2008 business outlook summit the state of northeast louisiana prepared and presented by: john...
TRANSCRIPT
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2008 Business Outlook SummitThe State of Northeast Louisiana
Prepared and presented by:
John Francis, PhDLouisiana Tech UniversityRobert Eisenstadt, PhDUniversity of Louisiana - Monroe
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The following presentation will be available for review on-line at:
cba.ulm.edu/cber
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First the bad news:
NE Louisianas official POPULATION continues to decline.
RLMA 8 Population is down 2% since 2000
Counties
table with row headers in column A and column headers in rows 3 through 4 (leading dots indicate sub-parts)
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1, 2000
July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus
Louisiana4,287,7684,507,3314,495,7064,480,9254,470,5434,463,4214,469,5294,468,9584,468,976
1.Caldwell Parish10,61510,61810,71410,61110,60710,54810,57110,56010,560
2.East Carroll Parish8,6998,7868,8398,9739,0759,2139,3979,4219,421
3.Franklin Parish20,45520,39020,64320,82220,87021,03821,26921,26321,263
4.Jackson Parish15,20215,08415,21115,25815,24715,37515,38815,39715,397
5.Lincoln Parish41,85741,90742,11442,00641,80642,00742,48042,50942,509
6.Madison Parish12,32812,47112,62712,86013,16513,42513,71813,72813,728
7.Morehouse Parish29,76129,91930,29730,50530,46430,66030,98131,02131,021
8.Ouachita Parish149,259147,721147,879147,323146,890146,314147,225147,250147,250
9.Richland Parish20,55420,39120,45120,51320,68620,88420,95020,98120,981
10.Tensas Parish6,1386,1176,1476,2526,4076,4866,5836,6186,618
11.Union Parish22,96422,86622,81322,85622,78622,88122,77922,80322,803
12.West Carroll Parish11,73211,81511,90312,13912,15612,11312,29312,31412,314
TOTAL349,564348,085349,638350,118350,159350,944353,634353,865353,865
Note: The April 1, 2000 estimates base reflects changes to the Census 2000 population resulting from legal boundary updates as of January 1 of the estimates year, other geographic program changes, and Count Question Resolution actions. All geographic bou
Suggested Citation:
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006 (CO-EST2006-01-22)
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1 2000
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus
Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976
.Caldwell Parish10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560
.East Carroll Parish8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421
.Franklin Parish20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263
.Jackson Parish15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397
.Lincoln Parish42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509
.Madison Parish11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728
.Morehouse Parish28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021
.Ouachita Parish149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250
.Richland Parish20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981
.Tensas Parish5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618
.Union Parish22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803
.West Carroll Parish11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314
TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865353,865
Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417307,985308,821311,125311,356311,356
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic Area
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003
Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,679
.Ouachita Parish149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945
.Lincoln Parish42,56242,58042,71542,78142,389
.Morehouse Parish28,78329,27429,44029,96230,272
TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806
Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 20, 2008
Alternative estimates
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by State of Louisiana
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001
.Caldwell Parish10,37310,59310,55610,67810,71510,61810,500-22010,37310,593
.East Carroll Parish8,2468,6518,7518,9639,0059,0809,222-4058,2468,651
.Franklin Parish20,23319,96220,36720,47620,84821,17421,01427120,23319,962
.Jackson Parish15,10115,03615,60915,58215,59115,42015,1226515,10115,036
.Lincoln Parish42,58042,64743,47143,46142,88242,68842,375-6742,58042,647
.Madison Parish11,73112,91412,44913,02413,09113,57513,617-1,18311,73112,914
.Morehouse Parish28,64729,71529,97030,32330,52030,51430,454-1,06828,64729,715
.Ouachita Parish149,445149,788148,863148,895148,112147,758146,651-343149,445149,788
.Richland Parish19,39720,37120,51320,50320,15120,58420,827-97419,39720,371
.Tensas Parish5,8676,0186,1215,9216,2526,5116,506-1515,8676,018
.Union Parish21,89022,19922,15922,37622,33022,74522,804-30921,89022,199
.West Carroll Parish11,30511,52811,92911,97212,20812,33212,070-22311,30511,528
TOTAL344,815349,422350,758352,174351,705352,999351,161-4,607344,815349,422
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1 2000
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus
Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976
.Caldwell Parish10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560
.East Carroll Parish8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421
.Franklin Parish20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263
.Jackson Parish15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397
.Lincoln Parish42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509
.Madison Parish11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728
.Morehouse Parish28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021
.Ouachita Parish149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250
.Richland Parish20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981
.Tensas Parish5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618
.Union Parish22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803
.West Carroll Parish11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314
TOTAL347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865
Note: The April 1, 2000 estimates base reflects changes to the Census 2000 population resulting from legal boundary updates as of January 1 of the estimates year, other geographic program changes, and Count Question Resolution actions. All geographic bou
Suggested Citation:
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006 (CO-EST2006-01-22)
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007
state estimates minus census department estimates
2007200620052004200320022001average differential
.Caldwell Parish6623415816626011221145
.East Carroll Parish(56)33228429419011445172
.Franklin Parish173(129)197(21)21843853133
.Jackson Parish(38)(229)541426399211(246)152
.Lincoln Parish1867756680493680182411
.Madison Parish(127)950344755465543221450
.Morehouse Parish(136)441530361248146(177)202
.Ouachita Parish(57)5557434516738938216
.Richland Parish(1,072)(102)195133(333)(145)(24)(193)
.Tensas Parish2(20)163(110)891754349
.Union Parish(883)(647)(582)(302)(440)94(6)(395)
.West Carroll Parish(248)(170)12883143249(2)26
Counties
table with row headers in column A and column headers in rows 3 through 4 (leading dots indicate sub-parts)
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1, 2000
July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus
Louisiana4,287,7684,507,3314,495,7064,480,9254,470,5434,463,4214,469,5294,468,9584,468,976
110,61510,61810,71410,61110,60710,54810,57110,56010,560
28,6998,7868,8398,9739,0759,2139,3979,4219,421
320,45520,39020,64320,82220,87021,03821,26921,26321,263
415,20215,08415,21115,25815,24715,37515,38815,39715,397
541,85741,90742,11442,00641,80642,00742,48042,50942,509
612,32812,47112,62712,86013,16513,42513,71813,72813,728
729,76129,91930,29730,50530,46430,66030,98131,02131,021
8149,259147,721147,879147,323146,890146,314147,225147,250147,250
920,55420,39120,45120,51320,68620,88420,95020,98120,981
106,1386,1176,1476,2526,4076,4866,5836,6186,618
1122,96422,86622,81322,85622,78622,88122,77922,80322,803
1211,73211,81511,90312,13912,15612,11312,29312,31412,314
TOTAL349,564348,085349,638350,118350,159350,944353,634353,865353,865
Note: The April 1, 2000 estimates base reflects changes to the Census 2000 population resulting from legal boundary updates as of January 1 of the estimates year, other geographic program changes, and Count Question Resolution actions. All geographic bou
Suggested Citation:
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006 (CO-EST2006-01-22)
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1 2000
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus
Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976
10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560
8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421
20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263
15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397
42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509
11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728
28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021
149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250
20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981
5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618
22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803
11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314
TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865353,865
Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417307,985308,821311,125311,356311,356
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic Area
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003
Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,679
149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945
42,56242,58042,71542,78142,389
28,78329,27429,44029,96230,272
TOTAL NE Louisiana347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806
Total RLMA 8304,611306,060304,755306,583307,417
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 20, 2008
% Change in Population since 2000Births-deathsNet internal migration
Ouachita Parish1.51%6,486(4,255)
Lincoln Parish0.12%1,459(1,407)
Morehouse Parish-7.04%393(2,572)
NE Louisiana-1.83%10,375(16,837)
RLMA 8-2.09%8,916(15,430)
Louisiana-3.93%156,595(332,435)
United States6.88%----
United States301,621,157298,754,819295,895,897293,191,511290,447,644287,888,021285,112,030282,194,308
Table 4: Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaTotal Population Change*Natural IncreaseVital EventsNet Migration
BirthsDeathsTotalInternational**Internal
Louisiana-175,754156,595460,782304,187-312,73922,477-335,216
-25398969871-300-5-295
-1,1193391,044705-1,43719-1,456
-1,2032702,2131,943-1,40334-1,437
-25891,4921,483-200-2-198
531,4593,9472,488-1,239343-1,582
-1,8703601,4911,131-2,2135-2,218
-2,2383933,1072,714-2,51512-2,527
2,2526,48616,55610,070-3,590280-3,870
-5123242,1891,865-7616-767
-753128657529-86042-902
-305012,3301,829-440107-547
-76181,0561,048-7185-723
NE Louisiana10,37537,05126,676
RLMA 88,91633,10424,188
Total Change since 2000B-DNet migration
Ouachita2,2316,486-4,255
Lincoln521,459-1,407
Morehouse-2,179393-2,572
NE Louisiana-6,46210,375-16,837
RLMA 8-6,5148,916-15,430
LA-175,840156,595-332,435
*Total population change includes residual - see State and County Terms & Definitions at http://www.census.gov/popest/topics/terms/states.html.
