1q 2016 performance review - aplthe following presentation includes forward-looking statements,...
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1Q 2016 Performance Review
6 May 2016
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Forward Looking Statements and Others
Forward Looking Statements
The following presentation includes forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, that could cause actual results or performance to differ. Forward looking information is based on current views and assumptions of management, including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. Such statements are not, and should not be interpreted as a forecast or projection of future performance.
Reports
The unaudited consolidated financial information of the NOL Group for the first quarter ended 1 April 2016 have been reported on in accordance with the Singapore Code on Take-overs and Mergers.
Directors’ Responsibility Statement
The directors of NOL (including any director who may have delegated detailed supervision of this document) have taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated and opinions expressed in this document (other than those relating to CMA CGM) are fair and accurate and that there are no other material facts not contained in this document, the omission of which would make any statement in this document misleading. The directors of NOL jointly and severally accept responsibility accordingly.
Where any information has been extracted or reproduced from published or otherwise publicly available sources (including, without limitation, information relating to CMA CGM), the sole responsibility of the directors of NOL has been to ensure, through reasonable enquiries, that such information is accurately extracted from such sources or, as the case may be, reflected or reproduced in this document.
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1Q 2016 Performance Highlights
• Net loss after tax of US$105m
• Core EBIT loss of US$84m
• Cost savings of US$60m
• Liner Revenue declined 29% YoY on 23% lower Rev/FEU and
6% less volume, offset by 16% better cost of sales per FEU
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3.9
6.35.86.0
7.9
1.71.0
5.2
3.5
8.4
4.8
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2011 2016F2015
8.5
201420132012
Newbuild Delivery (’000 TEUs) (LHS)
Global Throughput Growth (%) (RHS)
Annual Capacity Growth (%) (RHS)‘000 TEU %
Note:
1. Source: Alphaliner April 2016 Monthly Monitor
Severe overcapacity continued to affect the
market in 2016
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1Q 2016 spot freight rates dropped to historic
lows
Note:
1. Source: Clarksons Shipping Intelligence
1Q16:
5281Q15:
989
Quarter Average
Index
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Notes:
1. Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence
2. Percentage figures quoted above are computed on a year-on-year basis in 1Q16.
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14
1,200
600
01Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14
0
500
1,000
1,500
1Q164Q153Q152Q151Q154Q143Q142Q141Q14
Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (Composite index of 15 individual shipping routes)
Asia-USWC Spot Freight RateUS$/FEU
Shanghai to Persian Gulf
Spot Freight Rate
Asia to Europe
Spot Freight Rate
US$/TEU US$/TEU
-47%YoY
-44%YoY
-56%YoY
-55%YoY
Steep decline in freight rates registered across
major trade lanes in 1Q 2016
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Notes: Figures are based on the headhaul leg of main linehaul services.
The capacity figures excluded “winter program” and void sailings.
In this weak market, Liner continued to manage
capacity and maintain high asset utilization rate
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Group Cost Savings
(US$m)
1Q16 Cost Savings Initiatives
• Off-hire of expensive,
less efficient charters
• Network design
• Capacity management
• Ship headhaul
utilization >90%
Leaner cost base sustained with better fleet and
more cost competitive products
60
155
80
135
1Q13 1Q161Q151Q14
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Unfortunately, contraction in volume and rates eroded
Liner’s cost savings and yield improvements in 1Q 2016
-84
13
89
50
Others
60
Rate
51
Bunker Price
65
Variable Cost
Savings
1Q15 Liner
Core EBIT
Volume
312
Cost Savings
Program
1Q16 Liner
Core EBITNotes:
1. US$60m cost savings was achieved in 1Q16, of which US$10m was attributed to network optimization, US$35m from charter expiries and
remaining US$15m from fixed terminal and equipment.
2. Improved variable costs per FEU from targeted cargo selection, yield management and on-time fleet performance, e.g. less inland transportation
expenses, cargo handling and port expenses incurred.
