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1Q 2016 Performance Review 6 May 2016

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Page 1: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

1Q 2016 Performance Review

6 May 2016

Page 2: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 2 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Forward Looking Statements and Others

Forward Looking Statements

The following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results or performance to differ. Forward looking information is based on current views and assumptions of management, including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. Such statements are not, and should not be interpreted as a forecast or projection of future performance.

Reports

The unaudited consolidated financial information of the NOL Group for the first quarter ended 1 April 2016 have been reported on in accordance with the Singapore Code on Take-overs and Mergers.

Directors’ Responsibility Statement

The directors of NOL (including any director who may have delegated detailed supervision of this document) have taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated and opinions expressed in this document (other than those relating to CMA CGM) are fair and accurate and that there are no other material facts not contained in this document, the omission of which would make any statement in this document misleading. The directors of NOL jointly and severally accept responsibility accordingly.

Where any information has been extracted or reproduced from published or otherwise publicly available sources (including, without limitation, information relating to CMA CGM), the sole responsibility of the directors of NOL has been to ensure, through reasonable enquiries, that such information is accurately extracted from such sources or, as the case may be, reflected or reproduced in this document.

Page 3: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 3 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

1Q 2016 Performance Highlights

• Net loss after tax of US$105m

• Core EBIT loss of US$84m

• Cost savings of US$60m

• Liner Revenue declined 29% YoY on 23% lower Rev/FEU and

6% less volume, offset by 16% better cost of sales per FEU

Page 4: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 4 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

3.9

6.35.86.0

7.9

1.71.0

5.2

3.5

8.4

4.8

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2011 2016F2015

8.5

201420132012

Newbuild Delivery (’000 TEUs) (LHS)

Global Throughput Growth (%) (RHS)

Annual Capacity Growth (%) (RHS)‘000 TEU %

Note:

1. Source: Alphaliner April 2016 Monthly Monitor

Severe overcapacity continued to affect the

market in 2016

Page 5: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 5 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

1Q 2016 spot freight rates dropped to historic

lows

Note:

1. Source: Clarksons Shipping Intelligence

1Q16:

5281Q15:

989

Quarter Average

Index

Page 6: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 6 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Notes:

1. Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence

2. Percentage figures quoted above are computed on a year-on-year basis in 1Q16.

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14

1,200

600

01Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14

0

500

1,000

1,500

1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14

Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (Composite index of 15 individual shipping routes)

Asia-USWC Spot Freight RateUS$/FEU

Shanghai to Persian Gulf

Spot Freight Rate

Asia to Europe

Spot Freight Rate

US$/TEU US$/TEU

-47%YoY

-44%YoY

-56%YoY

-55%YoY

Steep decline in freight rates registered across

major trade lanes in 1Q 2016

Page 7: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 7 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Notes: Figures are based on the headhaul leg of main linehaul services.

The capacity figures excluded “winter program” and void sailings.

In this weak market, Liner continued to manage

capacity and maintain high asset utilization rate

Page 8: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 8 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Group Cost Savings

(US$m)

1Q16 Cost Savings Initiatives

• Off-hire of expensive,

less efficient charters

• Network design

• Capacity management

• Ship headhaul

utilization >90%

Leaner cost base sustained with better fleet and

more cost competitive products

60

155

80

135

1Q13 1Q161Q151Q14

Page 9: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 9 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Unfortunately, contraction in volume and rates eroded

Liner’s cost savings and yield improvements in 1Q 2016

-84

13

89

50

Others

60

Rate

51

Bunker Price

65

Variable Cost

Savings

1Q15 Liner

Core EBIT

Volume

312

Cost Savings

Program

1Q16 Liner

Core EBITNotes:

1. US$60m cost savings was achieved in 1Q16, of which US$10m was attributed to network optimization, US$35m from charter expiries and

remaining US$15m from fixed terminal and equipment.

2. Improved variable costs per FEU from targeted cargo selection, yield management and on-time fleet performance, e.g. less inland transportation

expenses, cargo handling and port expenses incurred.

3. Others comprised mainly one-time cost reductions.

US$m

1 2

3

Page 10: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 10 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Group Commentary

Industry overcapacity worsened in the second half of 2015. Freight rates

across major trade lanes continued declining to hit historic lows in 1Q 2016.

