107
4WK SEP 2907
4WK OCT27 07
4WK NOV24 07
4WK DEC22 07
4WK JAN 1908
4WK FEB 1608
4WK MAR15 08
4WK APR 1208
4WK MAY10 08
4WK JUN 0708
Store closures had a major impact on sales from July thru December 2007
Europe $ Sales % Chg vs Year Ago
Closures 2007Bad Nauheim, GE (June 2007)McCully Barracks, GE (July 2007)Giessen, GE (September 2007)Buedingen, GE (October 2007)Gelnhausen, GE (October 2007)
Sales PerformanceEurope 52-Week $ Sales Changes
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Europe had growth of 5.7% in the first half of 2008 versus
prior period and growth of +3.1% versus
year ago period
Darmstadt, Hanau, and Wuerzburg scheduled to close August 2008
17
Region Summary October-May, FY 2008
Region Sales Transactions Average SaleEast $1,808M 26.6M $67.91West $1,722M 27.9M $61.63Europe $ 325M 7.2M $45.20
Region Sales Transactions Average SaleEast +4.8% +1.6% +3.1%West +5.7% +2.4% +3.2%Europe +1.1% -2.9% +4.1%
Actual Data
Change vs. Prior Year
Source: DeCA Sales, ALA Website
The weak US dollar combined with higher fuel costs are forcing European patrons to stock up more vs a year ago
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Europe Sales by Country
In 2008, troops will be migrating from Germany to Italy
13.0%
0.2%
2.1%
62.8%
1.7%
2.2%
13.7%
2.4%0.6%
1.4% AZORES
BELGIUM
EGYPT
ENGLAND
SAUDI
NTHRLND
GERMANY
SPAIN
TURKEY
ITALY
Dollar Sales$ Sales % Chg
4,400,257 16.8
7,660,814 4.2
2,045,043 -1.4
41,848,912 2.3
805,200 4.0
6,623,360 9.2
202,722,912 -1.3
5,627,439 6.7
6,957,092 -1.4
44,358,512 6.4
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
% of Europe Dollars by Country
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DeCA Stores in Europe
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Store Performance Europe Store Ranking
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Top six stores accounted for 40% of Europe dollar volumeEurope Store Ranking based on Dollar Volume
Store Rank TOTAL CATEGORIES
Share of Total Europe $s $ Volume $ % Chg
EUROPE 323,049,536 0.8%1 RA-RAMSTEIN AB, GERMANY (E28) 10.0% 32,276,634 4.7%2 UK-RAF LAKENHEATH, ENGLAND (E1H) 8.2% 26,617,618 3.0%3 RA-VOGELWEH AB, GERMANY (E23) 7.0% 22,707,668 6.1%4 RA-HEIDELBERG, GERMANY (E2M) 5.7% 18,495,194 2.5%5 ME-AVIANO AB, ITALY (E5W) 4.4% 14,279,532 10.2%6 WB-WIESBADEN, GERMANY (E24) 4.4% 14,231,178 -1.8%7 RA-PATCH BARRACKS, GERMANY (E4V) 4.1% 13,280,908 13.9%8 ME-NAPLES, ITALY (E5X) 4.1% 13,182,632 11.1%9 RA-MANNHEIM, GERMANY (E2T) 3.9% 12,649,116 1.9%
10 RA-BAUMHOLDER, GERMANY (E27) 2.9% 9,410,792 6.3%11 WB-VILSECK, GERMANY (E41) 2.7% 8,618,887 -24.9%12 WB-GRAFENWOEHR, GERMANY (E4L) 2.6% 8,482,330 188.1%13 WB-SCHWEINFURT, GERMANY (E3W) 2.6% 8,446,152 36.3%14 UK-BITBURG AB, GERMANY (E2E) 2.6% 8,358,079 -4.2%15 UK-CHIEVRES, BELGIUM (E3K) 2.4% 7,660,814 4.3%16 ME-VICENZA, ITALY (E5Q) 2.3% 7,318,807 -5.3%17 ME-SIGONELLA, ITALY (E5V) 2.1% 6,784,543 4.4%18 UK-SCHINNEN, NTHRLND (E3V) 2.1% 6,623,360 9.2%19 WB-HANAU, GERMANY (E3P) 2.0% 6,414,362 -41.1%20 WB-BAMBERG, GERMANY (E3E) 2.0% 6,330,677 9.4%21 WB-ANSBACH, GERMANY (E4C) 1.9% 6,292,892 -2.3%22 UK-SPANGDAHLEM AB, GERMANY (E2Y) 1.9% 6,268,359 5.7%23 ME-ROTA, SPAIN (E5U) 1.7% 5,627,439 6.7%24 UK-RAF ALCONBURY, ENGLAND (E1B) 1.6% 5,188,616 4.3%25 WB-HOHENFELS, GERMANY (E4S) 1.6% 5,079,732 6.9%26 ME-INCIRLIK, TURKEY (E5Y) 1.4% 4,481,338 -7.2%
