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1 Will We Ever Get The Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Green Light For Beam Operation? Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

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Page 1: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

1

Will We Ever Get The Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Green Light For Beam

Operation?Operation?J. Uythoven & R. Filippini

For the Reliability Working GroupSub Working Group of the MPWG

Page 2: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 2

Topics of the Topics of the PresentationPresentation

LHC Machine Protection System (MPS) Red / green light to LHC operations

‘Reliability’ concerns Safety and Availability

The simplified MPS studied Models, analysis and results

Comments and remarks Conclusions

Page 3: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 3

Red light for beam operation If we need to abort the beam, does it get dumped correctly? Safety

Main tasks of MPS Transmission of beam dump request Execution of beam dump request

Historical Afraid of missing or bad execution of a beam dump Historical concept of ‘reliable’ beam dumping system:

1 failure per 100 years

MPS: Avoid Damage MPS: Avoid Damage Red LightRed Light

Page 4: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 4

MPS: Allow OperationMPS: Allow OperationGreen LightGreen Light

Green light for beam operation Does the MPS let us operate the machine? Availability False dump

No green light due to Faulty ‘core equipment’ within the MPS Fault in the surveillance system within the MPS: False

Alarm

Page 5: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 5

Aims of Machine Protection Aims of Machine Protection System AnalysisSystem Analysis

Availability of the MPS System available on demand (at

moment of dump request) No false dumps are allowed Unavailability in term of number of

false dumps per year

Safety of the MPS System available on demand (at

moment of dump request) False dumps are allowed, system

remains safe Unsafety in terms of probability per year

The probability that the system terminates its task without any consequences regarding damage or loss of equipment.

The probability that the system is performing the required function at a stated instant of time.

And what about

RELIABILITY ?

RELIABILITY:The probability that the system

isperforming the required functionfor a stated PERIOD OF TIME

RELIABILITY The plane is reliable if it gets me to my destination, once it is in the air

SAFETY: One engine of the airplane broke down, but it landed safely at a different airport

AVAILIBILITY: The plane leaves on time – on demandProcesses which are not continuous; repair the

plane between flights

The ensemble is called DEPENDABILITY

Page 6: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 6

Aims of Machine Protection Aims of Machine Protection System AnalysisSystem Analysis

Availability of the MPS System available on demand (at

moment of dump request) No false dumps are allowed Unavailability in term of number of

false dumps per year

Safety of the MPS System available on demand (at

moment of dump request) False dumps are allowed, system

remains safe Unsafety in terms of probability per year

The probability that the system terminates its task without any consequences regarding damage or loss of equipment.

The probability that the system is performing the required function at a stated instant of time.

Page 7: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 7

Machine Protection SystemMachine Protection SystemSimplified ArchitectureSimplified Architecture

BISBeam Interlock System: BIC1 (R/L) – BIC8 (R/L)

BIC xBeam Interlock Controller at point x (our definition)

BLMBeam Loss Monitors

LBDSLHC Beam Dumping System

PICPowering Interlock Controller

QPSQuench Protection System

Page 8: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 8

Functional ArchitectureFunctional ArchitectureUsed for the CalculationsUsed for the Calculations

QPS

Systems available at a dump request from point x

PIC

BLM

BIC x

BIC 1Dump request from the control room

BIC 6LLBDS

Systems to be available at any dump request

BIC 6R

Page 9: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 9

Assumptions for MPS Assumptions for MPS CalculationsCalculations

Operational scenario Assume 200 days/year of operation, 10 hours per run followed by

post mortem, 400 fills per year For every beam dump LBDS + (BIC+BLM+PIC+QPS)point x

Conservative for safety calculations concerning BLM, PIC and QPS Realistic for availability calculations

Failure rates Assume constant failure rates Calculated in accordance to the Military Handbook 217F

Others The system may fail only when it operates It cannot be repaired if failed unsafe GAME OVER

The rate at which failure occurs as a function of time

Page 10: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 10

Benefit of Diagnostics for Benefit of Diagnostics for Redundant SystemsRedundant Systems

Diagnostics is performed every 10 hours (example) The system is recovered at full redundancy

Regeneration points Failure rate is lower bounded by the non-redundant part

10-7/h

10-4 /h

10-4 /h

Page 11: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 11

Assumptions for MPS Calculations Assumptions for MPS Calculations … continued… continued

Regeneration points depend on diagnostics effectiveness Benefits from diagnostic exist for all

redundant systems in the MPS

SYSTEM Partial regeneration As good as new

LBDS, BIC, PIC - Post mortem at every fill

QPS - Power abort or monthly inspection

BLM Post mortem at every fill Yearly overhaul

The instant when a system is recovered to a fault free state (as good as new)

Page 12: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 12

BEAM in the LHC

Subsystem Analysis Subsystem Analysis LBDSLBDS

MKD

Q4,MSD

MKB

TDE

BEAM dumped

Triggering + Re-

triggering

Dump trigger

RFPowering + Surveillanc

e

Dump request

BEM

Page 13: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 13

State Transition DiagramState Transition DiagramLBDSLBDS

Available Failed

Silent faults

SAFETY = available or failed safely

False alarm

Failedsafely

Undetected faultsDetected faults

Surveillance

Page 14: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 14

Results for one LBDSResults for one LBDS

Results for the MKD kickers including the triggering/re-triggering systems and the powering surveillance

