2008 exxaro interim results presentation...5 safety • regrettably two fatalities • 2q08 fatality...
TRANSCRIPT
GROUP INTERIM RESULTS (Reviewed)for the six-month period ended 30 June 2008
INTRODUCTION
SIPHO NKOSI
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
3
OVERVIEW
• Safety commitment to zero harm
• Status of mining rights conversion
• Good increase in coal production
• Coal expansion on track
• Mineral Sands business challenging
• Headline earnings up 54%
• Interim dividend 175 cps
OPERATIONAL REVIEW
MIKE KILBRIDECHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
5
SAFETY
• Regrettably two fatalities
• 2Q08 fatality free
• LTIFR* increased from 0.36 to 0.45
• Seven units have had zero lost time injuries for the year to date
• Management focus areas:
– improving risk awareness
– executive SHE audits
– Visible Felt Leadership
• Nine Presidential audits completed by DME
Fatalities
LTIFR
* Lost time injury frequency rate per 200 000 man hours
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
4
2
3
2 2
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
0.48
0.42
0.33 0.36 0.
45
6
• Programmes implemented to reduce employee exposure to noise and dust
• Committed to achieve mining sector targets
• Focus to increase participation in HIV/Aids prevention, detection and treatment programmes
HEALTH
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
42
22 21
3 3
Focus on noise reduction
Num
ber o
f cas
es
7
0 4
317• Each business unit has plans to
mitigate environmental impact• Exxaro’s carbon footprint
baseline assessment completed - target setting to follow
• ISO & OHSAS certification:– 71% completed– 100% target by December
2008• Integrated SHE audits initiated
ENVIRONMENT
Environmental incidents (1H08)
Significant Moderate Minor
Significant: Widespread irreversible impact, permanent loss of ecological value
Moderate: Reversible impact with temporary loss of ecological value
Minor: Reversible impact within 48 hours with no loss of ecological value
8* Sources: SA Coal Report, CRU
COAL MARKETS
Steam coal and coke prices* (USD/t)
• Very strong domestic and international demand
• Steam coal prices are at record highs
• Coke prices showed significant upward movement
• Hard coking coal prices have more than doubled 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
40
80
120
160
150
300
450
600
RBCT steam coal FOBChinese market coke exports
9
• Total production at 21.9Mt
– excellent results in 2Q08
– 1.3Mt additional sales to Eskom
• Record output at Grootegeluk and Leeuwpan
• Power station coal at 18.1Mt
– improved performance at Matla and Arnot
• Increased production at North Block Complex and Inyanda
COAL OPERATIONS
Production volumes (Mt)
Power station Steam coal Coking coal
16.8
2.3
17.8
2.3
16.8
2.0
17.4
2.1
18.1
2.4
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4
10
MINERAL SANDS MARKETS
• Increased demand:
– mainly from Asia-Pacific and China
– for pigment from developing countries
– for feedstocks from titanium sponge and welding rod industries
– for LMPI
• Improved pricing outlook
Prices* (USD/t – FOB)
* Source: TZMI
Zircon PigmentCP Slag
300
400
500
600
700
800
2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
11
MINERAL SANDS OPERATIONS
KZN Sands• CP Slag affected by Furnace
2 outage• Zircon and rutile impacted by
declining mineral grades
Attributable production (kt)Australia Sands• Improved synthetic rutile plant
performance • Pigment production lower due
to rebuild of four chlorinators• Power supply affected by gas
outages• Zircon and rutile impacted by
lower in-situ grades
CP SlagSynthetic Rutile
Zircon Pigment
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H087272
54
44
27
62
4442
27
77
48
38
26
73
52
3228
5656
29
22
12
KZN SANDS FURNACE PERFORMANCE
• Furnace 1 performance:
– Operation has been stable
– Current output 93% of cold-design capacity of 110ktpa
– Initiatives to further improve performance
– Significant improvement on centre piece life