Store Rank TOTAL CATEGORIES
Share of Total Europe
$s $ Volume $ % ChgEUROPE 323,049,536 0.8%
27 UK-LAJES FIELD, AZORES (E5L) 1.4% 4,400,257 16.8%28 UK-RAF MENWITH HILL, ENGLAND (E1Q) 1.3% 4,146,997 9.9%29 WB-WUERZBURG, GERMANY (E33) 1.1% 3,429,074 -48.8%30 WB-DARMSTADT, GERMANY (E2G) 0.9% 2,750,506 -38.1%31 UK-RAF CROUGHTON, ENGLAND (E1M) 0.8% 2,510,784 -5.4%32 ME-GARMISCH, GERMANY (E4J) 0.7% 2,270,201 7.2%33 ME-CAIRO, EGYPT (E5B) 0.6% 2,045,043 -1.4%34 WB-ILLESHEIM, GERMANY (E4P) 0.6% 2,037,495 3.9%35 ME-LIVORNO, ITALY (E5J) 0.6% 1,918,176 7.3%36 UK-RAF MILDENHALL, ENGLAND (E1J) 0.6% 1,893,900 -12.7%37 RA-SEMBACH AB, GERMANY (E2Z) 0.5% 1,770,548 -16.4%38 UK-RAF FAIRFORD, ENGLAND (E1F) 0.5% 1,490,997 -0.4%39 ME-ANKARA, TURKEY (E5T) 0.4% 1,384,359 17.2%40 ME-IZMIR, TURKEY (E5H) 0.3% 1,091,394 4.1%41 ME-MINEO, ITALY (E6G) 0.3% 874,822 0.3%42 WB-DEXHEIM, GERMANY (E2H) 0.3% 870,353 -8.7%43 ME-RIYADH, SAUDI (E5M) 0.2% 805,200 4.0%44 RA-PANZER, GERMANY (E4U) 0.2% 616,656 33.0%45 RA-KELLEY BARRACKS, GERMANY (E4Q) 0.2% 594,913 38.7%46 WB-GIESSEN, GERMANY (E3Q) 0.1% 443,333 -84.8%47 RA-IDAR OBERSTEIN, GERMANY (E2N) 0.1% 214,376 -9.7%48 RA-NEUBRUECKE, GERMANY (E2U) 0.1% 162,030 24.4%49 WB-BAD NAUHEIM, GERMANY (E2D) 0.0% 86,680 -92.2%50 WB-MCCULLY BARRACKS, GERMANY (E2S) 0.0% 72,287 -62.4%51 WB-BUEDINGEN, GERMANY (E3M) 0.0% 46,882 -89.9%52 WB-GELNHAUSEN, GERMANY (E3N) 0.0% 10,577 -89.8%53 WB-BABENHAUSEN, GERMANY (E2B) 0.0% 4,049 -95.4%
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Top three categories are Beverages followed by Salty Snacks
Category PerformanceTop 15 Categories by Dollars
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
SHR INDEX
TOP 15 CATEGORIES $ RANK $ VOLUME$ % CHG YAGO $ RANK $ VOLUME
$ % CHG YAGO
EUROPE VS CONUS
TOTAL ALL CATEGORIES 323,049,554 0.8 3,938,738,432 4.8CARBONATED BEVERAGES 1 11,546,925 -6.0 2 104,446,288 -2.4 135WATER/ NEW AGE BEV 2 8,756,101 3.3 8 87,305,008 7.6 122CANNED/ BOTTLED JUICE/ DRINKS 3 8,736,028 2.3 7 90,766,264 10.4 117SALTY SNACKS 4 7,775,463 -0.6 9 82,164,400 5.7 115RTE CEREAL 5 7,677,032 1.3 6 93,221,016 2.8 100CONFECTIONERY II 6 7,402,380 6.6 11 72,023,008 5.7 125NON BRANDED MILK/ CREAM 7 7,113,075 1.5 3 103,900,488 27.7 83BISCUITS 8 6,749,395 0.0 5 93,584,680 4.9 88NATURAL CHEESE 9 6,745,635 10.8 10 79,401,208 18.2 104BREAD 10 6,698,883 -3.3 4 95,886,624 8.2 85FROZEN FISH/ SHRIMP/ SEAFOOD 11 6,121,184 -1.0 26 36,452,780 4.0 205DIAPERS/ TRAINING PANTS 12 6,120,675 5.8 41 27,800,638 -2.2 268INFANT & TODDLER NUTRITIONALS 13 4,906,056 0.0 42 27,744,738 -0.1 216BATH TISSUE 14 4,761,752 4.7 12 66,203,040 6.1 88HEAVY DUTY LAUNDRY DETERGENT 15 4,575,690 0.6 15 60,809,524 2.8 92
EUROPE CONUS
22
Rank UPC Category1 008321720517 MLKFRSH 64Z LF 2BF Milk2 008321720501 MLKFRSH 64Z 3.25BF Milk3 008321720518 MLKFRSH SKM 64Z Milk4 004130054107 WONDERBREAD 24Z ORG Bread5 030087127341 ENFAMIL LIPIL 12.9Z PWD Infant Nutritionals6 004900002890*CC CLS COKE 12/12P Soda7 004900001278 CC CLS COKE 12/24P Soda8 001210001030 TYSON 40Z BLS/SKNLS BR Frz Chicken9 072019605401 SAN BENEDTO MNRL 16Z 6P Water10 008321720727 MLKFRSH 64Z LF 1 PER HLF G Milk11 002370060984 TYSON 64Z BLS/SKNL BR Frz Chicken12 004500012508 HOMEPRIDE 24Z ORG Bread13 004500011199 