2008 full year results presentation poised for growth on solid platform 22 september...
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INTERNATIONAL FERRO METALS LIMITED2008 FULL YEAR RESULTS PRESENTATION
Poised for Growth on Solid Platform
22 September 2008
International Ferro Metals Limited and each of its respective directors, officers and agents believe that
the information contained in this presentation is correct and that any estimates, opinions or conclusions
contained in this presentation are reasonably held or made as at the time of compilation. However, no
warranty is made as to the accuracy or reliability of any estimates, opinions, conclusions or other
DISCLAIMER
warranty is made as to the accuracy or reliability of any estimates, opinions, conclusions or other
information contained in this document. IFM and its directors, officers and agents disclaims all liability
and responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage which may be suffered by any recipient
through relying on anything contained in or omitted from this presentation. This presentation is for the
intended recipient. No part of this document may be reproduced without the permission of
International Ferro Metals Limited.
2
POISED FOR GROWTH
• Strong EBITDA and cash flow from stable operations and cost
control
• Strong balance sheet with no debt
• Resources increased to over 45years’ expanded production
• Growth from expanding ferrochrome production (waste-gas power
3
• Growth from expanding ferrochrome production (waste-gas power
generation)
• Growth in chromite production from expanded mining
operations and new ore beneficiation plant
• Growth from staged furnace expansion
• Ramp up of production completed
• Revenue up 944% to ZAR1,919m ($263m)
• Ferrochrome price increased 92% to $1.92/lb in June 2008.
Currently at $2.05/lb.
• Production growth from 49,370 tonnes in 2007 to 205,607
HIGHLIGHTS
• Production growth from 49,370 tonnes in 2007 to 205,607
tonnes in 2008 (including FeCr contained in slag)
• EBITDA ZAR727m ($99.4m)
• Maiden dividend of £0.01 declared (ex dividend date 1 October 2008)
• Increasing cash position of ZAR972m ($122m) at 30 June
2008, no debt
4
• Low cost producer status maintained
• Expansion of Lesedi underground mine at Buffelsfontein
commenced
• Skychrome mining commenced post June 2008
• Commenced waste-gas electricity generation project,
HIGHLIGHTS
• Commenced waste-gas electricity generation project,
commissioning July 2009
• Commenced construction of ore beneficiation plant,
commissioning December 2009
5
• 2nd half year margin of 46% at average published price of $1.57/lb (Q1: $1.21/lb, Q2:1.92/lb)
• No tax payable
• Maiden dividend (interim dividend to be considered)
H1 2008 H2 2008 FY 2008 FY 2007
ZAR’000 ZAR’000 ZAR’000 ZAR’000
Total Revenue 367,252 1,552,144 1,919,396 183,863
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Total Revenue 367,252 1,552,144 1,919,396 183,863
Cost of goods sold ( 349,595) ( 841,331) ( 1,190,926) ( 168,006)
Operating margin 5% 46% 38% 9%
EBITDA 14,520 712,207 726,727 ( 255,285)
PBT ( 23,858) 654,217 630,359 ( 344,269)
Taxation - ( 52,177) ( 52,177) -
Net profit/(loss) after tax ( 23,858) 602,040 578,182 ( 344,269)
Net Operating Cashflow ( 236,234) 487,491 251,257 ( 204,787)
EPS (cents per share) ( 4.54) - 114.05 ( 82.78)
Weighted avg # shares ('000) - - 502,590 412,695
DPS (pence) - 1p 1p -
6
• Cash and trade debtors of ZAR1,435m ($181m) as at 30 June 2008
• Unredeemed Capex of ZAR1,100m
H1 2008 FY 2008 FY 2007
ZAR’000 ZAR’000 ZAR’000
Cash and cash equivalents 341,721 972,190 43,929
Total other current assets 350,963 586,053 319,854
Total current assets 692,684 1,558,243 363,783
BALANCE SHEET
Property, plant & equipment 1,632,301 1,672,281 1,632,388
Other non-current assets 126,427 25,625 124,371
Total non-current assets 1,758,728 1,697,906 1,756,759
Total Assets 2,451,412 3,256,149 2,120,542
Trade and other payables 105,304 213,149 134,406
Other current liabilities 59,440 100,852 44,112
Total current liabilities 164,744 314,001 178,518
Interest bearing loans and borrowings 115,622 92,716 898,631
Deferred tax liability - 50,602 -
Total other non-current liabilities 69,070 27,184 76,403
Total non-current liabilities 184,692 170,502 975,034
Total liabilities 349,436 484,503 1,153,552
Total shareholders’ equity 2,101,976 2,771,646 966,990 7
Mineral Reserves Mineral Resources (Geological Losses Applied)
Tonnage Cr2O3 Cr:Fe Tonnage Cr2O3 Cr:Fe
(kt) (%) ratio (kt) (%) ratio
