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Page 1: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

2007 Full Year Results

March 2008

Page 2: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

2

Summary

Profits

Policyholders

Dividends

Combined ratio

Confused.com

German launch

FTSE 100

Financial Times Best Companies to Work For

Sunday Times 100 Best Companies to Work For

Wow! 2007 - Great Year!

Great momentum going forward for 2008

Page 3: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

3

Admiral goes international

The obvious targets:

236m£110bnUSA

31m£12bnFrance

34m£14bnItalya

45m£15bnGermanya

20m£8bnSpaina

32m£13bnUK

No of vehiclesGWP

Page 4: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

4

Germany

Launched 16 October 2007

Almost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008

First claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer hit a boar

Won’t be much more to add at the half year

Page 5: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

5

Italy

Launch later in 2008

Talking with Munich Re

No concentration of 1 January renewals

Page 6: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

6

Page 7: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

7

Spanish Market

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

GWP €m

Market GWP Evolution

8.0m

12.2m10.6m

11.5m12.5m

8.9m 9.8m11.2m

Source: ICEA

Direct Players in 2007

Direct Players GWP (m€) GrowthMarket Share

Línea Directa 644 3,1% 5,13%Direct Seguros 210 7,8% 1,67%Génesis 201 4,8% 1,60%Fénix Directo 56 12,8% 0,45%Balumba 21 2000% 0,17%Clickseguros 2 new 0,01%TOTAL 1.133 6,9% 9,0%

Mutua Madrileña 1.216,4 5,2% 9,69%

Page 8: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

8

Balumba

£0.7m Loss

47,000 Customers (2006: 2,200)

£16.6m Spanish turnover

141% Loss ratio

91% Expense ratio

232% Combined ratio

£45 Ancillary contribution per policy

Jan-07

Feb-07

Mar-07

Apr-07

May-07

Jun-07

Jul-07

Aug-07

Sep-07

Oct-07

Nov-07

Dec-07

Quotes index

Balumba’s results Quotes index per month - Seasonality

Page 9: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Financials

Page 10: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

10

Investments

£5.8m

£11.3m

Money Market Funds

SWIP (Lloyds) Global Liquidity

Insight (HBOS) Liquidity Fund

HSBC Sterling Liquidity Fund

AAA Rated

7-day LIBID benchmark

Maximum 60 day maturity

68%

32%

Money Market Funds Cash

Monthly investment return

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08

% re

turn

net

of f

ees

Insight Liquidity Fund HSBC Liquidity Fund SWIP Global Liquidity Fund 7-day LIBID Rolling 1 Month Average

Page 11: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

11

Expense Ratio

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Acquisition Non-acquisition Levies

Split of UK expense ratioSplit of Group expense ratio

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

UK International

15.6% 15.0% 15.1% 15.8%17.7%

15.6% 15.0% 15.1% 15.7% 16.7%

Page 12: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

12

UK expense ratio 2008

Increasing premium retention increases the expense ratio

A mathematical impact due to:

Timing difference between premium and expense recognition

Recognise 50% of premium but 75% of expenses in 2008

Impact should be around +0.8%

Same effect would be true in a year of high premium growth

Page 13: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

13

Underwriting Flexibility

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Admiral minimum Admiral optional Swiss Re Partner Re Munich Re

Admiral option on UK premium retention

Spain and Germany premium - split 35% Admiral; 65% Munich Re

55% 50% 45% 40%

10%7.5%

5%

15%22.5%

30%

25% 25% 25%

7.5%10%

27.5%

40%

35%

25%

Page 14: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

14

Solvency Capital

Insurers’ balance sheets

Equity Debt

Aviva 58% 42%

Allianz 79% 21%

Axa 62% 38%

Generali 50% 50%

Mapfre 70% 30%

RSA 67% 33%

Average 64% 36%

Admiral current 100% 0%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08

Spre

ad to

Gilt

s (b

ps)