WONDERBREAD 1C ORG Bread14 072019615401 SAN BENEDTO 50.7Z Water15 002820010690 MARLBORO LT NM KGS BX FT RV 1C Cigarettes16 061429965967 CULLIGAN 16.9Z 12P Water17 001210009605*TYSON 80Z HT WNGS Frz Chicken18 002370003803 TYSON 28Z CRSP CK STRP Frz Chicken19 002840004577 LAYS VRTY PK 1.12Z 24P Salty Snacks20 004900001063 DT COKE 12/24P CO Soda21 002370047652 TYSON 40Z BLS/SKNL TNDR Frz Chicken22 007007455958 SIMILAC 12.9Z PWD W/I ADV Infant Nutritionals23 002820010012 MARLBORO NM KGS BX FT RV 1C Cigarettes24 061126910802 REDBULL 8.3Z 4P Energy Drinks25 001200080996 MOUNTAIN DEW 12/12P Soda
Top 25 European Items - Dollars
Source: Empower IT, 52 Weeks End Dec 2007
Of the top 50 items…
• 9 Soda• 5 Milk• 5 Bread• 5 Frz Chicken• 4 Water• 3 Salty Snacks• 3 Infant Nutritionals • 3 Chill Juice• 2 Cigarettes
• 2 Charcoal• 2 Bacon• 1 Toilet
Paper• 1 Sour
Cream• 1 Frz Fish• 1 Energy
Drink• 1 Cheese• 1 Butter
• These 25 items generate 6.4% of all Europe dollar volume
• The top 50 generate 9.3%
Store Performance Dollar Ranking
23
Source: Empower IT, 52 Weeks End Dec 2007
Rank UPC Category1 008321720517 MLKFRSH 64Z LF 2BF Milk2 008321720501 MLKFRSH 64Z 3.25BF Milk3 004130054107 WONDERBREAD 24Z ORG Bread4 008321720518 MLKFRSH SKM 64Z Milk5 004500011199 WONDERBREAD 1C ORG Bread6 072019605401 SAN BENEDTO MNRL 16Z 6P Water7 008321720727 MLKFRSH 64Z LF 1 PER HLF G Milk8 004500012508 HOMEPRIDE 24Z ORG Bread9 004500011286 WONDERBREAD 1C ORG Bread10 003915301218 SAN BENEDTO MNRL 16.9Z Water11 007878300108 GRIMMWAY BABY CRTS 8.75Z Packaged Produce12 007047000650 YOPLAIT LT 6Z STRAWBERRY Yogurt13 007066201003 TOP RAMEN 3Z 1P CHK Oriental Noodles14 007047000654 YOPLAIT LT 6Z STRAW BANANA Yogurt15 004178900211 RAMEN 3Z 1P CHK Oriental Noodles16 072019615401 SAN BENEDTO 50.7Z Water17 007342000011 DAISY SOUR CREAM 16Z Sour Cream18 002840001390 SANTITAS 10Z Salty Snacks19 004900002890*CC CLS COKE 12/12P Soda20 007047000652 YOPLAIT LT 6Z BLUEBERRY Yogurt21 002100065883 KRAFT MAC/CHS 7.25Z ORIGINAL Prep Dinners22 007047000655 YOPLAIT LT 6Z PEACH Yogurt23 002100061223 PHILLY CREAM CHS BRK 8Z Cream Cheese24 007047000653 YOPLAIT LT 6Z CHERRY Yogurt25 004500012504 HOMEPRIDE 24Z ORG Bread
Top 25 European Items - Packages
Store Performance Package Ranking
24
% of Store
Dollar Vol
# of Top 50 SKUS Stocked
RA-RAMSTEIN AB, GERMANY (E28) 9.8 50
UK-RAF LAKENHEATH, ENGLAND (E1H) 7.0 46
RA-VOGELWEH AB, GERMANY (E23) 9.7 50
RA-HEIDELBERG, GERMANY (E2M) 8.6 50
WB-WIESBADEN, GERMANY (E24) 9.5 49
ME-AVIANO AB, ITALY (E5W) 10.3 49
RA-MANNHEIM, GERMANY (E2T) 9.9 50
ME-NAPLES, ITALY (E5X) 8.7 47
RA-PATCH BARRACKS, GERMANY (E4V) 8.7 50
WB-VILSECK, GERMANY (E41) 9.9 49
RA-BAUMHOLDER, GERMANY (E27) 11.6 50
WB-HANAU, GERMANY (E3P) 9.8 49
UK-BITBURG AB, GERMANY (E2E) 9.2 50
UK-CHIEVRES, BELGIUM (E3K) 8.8 47
ME-VICENZA, ITALY (E5Q) 9.8 50
WB-SCHWEINFURT, GERMANY (E3W) 9.4 49
ME-SIGONELLA, ITALY (E5V) 9.5 46
WB-ANSBACH, GERMANY (E4C) 9.8 47
UK-SCHINNEN, NTHRLND (E3V) 9.4 49
WB-BAMBERG, GERMANY (E3E) 11.0 49
Most of the top European stores carry close to the
full assortment of overall top items
Source: Empower IT, 52 Weeks End Dec 2007
Most stores have more than 9% of their sales in the top 50 items. Only
Lakenheath shows a considerably lower % of volume generated by the
top items.
