2014 01 09 - santander 18th annual la ceo conference(1)
DESCRIPTION
sector aerolineasTRANSCRIPT
Santander 18th Annual Latin
American CEO Conference
Cancun, January 2014
2
This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company’s business
outlook and anticipated financial and operating results. These expectations are highly
dependent on the economy, the airline industry, commodity prices, international markets
and external events. Therefore, they are subject to change and we undertake no
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances that may arise after the date of this presentation. More information on the
risk factors that could affect our results are contained on our Form 20-F for the year
ended December 31, 2012.
Information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be used without consent
from LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
3
Contents
I. LATAM AIRLINES GROUP BUSINESS MODEL
II. BUSINESS UNITS
III. FINANCIAL RESULTS AND FLEET PLAN
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
4
Two South American carriers join forces to become the leading
airline group in the region
Launch of LAN
Argentina
Initiation of cargo
operation in
Colombia
Association agreement
between LAN and TAM
Acquisition of Aires in
Colombia
Launch of LAN
Ecuador
Creation of
LATAM Airlines
Group
2012
2010
2009
2003
2005
Launch of LAN
Peru
1999
Ladeco
acquisition
1997
Launch of Multiplus
Fidelidade
TAM lists on the NYSE1
2010
2009
2006
LAN
Privatization
1994
1976
Foundation
of TAM LAPSA
acquisition
1996
First international flight
Sao Paulo - Miami
1998
Start of services
to Europe
1999
1Following the merger with LAN, TAM is no longer listed on the NYSE
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
5
Leader in the South American airline space…
Key Strengths
7 Home markets1
(~90% of regional traffic)
~50% Market share intra-regional flights
Strong international alliances
Passenger-cargo mix
3x its next competitor in terms of revenues
>2x its next competitor in fleet size
Both LAN and TAM recognized for best service
in the region
Source: Company filings 1Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Chile, Argentina, Paraguay and Brazil
…a unique leadership position among global airlines
6
Top 12 airlines in passengers transported
Millions of passengers, LTM Jun-2013
Top 12 airlines in cargo tons-kilometers flown
Millions of RTK, LTM jun-2013
And one of the largest in the world
Source: company filings
10.244
10.100
8.759
8.742
7.980
6.546
5.827
5.112
4.732
4.570
4.523
4.394
192
164
139
109
103
89
80
78
76
75
67
60
Passenger and cargo players
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
7
1 RPKs to, from and within the continent, according to Boeing 2 Domestic and international trips by all carriers
Source: Boeing, IATA and LATAM estimates
Peru
Argentina
Colombia
Brazil
Chile
USA
UK
Mexico
Ecuador
The region with the highest airline growth potential
6.9%
6.3% 6.3%
5.7%
4.5% 4.2%
2.7%
LatinAmerica
MiddleEast
AsiaPacific
Africa CIS Europe NorthAmerica
World Average
4.0%
0.29
0.43
0.45
0.49
0.52
0.52
0.87
2.59
3.50
Trips per capita2 2012 Passenger Traffic Growth1 (RPKs CAGR 2012-2032)
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
8
Key Strength #1
Experienced management team with a solid track record
Enrique Cueto
19 years in the
Company
LATAM Airlines Group
CEO
Andrés Osorio
6 months in the
Company
Chief Financial
Officer
Ignacio Cueto
18 years in the
Company
LAN CEO
Marco A. Bologna
12 years in the
Company
TAM CEO
Roberto Alvo
12 years in the
Company
Chief Corporate
Officer
Emilio del Real
8 years in the
Company
Senior VP
Human Resources
Domestic SSC
Armando Valdivieso
LAN President
16 years in the Company
C A R G O
Cristián Ureta
LATAM Cargo President
15 years in the Company
International Passenger
Damian Scokin
Senior VP Int. Passenger
8 years in the Company
Domestic Brazil
Claudia Sender
TAM President
2 years in the Company
Roberto Medeiros
Multiplus CEO
Appointed Nov. 2013
Jerome Cadier
1 year in the
Company
Chief Marketing
Officer
Source: Company filings
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
9
Key Strength #2
Network
We are #1 in international flights
to and from Argentina
Guayaquil, Ecuador
Lima, Peru
Santiago, Chile
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Córdoba, Argentina São Paulo, Brazil Mendoza, Argentina
Miami, U.S.
Source: LATAM
Asunción, Paraguay
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Punta Cana,
Dominican Rep.