ONE LBDS Unsafety / year False dumps / year

The system 1.410-7 2.6 (+/-1.6)

Safety bottleneck MKD Magnets (coils + current cables): no surveillance

False dumps bottleneck Power triggers (power supplies)

Page 15: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 15

Some PlotsSome Plots

Unsafety per year = 400 missions

False dumps distribution per year

Page 16: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 16

Post Mortem for LBDSPost Mortem for LBDS

Post mortem benefit Analyses the past fill and

recovers the system to as good as new state

Gives the local beam permit to the next LHC fill.

Note Faulty post mortem may

seriously affect safety.

LBDS failure rate with and without post mortem (over 10 consecutive missions)

With ..

Without post mortem

Page 17: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 17

Results for the Results for the Simplified MPSSimplified MPS

System Unsafety/year False dumps/yearAverage Std. Dev.

Analysis including Not included

LBDS

[RF]

1.4 10-7 (2X) 2.6 (2X) (+/-1.6) (Re-)triggering system,MKD (MIL-217F)

BET, BEM (assumptions)

MSD, Q4, MKB

TDE

BIC [BT]

0.7 10-3 1.6 (+/-1.3) User Boxes only (MIL-217F) BIC core, VME and permit loops

BLM

[GG]

1.7 10-3 4.8 (+/-2.1) Focused loss on single monitor

(MIL-217F, SPS data)

Design upgrades

PIC

[MZ]

0.5 10-3 1.5 (+/-1.2) One LHC sector (MIL-217F) PLC

QPS

[AV]

0.4 10-3 7.7 (+/-2.7) Complete system (MIL-217F)

Power converters for electronics

OVERALL RESULTS

MPS 3.3 10-3 20.6 (+/-10.5) -

Page 18: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 18

Comment on ResultsComment on ResultsSafetySafety

Probability of failing unsafe about 300 years (Mean Time To Failure) The punctual loss for the BLM is too conservative as a beam loss is likely to

affect several monitors. If at least two monitors are concerned then BLM unsafety < 2.910-6 per year instead of 1.710-3

Optimistic method of calculation BIC model only includes user boxes (= single point of failure) Many systems not included in the analysis

But most critical systems should be in

Conservative method of calculation Assumes all systems (one of each) have to be available for every beam dump The QPS, the PIC and the BLM are not always required

LBDS itself extremely safe Due to large redundancy in the active system and in the surveillance system

Page 19: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 19

Comments on ResultsComments on ResultsAvailabilityAvailability

20 false dumps per year expected 5 % of all fills (+/- 2.5% std. dev.) One third of it expected to origin from the QPS

Calculations of availability based on About 3500 BLMs About 4000 channels for QPS 36 PIC and 16 BIC systems

Generally Contribution of powering system within the MPS needs to be

assessed in more detail and could have been overestimated For QPS power converters of electronics are not included. If included number

of false quenches almost x 2 – see Chamonix 2003, p. 209.However, the pc could be doubled if found necessary ($)

Some systems still under development

Page 20: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 20

Keeping in mindKeeping in mind

Results shown for a simplified model of the MPS Not in: beam position, RF, collimation system, post mortem Distinction on source of dump requests could be necessary Distinction on fraction of false dumps due to surveillance and

due to the actual equipment can be interesting Some calculations are preliminary (BIC) Sensitivity analyses

Availability also depends on systems outside the MPS Power converters, cryogenics, vacuum,…

Page 21: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 21

Trading-off Trading-off Safety and AvailabilitySafety and Availability

The MPS is a trade-off Safety is the primary goal of the MPS while keeping the

Availability acceptable Many interlocks make the system safer BUT any faulty

interlock (fail-safe) reduces the availability of the system Therefore, Safety and Availability are correlated.

Safe beam flag Benefit: some interlocks are maskable during non critical

phases Operational freedom, increased availability

Drawback: reliable tracking of phase changes is mandatory If it fails, it must fail safely

Page 22: 1 Will We Ever Get The Green Light For Beam Operation? J. Uythoven & R. Filippini For the Reliability Working Group Sub Working Group of the MPWG

Jan Uythoven, AB/BT

Chamonix@CERN 2005, Green Light

Page 22

ConclusionsConclusions Safety

Failing unsafe 3 /1000 years Equivalent to 7.5 10-7/h and compatible with SIL2 (10-7/h) of

IEC-61508 standard for safety critical system Beam dumping system itself: 7 10-11/h: SIL4

Acceptable ?

Availability coming from MPS 20 false dumps per year, 5 % of all fills Acceptable ? Other systems ?

Comments Simplified system Importance of post mortem Reliable safe beam flag

Acknowledgements:

Machine Protection Reliability Working Group

Green Light from MPS: 95 % of the time