Store Performance Assortment
25
Store Performance Fastest Growing Stores
Grafenwoehr opened a new store plus an increase in troops stationed on the base
Dollar Sales Change (in millions) Dollar % Change
$5.54
$2.25
$1.62
$1.44
$1.33
$1.32
$1.31
$0.77
$0.63
$0.56
WB-GRAFENWOEHR,GERMANY (E4L) B
WB-SCHWEINFURT,GERMANY (E3W) D
RA-PATCH BARRACKS,GERMANY (E4V) D
RA-RAMSTEIN AB,GERMANY (E28) D
ME-AVIANO AB, ITALY(E5W) D
ME-NAPLES, ITALY(E5X) D
RA-VOGELWEH AB,GERMANY (E23) D
UK-RAF LAKENHEATH,ENGLAND (E1H) D
UK-LAJES FIELD,AZORES (E5L) B
UK-SCHINNEN,NTHRLND (E3V) C
188.1
36.3
13.9
4.7
10.2
11.1
6.1
3.0
16.8
9.2
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
26
• Grafenwoehr - Has a new store, 830 new families stationed there. Also eight new single soldier barracks were added.
• Schweinfurt - Sales will remain stable in 2008. Dagger brigade was relocated to Grafenwoehr.
• Patch - 300 new AFRICOM members, 700 more arrived in June.
• Ramstein - Sales have been increased by case lot sales, supporting the regions promo package.
• Aviano & Lakenheath - Sales are enhanced due to the current exchange rate.
• Vogelweh - Concentrating on aggressive customer outreach programs.
• Lajes Field & Schinnen - Tremendous effort in maintaining in-stock ratio and additional efforts on customer service and merchandising.
Store Performance Growing Stores
27
RA-RAMSTEIN AB, GERMANY (E28) $ VOLUME$ % CHG $ SHR
$ SHR CHG
PKG % CHG
UPC COUNT % CHG
TOTAL CATEGORIES 32,276,634 4.7 100.0 0.0 -0.3 -0.5 CM RF REFRIGERATED FOODS 4,379,101 10.9 13.6 0.8 0.8 -0.4 CM FF FROZEN FOODS 4,109,472 4.9 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.7 CM BV SHELF STABLE BEVERAGES 3,846,779 2.1 11.9 -0.3 4.9 -0.9 CM HB HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS 3,063,156 1.8 9.5 -0.3 -4.7 2.1 CM DG DRY GROCERIES 2,749,758 4.7 8.5 0.0 0.0 2.7 CM CG CANNED & BOTTLED GROCERIES 2,714,297 3.3 8.4 -0.1 -2.7 -1.5 CM SF SNACK FOODS 2,434,516 6.1 7.5 0.1 -0.4 -0.9 CM PP PAPER & PLASTIC 1,669,926 4.0 5.2 0.0 -2.2 0.9 CM BB BABY PRODUCTS 1,329,212 8.9 4.1 0.2 -2.8 -3.8 CM HC HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS 1,238,707 4.2 3.8 0.0 -3.6 -4.8 CM FB FRESH BAKERY 1,073,527 -0.6 3.3 -0.2 -4.1 2.1 CM HS HOUSEHOLD SUPPLIES 950,089 -0.6 2.9 -0.2 -0.9 -1.2 CM CN CONFECTIONERY 776,939 8.6 2.4 0.1 5.4 0.7 CM SP SPECIALTY FOODS 710,199 8.9 2.2 0.1 4.6 -0.4 CM PF PET FOODS 632,296 7.6 2.0 0.1 -8.4 -15.9 CM TB TOBACCO 351,610 2.8 1.1 0.0 -6.2 -5.7 CM PR PRODUCE 247,051 -16.5 0.8 -0.2 -12.3 -5.6
Store Performance Ramstein AB, Germany
Ramstein aggressively utilized region’s promotion
program and took advantage of all shippers offered
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Commodities ranked on Dollar Volume
28
Store Performance Lakenheath, England
Efficient stocking and merchandising strategies are proving to be successful for Lakenheath
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Commodities ranked on Dollar Volume
