2013 GENEVA

MOTOR SHOW

OICA PRESS

CONFERENCE

Patrick BLAIN – President

6 March, 2013

6 March, 20131

I. Vehicle production (1900 to 2012)

II. Vehicle production (2005 to 2012)

III. New vehicle sales (2005 to 2012)

OICA statistics

III. New vehicle sales (2005 to 2012)

IV. Production/sales ratios (2012)

V. 2013 sales forecasts by country

All data are “all vehicle”: PC, LCV, trucks…

6 March, 20132

40

50

60

70

80

90

Mill

ion

s

84.1 million

I. Vehicle production: global

2012/2011: +5% (+4.1 million)

0

10

20

30

40

1,900 1,904 1,908 1,912 1,916 1,920 1,924 1,928 1,932 1,936 1,940 1,944 1,948 1,952 1,956 1,960 1,964 1,968 1,972 1,976 1,980 1,984 1,988 1,992 1,996 2,000 2,004 2,008 2,012

A strong continuous growth with short crisis periods

6 March, 20133

America,

Asia-Oceania,43,7 in 2012

30

40

50

60

70

80

Mill

ion

s Africa,

0,6 in 2012

I. Vehicle production: volume by continent

Europe,19,8 in 2012

America,20 in 2012

0

10

20

30

1,900 1,904 1,908 1,912 1,916 1,920 1,924 1,928 1,932 1,936 1,940 1,944 1,948 1,952 1,956 1,960 1,964 1,968 1,972 1,976 1,980 1,984 1,988 1,992 1,996 2,000 2,004 2,008 2,012

Among the three continents, a dramatic growth in Asia

6 March, 20134

I. Vehicle production: growth by continent

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Mill

ion

s

0

5

10

15

1,900 1,904 1,908 1,912 1,916 1,920 1,924 1,928 1,932 1,936 1,940 1,944 1,948 1,952 1,956 1,960 1,964 1,968 1,972 1,976 1,980 1,984 1,988 1,992 1,996 2,000 2,004 2,008 2,012

America Europe Asia-Oceania Africa

Asian production is skyrocketing since 2000

6 March, 20135

I. Vehicle production: share by continent

America

Europe

Asia-Oceania

Africa

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

1,900 1,904 1,908 1,912 1,916 1,920 1,924 1,928 1,932 1,936 1,940 1,944 1,948 1,952 1,956 1,960 1,964 1,968 1,972 1,976 1,980 1,984 1,988 1,992 1,996 2,000 2,004 2,008 2,012

Asia now 51% of the world production, America is back on track

6 March, 20136

66,669,4

73,470,7

61,8

77,680,0

84,1

30

40

50

60

70

80

90Millions

II. Vehicle production: highlight 2005-2012

+10%

+8%

-16%

0

10

20

30

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

After the 2008 crisis, production restarted globally

6 March, 20137

5

10

15

20

25

30

35M

illio

ns2 011 2 012

+6%

II. Vehicle production: volume and growth by region

+17% +11%

+4%+5%

-8%

-2%

0

A world production growing, except in Europe and South-Central America

+5%

6 March, 20138

24%

22%

16% 17%

17%

34% 35%

4% 5% 5%

4% 4% 4%1% 1% 1%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

II. Vehicle production: split by region

28%22%

19%

17%19%

0%

10%

20%

30%

2005 2 011 2012

EU 27 NAFTA JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA ASIA/OCEANIA/MIDDLE EAST SOUTH/CENTRAL AMERICA RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE AFRICA

Dramatic changes between 2005 and 2011, now relatively stable situation

6 March, 20139

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20Millions

II. Vehicle production: top 15 countries

4,9%5,4%

6,7%

11,8%12,2%

22,8%

200517,7%

16%

8,5% 8,5%

5,5%

2012

0

2

4

6

0

2

4

6

1,4%

1,9%2,3%2,3%

2,6%2,9%

2,9%3,6%4%

4,9%5,4%5,5%5,3%

4,1%4%

3,7%2,7%2,5%2,4%2%

1,7%1,5%

A brand new world for production

6 March, 201310

III. New vehicle sales : growth by region

2012/2011 : +5%, +3.8 million

81,7

ASIA (exc. Japan&SK)OCEANIA

MIDDLE EAST

CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA

RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE

AFRICA

40

50

60

70

80

90

Million

UE 27/EFTA

NAFTA

JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA

0

10

20

30

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Growth by region: Europe is slowing while

the rest of the world is accelerating

6 March, 201311

31%

11%

7% 8%

20%

38% 38%

5%8% 7%

5% 5% 5%2% 2% 2%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

III. New vehicle sales : regions

28%20% 18%

20%21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

UE 27/EFTA NAFTA JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA ASIA (exc. Japan&SK)… CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE AFRICA