Aviva LT2 Prudential LT2 AXA LT2 Old Mutual LT2 Amlin LT2 AXA T1

Historical debt spreads(1)(1)

(1) (1) Source: Deutsche Bank

Page 15: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

15

Dividends

40%

£m

Total equity 238Goodwill (62)Solvency capital (84)

91

Buffer (25)

International Expansion (5)

Dividend 61

H2 2007 – 23.2p per share

Ex-dividend - 9 April 2008 Record date - 11 April 2008 Payment date - 7 May 2008

2005 2006 2007

Normal dividend Special dividend Lloyd's

24.6p

36.1p

43.8pCAGR: +33%

CAGR: +33%

Page 16: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Confused.com

Page 17: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

17

Confused.com

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Other Motor

Quotes

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Profit

(1) Confused profit includes revenue from Group brands.

0.6m 1.4m

4.1m

9.0m

(1)

£0.3m£2.0m

£8.8m

£23.1m

£36.7m13.0m

Page 18: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

18

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07

Inco

me

£000

MOTOR INCOME OTHER INCOME

Confused.com

Income

Page 19: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

19

Confused.com

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07

Quo

tes

(000

s)

MOTOR QUOTES HOME QUOTES OTHER QUOTES

Quotes

Page 20: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

20

Confused.com

Revenue per quote

£6.25£4.92£5.20£3.96 £5.46

£4.81£4.54£3.59

H1 2006 H2 2006 H1 2007 H2 2007

Other Motor

Page 21: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

The Market

Page 22: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

22

Loss Ratio – AGL Presentation September ‘07

Drawbacks

Excludes marketreleases

Includes Admiral releases

(4)

Market

Admiral

84%78%

77%75%

78%82%

76%

54%

54%51%

62%

67%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Total Market (Pure year results before reserve releases)

Admiral (Ultimate Best Estimate at June 07)

Page 23: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Loss Ratio – Sustained Outperformance v. Market

(4)

Market

Admiral

(4)

75%

71%69%

72%

80%

85%

67%

62%

54%

51%

76%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Private Motor market (Reported atDec '06 - Reserve ReleasesAllocated Back)

Admiral (Best Estimate of Ultimateat Jun '07 - Reserve ReleasesAllocated Back

68%70%

73%

76%

80%

65%

60%

70%

Private Motor Market - Citigroup'sview of ultimate ultimate (Sep'07)

Admiral - Citigroup's view ofultimate ultimate (Sep '07)

54%

Source:Citigroup Analysis (Sep ’07)

Page 24: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Loss Ratio – Sustained Outperformance v. Market

(4)

Market

Admiral

(4)

Source:Citigroup Analysis (Sep ’07)

80%

72% 76%

73%

70%68%

70%

54% 54%

51%

60%

65%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Private Motor Market -Citigroup's view of ultimateultimate (Sep '07)

Admiral - Citigroup's view ofultimate ultimate (Sep '07)

Page 25: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Loss Ratio Updated – Continued Positive Development

(4)

Market

Admiral

(4)

77%

85%

80%

72%69%

71%

75%

68%70%

73%

76%

80%

74%

50%52%

59%

64%

65%

60%

51%

54%54%

70%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Private Motor Market (Reported at Dec '06 - Reserve Releases Allocated Back)

Private Motor Market - Citigroup's view of ultimate ultimate (Sep '07)

Admiral (Best Estimate of Ultimate at Dec '07)

Admiral - Citigroup's view of ultimate ultimate (Sep '07)

Movement in six months to December ’07

(-1)

(-2)

(-3)

(-3)

(-2)

Page 26: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

26

Combined Ratio

109%

104%

100%

95%

97%

100%

86%79%72%

66%

68%74%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Market = Ex pense ratio plusCitigroup (Sep '07) ultimate ultimateloss ratio projections