TOTAL CATEGORIES 26,617,618 3.0 100.0 0.0 -2.2 1.1 CM FF FROZEN FOODS 3,639,321 0.2 13.7 -0.4 -3.4 -0.2 CM BV SHELF STABLE BEVERAGES 3,175,399 5.1 11.9 0.2 2.9 6.0 CM RF REFRIGERATED FOODS 3,072,267 9.6 11.5 0.7 1.0 0.0 CM CG CANNED & BOTTLED GROCERIES 2,536,291 2.2 9.5 -0.1 -3.8 -1.6 CM DG DRY GROCERIES 2,528,621 3.8 9.5 0.1 -1.0 3.6 CM HB HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS 2,189,890 2.9 8.2 0.0 -3.6 3.8 CM SF SNACK FOODS 1,876,704 2.9 7.1 0.0 -2.0 2.4 CM PP PAPER & PLASTIC 1,533,808 0.9 5.8 -0.1 -4.5 3.2 CM BB BABY PRODUCTS 1,311,329 -3.0 4.9 -0.3 -9.7 -2.2 CM HC HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS 1,136,230 0.4 4.3 -0.1 -7.4 -2.3 CM HS HOUSEHOLD SUPPLIES 831,380 1.7 3.1 0.0 -1.9 2.0 CM FB FRESH BAKERY 782,953 0.6 2.9 -0.1 -3.2 -0.3 CM CN CONFECTIONERY 599,005 10.6 2.3 0.2 9.9 6.9 CM SP SPECIALTY FOODS 497,300 6.2 1.9 0.1 -0.7 0.1 CM PF PET FOODS 451,223 8.1 1.7 0.1 -10.3 -16.4 CM TB TOBACCO 297,835 -6.3 1.1 -0.1 -9.9 0.8 CM PR PRODUCE 158,061 -10.4 0.6 -0.1 -36.5 -8.1
29
Store Performance Vogelweh AB, Germany
Vogelweh’s success is attributable to outstanding service provided to patrons by the store personnel and strong
growth from refrigerated section
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Commodities ranked on Dollar Volume
RA-VOGELWEH AB, GERMANY (E23) $ VOLUME $ % CHG $ SHR$ SHR CHG
PKG % CHG
UPC COUNT % CHG
TOTAL CATEGORIES 22,707,668 6.1 100.0 0.0 1.5 -0.8 CM RF REFRIGERATED FOODS 3,035,092 13.1 13.4 0.8 2.9 -1.0 CM FF FROZEN FOODS 3,007,428 7.1 13.2 0.1 3.3 1.6 CM BV SHELF STABLE BEVERAGES 2,538,732 2.7 11.2 -0.4 2.3 3.4 CM CG CANNED & BOTTLED GROCERIES 2,011,101 6.3 8.9 0.0 0.8 -2.3 CM DG DRY GROCERIES 1,981,091 6.2 8.7 0.0 2.7 1.6 CM HB HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS 1,957,090 -0.1 8.6 -0.5 -5.3 -0.4 CM SF SNACK FOODS 1,588,489 5.1 7.0 -0.1 3.7 -0.9 CM PP PAPER & PLASTIC 1,133,633 2.5 5.0 -0.2 -0.9 -1.2 CM BB BABY PRODUCTS 1,109,660 10.2 4.9 0.2 1.6 -2.8 CM HC HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS 939,545 3.2 4.1 -0.1 -4.3 -6.8 CM FB FRESH BAKERY 718,505 1.5 3.2 -0.1 -0.4 0.3 CM HS HOUSEHOLD SUPPLIES 718,211 1.5 3.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.9 CM TB TOBACCO 484,731 26.8 2.1 0.3 14.4 1.9 CM PF PET FOODS 474,595 9.5 2.1 0.1 -6.4 -14.6 CM CN CONFECTIONERY 425,709 17.4 1.9 0.2 13.0 2.0 CM SP SPECIALTY FOODS 422,884 7.3 1.9 0.0 3.8 -1.9 CM PR PRODUCE 161,173 -14.4 0.7 -0.2 -12.6 -2.1
30
Dollar Sales Change (in millions) Dollar % Change
-$2.86
-$0.41
-$0.36
-$0.35
-$0.35
-$0.28
-$0.27
-$0.15
-$0.14
WB-VILSECK, GERMANY(E41) D
ME-VICENZA, ITALY (E5Q)C
UK-BITBURG AB,GERMANY (E2E) D
ME-INCIRLIK, TURKEY(E5Y) D
RA-SEMBACH AB,GERMANY (E2Z) B
UK-RAF MILDENHALL,ENGLAND (E1J) A
WB-WIESBADEN,GERMANY (E24) D
WB-ANSBACH, GERMANY(E4C) C
UK-RAF CROUGHTON,ENGLAND (E1M) B
-24.9
-5.3
-4.2
-7.2
-16.4
-12.7
-1.8
-2.3
-5.4
Vilseck’s losses may be due to new store opening at Grafenwoehr
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Store Performance Fastest Declining Stores (Excluding Closures)
31
• Vilseck - Some of their customers returned to shopping at Graf. Also the impending deployment of 4,000 in Sept, 2007 affected their sales.
• Vicenza - Sales have just leveled off from 06. 75% of the troops were deployed in 2007. The impending deployment of troops from Germany to Italy will affect future sales.
• Bitburg - The 52nd Airwing is on continuous deployment. In Jan. 2008, 1,500 troops were deployed. Active duty has dropped by 200 at this base.