• Furnace 2 rebuild:
– To be completed by year end
– First tap expected in January 2009
– Insurance claim in process
• Feasibility study of furnace hearth technology to be completed by year-end
13
ZINC MARKETS
• Realised zinc price declined by 36%
• Oversupply expected with further downward pressure on prices
• Strong local demand for zinc metal
• Treatment charges at a strong level due to global concentrate surplus
Zinc metal price
1 0000
2 0000
3 000
4 000
5 000
• -
10
20
30
40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
USD/t R’000/t
14Chifeng Zincor
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
48
8
42
8
51
10
50
13
47
13
BASE METALS OPERATING RESULTS
Zinc concentrate (kt)• Volumes down at Rosh Pinah
due to plant breakdowns• Focus on asset management
programme
Zinc metal (kt)• Production lower at Zincor due to
acid plant and load shedding• Planned maintenance shut 2H08• Chifeng Phase 3 expansion fully
ramped-up
Zinc metal production (kt)
Concentrate production (kt)
55
13
49
8
53
11
42
11
47
12
Zinc Lead
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
15
INDUSTRIAL MINERALS
Ferrosilicon (t)• Stable production • High off-take from iron ore
industry
Dolomite production (Mt)
• Lower demand from steel sector
• Crusher breakdowns impacted on performance
Ferrosilicon (t)
Dolomite production (Mt)1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
3 08
7
2 56
1 3 09
6
3 04
1
2 92
3
1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08
0.66
0.73
0.65
0.69
0.62
FINANCIAL REVIEW
DIRK VAN STADEN
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
17
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
17
27
88
(10)
26
19
% Change
(1 296)
2 308
26
728
14
1 444
(8 713)
10 157
FY07
2815Effective tax rate (%) (1)
401753Post-tax equity accounted income
1 1991 523Cash retained from operations
(396)(465)Capital expenditure incurred
891806EBIT
(3 961)(4 976)Operating expenses
1814Operating margin (%)
4 8525 782Revenue
1H071H08R million
(1) Including post-tax equity accounted income
18
REVENUE
7.267.337.54Realised ZAR/USD rate
0.830.810.93Realised USD/AUD rate
941577244– Rosh Pinah2 5581 3581 032– Zincor(767)(519)(213)– Inter-segmental
984480460– KZN Sands1 188560575– Australia Sands
1 7688381 106– Tied operations3 3191 4812 491– Commercial operations
2 7321 4161 063Base Metals
10 1574 8525 782Total
2 1721 0401 035Mineral Sands
1667787Other
5 0872 3193 597CoalFY071H071H08R million
Coal revenue up 55%
19
EBIT AND MARGINS (%)
2618
1457356
123617(%)
2 2421 444
(32)(67)29845768860
(157)(97)79788
885FY071H07(%)1H08R million
2214
7238
35726
33057– Rosh Pinah19269– Zincor(20)(37)– Other
(28)(27)– KZN Sands36(139)– Australia Sands
5072– Tied operations343863– Commercial operations
50289Base Metals
891806Total EBIT
8(166)Mineral Sands
1 2611 286Total EBITDA
(12)(52)Other
393935Coal
Coal commercial margin 35%
20
NET OPERATING PROFIT: 1H07 vs 1H08
R million
891
224
16898 (251)
(265)
(59)806
1H07 1H08Price Volume Exchange Inflation Cost Other
21
EARNINGS
2--Income from investments
53
54
48
48
46
32
88
20
(10)
% Change
425246377Headline earnings per share (cents)
1 4488391 292Headline earnings
16060175Dividend per share (cents)
2.54.02.0Dividend cover (times attributable earnings)
418246363Attributable earnings per share (cents)
1 4278391 244Attributable earnings(20)(14)(2)Minority interest
1 4478531 246Profit after taxation(512)(330)(226)Taxation
728401753Post-tax equity accounted income
(215)(109)(87)Net financing cost
1 444891806EBIT
FY071H071H08R million
22
NET DEBT VARIANCE: 1H08
(483)
1 523 (45) (216)
(348)
(465)
(10)
352240
(68)
Openingbalance
Cashretained
Tax CapexDividends Other Closingbalance
Net financing
cost
Dividend received
Investingactivities
R million
23
DIVIDEND – CASH FLOWS
17
192
58
297
564
2.5
160
425
Totaldividend
FY07
6
72
21
112
211
4.0
60
246
Interimdividend
1H07
61– Anglo
326– BEE Holdco
214– Public
19– Employee share participation scheme (MPower)