Admiral = Ex pense ratio plus low erof Citigroup (Sep '07) ultimate ultimateloss ratio projection and Admiral'sDec '07 best estimate of ultimate

Market

Admiral

Page 27: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

27

Loss Ratio – AGL Presentation September ‘07

Drawbacks

Excludes marketreleases

Includes Admiral releases

(4)

Market

Admiral

84%78%

77%75%

78%82%

76%

54%

54%51%

62%

67%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Total Market (Pure year results before reserve releases)

Admiral (Ultimate Best Estimate at June 07)

Page 28: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

28

Combined Ratio

109%

104%

100%

95%

97%

100%

86%79%72%

66%

68%74%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Market = Ex pense ratio plusCitigroup (Sep '07) ultimate ultimateloss ratio projections

Admiral = Ex pense ratio plus low erof Citigroup (Sep '07) ultimate ultimateloss ratio projection and Admiral'sDec '07 best estimate of ultimate

Market

Admiral

Page 29: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

29

Distribution Trends – Shift To Internet

57

43 37

63

Other Internet

Aug/Sept ’06

(% NB Sales, Market)

Aug/Sept ’07

(% NB Sales, Market)

Other Internet

Page 30: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

30

Distribution Trends – Shift to Price Comparison

Aug/Sept ’06

(%NB Sales)

43

13

23

Off-lineMarketing*Driven

35

9

37

On-lineMarketing

Price Comparison Sites

21

* Included on-line categories largely driven by off-line, notably brand search terms.

19

Price Comparison SitesOff-line

Marketing* Driven

On-lineMarketing

Aug/Sept ’07

(%NB Sales)

Page 31: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

31

Pricing Activity 2007

-0.1

2.2

-0.5

3.9

5.5

-0.3

2.1

0.6

1.6

4

AAShoparound*

Deloittes BestPrice

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Full Year

-0.1

2.3

1.8

0.5

4.4

Market *

Admiral *

* AA Shoparound, new business comprehensive cover only. Deloittes new business all cover. Admiral, new business, all cover.

Page 32: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

32

Lower Marketing Efficiency, Not Lower Spends

Aug/Sept ’06 Aug/Sept ’07

TV and Press Spend (£m) – “Traditional” Advertisers*

+ 26%

* Car insurance advertisers, excluding price comparison sites. Source Nielsen.

-41%

Nov ’06-Jan ’07 Nov ‘07-Jan ‘08

19.8

25.0

8.8

14.9

Page 33: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

33

Prospects for 2008 – Market As A Whole

Price Comparison Sites Re-Writing The Rulesmarket concentration

customer “loyalty”

marketing efficiency

role of brand

Key Drivers of 2008 PricingCurrent profitability

Frequency

Reserve releases

Appetite

Sharebuilders’ ambitions

Laggards’ stamina

Page 34: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

34

Market Profitability

114123 125

120113

105 102 103 10510494

110 113

34 4.2

3.6

2.3

0.2

1.3 1.3

3.9

6.5

8.4

-1-1.8

%

'94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 ’01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

= Reserve Releases (% Premium= Combined Ratio Before Releases (% Premium)

Fourth UK Bodily Awards Study

BI Claims (comp)

1996-2001 2001-2006

Frequency +3.0% +2.6%

Average Cost +9.9% +2.6%

Total Cost +13.1% +5.2%

Page 35: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

35

Prospects for 2008 – Price Comparison Sites

Attractive Market Growth

Growing market

Improved product

Price Comparison site specialists

RBS ?

Reduced traditional marketing activity

Massive New Entrant Activity

Nine TV advertisers in January

Further new players

…..but dawning realisation that it’s not a pot of gold.