• Incirlik - Major reconstruction of housing is taking place. This has delayed incoming families to this area.
• Mildenhall - Reduced store hours and days.• Wiesbaden - Troops are on continuous deployment.• Ansbach - Several troops deployed, many family
members went back to the US. New troops are expected this fall.
• Croughton - Less troops stationed in this area.
Store PerformanceDeclining Stores
32
Let’s dive down deeper into the data!
33
43.8
42.4
37.9
28.8
28.4
27.4
23.0
16.6
14.9
13.0
10.3
10.3
7.4
6.5
6.2
4.6
1.5
FROZEN FOODS
REFRIGERATED FOODS
SHELF STABLE BEVERAGES
CANNED & BOTTLED GROCERIES
DRY GROCERIES
HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS
SNACK FOODS
PAPER & PLASTIC
BABY PRODUCTS
HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS
FRESH BAKERY
HOUSEHOLD SUPPLIES
CONFECTIONERY
PET FOODS
SPECIALTY FOODS
TOBACCO
PRODUCE
Top Commodities in Europe
Dollar Volume (millions)
Commodity RankingEurope Overview
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
34
$ Shr Index
To ConUS
Baby Products are twice as developed in Europe than in ConUS Tobacco indexes only 47 compared to ConUS
Commodity PerformanceEurope Overview
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
$ % Chg
FROZEN FOODS 0.3 5.1 127REFRIGERATED FOODS 6.1 14.2 79SHELF STABLE BEVERAGES 0.0 5.1 110CANNED & BOTTLED GROCERIES -0.6 3.2 92DRY GROCERIES 0.7 5.3 100HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS -1.1 0.4 100SNACK FOODS 0.7 5.1 103PAPER & PLASTIC -1.6 2.4 96BABY PRODUCTS 3.5 0.2 209HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS -1.3 0.2 93FRESH BAKERY -3.0 6.9 97HOUSEHOLD SUPPLIES -0.6 1.3 128CONFECTIONERY 6.6 5.6 128PET FOODS 5.8 3.5 69SPECIALTY FOODS 3.8 5.2 119TOBACCO 0.8 -12.2 47PRODUCE -25.0 10.9 36
Europe ConUS
35
TIMES: 52 WK CURR END JUN 07 08
SHARE INDEX
TO CONUS $ VOLUME $ % CHG $ SHR $ VOLUME $ % CHG $ SHR
CM FF FROZEN FOODS 127 43,802,444 0.3 13.6 420,882,528 5.1 10.7FROZEN FISH/ SHRIMP/ SEAFOOD 205 6,121,184 -1.0 1.9 36,452,780 4.0 0.9FROZEN ENTREES 81 4,256,653 8.7 1.3 62,977,524 10.4 1.6FROZEN RAW CHICKEN 186 4,215,473 -3.1 1.3 26,083,942 3.8 0.7FROZEN PIZZA 150 3,956,839 0.0 1.2 33,390,936 2.9 0.8FROZEN PREPARED CHICKEN 167 3,180,667 -1.9 1.0 25,004,426 8.5 0.6FROZEN FAST FOOD/ SNACKS 129 2,760,649 -3.8 0.9 25,738,050 5.0 0.7FROZEN VEGETABLES 88 2,405,185 3.0 0.7 32,365,246 9.0 0.8FROZEN MEAT 117 2,165,284 0.7 0.7 22,903,522 0.2 0.6FROZEN MEXICAN/ ORIENTAL FOOD 150 1,962,656 3.2 0.6 13,914,075 5.2 0.4FROZEN BREAKFAST 120 1,790,351 6.2 0.6 21,256,218 6.8 0.5FROZEN NOVELTIES 100 1,560,522 -3.8 0.5 18,520,716 3.4 0.5FROZEN BAKERY 133 1,307,670 -3.0 0.4 12,855,333 2.9 0.3FROZEN DINNERS II 100 1,131,321 0.4 0.4 16,242,063 7.3 0.4FROZEN POTATOES 100 1,033,822 7.2 0.3 12,083,370 8.4 0.3FROZEN FRUIT 200 659,090 16.6 0.2 5,858,914 12.9 0.1FROZEN PIES 200 544,686 -8.4 0.2 4,967,597 -7.3 0.1FROZEN JUICE/ DRINKS 100 533,327 -1.2 0.2 8,462,001 2.5 0.2FROZEN VEGGIE FOODS 200 529,100 7.0 0.2 4,268,557 6.5 0.1FROZEN TOPPINGS/ CREAMER 100 256,348 -1.6 0.1 2,968,507 -2.0 0.1FROZEN PASTA 230 189,527 0.6 0.1 1,711,053 -0.1 0.0FROZEN POT PIES II 100 182,095 -2.3 0.1 3,385,052 -8.0 0.1
EUROPE CONUS (INC AK/HI)
Commodity PerformanceFrozen Foods
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Frozen Fish, Entrees, and Chicken categories drive the Frozen Commodity’s strength in Europe
36
Baby Products account for 4.6% of dollar sales in Europe, significantly
more than its contribution in ConUS (2.2%) and growing
Commodity PerformanceBaby Products Commodity
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
TIMES: 52 WK CURR END JUN 07 08
SHARE INDEX