3. Others comprised mainly one-time cost reductions.
US$m
1 2
3
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Group Commentary
Industry overcapacity worsened in the second half of 2015. Freight rates
across major trade lanes continued declining to hit historic lows in 1Q 2016.
Freight rates are expected to remain under pressure. The Group will continue
its focus on cost and operational efficiencies, as well as yield and network
capacity management.
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End of Presentation
Thank You
Neptune Orient Lines Ltd
9 North Buona Vista Dr
#14-01 Metropolis Tower 1
Singapore 138588
Tel: (65) 6278 9000
Fax: (65) 6278 4900
Company registration
number : 196800632D
Website: www.nol.com.sg
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Appendix
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US$m 1Q16 1Q151 % ▲
Better/ (Worse)
Revenue 1,138 1,985 (43)
Core EBITDA 18 133 (86)
Core EBIT (before non-recurring
items)(84) 30 n.m.
Non-recurring items 2 (2) n.m.
EBIT (82) 28 n.m.
Net loss to owners of the
company(105) (11) (875)
Key Financial Highlights
Notes:
1. 1Q15 included APL Logistics’ contribution. Divestment of APL Logistics was completed on 29 May 2015. APL Logistics was no longer
included in Group’s financials from 3Q15 and onwards.
2. n.m. – not meaningful
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Group Balance Sheet Highlights
US$m 1 Apr 16 25 Dec 15
Total Assets 6,675 6,909
Total Liabilities 4,256 4,416
Total Equity 2,419 2,493
Total Debt 2,982 2,894
Total Cash 174 232
Net Debt 2,808 2,662
Gearing (Gross) 1.23 x 1.16 x
Gearing (Net) 1.16 x 1.07 x
NAV per share (US$) 0.92 0.95
(S$) 1.24 1.33
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US$m 1Q16 1Q15
Cash & Cash Equivalents – Beginning @ Q1 232 1,226
Cash Inflow/(Outflow)
Operating Activities (56) 123
Investing/Capex Activities (27) (48)
Financing Activities 25 (605)
Cash & Cash Equivalents – Closing @ Q1 174 696
Group Cash Flow Highlights
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US$m 1Q16 1Q15
1. Vessels 1 2
2. Equipment / Facilities 2 10
3. Drydock 12 4
4. IT 8 16
5. Others 0 1
Total 23 33
Group Capital Expenditure
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US$m 1Q16 1Q15% ▲Better/
(Worse)
Revenue 1,138 1,601 (29)
Cost of Sales (1,133) (1,445) (22)
Core EBITDA 18 115 (84)
Core EBIT (84) 13 n.m.
EBIT (82) 11 n.m.
Core EBIT margin (%) (7.4) 0.8
Volumes (‘000 FEUs) 624 667 (6)
Average Rev/FEU (US$) 1,594 2,063 (23)
Cost of Sales/FEU (US$) 1,816 2,166 (16)
Liner Results Summary
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Volume (‘000 FEUs) 1Q16 1Q15 % ▲
Transpacific 173 180 (4)
Intra-Asia 299 317 (6)
Asia-Europe 103 112 (8)
Latin America 38 44 (14)
Transatlantic 11 14 (21)
Total 624 667 (6)
Average Revenue/FEU (US$) 1Q16 1Q15 % ▲
Transpacific 2,629 3,153 (17)
Intra-Asia 952 1,262 (25)
Asia-Europe 1,333 2,111 (37)
Latin America 2,417 3,052 (21)
Transatlantic 2,320 2,717 (15)
Total 1,594 2,063 (23)
Liner Operational Update
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Group Fuel and Currency Exposures
Bunker
The Group continues to recover part of its fuel price increases from customers through
bunker adjustment factors.
The Group also maintains a policy of hedging its bunker exposures.
Foreign exchange
Major foreign currency exposures are in Euro, Singapore Dollar, Canadian Dollar,
Japanese Yen and Chinese Renminbi.
The Group maintains a policy of hedging its foreign exchange exposures.