2012 05 severn tidal power resource bill cooper, abp mer

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Severn Tidal Power Resource Bill Cooper Severn Estuary Forum, Bristol 11 September 2012 A personal, independent and objective view

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Page 1: 2012 05 Severn Tidal Power Resource  Bill Cooper, ABP mer

Severn Tidal Power Resource

Bill Cooper

Severn Estuary Forum, Bristol

11 September 2012

A personal, independent and objective view

Page 2: 2012 05 Severn Tidal Power Resource  Bill Cooper, ABP mer

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Contents

Defining a resource

Establishing a tidal resource

What creates the tidal resource

Harvesting the tidal resource

Major studies

Other resources

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Defining a resource

A natural resource is anything obtained from the environment to satisfy human needs and wants (Wikipedia)

Different types of resource with different values to different users

Local examples of natural resources include:

marine sands for aggregates, cooling waters for power stations, high natural dispersion for outfalls, Severn Bore for surfers, and many others

Energy generation from tidal power is a potential natural and sustainable resource

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Establishing a resource

Theoretical resource – unconstrained top-level estimate of the energy in

the system

Technical resource – the proportion of the theoretical resource that can be

exploited using available technology

Practical resource – the proportion of the technical resource after

consideration of other constraints

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UK Atlas of Marine

Renewable Energy

Theoretical resource

unconstrained top-level

estimate of the energy in

the system

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Establishing a tidal resource

Theoretical resource

Severn Estuary has a good theoretical resource because of:

Very large tidal range; and

Large tidal prism (i.e. the volume of water exchanged by the tide

between high water and low water).

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Establishing a tidal resource

Technical resource

Severn Estuary is most suited to tidal range options relying on low head hydropower generation (i.e. barrages and lagoons)

Form of estuary imposes some engineering constraints on locations

Estuary typically too shallow for present tidal stream technologies in large arrays (no convenient space)

Potential tidal stream opportunities further to the west in the Bristol Channel

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What creates the tidal resource

Large tidal range originates from the open setting of the Bristol Channelfacing a wide continental shelf out to the approaching North Atlantic tide

Distance approximates the resonant condition of a quarter wavelengthof the principal lunar semi-diurnal M2 tidal component

Shelf resonance creates a mean spring tidal range of around 5m for theOuter Bristol Channel

Thereafter, the funnel shaped estuary increases energy density leadingto a mean spring tidal range of around 12m at Avonmouth

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M2 tidal constituent

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Harvesting the tidal resource

Optimising energy capture:

Function of tidal head (range), tidal volume (prism), capacity to install multiple turbines

Maximum mean spring tidal range occurs around The Shoots at 12.3m, coincides with a minimum distance across estuary (4.1km), but lower tidal prism

Mean spring tidal range at Cardiff of 11m, larger distance across estuary (16.1km), but higher tidal prism

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Harvesting the tidal resource

Suggested generating potential:

The Shoots (English Stones), installed capacity of 1.05GW, generating 2.75 TWh per year, with load factor of 30%

Cardiff - Weston, installed capacity of 8.64GW, generating 17.00 TWh per year, with load factor of 22.5%

Conventional fossil fuel power stations operate at around 50% to 65% load factor, new nuclear may be around 90%

Offshore wind typically 35 to 45%

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Major estuary studies

First technical study of the estuary by Professor Gibson (1926 to 1933), based on a physical model

Economic Advisory Council later recommended English Stones scheme with secondary storage basin to increase load factor (to compete with coal power stations)

STPG studies (1984 to 1989) used numerical models, acquired improved primary data

Preferred Cardiff - Weston scheme

DECC Feasibility Study (2008 to 2009) based on improved models, updated engineering considerations, used existing data

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Gibson model

Focussed on the

upstream effects

of tow barrage options

physical model 45ft long

1 in 8,500 horizontal

scale

1 in 100 vertical scale

changed to 1 in 200 to

better represent slopes of

banks

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STPG models

Two models, but different

approach to offshore

boundaries

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DECC Feasibility Study

Two models, same grids

and offshore boundaries

considered both barrage

and lagoon options

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Changes upstream and downstream of any barrage a product of relative position, mode of operation and amount of energy extraction

Upstream changes in the impounded area, more focused and stepped physical change to the system, maximum tidal effects likely to be reduced to present neap tide conditions

Downstream changes unconfined, more dispersed effects over a wider area, but changes in tide also linked to resonant behaviour

Need an appropriate scaled study to consider both upstream and downstream issues

Key effects

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Other resource users

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Other resource users

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Other resource users

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Other resource users

© Paul Williams

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Thank you for you attention

Bill Cooper

[email protected]