**Net international migration includes the international migration of both native and foreign-born populations. Specifically, it includes: (a) the net international migration of the foreign born, (b) the net migration between the United States and Puerto
Note: The April 1, 2000 estimates base reflects changes to the Census 2000 population resulting from legal boundary updates as of January 1 of the estimates year, other geographic program changes, and Count Question Resolution actions. All geographic bou
Suggested Citation:
Table 4: Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007 (CO-EST2007-04-22)
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 20, 2008
Annual changes
Louisiana49,916-252,3827,70414,2878,1895,205-8,759
-52-39-11457-5127-100
-17-148-202-146-151-211-228
-31-79-327-133-106-225-287
-126197-88-36-17-159-13
-18-135-66392381-185-317
-106-141-164-357-406-364-313
-491-166-522-310-96-263-331
-2311,444-261605576756-658
-4155-52-114-245-122-79
-17380-73-132-173-127-114
-7310563-92119-15930
-145-103-88-176-1811-211
NE Louisiana-1,4671,170-1,894-442-187-1,021-2,621
RLMA 8-1,4491,305-1,828-834-568-836-2,304
1.18%-5.61%0.17%0.32%0.18%0.12%-0.20%
-0.50%-0.38%-1.08%0.55%-0.49%0.26%-0.95%
-0.20%-1.75%-2.33%-1.66%-1.68%-2.30%-2.42%
-0.15%-0.39%-1.60%-0.64%-0.51%-1.07%-1.35%
-0.83%1.31%-0.58%-0.24%-0.11%-1.03%-0.08%
-0.04%-0.32%-0.15%0.92%0.91%-0.44%-0.75%
-0.89%-1.16%-1.34%-2.83%-3.12%-2.72%-2.28%
-1.68%-0.56%-1.74%-1.02%-0.32%-0.86%-1.07%
-0.15%0.97%-0.18%0.41%0.39%0.52%-0.45%
-0.02%0.76%-0.26%-0.56%-1.18%-0.59%-0.38%
-2.87%1.34%-1.21%-2.14%-2.73%-1.97%-1.73%
-0.32%0.46%0.28%-0.40%0.53%-0.70%0.13%
-1.24%-0.87%-0.74%-1.46%-0.15%0.09%-1.72%
-0.42%0.34%-0.54%-0.13%-0.05%-0.29%-0.74%
-0.47%0.43%-0.60%-0.27%-0.18%-0.27%-0.74%
Alternative estimates
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by State of Louisiana
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001
10,37310,59310,55610,67810,71510,61810,500-22010,37310,593
8,2468,6518,7518,9639,0059,0809,222-4058,2468,651
20,23319,96220,36720,47620,84821,17421,01427120,23319,962
15,10115,03615,60915,58215,59115,42015,1226515,10115,036
42,58042,64743,47143,46142,88242,68842,375-6742,58042,647
11,73112,91412,44913,02413,09113,57513,617-1,18311,73112,914
28,64729,71529,97030,32330,52030,51430,454-1,06828,64729,715
149,445149,788148,863148,895148,112147,758146,651-343149,445149,788
19,39720,37120,51320,50320,15120,58420,827-97419,39720,371
5,8676,0186,1215,9216,2526,5116,506-1515,8676,018
21,89022,19922,15922,37622,33022,74522,804-30921,89022,199
11,30511,52811,92911,97212,20812,33212,070-22311,30511,528
TOTAL344,815349,422350,758352,174351,705352,999351,161-4,607344,815349,422
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
Geographic AreaPopulation Estimates by U.S. Department of CensusApril 1 2000
July 1, 2007July 1, 2006July 1, 2005July 1, 2004July 1, 2003July 1, 2002July 1, 2001July 1, 2000Estimates BaseCensus
Louisiana4,293,2044,243,2884,495,6704,487,9664,473,6794,465,4904,460,2854,469,0444,468,9584,468,976
10,30710,35910,39810,51210,45510,50610,47910,57910,56010,560
8,3028,3198,4678,6698,8158,9669,1779,4059,4219,421
20,06020,09120,17020,49720,63020,73620,96121,24821,26321,263
15,13915,26515,06815,15615,19215,20915,36815,38115,39715,397
42,56242,58042,71542,78142,38942,00842,19342,51042,50942,509
11,85811,96412,10512,26912,62613,03213,39613,70913,72813,728
28,78329,27429,44029,96230,27230,36830,63130,96231,02131,021
149,502149,733148,289148,550147,945147,369146,613147,271147,250147,250
20,46920,47320,31820,37020,48420,72920,85120,93020,98120,981
5,8656,0385,9586,0316,1636,3366,4636,5776,6186,618
22,77322,84622,74122,67822,77022,65122,81022,78022,80322,803
11,55311,69811,80111,88912,06512,08312,07212,28312,31412,314
TOTAL347,173348,640347,470349,364349,806349,993351,014353,635353,865
Note: The April 1, 2000 estimates base reflects changes to the Census 2000 population resulting from legal boundary updates as of January 1 of the estimates year, other geographic program changes, and Count Question Resolution actions. All geographic bou
Suggested Citation:
Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population for Counties of Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006 (CO-EST2006-01-22)
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007
state estimates minus census department estimates
2007200620052004200320022001average differential
6623415816626011221145
(56)33228429419011445172
173(129)197(21)21843853133
(38)(229)541426399211(246)152
1867756680493680182411
(127)950344755465543221450
(136)441530361248146(177)202
(57)5557434516738938216
(1,072)(102)195133(333)(145)(24)(193)
2(20)163(110)891754349
(883)(647)(582)(302)(440)94(6)(395)
(248)(170)12883143249(2)26
-
But RETAIL SALES continue to show strength.2006-07 chg = .87%2006-07 chg = 3.70%2006-07 chg = 11.8%2006-07 chg = 15.0%
Chart7
534453124.971542545382869.257233623241685.695575716901922.36
586630914.970087579010624.05291640992944.422083716901922.36
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non-automotive Retail Sales In Lincoln Parish
empl and unempl
Use July data tables for slide
Civilian Labor Force data -- July household survey data figures 2004-2007
Civilian Labor ForceJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853
Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623
Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108
Union10,70510,66210,44910,420
Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784
United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
employment
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980
Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653
Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181
Union9,9909,98310,0669,904
Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315
United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
UnemploymentJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873
Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708
Lincoln1,2581,252861970
Morehouse1,2871,183730927
Union715679383516
Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469
United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
Unemployment Rates (%)
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%
Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%
Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%
Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%
Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%
Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%
United States5.7%5.2%5.0%4.9%
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
empl and unempl
0000
0000
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilan Labor Force: RLMA8, Ouachita
establishment survey
0000
0000
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilian Labor Force: Lincoln, Morehouse
payroll
0000
0000
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): RLMA8, Ouachita
retail trade
0000
0000
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): Lincoln, Morehouse
real estate market
0000
0000
0000
0000
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Unemployment Rates in NE Louisiana
population and pop change
Net change in employment data from establishment data
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)State
2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667
2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543
2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154
2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)net change to State
2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124
2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)
2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053
N.O.B.R.HMALFTL.C.AEXSHVMLUState
2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%
2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%
2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%
2004 to 2007 changes in employment by occupation RLMA 8 (Q2)
Establishment Survey2004-22005-22006-22007-2
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8113,615111,739112,003111,395
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting2,3972,4472,1821,995
Mining283197236346
Utilities915915940902
Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720
Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069
Wholesale trade3,8363,8863,9633,949
Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920
Transportation and warehousing2,8122,9973,0192,748
Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
Finance and insurance5,4214,9174,6974,766
Real estate and rental and leasing1,2541,3841,5771,488
Professional and technical services3,2063,1473,2173,245
Management of companies and enterprises1,9591,9121,7331,678
Administrative and waste services3,6843,8964,5054,052
Educational services13,50812,31511,98812,198
Health care and social assistance20,07820,39820,84421,199
Arts, entertainment, and recreation1,0581,0241,1061,208
Accommodation and food services8,4108,0938,1828,691
Other services, except public administration3,2913,1773,2132,928
Public administration6,4476,2466,2326,171
annual change in industry employment for RLMA8 (quarter 2)
Establishment Survey2004-052005-062006-072007 awwpayroll chg 06-072005-062004-05
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8(1,876)264(608)575(18,179,200)5,820,672(41,362,048)618