TO CONUS $ VOLUME $ % CHG $ SHR $ VOLUME $ % CHG $ SHR
CM BB BABY PRODUCTS 209 14,914,394 3.5 4.62 85,385,048 0.2 2.17BB DIAPERS/ TRAINING PANTS 266 6,120,675 5.8 1.89 27,800,638 -2.2 0.71BB INFANT & TODDLER NUTRITIONALS 217 4,906,056 -0.0 1.52 27,744,738 -0.1 0.70BB BABY NEEDS/ SUPPLIES 190 2,450,361 5.0 0.76 15,568,428 0.4 0.40BB BABY FOOD 122 1,437,303 3.5 0.44 14,271,247 5.5 0.36
EUROPE CONUS (INC AK/HI)
37
Demographic differences in Europe drive category shares in Gourmet and Baby related categories
Dollars
$ Shr
Category PerformanceHighest Category Contribution Indices
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
1,660,772
0.51%
1,268,993
0.39%
6,120,675
1.89%
1,135,639
0.35%
4,906,056
1.52%
6,121,184
1.89%
2,450,361
0.76%
4,215,473
1.30%
637,0310.20
%
529,1000.16
%
Category Contribution Index
334
295
269
268
213
205
202
196
195
185
MISC GOURMET
MAGAZINES
DIAPERS/TRAINING PANTS
OUTDOOR COOKINGSUPPLIES
INFANT & TODDLERNUTRITIONALS
FROZENFISH/SHRIMP/SEAFOOD
BABY NEEDS/SUPPLIES
FROZEN RAW CHICKEN
BROOMS/MOPS/CLEANINGSUPPLIES
FROZEN VEGGIE FOODS
38
Top three categories are Beverages followed by Salty Snacks
Category PerformanceTop 15 Categories by Dollars
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
SHR INDEX
TOP 15 CATEGORIES $ RANK $ VOLUME$ % CHG YAGO $ RANK $ VOLUME
$ % CHG YAGO
EUROPE VS CONUS
TOTAL ALL CATEGORIES 323,049,554 0.8 3,938,738,432 4.8CARBONATED BEVERAGES 1 11,546,925 -6.0 2 104,446,288 -2.4 135WATER/ NEW AGE BEV 2 8,756,101 3.3 8 87,305,008 7.6 122CANNED/ BOTTLED JUICE/ DRINKS 3 8,736,028 2.3 7 90,766,264 10.4 117SALTY SNACKS 4 7,775,463 -0.6 9 82,164,400 5.7 115RTE CEREAL 5 7,677,032 1.3 6 93,221,016 2.8 100CONFECTIONERY II 6 7,402,380 6.6 11 72,023,008 5.7 125NON BRANDED MILK/ CREAM 7 7,113,075 1.5 3 103,900,488 27.7 83BISCUITS 8 6,749,395 0.0 5 93,584,680 4.9 88NATURAL CHEESE 9 6,745,635 10.8 10 79,401,208 18.2 104BREAD 10 6,698,883 -3.3 4 95,886,624 8.2 85FROZEN FISH/ SHRIMP/ SEAFOOD 11 6,121,184 -1.0 26 36,452,780 4.0 205DIAPERS/ TRAINING PANTS 12 6,120,675 5.8 41 27,800,638 -2.2 268INFANT & TODDLER NUTRITIONALS 13 4,906,056 0.0 42 27,744,738 -0.1 216BATH TISSUE 14 4,761,752 4.7 12 66,203,040 6.1 88HEAVY DUTY LAUNDRY DETERGENT 15 4,575,690 0.6 15 60,809,524 2.8 92
EUROPE CONUS
39
Six of the top ten growth categories are in the Chilled Section
Category PerformanceFastest Growing Categories by $
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Categories with >$500k Sales in Europe $ % Chg $ Volume
$ Rank (Europe)
Pkg % Chg
UPC Count %
Chg
BUTTER 29.9 873,518 106 15.3 24.7MISC GOURMET 26.9 1,660,772 64 29.8 -8.9BRANDED MILK & CREAM 24.7 4,044,585 20 12.5 12.6YOGURT 21.8 1,152,005 91 13.5 45.3FROZEN FRUIT 16.6 659,090 123 16.3 14.4CAT FOOD/ WET 16.2 711,067 119 -15.6 -7.9CHILLED MEAT/ FISH/ SEAFOOD 15.6 1,077,857 95 11.6 -2.2PASTA 14.8 1,275,867 84 1.6 2.1CHILLED JUICE/ DRINKS 14.6 2,391,479 41 2 21.1NATURAL CHEESE 10.8 6,745,635 9 -3.8 -0.9
40
Category Contribution Index
Many different factors contribute to low indices for these categories (e.g., yogurt - shelf life issues, coffee – local offerings)
34
41
46
52
55
56
59
61
64
65
FRESH VEGETABLES
YOGURT
CIGARETTES
GASTRO INTESTINALREMEDIES
CHILLEDMEAT/ FISH/ SEAFOOD
TOTAL COFFEE
CAT FOOD/ WET
DOG/ CAT SNACKS
DRIED FRUIT
LUNCH COMBINATIONS
Dollars
$ Shr
Category PerformanceLowest Category Contribution Indices
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
1,205,866
0.37%
1,152,005
0.36%
4,271,825
1.32%
783,4780.24
%
1,077,857
0.33%
2,870,730
0.89%
711,0670.22
%
975,6600.30
%
768,0770.24
%
805,6670.25
%
41
Fresh Vegetables* and Brooms/Mops/Cleaning Supplies were