Page 36: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

36

Massive New Entrant Activity

Sept '0

6

April '

07

May

June July

August

Septem

ber

October

Novem

berDec

ember

Jan '0

8

Confidentcover

Tesco Compare

Beathatquote

Compare The Market

Go Compare

Moneysupermarket

Confused

(TV and Press Spend, Price Comparison Sites, £m)

1.8

4.6

6.5

5.9

6.3

4.4

2.32.8

7.2

2.3

3.2

*Source: Nielsen. * Beatthatquote in July is Admiral estimate

Page 37: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Highlights

Page 38: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

38

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Average active vehicles (000s)

£66.3 £68.5 £69.3 £69.0£62.4

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Contrbution per average active vehicle

(1) Before allocation of overhead expenses

Low Risk Profits - Growing Ancillary Income – UK Motor

Ancillary Contribution (Ancillary Contribution (££m)m)(1)(1)

728893 1,058 1,173 1,334

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

£44.7m

£59.2m

£72.5m£81.5m

£92.0m

Page 39: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

39

£427m£379m

£323m£263m

£207m£150m

£120m£100m£73m£47m£18m

£548m

£638m£708m

£825m

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Fast Growing

Historical Revenue Growth (Historical Revenue Growth (££m)m)(1)(1)

(1) Revenue comprises total premiums written + other revenue + net investment income

Page 40: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

40

Highly Profitable

Profit before tax(Profit before tax(££m)m)

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Non-underwriting Confused Profit Commission Underwriting Profit

(1) (2)

(1) £6m Munich Re profit commission re-allocated from 2004 to 2003 result.(2) Figures up to 2004 also adjusted for goodwill amortisation, ESOT transactions and bonuses in lieu of dividends.

£74.0m

£98.1m

£119.5m

£147.3m

48%

42%

10% 54%

15%

14%

29% 12%

54%

19%

51%

27%

7%

16%

21%

11%

20%

48%

£182.1m

Page 41: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

41

Highlights

Profit up 24% at £182.1 million (2006: £147.3 million)

Earnings per share 48.6p (2006: 39.8p)

Turnover up 16% at £824.9 million (2006: £708.2 million)

Year-end vehicle count up 16% to 1.5m

H2 2007 dividend per share of 23.2p - full 2007 dividend 43.8p

Launched in Germany 16 October 2007

Page 42: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

42

Admiral Is STILL Different

Fast Growing a a a a

Low Risk Profits a a a a

Strongly Cash Generative a a a a

2004 2005 2006 2007

Highly Profitable a a a a

Page 43: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

Financials

Page 44: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

44

(1) Management best estimate based on actuarial analysis(2) Earned expense ratio adjusted for Lloyd’s costs and non-recurring expense commission, including claims handling costs(3) Ancillary contribution = total ancillary income less premium payable to product providers(4) Margin = ancillary contribution less EUI Ltd expenses attributable to ancillaries expressed as a % of ancillary contribution(5) Adjusted for 2003 PC £6m

Admiral Key Performance Indicators KPI 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Quote volumes 4.7m 6.2m 9.8m 15.4m 25.1m

Conversion rates 8.1% 8.9% 5.8% 4.0% 2.7%

Active vehicles at end of period 777,611 1,007,571 1,104,480 1,240,169 1,381,686

% of premiums retained by Admiral 25% 25% 30% 25% 22.5%

Reported earned loss ratio 52% 67% 70% 72% 67%

Current best estimate earned loss ratio(1)

52% 59% 64% 74% 77%

Acquisition expense ratio(2) 5.4% 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.6%

Non-acquisition expense ratio(2) 8.2% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 8.2%

MIB & other levies ratio(2) 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9%

Total operating expense ratio(2) 15.6% 15.0% 15.1% 15.7% 16.7%

Ancillary per average active vehicle £61.4 £66.3 £68.5 £69.3 £69.0

Ancillary margin(4) 80.2% 81.9% 81.5% 82.2% 82.4%

Instalment income as % of NWP 1.4% 2. 2% 2.4% 4.1% 4.3%

Profit commission(5) £7.4m £15.7m £14.7m £19.9m £20.4m

Pre

miu

ms

Cla

ims

Expe

nses

Oth

er

Inco

me

Page 45: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

45

Summary Income Statement

2006 2007£m £m

Group Turnover 708.2 824.9

Total premiums written 566.6 631.3Gross premiums written 196.4 260.9Net premiums written 138.6 141.9

