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Slide 2 12/4/2015 INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS intelligence + information society M. Gams matjaz.gams@ijs.si Slide 3 Three worlds with different properties Intelligent systems - integration of the three Collapse of time, space. Slide 4 Moores Law 1. Electronic world Slide 5 Saturation When? Slide 6 Moravec 2.Computers vs beings Slide 7 Human Brain Progress Slide 8 Rast moi raunalnikov / ljudi Mo procesiranja as Ljudje Raunal- niki Slide 9 Exponential vs. linear growth Memory Slide 10 Turing test Slide 11 Human-level intelligence Unknown barrier Slide 12 3.Informacijska druba Mo procesiranja as Ljudje Raunalniki Ljudje + Raunalniki = Informacijska druba Rast lovekih sposobnosti Slide 13 Teorija singularnosti Mo procesiranja as Ljudje Raunalnik i Ljudje + Raunalniki = Informacijska druba Slide 14 Generation no.Generation nameMain object I.AgrarianFood II.IndustrialProduction III.Post-industrialServices IV.Information s.Information Human Generations Slide 15 Generation no.Generation nameStatus I.Machine-levelSlave II.ProgrammingSlave III.ToolsSlave IV. Information society Assistant / AGENTS Computer Generations Slide 16 Generation name DurationComm. Speed Agrarian3000-5000 years3-5 km/h human Industrial300-50030-50 horse, car Post-industrial30-50300-500 airplane Information30? 3000-5000 network IS Impact on Humans (Lewis) Slide 17 Human Saturation Info clock >> biological clock Terminal velocity Conflict between biological and information clock Humans cant cope with information overflow Solution: WE NEED INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS Slide 18 Definition: information society More than 50% of GDP related to information/knowledge. More than 50% of employees active in the information economy (immaterial labour). Economy based on transition from material goods to information/knowledge (primary and secondary sector, e.g. OECD 1981, 1986). IS started 1970-1980? Constantly growing! Slovenian growth Slide 19 Possibilities s Slide 20 BASIC I.S. LAWS m Moores law (exponential growth of chip capabilities) m Metcalfs law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes) or n*logn (size of network is very important; internet) m Sidgemors law (exponential growth of net traffic, of transmission capabilities) m Andreesen Lewis Fleming... net capitalism = frictionless economy, information economy, Internet economy, new economy (global, liberal, without rectrictions, regulations) Slide 21 Laws mMetcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes Moore's Law Metcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes social networks - Internet Sidgemore's Law - traffic doubles every three months Andreesen's Law - cost of bandwidth is dropping Disk capacity (+electronic basic properties) also grows exponential Lewis/Flemig's Law - friction-free economy, booming, self-regulating (Greenspan) Gilders Law (The Law of Telecoms) - Total telecommunications system capacity (b/s) triples every three years Put on the Internet all your information and activities FB:mail The cyber-world doubles fortune (real or fictive?? current crises) Side effect of information society is information overload Information society demands intensive information knowledge for successful leadership Information society belongs to all of us The Internet is the most democratic and free media in the world The Internet and information society are our hope for the future Slide 22 INTERNET WIKIPEDIA ISKALNIKI / Wolfram Alpha Internet 1,2,3 Trendi danes: socialna omreja, uporabniko generirana vsebina, visoka prepustnost omreij, grafika, multimediji, virtualna ekonomija, Youtube, Facebook, Googlearth, 2nd life Slide 23