2005 2011 2012

Europe is slowing while the rest of the world is accelerating

6 March, 201312

23,6%

18,1%

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2012

26,7%

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2005

Million Million

III. New vehicle sales: top 10 countries

6,6%

4,7% 4,4% 4,2% 3,8%2,9% 2,9%

2,1%

0

2

4

6

8

CHINA USA JAPAN BRAZIL INDIAGERMANYRUSSIA UK FRANCECANADA

8,9% 8,8%

5,5%4,3% 4% 3,8%

3% 2,8% 2,6%

0

2

4

6

USA JAPAN CHINAGERMANY UK FRANCE ITALY SPAIN RUSSIA BRAZIL

Markets moved to emerging markets (with a still strong USA)

6 March, 201313

1 - CHINA50,8%

4 - SOUTH KOREA4%

5 - THAILAND3,6%

6 - INDONESIA2,9%

7 - AUSTRALIA2,9%

- IRAN2,6%

9 - SAUDI ARABIA1,8%

10 - MALAYSIA1.7%

-3%

+75%

+25%

+10%

-39%

+13%

+5%

2012

III. New vehicle sales: Asia/Oceania/Middle east

China: the

2 - JAPAN14,1%

3 - INDIA9,4%

+4%

+9%

+28%

-3%

China: the

largest

market in

Asia (and

the world)

6 March, 201314

IV. Production/sales ratios: region

17%

19%

35%

19%18%

38%

21%

2,1

1,10,9

0,9

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Prod/SalesRegion Share

4%5%

1%

8%

5%

7%

2%

0,90,8

0,7

0,4

0,0

0,5

0%

5%

10%

15%

JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA

UE 27/EFTA ASIA (exc. Japan&SK)OCEANIA

MIDDLE EAST

NAFTA RUSSIATURKEY

OTHER EUROPE

CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA

AFRICA

Prod 2012 Sales 2012 Prod/Sales Ratios

Biggest “Net exporter” profile as a region: Japan/South Korea

6 March, 201315

V. 2013 sales forecasts by country7%

6%

10

15

20M

illio

ns

COUNTRY 2012 2013 CHANGE

CHINA 19 306 400 20 650 000 7%

USA 14 785 936 15 700 000 6%

JAPAN 5 369 721 4 740 400 -12%

BRAZIL 3 802 071 3 950 000 4%

GERMANY 3 394 002 3 313 500 -2%

RUSSIA 3 141 551 3 291 500 5%

UK 2 333 763 2 308 200 -1%

FRANCE 2 331 731 2 208 000 -5%

SK* 1 410 857 1 400 000 -1%

INDONESIA 1 116 230 1 100 000 -1%

ARGENTINA 832 026 832 000 0%

TURKEY 817 620 818 500 0%

SOUTH AFRICA 623 921 685 000 10%

NETHERLANDS 571 893 537 000 -6%

SWITZERLAND 362 954 326 100 -10%

POLAND 328 532 316 300 -4%

SWEDEN 326 441 303 000 -7%

CZ 193 795 184 700 -5%

-12%

0

5 4%-2% 5%

-1% -5%-1%-1% 0% 0% 10%-6%-10%

-4%-7% -5% 0%-12%4%

NZ 100 795 100 767 0%

PORTUGAL 113 435 99 485 -12%

ROMANIA 87 505 91 010 4%

TOTAL 61 351 179 62 955 462 3%

Total World 81 739 096

% of total 75%

*imports not included

6 March, 201316

Thank you for

your attentionyour attention

www.oica.net

6 March, 201317