PROVED: MEASURED:
Lesedi Lesedi
MG3 4,950 34.93 1.25
MG2T 2,173 37.26 1.36
MG2 (1)
6,933 28.05 1.36 MG2B 5,448 38.67 1.37
MG1 3,950 35.61 1.49 MG1 6,182 40.50 1.49
Sky Chrome Sky Chrome
MG2T 323 28.77 1.21
MG2B_2 152 28.73 1.18
MG2B 850 26.96 1.14
MG1 1,022 27.18 1.20
PROBABLE INDICATED
Lesedi Lesedi
RESOURCES INCREASE BY 72%
“Sufficient ore to feed 5
furnaces for over 45 years”
Lesedi Lesedi
MG3 1,220 34.46 1.19
MG2T 580 37.31 1.36
MG2 (1)
2,142 28.03 1.37 MG2B 1,467 38.55 1.38
MG1 831 35.80 1.49 MG1 1,926 40.66 1.49
Sky Chrome Sky Chrome
MG2T 15,082 26.73 1.16
MG2B_2 3,227 30.04 1.22
MG2B 29,410 29.87 1.21
MG1 28,535 34.20 1.40
Proved &
Probable Reserves 13,856 30.66 1.41
Measured &
Indicated Resources 102,546 32.49 1.29
INFERRED
Lesedi
MG3 1,882 34.38 1.18
MG2T 827 37.23 1.36
MG2B 2,004 38.51 1.38
MG1 2,713 40.67 1.50
Sky Chrome
MG2T 2,996 29.31 1.22
MG2B_2 739 28.89 1.20
MG2B 5,888 33.49 1.29
MG1 6,435 36.14 1.44
Inferred Resources 23,482 35.00 1.34
Total Reserves 13,856 30.66 1.41 Total Resources 126,028 32.96 1.30
8
IFM AT BOTTOM OF COST CURVE
9
Chrome Ore
21.6c
33%Electrode Cost
0.8c
1%
Operating Costs
5.0c
8%
Fixed Costs
7.7c
12%
Production Cost 2008 (US65c/lb)(US cents/lb contained Cr)
FERROCHROME PRODUCTION COST
Reductants
20.2c
31%Fluxes
0.5c
1%
Electricity
8.8c
14%
Merril Lynch (June 2008) forecasts the
price of Hard Coking Coal, which is
used to produce coke, to fall by more
that 60% by 2012
Electricity to
increase
between 20-
25% p.a. for the
next three
years (Nersa)
10
• Stainless Steel production forecast to grow by 5.8%
• Ferrochrome demand forecast to grow by 5.1%
STAINLESS STEEL PRODUCTION
11
India
Finland
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan
Russia Russia Russia Russia
Russia
Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey
Turkey
Sweden
Sweden Sweden Sweden Sweden
Sweden
MBR Forecast
4,000
5,000
tho
usa
nd
s o
f to
nn
es
Global Increase in FeCr Supply
MBR forecasts only 62% of announced capacity to realise by 2011Announced projects vs MBR Forecast
FERROCHROME SUPPLY IS CONSTRAINED
South Africa
South AfricaSouth Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa South Africa
South Africa
China
China
China China China China China
China
India
India
India India India India India
Finland Finland Finland Finland
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Russia
Russia
Russia
Turkey
Turkey
Sweden
Sweden
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 12
• Fourth quarter pricing negotiations underway
• MBR, CRU & Heinz Pariser Research forecast prices at or above $2.00/lb until 2011
ForecastHistoric
$ 2.50
$ 3.00
European HC Contract Charge Chrome Price Forecasts(Nominal, $/lb contained Cr)
FERROCHROME PRICE FORECAST
FY 2008
IFM Production Cost $0.65/lb
$ 0.00
$ 0.50
$ 1.00
$ 1.50
$ 2.00
20
07
Q1
20
07
Q2
20
07
Q3
20
07
Q4
20
08
Q1
20
08
Q2
20
08
Q3
20
08
Q4
20
09
Q1
20
09
Q2
20
09
Q3
20
09
Q4
20
10
Q1
20
10
Q2
20
10
Q3
20
10
Q4
20
11
Q1
20
11
Q2
20
11
Q3
20
11
Q4
CRU (Aug08)
MBR (Sep08)
Heinz Pariser (Aug08)
Historic
Average
IFM Cost
CRU New Range
13
• ESKOM confirmed company's preferential status
• Awaiting clarity from ESKOM about timing of expanded
capacity
• Latest deadline for receipt of the advice is October 2008
• DTI, ESKOM and the National Energy Regulator are jointly
ESKOM UPDATE
• DTI, ESKOM and the National Energy Regulator are jointly
deciding which industries will be preferred
14
• Skychrome open pit and underground feasibility completed
• Extraction of ore commenced
• Construction of 1.8m tpa ore beneficiation plant commenced, commissioning
December 2009 (Design and construction by Gravmax)
Capex to achieve 665kt FeCr in the medium term ZAR’million
EXPANSION – PHASE 1
Lesedi MG2 Shaft 65
SkyChrome Open Pit 35
SkyChrome Decline 1 & 2 330
Beneficiation Plant No.2 (1,800,000tpa) 210
Pelletiser No.2 (700,000tpa) 950
Furnaces (3 x 66MVA) 2,300
Infrastructure & other 580
TOTAL 4,470
15
• Waste-gas generation is proven
• Pre-reduction technology is proven
• Pre-heater technology is proven
• Pre-feasibility study has commenced with tests to be
completed by the end of October 2008
TECHNOLOGY INITIATIVES
completed by the end of October 2008
• Capex estimates to be finalised early November 2008
• Pre-reduction plus pre-heaters should have the ability to
increase production by at least 30%
16
• Silicon carbide as super reductant
• Full scale on-site tests will be conducted late 2008
• Silicon carbide could increase production by 10%
TECHNOLOGY INITIATIVES (cont.)