2.0Dividend cover (times attributable earnings)
175Dividend declared (cents per share)
620Dividend declared (Rm)
377Headline earnings per share (cents)
Interimdividend
1H08
24
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
1516Return on capital employed (%)1012Return on equity - attributable income (%)1215Net financing cost cover (times) - EBITDA
1H071H08Ratios for 6-month periods:
240Net cash
1 4241 664Cash and cash equivalentsAfter 20118601 424Total debt
2011346-Short term201045475477– Australia Sands2009323 450947– Corporate20081413 9251 424Long term
Maturity profileUndrawnDrawnR million
Healthy financial metrics
GROWTH AND OUTLOOK
SIPHO NKOSI
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
26
EXXARO’S 2008 HIGH LEVEL STRATEGIC FOCUS
• deliver on growth aspirations
• enter high yielding commodities
• develop current project pipeline
• build capacity• innovative growth• top quartile performer• leading company in
mining sector
Short term: consolidate
Medium term:optimise
Longer term:innovate
• operational excellence• optimise cash flow• implement new
organisational structure
27
GROWTH PROJECTS
Pre-feasibility Feasibility Construction Ramp-up/OperationCoal Mineral Sands Base Metals
* Replacements
Belfast 3.0MtpaBelfast 3.0Mtpa
Moranbah South
3.5Mtpa
Moranbah South
3.5Mtpa
Dongara*200ktpa
Dongara*200ktpa
Port Durnford*550ktpa*
Port Durnford*550ktpa*
Medupi14.6MtpaMedupi
14.6Mtpa
Market Coke450ktpa
Market Coke450ktpa
Toliara Sands*560ktpa
Toliara Sands*560ktpa
AlloyStream20ktpa
AlloyStream20ktpa
Diepspruit1.3Mtpa
Diepspruit1.3Mtpa
Char 160ktpaChar
160ktpa
Mafube5.0MtpaMafube5.0Mtpa
Inyanda 1.5Mtpa
Inyanda 1.5MtpaBlesbok
expansion2.4Mtpa
Blesbok expansion
2.4Mtpa
Eerstelingsfontein1.0 Mtpa
Eerstelingsfontein1.0 Mtpa
Turkey exploration
Turkey exploration
Fairbreeze*300ktpa
Fairbreeze*300ktpa
On-site powergeneration
On-site powergeneration
Kwinana 40ktpa
Kwinana 40ktpa
28
OUTLOOK
• Coal– higher volumes
– strong prices
– improved results in 2H08 expected
• Sands– adverse impact of KZN Furnace 2 rebuild
– expected positive contribution from Namakwa
– negative effect of strong AUD
• Lower prices will affect zinc results
• Challenging cost environment
• Favourable coal and iron ore market conditions expected to result in significantly improved earnings
• Strengthening Rand will impact on earnings
ADDITIONAL SLIDES
30
PRO FORMA REVENUE CONTRIBUTION*
Iron OreCoalBase MetalsMineral SandsOther
* Includes Namakwa Sands, 26% of Black Mountain/Gamsberg, 20% of Sishen Iron Ore Company and the effective interest in ChifengNot comparable with revenue as per generally accepted accounting practice
R1 810m20%
R3 597m41%
R1 553m17%
R1 885m21%
R87m 1%
R2 319m33%
R1 086m16%
R1 633m23%
R1 851m27%
R77m 1%
R3 464m24%
R3 692m25%
R5 087m34%
R2 299m16%
R167m 1%
1H08
FY07
1H07
31
PRO FORMA EBITDA CONTRIBUTION*
Iron OreCoalBase MetalsMineral Sands
R1 289m33%
R1 246m31%
R529m13%
R916m23%
1H08
FY07
1H07R617m
29%
R578m27%
R305m14%
R641m30%
R350m12%
R1 142m41%
R1 083m38%R246m
9%
* Includes Namakwa Sands, 26% of Black Mountain/Gamsberg, 20% of Sishen Iron Ore Company and the effective interest in ChifengNot comparable with revenue as per generally accepted accounting practice
32
NET OPERATING PROFIT: 2H07 vs 1H08
2H07 1H08Price Volume Exchange Inflation Cost Other
55381 (58)
117 (191)
348 (44)806
R million
33
HEADLINE EARNINGS
(6)(6)-– Reversal of impairment of assets
(7)--– Share of associate’s recycling of re-measurements from equity to the income statement
341
425
1 448
(3)
-
(3)
17
23
1 427
FY07
-(1)– Reversal of impairment of PPE
(1)-– Share of associate’s gains on disposal of PPE
341343Weighted average number of shares in issue (million)
(1)(16)– Taxation effect of adjustments
258– Gains or losses on disposal of PPE
67– Impairment of Property, Plant and Equipment (PPE)
246377Headline earnings per share (cents)
8391 292Headline earnings
Adjustments:
8391 244Attributable earnings
1H071H08R million
34
DEPRECIATION AND AMORTISATION PER SEGMENT