the fastest declining categories both in dollars and packages
Category PerformanceFastest Declining Categories by $
* Produce sales were affected by discontinuation of a contract with Fresh Express during spring and summer last year
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
Categories with >$500k in Europe $ % Chg $ Volume $ RankPkg % Chg
UPC Count %
Chg
FRESH VEGETABLES -31.9 1,205,866 87 -26.1 -56.9BROOMS/ MOPS/ CLEANING SUPPLIES -19.8 637,031 126 -25.3 -1.2PREMOIST TOWELETTES -11.7 1,771,911 59 -7.5 0.6FROZEN PIES -8.4 544,686 132 -5.8 10.7MAGAZINES -8.2 1,268,993 85 -14.2 -5.3TOTAL SWEETENERS -7.6 1,409,808 73 -3.6 -4.1FIRST AID PRODUCTS -7.5 707,967 120 -4.4 -8.6CHILLED DOUGH -6.3 1,607,233 65 -5.5 -7.1UNPOPPED POPCORN -6.2 885,246 104 -9.1 -6.5REFUSE BAGS -6.0 1,313,415 81 -7.5 -6.9
42
A quick look at Sales Bands, Store Class,
and Case Lot Sales
43
Class A Stores3%
Class B Stores16%
Class C Stores18%
Class D Stores63%
-4.2
15.9
-2.5
-1.3
Class A
Class B
Class C
Class D
% of Total Dollars
$ % Change vs Year Ago
Overall three new stores were added to Class B and two Class B stores were closed in 2007*
Store Performance Europe by Store Class
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
11
10
8
15
# of Stores by Class
* Lajes Field, Livoron, and Illesheim - Class was changed to B; Class B stores Bad Nauheim and Giessen were closed in 2007
44
20.9 20.5
16.5
10.08.2 8.0
7.05.7
2.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
SALE
SBAN
D5
SALE
SBAN
D4
SALE
SBAN
D3
SALE
SBAN
D9
SALE
SBAN
D8
SALE
SBAN
D2
SALE
SBAN
D7
SALE
SBAN
D6
SALE
SBAN
D1
6.7
10.8
3.3
4.7
3.0
-24.1
6.1
2.5
-11.1
SALESBAND 5
SALESBAND 4
SALESBAND 3
SALESBAND 9
SALESBAND 8
SALESBAND 2
SALESBAND 7
SALESBAND 6
SALESBAND 1
% of Total Dollars $ % Change vs Year Ago
Sales Bands 5 & 4 are the largest in dollar volume and had the highest growth
Store Performance Europe by Sales Bands
Source: TotCat 52 weeks ending 6/07/08
45
May Case Lot Performance Europe Case Lot Sales by Zone
Source: Stephen J. Armbruster, Chief, Marketing Branch (DeCA/EU/DOM)
U.K. ZONE13,69317%
BAMBERG ZONE
11,82615%
MED ZONE27,04135%
RAMSTEIN ZONE
26,33733%
78,897 Cases Sold
• Ramstein led the way in case lot sales, selling 8,300 cases (32% of Ramstein Zone sales); Vogelweh followed closely behind.
• Napels, Incirlik, Bamberg, and Cairo sold 100% of the cases ordered.
46
Case Lot Performance Europe Case Lot Sales by Zone
Bitburg Case Lot
Hohenfels Case Lot
Cairo Case Lot
47
DeCA Europe
• DeCA has sustained 5.3% dollar growth for the past five years!
• Their average dollar sale has increased dramatically, up 4% (Oct-May 2008)
• The top six stores account for 40% of Europe’s sales volume
• New troops and families are continuing to arrive to Europe
• The largest group of troops are young, active duty with growing families
• Many categories index much higher in Europe vs. ConUS– Baby Products, Frozen Foods, Confectionery,
Household Supplies• Europe sold 80,000 cases in its May Case Lot Sale
Key Facts to Take Away
48
DeCA Europe
DeCA’s dollar sales goal for FY 2008 is $6 billion…
So what can you do to assist DeCA achieve this goal?
49
DeCA Europe Opportunities
• 58% of the active duty troops stationed in Europe are 25-44 years of age
• Most of them have two or more children • This is a key time to formulate brand loyalty and
establish shopping patterns that will be lifelong• Most shop exclusively on base for their food and other
related items• Bringing a taste of home means so much to them
Important Market
50
So when you start putting together your marketing budget,
please don’t forget this group!
Support the troops when they need it most!