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting50(265)(187)424(4,122,976)(14,179,620)2,675,400445
Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822
Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738
Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654
Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976
Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799
Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404
Transportation and warehousing18522(271)731(10,301,252)748,1766,291,480780
Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685
Finance and insurance(504)(220)696972,500,836(5,651,360)(12,946,752)733
Real estate and rental and leasing130193(89)494(2,286,232)7,245,9924,880,720518
Professional and technical services(59)70287221,051,2324,255,160(3,586,492)760
Management of companies and enterprises(47)(179)(55)1,169(3,343,340)(3,853,512)(1,011,816)1,341
Administrative and waste services212609(453)414(9,752,184)20,900,8807,275,840406
Educational services(1,193)(327)2106607,207,200(9,369,204)(34,181,836)734
Health care and social assistance32044635555110,171,4605,937,1524,259,840611
Arts, entertainment, and recreation(34)821022561,357,824882,648(365,976)249
Accommodation and food services(317)895092075,478,8761,948,388(6,939,764)214
Other services, except public administration(114)36(285)421(6,239,220)1,053,936(3,337,464)442
Public administration(201)(14)(61)563(1,785,836)00661
-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240
Establishment survey from monthly dataOct-06Oct-07avg wkly wages 06avg wkly wages 07oct06 payrolloct 07 payroll2007-06
manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600
mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400
construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200
trade transp util1480015400$759$584,126,400$607,807,200$23,680,800
retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800
prof and business services72007600$709$265,375,971$280,119,081$14,743,110
educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694
leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745
public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0
$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%
Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%
population and pop change
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
2006-2007 %chg
2005-2006 %chg
2004-2005 %chg
Percentage Change in Jobs (est. survey) by region
Establishment payroll (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580
Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095
Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394
Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410
Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148
Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777
Source: www.laworks.net
Establisment Payroll Annualized (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320
Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380
Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576
Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640
Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592
Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108
inflation factors2004200520062007
0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381
Establishment annualized payroll (constant 2007 dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320
Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380
Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576
Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640
Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592
Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108
Establishment annualized payroll (% change current dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%
Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%
Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%
Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%
Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%
Establishment annualized payroll (% change constant 2007 dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%
Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%
Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%
Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%
Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Current dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Constant dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
less auto in current dollars$dollars$annual%chng
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2004$1,911,473,395
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2005$2,001,965,4994.73%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2006$2,199,581,0979.87%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2007$2,281,341,7463.72%
less auto constant $
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2004$2,001,215,130
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2005$2,051,277,5572.50%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2006$2,198,874,0987.20%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2007$2,228,441,5121.34%
With auto in current dollars
total estimated sales to date current $ 2004$2,144,661,303
total estimated sales to date current $ 2005$2,244,753,1534.67%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2006$2,436,893,8018.56%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2007$2,536,015,9224.07%
2005 base yr
2004196.6cpi0.9785963166
2005200.91
2006205.91.024888004
2007210.7291.0489248382
Current $ estimatesConstant 2007 $ estimates
2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746
2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337
2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164
2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746
% chg current $ estimates$ chg constant 2007 $ estimates
20054.73%2.49%
20069.87%7.20%
20073.72%1.34%
lincoln parish
2004200520062007
Parish collections .75%$4,573,574$4,641,227$5,388,219$6,075,504
Sch Bd collections2%$12,144,149$12,351,703$14,362,160$16,201,004
est retail parish collect$609,809,815$618,830,317$718,429,228$810,067,159
est retail sch bd collect$607,207,435$617,585,165$718,108,022$810,050,180
avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669
% chang over previous yr--1.59%16.19%12.78%
% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115
Avg est non-auto retail$534,453,124.97$545,382,869.26$623,241,685.70$716,901,922.36
% chang over previous yr--2.05%14.28%15.03%
CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342
CPI 2007 base yr factor0.9110.9420.9721.000
avg est retail infl adjusted$667,916,333$656,325,804$738,726,454$810,058,669
avg est non-auto infl adj$586,630,914.97$579,010,624.05$640,992,944.42$716,901,922.36
%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%
%chg est non auto ret adj---1.30%10.70%11.84%
current dollarsconstant 2007 dollars
2004$534,453,125$586,630,915
2005$545,382,869$579,010,624
2006$623,241,686$640,992,944
2007$716,901,922$716,901,922
estimated per capita constant 2005 dollar retail sales
constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto estimated retail Salespop ouachitapop lincoln
OuachitaLincolnUnited States
0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580
12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647
1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108
1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285
3-month running avg changJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%
constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%
1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039
2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non Automotive Retail Sales in Ouachita Parish
0000
0000
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non-automotive Retail Sales In Lincoln Parish
0000
0000
0000
2004
2005
2006
2007
Constant 2005 Dollar Per-capita Non-auto Retail Sales: Ouachita, Lincoln
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
constant $ chg 2005-06
constant $ chg 2006-07
3-month Avg Annual % Chg in Non-auto Retail Sales
July 1st Population estimates for 2000, 2005, 2006, 2007
RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisiana
1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204
1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768
1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628
1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495
Source: State of Louisiana Employment Estimates
July 1st Estimated Population 2000 to 2007
RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUSUnionRLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUS
1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,15721,8902007 population302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,157
1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768299,398,48422,199change from 2006(4,540)(343)(67)(1,068)5,4362,222,673
1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628296,507,06122,901change from 2005(4,640)1,208472(1,342)(230,424)5,114,096
1-Jul-04308,272148,23842,28530,3834,506,685293,638,15822,851change from 2000(8,928)2,21398(2,336)(176,291)19,404,205
1-Jul-03308,877147,69142,10830,5924,490,380290,796,02322,904% change from 2000-2.954%1.481%0.230%-8.154%-4.106%6.433%