368
9
17
16
33
64
78
142
160
24
184
1H07
763
17
31
35
66
134
162
296
338
46
384
FY07
18– Zincor
22– Rosh Pinah
82– Australia Sands
86– KZN Sands
22– Tied operations
176– Commercial operations
416
10
40
168
198
1H08
Other
Total
Base Metals
Mineral Sands
Coal
R million
35
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE AND COMMITMENTS
2 173– Namakwa Sands acquisition**
ACTUALESTIMATE*Capex:
3969004651 4935 154Total capex
680– Mafube Coal Joint Venture (50%)
180– Black Mountain/Gamsberg (26% interest)
85– Igoda Coal Joint Venture net outflow
Major cash flow commitments for investments not included in capex:
12
372
1 310
2 600
4 294
860
FY09
14
17
321
532
884
609
2H08
41714– Base Metals1
1
205221
2441H08
511– Mineral Sands
110– Other
180499– Coal190537Expansion
206363Sustaining and environmental1H072H07R million
* Excludes capital expenditure of Namakwa Sands** Subject to disclosed price adjustments for acquisition of Namakwa Sands
36
EBITDA
1 261
(3)
(20)
210
346
536
156
(6)
150
505
73
578
1H07
2 242
(42)
(65)
329
492
756
286
(48)
238
1 157
133
1 290
FY07
(35)– Other
79– Rosh Pinah
(3)– Australia Sands
59– KZN Sands
1 048– Commercial operations
94– Tied operations
1 286Total EBITDA
(42)Other
86– Zincor
130Base Metals
56Mineral Sands
1 142Coal
1H08R million
37
310
(5)
10
71
(192)
(396)
822
(4)
(309)
(64)
1 199
1H07
388
5
50
379
(257)
(1 296)
1 507
(223)
(462)
(116)
2 308
FY07
86Other
352Dividend income from equity investments
(465)Fixed assets
914Cash available
(216)Taxation
(45)Net financing costs
791Net cash inflow
3Proceeds from sale of non-core assets & investments
(99)Investments acquired
(348)Dividends
1 523Cash retained from operations
1H08R million
CASH FLOW
38
NET FINANCING COST
215
99
116
(96)
59
153
FY07
4543Interest adjustment on non-current provisions
(44)(54)Interest income
6444Net interest expense
10987Net financing cost as per income statement
3031Finance leases
7867Interest expense and loan costs
1H071H08R million
39
MPOWER TRUST
9 292
5 310
3 186
17 788
R ‘000
8 015
As at 30 June 2008
Share of total dividends paid or declared to date
– Declared on 13 August 2008
– Paid on 17 March 2008
– Paid on 10 September 2007
Number of beneficiaries
Substantial value accretion since inception
40
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
46
228
1 131
1 405
171
1 199
1 370
1H08
597798273648– Other
628660592381246262– Export
1 5901 8172 3077548141 113– ArcelorMittal
2 2772 5542 9971 1621 0961 423 Sales
414364463205180242– Tshikondeni
1 8592 1322 4999699291 237– Grootegeluk
2 2732 4962 9621 1741 1091 479Production
COKING COAL
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
41
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
1 092
45
2 116
6 846
584
7 435
18 118
1H08
1 7841 4811 892854450841– NBC
36133115626821192– NCC
4 9763 9853 7022 5501 8791 805– Arnot
12 47013 61313 0305 7486 7596 547– Matla
513921956194442417– Leeuwpan
14 06014 26814 5107 1377 1087 128– Grootegeluk
34 16434 59934 24616 75116 84916 830Production
POWER STATION COAL
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
42
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
1 047
35
2 116
6 826
608
7 248
17 880
1H08
1 7841 4811 855854388868– NBC
6182551203688648– NCC
4 9763 9853 7022 5501 8791 805– Arnot
12 42713 61312 9975 7166 7446 532– Matla
540915965222450447– Leeuwpan
14 16314 41614 5877 2147 0076 904– Grootegeluk
34 50834 66534 22616 92416 55416 604Sales
POWER STATION COAL
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
43
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
------125– Inyanda
1 056
1 428
2 484
223
539
778
762
2 427
1H08 FY06
1 534469391767326246– NBC
5 7944 7724 0612 8652 4451 961Sales
4 2512 9982 8322 1631 5991 411– Domestic
1 5431 7741 229702846550– Export
9961 107814559537324– NCC
1 4421 5041 421676672680– Leeuwpan
1 5511 5851 485765804766– Grootegeluk
5 5234 6654 1112 7672 3392 016Production
STEAM COAL
FY05FY071H051H061H07‘000 tons
44