Net earned premium 145.0 142.2

Investment income 9.9 16.8Net insurance claims (107.1) (99.8)Insurance related expenses (19.3) (21.7)

Underwriting profit 28.4 37.5

Total Profit commission 19.9 20.4Gross ancillary revenue 81.5 94.2Ancillary costs (14.5) (16.6)Instalment income 5.7 5.9Gladiator contribution 2.0 2.0Confused.com contribution 23.1 36.7Other charges (1.4) (1.3)Share scheme charges (0.9) (2.9)

Operating profit 143.8 174.7

Interest income 4.5 7.7Interest payable (1.0) (0.3)

Profit before tax 147.3 182.1

Page 46: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

46

Summary Balance Sheet

2006 2007£m £m

ASSETSProperty, plant and equipment 7.5 7.7Intangible assets 66.8 69.1 Financial assets 395.9 481.0 Reinsurance contracts 74.7 131.7Trade and other receivables 16.9 22.6 Cash and cash equivalents 191.2 155.8

Total assets 753.0 870.3

EQUITYShare capital 0.3 263.0Retained earnings 205.7 223.8 Other reserves 13.1 13.5

Total equity 219.1 237.6

LIABILITIESInsurance contracts 294.4 363.0 Trade and other payables 215.2 239.6 Deferred income tax 1.0 -Corporation tax liabilities 23.4 30.0

Total liabilities 534.0 632.7

Total liabilities and equity 753.0 870.3

Page 47: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

47

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1985

1988

1991

1994

1997

2000

2003

2006

Outlook for the Market: The Pricing Cycle

Combined Ratio for UK Motor MarketCombined Ratio for UK Motor Market

Source:1985 to 1991 Merrill Lynch Research analysis of DTI returns; 1991 to 2006 Deloitte analysis of FSA returns

Com

bine

d R

atio

(%)

Page 48: 2007 full year results final presentation1 - Admiral Group · 4 Germany QLaunched 16 October 2007 QAlmost 9,000 policyholders on 1 January 2008 QFirst claim 2 January, 5.30am, customer

48

Expense Ratio

(1)

Market

Admiral

27%

27%

27%

28%

28%

29%

15%

16%

15%

18%

15%

16%

17%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Total Market (Earned Basis)

Admiral UK (Earned Basis)

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49

Loss Ratio Development by Underwriting Year

90 8989

8176

73 71

80

6663

71 73

6460

66 70

79

5864 65

85

76

55

82

69

605553

62

5356

63

87

75

52

61

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Loss

ratio

%

2000 Accounts 2001 Accounts 2002 Accounts 2003 Accounts2004 Accounts 2005 Accounts 2006 Accounts 2007 Accounts

Underwriting year

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50

Disclaimer Notice

The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the company, advisers or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. Unless otherwise stated, all financial information contained herein is stated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the UK at the date hereof.

The forward-looking information contained herein has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect, and accordingly, actual results may vary.

This document is being distributed only to, and is directed at (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating toinvestments, being investment professionals as defined in article 19(5) of the Financial Services And Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "Order") or (b) high net worth entities falling within article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order, and other persons to whom it may be lawfully be communicated under the Order (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). Any person who is not a Relevant Person should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to Relevant Persons and will be engaged in only with Relevant Persons.

The financial information set out in the presentation does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts in accordance with section 240 Companies Act 1985 for the year ended 31 December 2007. The statutory accounts for the year ended 31 December 2007 will be finalised on the basis of the financial information presented by the directors in this preliminary announcement andwill be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the Company's Annual General Meeting.