1-Jul-02308,749147,07341,85830,5144,475,003288,125,97322,810
1-Jul-01309,113146,39742,02730,6834,465,258285,226,28422,890
1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495282,216,95222,780
Percent Change in Population
% Change for 2000 to 2007% Change for 2006 to 2007
RLMA 8-2.87%-1.48%
Ouachita1.50%-0.23%
Lincoln0.23%-0.16%
Morehouse-7.54%-3.59%
Louisiana-3.94%0.13%
United States6.88%0.74%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Estimates of the Components of Population Change for NE Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006
Geographic Areanatural increase 2000-06net migration 2000-2006
TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration
Louisiana145,355410,364265,009-308,24822,244-330,492
.Caldwell Parish105859754-12--12
.East Carroll Parish329974645-1,0299-1,038
.Franklin Parish2361,9431,707-98823-1,011
.Jackson Parish-371,2521,289-107--107
.Lincoln Parish1,2483,4092,161-1,775348-2,123
.Madison Parish3121,300988-1,69430-1,724
.Morehouse Parish3812,7362,355-1,5482-1,550
.Ouachita Parish6,05314,4158,362-3,579289-3,868
.Richland Parish3101,8811,571-68212-694
.Tensas Parish96549453-55628-584
.Terrebonne Parish5,53710,7725,235-327371-698
.Union Parish4902,0121,522-255104-359
.West Carroll Parish-34897931-5064-510
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007 (2007 data not avaialable at printing)
Table 5: Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: July 1, 2005 to July 1, 2006
Geographic AreaTotal Population Change*Natural IncreaseNet Migration
TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration
Louisiana-219,56322,11667,38045,264-236,9704,231-241,201
.Caldwell Parish-331142111-37--37
.East Carroll Parish-8786187101-1732-175
.Franklin Parish652130027940436
.Jackson Parish118-39179218155-155
Lincoln Parish-50198592394-25255-307
.Madison Parish-14382248166-2245-229
Morehouse Parish-15832420388-1921-193
Ouachita Parish1,5381,0422,3781,33647249423
.Richland Parish1638632323774272
.Tensas Parish21-6657125520
.Union Parish98113335222-2015-35
.West Carroll Parish-83-2138140-821-83
1,479
Migration and Natural Increase 2000 to 2006
Net International In-MigrationNet Domestic In-Migration
Lincoln295-1,818
Morehouse3-1,460
Ouachita247-4,134
Union86-316
Louisiana20,174-89,547
-0.01378055870.0068259617-0.0088037286-0.03208210950.00531167690.01211165910.0506351901
-0.00032586560.01046297480.012800418-0.0091366835-0.0306536832-0.05213956590.009751616
RLMA 8
Ouachita
Lincoln
Morehouse
Union
Louisiana
United States
Percent Change in Population 200-2005 and 2005-2006 for NE Louisiana, the State, U.S.
000000
000000
RLMA 8
Ouachita
Lincoln
Morehouse
Louisiana
United States
Chart8
1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039
2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non Automotive Retail Sales in Ouachita Parish
empl and unempl
Use July data tables for slide
Civilian Labor Force data -- July household survey data figures 2004-2007
Civilian Labor ForceJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853
Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623
Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108
Union10,70510,66210,44910,420
Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784
United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
employment
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980
Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653
Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181
Union9,9909,98310,0669,904
Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315
United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
UnemploymentJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873
Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708
Lincoln1,2581,252861970
Morehouse1,2871,183730927
Union715679383516
Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469
United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
Unemployment Rates (%)
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%
Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%
Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%
Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%
Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%
Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%
United States5.7%5.2%5.0%4.9%
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
empl and unempl
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilan Labor Force: RLMA8, Ouachita
establishment survey
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilian Labor Force: Lincoln, Morehouse
payroll
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): RLMA8, Ouachita
retail trade
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): Lincoln, Morehouse
real estate market
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Unemployment Rates in NE Louisiana
population and pop change
Net change in employment data from establishment data
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)State
2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667
2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543
2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154
2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)net change to State
2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124
2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)
2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053
N.O.B.R.HMALFTL.C.AEXSHVMLUState
2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%
2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%
2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%
2004 to 2007 changes in employment by occupation RLMA 8 (Q2)
Establishment Survey2004-22005-22006-22007-2
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8113,615111,739112,003111,395
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting2,3972,4472,1821,995
Mining283197236346
Utilities915915940902
Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720
Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069
Wholesale trade3,8363,8863,9633,949
Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920
Transportation and warehousing2,8122,9973,0192,748
Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
Finance and insurance5,4214,9174,6974,766
Real estate and rental and leasing1,2541,3841,5771,488
Professional and technical services3,2063,1473,2173,245
Management of companies and enterprises1,9591,9121,7331,678
Administrative and waste services3,6843,8964,5054,052
Educational services13,50812,31511,98812,198
Health care and social assistance20,07820,39820,84421,199
Arts, entertainment, and recreation1,0581,0241,1061,208
Accommodation and food services8,4108,0938,1828,691
Other services, except public administration3,2913,1773,2132,928
Public administration6,4476,2466,2326,171
annual change in industry employment for RLMA8 (quarter 2)
Establishment Survey2004-052005-062006-072007 awwpayroll chg 06-072005-062004-05
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8(1,876)264(608)575(18,179,200)5,820,672(41,362,048)618
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting50(265)(187)424(4,122,976)(14,179,620)2,675,400445
Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822
Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738
Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654
Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976
Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799
Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404
Transportation and warehousing18522(271)731(10,301,252)748,1766,291,480780
Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685
Finance and insurance(504)(220)696972,500,836(5,651,360)(12,946,752)733
Real estate and rental and leasing130193(89)494(2,286,232)7,245,9924,880,720518
Professional and technical services(59)70287221,051,2324,255,160(3,586,492)760
Management of companies and enterprises(47)(179)(55)1,169(3,343,340)(3,853,512)(1,011,816)1,341
Administrative and waste services212609(453)414(9,752,184)20,900,8807,275,840406
Educational services(1,193)(327)2106607,207,200(9,369,204)(34,181,836)734
Health care and social assistance32044635555110,171,4605,937,1524,259,840611
Arts, entertainment, and recreation(34)821022561,357,824882,648(365,976)249
Accommodation and food services(317)895092075,478,8761,948,388(6,939,764)214
Other services, except public administration(114)36(285)421(6,239,220)1,053,936(3,337,464)442
Public administration(201)(14)(61)563(1,785,836)00661
-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240
Establishment survey from monthly dataOct-06Oct-07avg wkly wages 06avg wkly wages 07oct06 payrolloct 07 payroll2007-06
manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600
mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400
construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200
trade transp util1480015400$759$584,126,400$607,807,200$23,680,800
retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800
prof and business services72007600$709$265,375,971$280,119,081$14,743,110
educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694
leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745
public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0
$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%
Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%
population and pop change
2006-2007 %chg
2005-2006 %chg
2004-2005 %chg
Percentage Change in Jobs (est. survey) by region
Establishment payroll (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580
Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095
Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394
Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410
Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148
Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777
Source: www.laworks.net
Establisment Payroll Annualized (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320
Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380
Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576
Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640
Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592
Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108
inflation factors2004200520062007
0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381
Establishment annualized payroll (constant 2007 dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320
Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380
Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576
Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640
Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592
Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108
Establishment annualized payroll (% change current dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%
Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%
Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%
Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%
Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%
Establishment annualized payroll (% change constant 2007 dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%
Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%
Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%
Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%
Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Current dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Constant dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
less auto in current dollars$dollars$annual%chng
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2004$1,911,473,395
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2005$2,001,965,4994.73%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2006$2,199,581,0979.87%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2007$2,281,341,7463.72%
less auto constant $
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2004$2,001,215,130
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2005$2,051,277,5572.50%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2006$2,198,874,0987.20%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2007$2,228,441,5121.34%
With auto in current dollars
total estimated sales to date current $ 2004$2,144,661,303
total estimated sales to date current $ 2005$2,244,753,1534.67%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2006$2,436,893,8018.56%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2007$2,536,015,9224.07%
2005 base yr
2004196.6cpi0.9785963166
2005200.91
2006205.91.024888004
2007210.7291.0489248382
Current $ estimatesConstant 2007 $ estimates
2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746
2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337
2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164
2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746
% chg current $ estimates$ chg constant 2007 $ estimates
20054.73%2.49%
20069.87%7.20%
20073.72%1.34%
lincoln parish
2004200520062007
Parish collections .75%$4,573,574$4,641,227$5,388,219$6,075,504
Sch Bd collections2%$12,144,149$12,351,703$14,362,160$16,201,004
est retail parish collect$609,809,815$618,830,317$718,429,228$810,067,159
est retail sch bd collect$607,207,435$617,585,165$718,108,022$810,050,180
avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669
% chang over previous yr--1.59%16.19%12.78%
% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115
Avg est non-auto retail$534,453,124.97$545,382,869.26$623,241,685.70$716,901,922.36
% chang over previous yr--2.05%14.28%15.03%
CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342
CPI 2007 base yr factor0.9110.9420.9721.000
avg est retail infl adjusted$667,916,333$656,325,804$738,726,454$810,058,669
avg est non-auto infl adj$586,630,914.97$579,010,624.05$640,992,944.42$716,901,922.36
%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%
%chg est non auto ret adj---1.30%10.70%11.84%
current dollarsconstant 2007 dollars
2004$534,453,125$586,630,915
2005$545,382,869$579,010,624
2006$623,241,686$640,992,944
2007$716,901,922$716,901,922
estimated per capita constant 2005 dollar retail sales
constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto estimated retail Salespop ouachitapop lincoln
OuachitaLincolnUnited States
0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580
12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647
1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108
1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285
3-month running avg changJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%
constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%
1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039
2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non Automotive Retail Sales in Ouachita Parish
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non-automotive Retail Sales In Lincoln Parish
2004
2005
2006
2007
Constant 2005 Dollar Per-capita Non-auto Retail Sales: Ouachita, Lincoln
constant $ chg 2005-06
constant $ chg 2006-07
3-month Avg Annual % Chg in Non-auto Retail Sales
July 1st Population estimates for 2000, 2005, 2006, 2007
RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisiana
1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204
1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768
1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628
1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495
Source: State of Louisiana Employment Estimates
July 1st Estimated Population 2000 to 2007
RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUSUnionRLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUS
1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,15721,8902007 population302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,157
1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768299,398,48422,199change from 2006(4,540)(343)(67)(1,068)5,4362,222,673
1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628296,507,06122,901change from 2005(4,640)1,208472(1,342)(230,424)5,114,096
1-Jul-04308,272148,23842,28530,3834,506,685293,638,15822,851change from 2000(8,928)2,21398(2,336)(176,291)19,404,205
1-Jul-03308,877147,69142,10830,5924,490,380290,796,02322,904% change from 2000-2.954%1.481%0.230%-8.154%-4.106%6.433%
1-Jul-02308,749147,07341,85830,5144,475,003288,125,97322,810
1-Jul-01309,113146,39742,02730,6834,465,258285,226,28422,890
1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495282,216,95222,780
Percent Change in Population
% Change for 2000 to 2007% Change for 2006 to 2007
RLMA 8-2.87%-1.48%
Ouachita1.50%-0.23%
Lincoln0.23%-0.16%
Morehouse-7.54%-3.59%
Louisiana-3.94%0.13%
United States6.88%0.74%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Estimates of the Components of Population Change for NE Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006
Geographic Areanatural increase 2000-06net migration 2000-2006
TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration
Louisiana145,355410,364265,009-308,24822,244-330,492
105859754-12--12
329974645-1,0299-1,038
2361,9431,707-98823-1,011
-371,2521,289-107--107
1,2483,4092,161-1,775348-2,123
3121,300988-1,69430-1,724
3812,7362,355-1,5482-1,550
6,05314,4158,362-3,579289-3,868
3101,8811,571-68212-694
96549453-55628-584
5,53710,7725,235-327371-698
4902,0121,522-255104-359
-34897931-5064-510
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007 (2007 data not avaialable at printing)
Table 5: Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: July 1, 2005 to July 1, 2006
Geographic AreaTotal Population Change*Natural IncreaseNet Migration
TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration
Louisiana-219,56322,11667,38045,264-236,9704,231-241,201
-331142111-37--37
-8786187101-1732-175
652130027940436
118-39179218155-155
Lincoln Parish-50198592394-25255-307
-14382248166-2245-229
Morehouse Parish-15832420388-1921-193
Ouachita Parish1,5381,0422,3781,33647249423
1638632323774272
21-6657125520
98113335222-2015-35
-83-2138140-821-83
1,479
Migration and Natural Increase 2000 to 2006
Net International In-MigrationNet Domestic In-Migration
Lincoln295-1,818
Morehouse3-1,460
Ouachita247-4,134
Union86-316
Louisiana20,174-89,547
-0.01378055870.0068259617-0.0088037286-0.03208210950.00531167690.01211165910.0506351901
-0.00032586560.01046297480.012800418-0.0091366835-0.0306536832-0.05213956590.009751616
RLMA 8
Ouachita
Lincoln
Morehouse
Union
Louisiana
United States
Percent Change in Population 200-2005 and 2005-2006 for NE Louisiana, the State, U.S.
RLMA 8
Ouachita
Lincoln
Morehouse
Louisiana
United States
-
And 2 years out, post-Katrina gains in retail sales are durable.