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
5347
712
4547
1H08
LEAD CONCENTRATE(ROSH PINAH)
ZINC CONCENTRATE (ROSH PINAH)
10290101534851– Production1049999535248– Sales
ZINC METAL(ZINCOR)
35321911127– Sales: export252122131311– Production
11910897606155– Sales: inter company12610495645553– Production
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
45
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
6
4
1213
1H08
ZINC CONCENTRATE(BLACK MOUNTAIN**)
ZINC METAL(CHIFENG*)
161811788– Production
LEAD CONCENTRATE (BLACK MOUNTAIN**)
17187988– Production
151623789– Sales1516237810– Production
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
* Exxaro’s effective interest in Chifeng** Pro formas to include 26% of Black Mountain/Gamsberg
46
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
10
56
8
29
7
16
133
1H08
MINERAL SANDS
KZN SANDS
Production
23251712129– Rutile
303626121814– Sulphate slag
134134150567277– Chloride slag
81020559– Scrap Iron
897590374148– Pig Iron (LMPI)
475034242619– Zircon
356319367153160187– Ilmenite
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
47
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
6
49
6
39
7
22
20
1H08
MINERAL SANDS
KZN SANDS
183118999– Rutile
Sales
41302920108– Sulphate slag
150104163656481– Chloride slag
1198654– Scrap Iron
796091292945– Pig Iron (LMPI)
474827262314– Zircon
605050303030– Ilmenite (external sales)
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
48
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
86
57
13
64
162
1H08
MINERAL SANDS
NAMAKWA SANDS*
292824151410– Rutile
Production
164134151848174– Slag tapped
10589102535351– Iron tapped
129128115636448– Zircon
316272300163165140– Ilmenite
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
* Pro formas to include Namakwa Sands
49
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
22
6
56
6
13
85
1H08
MINERAL SANDS
AUSTRALIA SANDS*
161817898– Rutile
Production
535454262726– Pigment
121416578– Leucoxene
11198100555448– Synthetic Rutile
353636171819– Zircon
220227216105116111– Ilmenite
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tonnes
* Exxaro’s effective interest in Tiwest joint venture with Tronox Inc.
50
COMPARABLE PHYSICAL INFORMATION
8
27
5
14
-
1H08
MINERAL SANDS
AUSTRALIA SANDS*
181816882– Rutile
Sales
141017447– Leucoxene
592757271921– Synthetic Rutile
363229171616– Zircon
13302010-10– Ilmenite
FY05FY06FY071H051H061H07‘000 tons
* Exxaro’s effective interest in Tiwest joint venture with Tronox Inc.
51
BASE METAL HEDGING: 01 JULY 2008 - 31 DECEMBER 2011
15 744 1 756 20 100 19 066 1 967 5 500 2011
15 692 1 713 5 175 2010
13 509 1 591 6 675 2009
19 365 2 187 93 000
2008
2011
2010
2009
2008
Year
2 750
26 700
26 400
26 400
13 500
Tonnes hedged
1 814
2 061
2 216
2 251
2 256
Average USDprice
14 625
19 976
19 944
18 939
17 854
AverageZAR price
Zinc
Lead
52
PROJECT DETAILS
3Q08Ramp-upR389m160ktpaAug 2005Char project - Grootegeluk
1Q12Pre-feasibilityTBD550ktpaPort Durnford (51%)
2011Pre-feasibilityTBD200ktpaDongara (Australia 100%)
2010Pre-feasibilityR600m3MtpaBelfast
2011AwardedR9bn14.6MtpaMay 2006Medupi
2011Feasibility studyR1.9bn450ktpaMarket coke
4Q08ConstructionR136m1.3MtpaNov 2007Diepspruit
2012Pre-feasibilityTBD3.5MtpaMoranbah South (Australia 50%)
1Q08OperationR1.96bn5MtpaNov 2006Mafube Coal (50%)
2Q08OperationR269m1.5MtpaNov 2006Inyanda
2014Pre-feasibilityTBD560ktpaToliara Sands (Madagascar)
2010Pre feasibilityTBD20ktpaAlloyStream - Furnace 1
4Q08ConstructionR10m1.0MtpaEerstelingsfontein
2008OperationR10m2.4MtpaBlesbok expansion
3Q10Planned 4Q08R780m300ktpaMay 2006Fairbreeze
1Q10ConstructionAUD100m40ktpaFeb 2008Kwinana expansion (Australia 100%)
Boardapproval
Status Estimatedstart-up
Estimated CapexScopeOwnership
(100% unless indicated otherwise)
Base MetalsCoal Mineral Sands
53
SALIENT DATES
Last day to trade cum dividend 12 September 2008
Shares trade ex dividend 15 September 2008
Record date 19 September 2008
Payment date 22 September 2008