1 seeei international – electricity 2012: “effects of volatile res on power systems” israel...

24
1 SEEEI International – Electricity 2012: Effects of volatile RES on Power SystemsIsrael – Eilat 14 November 2012 Effects of volatile RES on Power Systems Alessandro Clerici Chairman WEC Study Group “Energy Resources and Technologies” ABB Italy

Upload: juniper-wood

Post on 17-Dec-2015

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

1

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Effects of volatile RES on Power Systems

Alessandro Clerici

Chairman WEC Study Group “Energy Resources and Technologies”

ABB Italy

2

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

With the aim of reducing CO2 emissions and dependency from fossil fuels, in various countries the sharp increase of electrical RES (Renewable Energy Sources) as a result of substantial subsidies, is creating problems to an efficient and reliable operation of the electrical power system.

Both transmission and distribution systems have to face an increasingly variable production of intermittent renewable energy sources with special reference to wind and photovoltaic; the problem is not however limited to T&D but involves also the thermal fleet of a country which is required of a “flexible operation” (start-up time, ramps of power increase / decrease, reduced hours of operation) by far beyond technical and economic limits of the great majority of the present plants in service. And bottlenecks in transmission and distribution aggravate the problems.

3

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

4

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

5

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

In the last decade the Italian generation mix dramatically changed

6

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

The change was driven by a “dash for gas” which built an efficient thermal generation fleet with no peers in Europe

7

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

But the change was also driven by Italian RES incentives, greater than rest of Europe, which spurred a “dash for RES”

8

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

…as a results of over-remuneration the installed PV capacity is facing a boom

9

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

…but…grid bottlenecks are still under resolution

10

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

…causing power market fragmentation

11

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

A widening reserve margin, based on RES growth

12

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Post-crisis demand’s decrease together with rapid RES growth have squeezed thermo generation, especially the new CCGTs

13

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

As a consequence, creating a “distorted” new price curve which disrupts old “conventions”

14

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Greater RES penetration, together with low demand and with expensive and relatively unflexible CCGT induce greater price volatility in the market

15

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12RES penetration can affect the power system behavior

16

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Wind has a lower predictable generation pattern than sun

17

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Need for additional reserve to cope with the intermittency of non-programmable RES generation

18

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Excess of non-programmable RES generation in periods with low demand can lead to over-generation

19

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Coping with sharp variations of RES generation

20

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Over-generation and quick “ramp-ups” create a new need: Energy Storage facilities

21

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Sun and wind are location dependent and often remote locations from the demand centers

22

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

A sudden risk of black-out due to RES disconnection when frequency is outside the grid code limits

23

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12

Options for Increasing Power System Flexibility to Accommodate Renewables

24

S

EE

EI I

nte

rnat

ion

al –

Ele

ctri

city

20

12

: “E

ffect

s o

f vo

latil

e R

ES

on

Po

we

r S

yste

ms”

Isra

el –

Eila

t 1

4 N

ove

mb

er

20

12