Chart9
0.0555418110.0422523788
0.07125364860.020460484
0.11534675030.0010707217
0.145893592-0.0244851824
0.1398676115-0.0037719496
0.10836336110.0055458015
0.08172112270.008048784
0.07574616210.0316274705
0.04169143660.0200810759
0.01356857620.0440396978
0.01725572290.0324508484
0.03054469250.0335373244
constant $ chg 2005-06
constant $ chg 2006-07
3-month Avg Annual % Change in Non-auto Constant $ Retail Sales
empl and unempl
Use July data tables for slide
Civilian Labor Force data -- July household survey data figures 2004-2007
Civilian Labor ForceJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853
Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623
Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108
Union10,70510,66210,44910,420
Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784
United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
employment
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980
Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653
Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181
Union9,9909,98310,0669,904
Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315
United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
UnemploymentJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873
Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708
Lincoln1,2581,252861970
Morehouse1,2871,183730927
Union715679383516
Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469
United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
Unemployment Rates (%)
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%
Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%
Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%
Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%
Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%
Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%
United States5.7%5.2%5.0%4.9%
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
empl and unempl
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilan Labor Force: RLMA8, Ouachita
establishment survey
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilian Labor Force: Lincoln, Morehouse
payroll
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): RLMA8, Ouachita
retail trade
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): Lincoln, Morehouse
real estate market
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Unemployment Rates in NE Louisiana
population and pop change
Net change in employment data from establishment data
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)State
2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667
2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543
2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154
2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)net change to State
2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124
2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)
2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053
N.O.B.R.HMALFTL.C.AEXSHVMLUState
2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%
2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%
2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%
2004 to 2007 changes in employment by occupation RLMA 8 (Q2)
Establishment Survey2004-22005-22006-22007-2
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8113,615111,739112,003111,395
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting2,3972,4472,1821,995
Mining283197236346
Utilities915915940902
Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720
Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069
Wholesale trade3,8363,8863,9633,949
Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920
Transportation and warehousing2,8122,9973,0192,748
Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
Finance and insurance5,4214,9174,6974,766
Real estate and rental and leasing1,2541,3841,5771,488
Professional and technical services3,2063,1473,2173,245
Management of companies and enterprises1,9591,9121,7331,678
Administrative and waste services3,6843,8964,5054,052
Educational services13,50812,31511,98812,198
Health care and social assistance20,07820,39820,84421,199
Arts, entertainment, and recreation1,0581,0241,1061,208
Accommodation and food services8,4108,0938,1828,691
Other services, except public administration3,2913,1773,2132,928
Public administration6,4476,2466,2326,171
annual change in industry employment for RLMA8 (quarter 2)
Establishment Survey2004-052005-062006-072007 awwpayroll chg 06-072005-062004-05
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8(1,876)264(608)575(18,179,200)5,820,672(41,362,048)618
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting50(265)(187)424(4,122,976)(14,179,620)2,675,400445
Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822
Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738
Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654
Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976
Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799
Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404
Transportation and warehousing18522(271)731(10,301,252)748,1766,291,480780
Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685
Finance and insurance(504)(220)696972,500,836(5,651,360)(12,946,752)733
Real estate and rental and leasing130193(89)494(2,286,232)7,245,9924,880,720518
Professional and technical services(59)70287221,051,2324,255,160(3,586,492)760
Management of companies and enterprises(47)(179)(55)1,169(3,343,340)(3,853,512)(1,011,816)1,341
Administrative and waste services212609(453)414(9,752,184)20,900,8807,275,840406
Educational services(1,193)(327)2106607,207,200(9,369,204)(34,181,836)734
Health care and social assistance32044635555110,171,4605,937,1524,259,840611
Arts, entertainment, and recreation(34)821022561,357,824882,648(365,976)249
Accommodation and food services(317)895092075,478,8761,948,388(6,939,764)214
Other services, except public administration(114)36(285)421(6,239,220)1,053,936(3,337,464)442
Public administration(201)(14)(61)563(1,785,836)00661
-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240
Establishment survey from monthly dataOct-06Oct-07avg wkly wages 06avg wkly wages 07oct06 payrolloct 07 payroll2007-06
manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600
mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400
construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200
trade transp util1480015400$759$584,126,400$607,807,200$23,680,800
retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800
prof and business services72007600$709$265,375,971$280,119,081$14,743,110
educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694
leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745
public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0
$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%
Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%
population and pop change
2006-2007 %chg
2005-2006 %chg
2004-2005 %chg
Percentage Change in Jobs (est. survey) by region
Establishment payroll (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580
Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095
Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394
Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410
Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148
Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777
Source: www.laworks.net
Establisment Payroll Annualized (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320
Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380
Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576
Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640
Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592
Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108
inflation factors2004200520062007
0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381
Establishment annualized payroll (constant 2007 dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320
Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380
Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576
Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640
Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592
Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108
Establishment annualized payroll (% change current dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%
Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%
Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%
Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%
Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%
Establishment annualized payroll (% change constant 2007 dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%
Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%
Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%
Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%
Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Current dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Constant dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
less auto in current dollars$dollars$annual%chng
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2004$1,911,473,395
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2005$2,001,965,4994.73%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2006$2,199,581,0979.87%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2007$2,281,341,7463.72%
less auto constant $
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2004$2,001,215,130
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2005$2,051,277,5572.50%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2006$2,198,874,0987.20%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2007$2,228,441,5121.34%
With auto in current dollars
total estimated sales to date current $ 2004$2,144,661,303
total estimated sales to date current $ 2005$2,244,753,1534.67%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2006$2,436,893,8018.56%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2007$2,536,015,9224.07%
2005 base yr
2004196.6cpi0.9785963166
2005200.91
2006205.91.024888004
2007210.7291.0489248382
Current $ estimatesConstant 2007 $ estimates
2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746
2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337
2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164
2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746
% chg current $ estimates$ chg constant 2007 $ estimates
20054.73%2.49%
20069.87%7.20%
20073.72%1.34%
lincoln parish
2004200520062007
Parish collections .75%$4,573,574$4,641,227$5,388,219$6,075,504
Sch Bd collections2%$12,144,149$12,351,703$14,362,160$16,201,004
est retail parish collect$609,809,815$618,830,317$718,429,228$810,067,159
est retail sch bd collect$607,207,435$617,585,165$718,108,022$810,050,180
avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669
% chang over previous yr--1.59%16.19%12.78%
% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115
Avg est non-auto retail$534,453,124.97$545,382,869.26$623,241,685.70$716,901,922.36
% chang over previous yr--2.05%14.28%15.03%
CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342
CPI 2007 base yr factor0.9110.9420.9721.000
avg est retail infl adjusted$667,916,333$656,325,804$738,726,454$810,058,669
avg est non-auto infl adj$586,630,914.97$579,010,624.05$640,992,944.42$716,901,922.36
%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%
%chg est non auto ret adj---1.30%10.70%11.84%
current dollarsconstant 2007 dollars
2004$534,453,125$586,630,915
2005$545,382,869$579,010,624
2006$623,241,686$640,992,944
2007$716,901,922$716,901,922
estimated per capita constant 2005 dollar retail sales
constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto estimated retail Salespop ouachitapop lincoln
OuachitaLincolnUnited States
0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580
12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647
1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108
1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285
3-month running avg changJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%
constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%
1911473395.06032001965499.182392199581096.512872281341745.8039
2048844746.020672099911337.367872251168163.608842281341745.8039
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non Automotive Retail Sales in Ouachita Parish
2004
2005
2006
2007
Estimated Non-automotive Retail Sales In Lincoln Parish
2004
2005
2006
2007
Constant 2005 Dollar Per-capita Non-auto Retail Sales: Ouachita, Lincoln
constant $ chg 2005-06
constant $ chg 2006-07
3-month Avg Annual % Change in Non-auto Constant $ Retail Sales
July 1st Population estimates for 2000, 2005, 2006, 2007
RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisiana
1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204
1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768
1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628
1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495
Source: State of Louisiana Employment Estimates
July 1st Estimated Population 2000 to 2007
RLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUSUnionRLMA 8OuachitaLincolnMorehouseLouisianaUS
1-Jul-07302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,15721,8902007 population302,235149,44542,58028,6474,293,204301,621,157
1-Jul-06306,775149,78842,64729,7154,287,768299,398,48422,199change from 2006(4,540)(343)(67)(1,068)5,4362,222,673
1-Jul-05306,875148,23742,10829,9894,523,628296,507,06122,901change from 2005(4,640)1,208472(1,342)(230,424)5,114,096
1-Jul-04308,272148,23842,28530,3834,506,685293,638,15822,851change from 2000(8,928)2,21398(2,336)(176,291)19,404,205
1-Jul-03308,877147,69142,10830,5924,490,380290,796,02322,904% change from 2000-2.954%1.481%0.230%-8.154%-4.106%6.433%
1-Jul-02308,749147,07341,85830,5144,475,003288,125,97322,810
1-Jul-01309,113146,39742,02730,6834,465,258285,226,28422,890
1-Jul-00311,163147,23242,48230,9834,469,495282,216,95222,780
Percent Change in Population
% Change for 2000 to 2007% Change for 2006 to 2007
RLMA 8-2.87%-1.48%
Ouachita1.50%-0.23%
Lincoln0.23%-0.16%
Morehouse-7.54%-3.59%
Louisiana-3.94%0.13%
United States6.88%0.74%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Estimates of the Components of Population Change for NE Louisiana: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006
Geographic Areanatural increase 2000-06net migration 2000-2006
TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration
Louisiana145,355410,364265,009-308,24822,244-330,492
105859754-12--12
329974645-1,0299-1,038
2361,9431,707-98823-1,011
-371,2521,289-107--107
1,2483,4092,161-1,775348-2,123
3121,300988-1,69430-1,724
3812,7362,355-1,5482-1,550
6,05314,4158,362-3,579289-3,868
3101,8811,571-68212-694
96549453-55628-584
5,53710,7725,235-327371-698
4902,0121,522-255104-359
-34897931-5064-510
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau
Release Date: March 22, 2007 (2007 data not avaialable at printing)
Table 5: Estimates of the Components of Population Change for Counties of Louisiana: July 1, 2005 to July 1, 2006
Geographic AreaTotal Population Change*Natural IncreaseNet Migration
TotalBirthsDeathsTotalNet International MigrationNet Internal Migration
Louisiana-219,56322,11667,38045,264-236,9704,231-241,201
-331142111-37--37
-8786187101-1732-175
652130027940436
118-39179218155-155
Lincoln Parish-50198592394-25255-307
-14382248166-2245-229
Morehouse Parish-15832420388-1921-193
Ouachita Parish1,5381,0422,3781,33647249423
1638632323774272
21-6657125520
98113335222-2015-35
-83-2138140-821-83
1,479
Migration and Natural Increase 2000 to 2006
Net International In-MigrationNet Domestic In-Migration
Lincoln295-1,818
Morehouse3-1,460
Ouachita247-4,134
Union86-316
Louisiana20,174-89,547
-0.01378055870.0068259617-0.0088037286-0.03208210950.00531167690.01211165910.0506351901
-0.00032586560.01046297480.012800418-0.0091366835-0.0306536832-0.05213956590.009751616
RLMA 8
Ouachita
Lincoln
Morehouse
Union
Louisiana
United States
Percent Change in Population 200-2005 and 2005-2006 for NE Louisiana, the State, U.S.