FeCr tonnes
Waste-gas generation 10%
Pre-heating 10%
Pre-reduction 30%
Silicon carbide 10%
17
• Beneficiated Chrome ore (concentrate) price is $330/t FOB (RSA)
• Cost of extraction and beneficiation is ZAR500/t ($67/t) and transport to port is
ZAR450/t ($60/t)
$ 800
$ 900
$/tonne Beneficiated chrome ore prices
CHROME ORE PRICES
South Africa
India
Turkey
$ 0
$ 100
$ 200
$ 300
$ 400
$ 500
$ 600
$ 700
Ja
n-0
3
May-0
3
Se
p-0
3
Ja
n-0
4
May-0
4
Se
p-0
4
Ja
n-0
5
May-0
5
Se
p-0
5
Ja
n-0
6
May-0
6
Se
p-0
6
Ja
n-0
7
May-0
7
Se
p-0
7
Ja
n-0
8
May-0
8
Se
p-0
8
Source: Metal Bulletin Research (Aug 2008) 18
• FeCr production to increase from 232,000 tpa to 267,000tpa
from July 2009 (chrome content 300million lbs - current price $2.05/lb)
• Resources increased to over 45years’ expanded production
• Chrome ore extraction increasing at Buffelsfontein and
Skychrome (current price $330/t beneficiated)
POISED FOR GROWTH ON SOLID PLATFORM
Skychrome (current price $330/t beneficiated)
• Additional beneficiation plant commissioning December 2009
• Feasibility on expanding ferrochrome production with existing
electricity supply underway (Pre-feasibility available early November 2008)
• Company highly cash generative with cash and trade debtors
of ZAR1.4bn ($181m) (at 30 June 2008)
• Demand for FeCr continues to increase
19
ANNEXURES
20
• Located in the Bushveld Complex – the largest ferrochrome producing region in the world
• IFM owns and operates the Lesedi chromite mine which is situated on the western limb of the South African Bushveld Complex
• IFM owns an 80% interest in the nearby Skychrome deposit to enable a 250% increase of initial ferrochrome production
THE BUSHVELD COMPLEX
21
FERROCHROME PROCESS
22
WORLD CHROMITE
23
Other
88kt
1.2% Sweden
120kt
1.6%
Brazil
176kt
2.4%
South Africa
3,428kt
45.8%
FeCr Production by Country 2007(in thousands of tonnes)
FECR PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
2.4%
Zimbabwe
189kt
2.5%
Finland
242kt
3.2%
Russia
265kt
3.5%
India
775kt
10.4%
Kazakhstan
970kt
13.0%
China
1,232kt
16.5%
Source: Heinz Pariser (June 2008)
24
CHROME ORE USAGE
25
CHROME UNITS FIRST USE
26
Electronics and
appliance, 18%
Architecture, 9%
Water, 2%
Other, 17%
Stainless Steel Consumption by Sector (2007)(91% of Cr Ore consumed in Stainless Steel) Source: MBR
STAINLESS STEEL CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR
Chemical process , 16%
Automotive, 15%Food & Beverage, 13%
Energy, 10%
Architecture, 9%
27
STAINLESS STEEL MELTING PRODUCTION
28
Jisco (PRC owned) CMC Cometals (metals trader listed on NYSE))
Exclusive agency agreement with IFM for sales to Asia
Current guaranteed offtake of 120,000 tpa
Following expansion guaranteed offtake to increase to 300,000 tpa
Exclusive agency agreement for sales to Europe and Americas
Current guaranteed offtake of 50,000 tpa
Following expansion guaranteed offtake to double to 100,000 tpa
600
700
Offtake Agreements and FeCr Production Capacity
OFFTAKE AGREEMENTS
Jisco
JiscoCMC Cometals
CMC Cometals
Uncommitted Capacity
Uncommitted Capacity
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
Current (2 Furnaces) Expansion (5 Furnaces)
Pro
du
ctio
n C
ap
aci
ty (
kt)
29