Freight rates are expected to remain under pressure. The Group will continue

its focus on cost and operational efficiencies, as well as yield and network

capacity management.

Page 11: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

End of Presentation

Thank You

Neptune Orient Lines Ltd

9 North Buona Vista Dr

#14-01 Metropolis Tower 1

Singapore 138588

Tel: (65) 6278 9000

Fax: (65) 6278 4900

Company registration

number : 196800632D

Website: www.nol.com.sg

Page 12: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Appendix

Page 13: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 13 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

US$m 1Q16 1Q151 % ▲

Better/ (Worse)

Revenue 1,138 1,985 (43)

Core EBITDA 18 133 (86)

Core EBIT (before non-recurring

items)(84) 30 n.m.

Non-recurring items 2 (2) n.m.

EBIT (82) 28 n.m.

Net loss to owners of the

company(105) (11) (875)

Key Financial Highlights

Notes:

1. 1Q15 included APL Logistics’ contribution. Divestment of APL Logistics was completed on 29 May 2015. APL Logistics was no longer

included in Group’s financials from 3Q15 and onwards.

2. n.m. – not meaningful

Page 14: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 14 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Group Balance Sheet Highlights

US$m 1 Apr 16 25 Dec 15

Total Assets 6,675 6,909

Total Liabilities 4,256 4,416

Total Equity 2,419 2,493

Total Debt 2,982 2,894

Total Cash 174 232

Net Debt 2,808 2,662

Gearing (Gross) 1.23 x 1.16 x

Gearing (Net) 1.16 x 1.07 x

NAV per share (US$) 0.92 0.95

(S$) 1.24 1.33

Page 15: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 15 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

US$m 1Q16 1Q15

Cash & Cash Equivalents – Beginning @ Q1 232 1,226

Cash Inflow/(Outflow)

Operating Activities (56) 123

Investing/Capex Activities (27) (48)

Financing Activities 25 (605)

Cash & Cash Equivalents – Closing @ Q1 174 696

Group Cash Flow Highlights

Page 16: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 16 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

US$m 1Q16 1Q15

1. Vessels 1 2

2. Equipment / Facilities 2 10

3. Drydock 12 4

4. IT 8 16

5. Others 0 1

Total 23 33

Group Capital Expenditure

Page 17: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 17 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

US$m 1Q16 1Q15% ▲Better/

(Worse)

Revenue 1,138 1,601 (29)

Cost of Sales (1,133) (1,445) (22)

Core EBITDA 18 115 (84)

Core EBIT (84) 13 n.m.

EBIT (82) 11 n.m.

Core EBIT margin (%) (7.4) 0.8

Volumes (‘000 FEUs) 624 667 (6)

Average Rev/FEU (US$) 1,594 2,063 (23)

Cost of Sales/FEU (US$) 1,816 2,166 (16)

Liner Results Summary

Page 18: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 18 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Volume (‘000 FEUs) 1Q16 1Q15 % ▲

Transpacific 173 180 (4)

Intra-Asia 299 317 (6)

Asia-Europe 103 112 (8)

Latin America 38 44 (14)

Transatlantic 11 14 (21)

Total 624 667 (6)

Average Revenue/FEU (US$) 1Q16 1Q15 % ▲

Transpacific 2,629 3,153 (17)

Intra-Asia 952 1,262 (25)

Asia-Europe 1,333 2,111 (37)

Latin America 2,417 3,052 (21)

Transatlantic 2,320 2,717 (15)

Total 1,594 2,063 (23)

Liner Operational Update

Page 19: 1Q 2016 Performance Review - APLThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results

Page 19 | 6 May 2016 | NOL 1Q 2016 Performance Review

Group Fuel and Currency Exposures

Bunker

The Group continues to recover part of its fuel price increases from customers through

bunker adjustment factors.

The Group also maintains a policy of hedging its bunker exposures.

Foreign exchange

Major foreign currency exposures are in Euro, Singapore Dollar, Canadian Dollar,

Japanese Yen and Chinese Renminbi.

The Group maintains a policy of hedging its foreign exchange exposures.