RLMA 8
Ouachita
Lincoln
Morehouse
Louisiana
United States
empl and unempl
Use July data tables for slide
Civilian Labor Force data -- July household survey data figures 2004-2007
Civilian Labor ForceJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8139,612139,774136,409133,853
Ouachita73,81174,01772,54272,380
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln18,79418,89118,78418,623
Morehouse12,31812,09411,41111,108
Union10,70510,66210,44910,420
Louisiana2,098,3952,158,9292,010,8992,020,784
United States149,217,000151,122,000153,208,000154,874,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
employment
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 8129,011129,363130,297125,980
Ouachita69,34869,30069,79868,672
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
Lincoln17,53617,63917,92317,653
Morehouse11,03110,91110,68110,181
Union9,9909,98310,0669,904
Louisiana1,964,1922,024,1291,930,3231,932,315
United States140,700,000143,283,000145,606,000147,315,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
UnemploymentJul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 810,60110,4116,1127,873
Ouachita4,4634,7172,7443,708
Lincoln1,2581,252861970
Morehouse1,2871,183730927
Union715679383516
Louisiana134,203134,80080,57688,469
United States8,518,0007,839,0007,602,0007,559,000
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
Unemployment Rates (%)
Jul-04Jul-05Jul-06Jul-07
RLMA 87.6%7.5%4.5%5.9%
Ouachita6.0%6.4%3.8%5.1%
Lincoln6.7%6.6%4.6%5.2%
Morehouse10.4%9.8%6.4%8.3%
Union6.7%6.4%3.7%5.0%
Louisiana6.4%6.2%4.0%4.4%
United States5.7%5.2%5.0%4.9%
Source: www.laworks.net, Department of Labor
(monthly, not seasonally adjusted)
*July 2007 is a preliminary figure, 2004-06 figures are revised
empl and unempl
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilan Labor Force: RLMA8, Ouachita
establishment survey
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Civilian Labor Force: Lincoln, Morehouse
payroll
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): RLMA8, Ouachita
retail trade
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Employment (HH survey): Lincoln, Morehouse
real estate market
Jul-04
Jul-05
Jul-06
Jul-07
Unemployment Rates in NE Louisiana
population and pop change
Net change in employment data from establishment data
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)State
2007-2510,647412,98799,880270,213116,101107,835236,609111,3951,865,667
2006-2477,750408,22693,150262,194112,994107,051235,175112,0031,808,543
2005-2605,447392,15488,857248,054113,409104,126230,368111,7391,894,154
2004-2608,264383,77587,845243,506110,151101,217225,729113,6141,874,101
New Orleans (RLMA 1)Baton Rouge (RLMA 2)Houma (RLMA 3)Lafayette (RLMA 4)Lake Charles (RLMA 5)Alexandria (RLMA 6)Shreveport (RLMA 7)Monroe (RLMA 8)net change to State
2006-2007 change32,8974,7616,7308,0193,1077841,434(608)57,124
2005-2006 change(127,697)16,0724,29314,140(415)2,9254,807264(85,611)
2004-2005 change(2,817)8,3791,0124,5483,2582,9094,639(1,875)20,053
N.O.B.R.HMALFTL.C.AEXSHVMLUState
2006-2007 %chg6.89%1.17%7.22%3.06%2.75%0.73%0.61%-0.54%3.16%
2005-2006 %chg-21.09%4.10%4.83%5.70%-0.37%2.81%2.09%0.24%-4.52%
2004-2005 %chg-0.46%2.18%1.15%1.87%2.96%2.87%2.06%-1.65%1.07%
2004 to 2007 changes in employment by occupation RLMA 8 (Q2)
Establishment Survey2004-22005-22006-22007-2
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8113,615111,739112,003111,395
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting2,3972,4472,1821,995
Mining283197236346
Utilities915915940902
Construction5,9075,6655,9045,720
Manufacturing12,38812,52611,64911,069
Wholesale trade3,8363,8863,9633,949
Retail trade14,50414,40114,57714,920
Transportation and warehousing2,8122,9973,0192,748
Information2,2062,1082,1432,016
Finance and insurance5,4214,9174,6974,766
Real estate and rental and leasing1,2541,3841,5771,488
Professional and technical services3,2063,1473,2173,245
Management of companies and enterprises1,9591,9121,7331,678
Administrative and waste services3,6843,8964,5054,052
Educational services13,50812,31511,98812,198
Health care and social assistance20,07820,39820,84421,199
Arts, entertainment, and recreation1,0581,0241,1061,208
Accommodation and food services8,4108,0938,1828,691
Other services, except public administration3,2913,1773,2132,928
Public administration6,4476,2466,2326,171
annual change in industry employment for RLMA8 (quarter 2)
Establishment Survey2004-052005-062006-072007 awwpayroll chg 06-072005-062004-05
REGIONAL LABOR MARKET AREA 8(1,876)264(608)575(18,179,200)5,820,672(41,362,048)618
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting50(265)(187)424(4,122,976)(14,179,620)2,675,400445
Mining(86)391101,0295,885,8801,462,188(3,224,312)822
Utilities025(38)721(1,424,696)838,5000738
Construction(242)239(184)645(6,171,360)10,874,500(11,011,000)654
Manufacturing138(877)(580)875(26,390,000)(34,887,060)5,489,640976
Wholesale trade5077(14)765(556,920)1,577,5761,024,400799
Retail trade(103)1763433947,027,3846,690,112(3,915,236)404
Transportation and warehousing18522(271)731(10,301,252)748,1766,291,480780
Information(98)35(127)654(4,319,016)1,268,540(3,551,912)685
Finance and insurance(504)(220)696972,500,836(5,651,360)(12,946,752)733
Real estate and rental and leasing130193(89)494(2,286,232)7,245,9924,880,720518
Professional and technical services(59)70287221,051,2324,255,160(3,586,492)760
Management of companies and enterprises(47)(179)(55)1,169(3,343,340)(3,853,512)(1,011,816)1,341
Administrative and waste services212609(453)414(9,752,184)20,900,8807,275,840406
Educational services(1,193)(327)2106607,207,200(9,369,204)(34,181,836)734
Health care and social assistance32044635555110,171,4605,937,1524,259,840611
Arts, entertainment, and recreation(34)821022561,357,824882,648(365,976)249
Accommodation and food services(317)895092075,478,8761,948,388(6,939,764)214
Other services, except public administration(114)36(285)421(6,239,220)1,053,936(3,337,464)442
Public administration(201)(14)(61)563(1,785,836)00661
-$36,012,340-$2,257,008-$52,175,240
