2013 international tourism results and prospects for 2014 · prospects for 2014 unwto news...

2013 International Tourism Results and Prospects for 2014

UNWTO News Conference HQ, Madrid, Spain20 January 2014

John G.C. KesterActing Director,

Tourism Market Trends Programme

Inbound tourism: World

International tourist arrivals, 1995-2013* (million)

530562 588 604 627

677 676 696 690

762807

853909 927

891949

9951035

1087

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*

International tourist arrivals (million)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (% change)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

+2.0% -3.9% +6.5% +4.9% +5.0%+4.0%

International tourism fourth strong year in a row

World Inbound Tourism: International Tourist Arrivals, 2013* (million)


Middle East, 52 mn, 5%

Africa, 56 mn, 5%

Americas, 169 mn, 16%

Asia and the Pacific, 248 mn,

23%

Europe, 563 mn, 52%

Absolute numbers 2013 by region

International Tourist Arrivals (absolute change 2013, million)


29

14

63

0.10

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Europe Asia and thePacific

Americas Africa Middle East

Increase 2013 by region

52 million additional arrivals

International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)


2

3

8

2

6

9

45

4

3

7

5

8

6

-5

4 4

76

4

10

45

4

1

4

2

65

0

4.05.0

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

WorldNorth

ern Euro

peWest

ern Euro

peCent

ral/East

ern Eu.

Souther

n/Medi

ter. Eu.

North-East

AsiaSout

h-East

AsiaOcea

niaSout

h Asia

North Americ

aCarib

bean

Central

America

South A

merica

North Afric

aSubs

aharan

Africa

Middle E

ast

12/11 13*/12

2013: South-East Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, Southern and Mediterranean Europe and North Africa led growth

International Tourism Arrivals and Receipts, World

-6

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

'90/89

'91/90

'92/91

'93/92

'94/93

'95/94

'96/95

'97/96

'98/97

'99/98

'00/99

'01/00

'02/01

'03/02

'04/03

'05/04

'06/05

'07/06

'08/07

'09/08

'10/09

'11/10

12*/1

1

% c

hang

e ov

er p

revi

ous

year

International tourist arrivalsInternational tourism receipts (local currencies, constant prices)

growth in receipts follows growth in arrivals closelyAsian financial and economic crisis: receipts grew slower

11S, SARS, economic downturn:receipts more affected

‘Great recession’:receipts more affected and slower to recover


International tourism receipts 2012:

US$ 1,079 billion euro 840 billion

(miles de millones)

International Tourism Expenditure (% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

China

United S

tatesGerm

any

United K

ingdom

Russian F

ederati

onFran

ceCanada Jap

anAust

ralia

Italy

Singapo

reBraz

ilBelg

iumNeth

erlands

Korea, R

epublic

of

Hong Kong

(China

)Norw

aySwede

nSpai

nSwitze

rland

IndiaMala

ysia

Taiwan

(pr. of

China)

2012 2013* ytd

Major outbound marketsEmerging markets remain hot in 2013

B

RC

Outlook

www.unwto.org/facts

UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World

Better

Equal

Worse


150 144 140 137 132

71

131 139122 125

138119

144 140 136 143

98

72

140127 121 129

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Prospects (before)Evaluation (after)

Confidence upbeat


International tourist arrivals

6.0 5.76.5

2.0

-3.9

6.54.9

4.05.0

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*

Forecast

2014: 4% to 4.5%

Outlook: World ch

ange

(%)

Projection 2014Actual data

+4.6%

+6.2%

+3.0%

+6.2%

+2.9%

+3.8%

Average 2005-2013

2013

World +5.0% +4% to +4½%

Europe +5.4% +3% to +4%

Asia and the Pacific +6.0% +5% to +6%

Americas +3.6% +3% to +4%

Africa +5.6% +4% to +6%

Middle East +0.3% +0% to +5%

International tourism: projection full year 2014


International Tourist Arrivals

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

millio

n

Trend 1995-2010Tourism Towards 2030 projectionActual 1995-2013*

1.4 bn

1,087 mn

1.8 bn

529 mn


Actual Trend vs. Tourism Towards 2030 projectionWorld

Thank you very much for your attention!

John G.C. KesterActing Director,

Tourism Market Trends Programme

World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)

www.unwto.org

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