Establishment survey from monthly dataOct-06Oct-07avg wkly wages 06avg wkly wages 07oct06 payrolloct 07 payroll2007-06
manufacturing86007800$976$436,467,200$395,865,600-$40,601,600
mining200300$822$8,548,800$12,823,200$4,274,400
construction41004500$654$139,432,800$153,036,000$13,603,200
trade transp util1480015400$759$584,126,400$607,807,200$23,680,800
retail980010400$404$205,878,400$218,483,200$12,604,800
prof and business services72007600$709$265,375,971$280,119,081$14,743,110
educ and health1340013700$662$461,035,671$471,357,365$10,321,694
leisure and hosp69007100$1,762$632,169,200$650,492,945$18,323,745
public admin1450014500$661$498,394,000$498,394,000$0
$3,231,428,442$3,288,378,591$56,950,1491.762%
Monroe MSA8000080200618$2,570,880,000$2,577,307,200$6,427,2000.250%
population and pop change
2006-2007 %chg
2005-2006 %chg
2004-2005 %chg
Percentage Change in Jobs (est. survey) by region
Establishment payroll (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 8740,857,147764,358,917811,529,070833,174,580
Ouachita503,421,537522,068,135547,687,416572,553,095
Lincoln120,369,924119,094,309126,849,405133,430,394
Morehouse52,917,52550,848,47949,843,17652,134,410
Union31,578,32332,348,96634,503,35234,410,148
Louisiana14,456,670,19015,224,067,07716,036,745,48317,305,677,777
Source: www.laworks.net
Establisment Payroll Annualized (current dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 82,963,428,5883,057,435,6683,246,116,2803,332,698,320
Ouachita2,013,686,1482,088,272,5402,190,749,6642,290,212,380
Lincoln481,479,696476,377,236507,397,620533,721,576
Morehouse211,670,100203,393,916199,372,704208,537,640
Union126,313,292129,395,864138,013,408137,640,592
Louisiana57,826,680,76060,896,268,30864,146,981,93269,222,711,108
inflation factors2004200520062007
0.91105516490.94192204180.97230662381
Establishment annualized payroll (constant 2007 dollars)
2004-QTR 22005-QTR 22006-QTR 22007-QTR 2
RLMA 83,252,743,3053,245,954,0523,338,572,6283,332,698,320
Ouachita2,210,279,0542,217,033,3082,253,146,9092,290,212,380
Lincoln528,485,776505,750,173521,849,391533,721,576
Morehouse232,335,108215,934,979205,051,266208,537,640
Union138,645,053137,374,282141,944,326137,640,592
Louisiana63,472,205,62364,651,070,47465,974,025,43569,222,711,108
Establishment annualized payroll (% change current dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 83.17%6.17%2.67%12.46%
Ouachita3.70%4.91%4.54%13.73%
Lincoln-1.06%6.51%5.19%10.85%
Morehouse-3.91%-1.98%4.60%-1.48%
Louisiana5.31%5.34%7.91%19.71%
Establishment annualized payroll (% change constant 2007 dollars)
2004-05 qtr22005-06 qtr22006-07 qtr22004-07 qtr2
RLMA 8-0.21%2.85%-0.18%2.46%
Ouachita0.31%1.63%1.65%3.62%
Lincoln-4.30%3.18%2.28%0.99%
Morehouse-7.06%-5.04%1.70%-10.24%
Louisiana1.86%2.05%4.92%9.06%
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Current dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
2004-05 qtr2
2005-06 qtr2
2006-07 qtr2
2004-07 qtr2
Constant dollar change in annualized establishment payrolls
less auto in current dollars$dollars$annual%chng
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2004$1,911,473,395
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2005$2,001,965,4994.73%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2006$2,199,581,0979.87%
less auto retail sales to date current $ 2007$2,281,341,7463.72%
less auto constant $
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2004$2,001,215,130
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2005$2,051,277,5572.50%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2006$2,198,874,0987.20%
less auto retail sales to date constant $ 2007$2,228,441,5121.34%
With auto in current dollars
total estimated sales to date current $ 2004$2,144,661,303
total estimated sales to date current $ 2005$2,244,753,1534.67%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2006$2,436,893,8018.56%
total estimated sales to date current $ 2007$2,536,015,9224.07%
2005 base yr
2004196.6cpi0.9785963166
2005200.91
2006205.91.024888004
2007210.7291.0489248382
Current $ estimatesConstant 2007 $ estimates
2004$1,911,473,395$2,048,844,746
2005$2,001,965,499$2,099,911,337
2006$2,199,581,097$2,251,168,164
2007$2,281,341,746$2,281,341,746
% chg current $ estimates$ chg constant 2007 $ estimates
20054.73%2.49%
20069.87%7.20%
20073.72%1.34%
lincoln parish
2004200520062007
Parish collections .75%$4,573,574$4,641,227$5,388,219$6,075,504
Sch Bd collections2%$12,144,149$12,351,703$14,362,160$16,201,004
est retail parish collect$609,809,815$618,830,317$718,429,228$810,067,159
est retail sch bd collect$607,207,435$617,585,165$718,108,022$810,050,180
avg est retail$608,508,625$618,207,741$718,268,625$810,058,669
% chang over previous yr--1.59%16.19%12.78%
% auto sales0.12170.11780.13230.115
Avg est non-auto retail$534,453,124.97$545,382,869.26$623,241,685.70$716,901,922.36
% chang over previous yr--2.05%14.28%15.03%
CPI188.9195.3201.6207.342
CPI 2007 base yr factor0.9110.9420.9721.000
avg est retail infl adjusted$667,916,333$656,325,804$738,726,454$810,058,669
avg est non-auto infl adj$586,630,914.97$579,010,624.05$640,992,944.42$716,901,922.36
%chg est ret adj---1.74%12.55%9.66%
%chg est non auto ret adj---1.30%10.70%11.84%
current dollarsconstant 2007 dollars
2004$534,453,125$586,630,915
2005$545,382,869$579,010,624
2006$623,241,686$640,992,944
2007$716,901,922$716,901,922
estimated per capita constant 2005 dollar retail sales
constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto estimated retail Salespop ouachitapop lincoln
OuachitaLincolnUnited States
0.97859631662004$13,070$14,078149,44542580
12005$13,365$13,577$8,516149,78842,647
1.0248880042006$14,478$14,853148,23742,108
1.04892483822007$14,672$16,163148,23842,285
3-month running avg changJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
constant $ chg 2005-065.55%7.13%11.53%14.59%13.99%10.84%8.17%7.57%4.17%1.36%1.73%3.05%
constant $ chg 2006-074.23%2.05%0.11%-2.45%-0.38%0.55%0.80%3.16%2.01%4.40%3.25%3.35%
Constant 2005 $ per-capita non-auto retail sales
OuachitaLincolnUnited States
2007$14,672$16,163
2006$14,478$14,853
2005$13,365$13,577$8,516
1911473395.0603200196549