Existing routes
Routes to be added in 2014
Rosario, Argentina
ECUADOR
PERU
CHILE
ARGENTINA
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
10
Key Strength #3
Value creation potential from full realization of merger synergies
+
Passenger
Operations
Cargo
Operations
Cost
Synergies
Renegotiations of fuel contracts
have been completed in all airports
Joint negotiation of contracts with
different suppliers
Exchange of best practices within
the company
Reduction of duplicate functions in
the commercial structure
Standardization of the company's
product
Enhanced connectivity through
route optimization, cross selling
and code sharing intra LATAM’s
companies and partners
Sharing of best practices
Alignment of fare combinability
and commercial policies
Integration of international cargo
operations
Implementation of new
connection process in GRU and
GIG
Source: Company filings
Estimated annual EBITDA synergies of US$600-700mm at run-rate
11
LATAM’s Ownership Structure
LATAM’s Ownership
(January 9, 2014)
LATAM’s market capitalization (January 9, 2014) US$8.4 billion
Source: Company estimate
545,547,819 shares
12
Contents
I. LATAM AIRLINES GROUP BUSINESS MODEL
II. BUSINESS UNITS
III. FINANCIAL RESULTS AND FLEET PLAN
13
Our business units
International Passenger
39%
Domestic SSC 14%
Domestic Brazil 30%
Cargo 14%
Other 3%
Total revenues1
Total = US$13,339mm1
Source: Company filings
Note: “D” = Domestic 1 Includes passenger revenues, cargo revenues and other operating income, for the last twelve months ended September 2013. Breakdown is approximate 2 ASKs for the last twelve months ended September 2013 3 As of January 9, 2014. Source: Bloomberg
Passenger ASKs2
International
(Long Haul)
34%
Regional
17%
D. Brazil
34%
D. Chile 7%
D. Peru 3%
D. Argentina 3%
D. Colombia 2%
D. Ecuador
1%
11.9 million members
466 partner establishments
73% owned by LATAM
US$2.0 bn market cap3
14
International Passenger Business Unit
Source: Company filings, LATAM estimates 1 Information for the twelve months ended June 2013
Share of ASKs between
South America and U.S.
American 35%
LATAM 26%
United 13%
Delta 12%
Other 15%
Rationalize capacity on long haul routes
• 52% ASK reduction on routes from Rio de Janeiro
• 10% reduction in long-haul ASKs in Dec 2013E vs. Dec 2012
Strengthen Sao Paulo Hub at Guarulhos Airport
Replace TAM’s oldest Airbus A330 aircraft with Boeing 767s = lower CASK and improved product
Code share agreements between TAM and American Airlines
Share of ASKs between
South America and Europe
Air France-
KLM 22%
IAG 22%
LATAM 13%
Other 44%
International Passenger
24 destinations
129 aircraft
13.4 million passengers
US$5bn LTM revenues
Market position1
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
15
Long haul fleet: Efficiency
Fleet composition Efficiency
Net investment of ~US$3.7bn expected to provide a reduction of ~15% in CASK
2013 2018
A330 20 -
A340 5 -
B767 43 (-)
B787 5 (++)
A350 - (++)
B777 10 -
Total 83
B787 Cost per ASK is 12% lower than
B767
B777 freighter Cost per ATK is 17%
lower than B767
A350 Cost per ASK is 25% lower than
A330
Source: Company filings
Note: Fleet composition for 2013 as of year end
16
LATAM Hub at Sao Paulo Guarulhos Airport
GRU capacity (MM) 2013 2018
T1
PAX Capacity 12 17
Fingers 12 12
T2
PAX Capacity 13 13
Fingers 12 12
T3
PAX Capacity 0 14
Fingers 0 11 WB/ 22NB
T4
PAX Capacity 5 5
Fingers 0 0
GRU Capacity Expansion Plans
30 49
million PAX
+63%
increase
Source: Guarulhos Airport
Note: Capacity expansion information corresponds to the whole airport (not specific to LATAM hub)
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
17
Domestic Brazil Business Unit
Source: ANAC, Company filings
Domestic Brazil
42 destinations
109 aircraft
37 million passengers
US$4bn LTM revenues
3rd largest domestic market in the
world
Market position
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 9M 2013
TAM
Gol +
Webjet
Azul + Trip
Avianca
Others
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
18
Domestic Brazil Business Unit
Successful turnaround story
10.4% 12.2% 9.5%
(1.1)% (8.6)%
15% 18% 13%
03%
(3.7%)
66% 68%
69%
74%
80%
67% 69%
70% 73%
76%
2009 2010 2011 2012 11M13
+ 14 pp in Load Factor as
compared to 2009
ASK growth Load factor
TAM
Industry
TAM
Industry
Source: ANAC
Post-merger
19
Domestic SSC Passenger Business Unit
Source: Countries' civil aviation authorities
Note: Market share information as of December 2012. Destinations as of February 28, 2013
Ecuador
• 4 destinations
• 32% market share
Peru
• 12 destinations
• 64% market share
Colombia:
• 23 destinations
• 19% market share
Argentina:
• 14 destinations
• 33% market share
Chile
• 15 destinations
• 76% market share
Domestic Spanish Speaking
Countries
5 home markets
68 destinations
74 aircraft
18 million passengers
US$2bn LTM revenues
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
20
Short haul fleet: Renewal, growth and efficiency
Fleet composition Drivers of new investment
Renewal of aging fleet
Maintain average fleet age of ~7 years
Efficiency
Growth
~11 new aircraft needed every year from 2013-2018
for growth
2013 2018
Q200 7 -
Q400 2 -
B737 5 -
A318 - -
A319 52 (-)
A320 160 (+)
A321 10 (++)
Total 236
A320 neo Cost per ASK is 6% lower than A320
A321 Cost per ASK is 6% lower than A320
A321 neo Cost per ASK is 13% lower than A320
Source: Company filings
Note: Fleet composition for 2013 as of year end
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
21
Cargo Business Unit
Optimization of belly capacity as main focus and
reduction of freighter capacity
New sale and optimization opportunities in the
domestic Brazil business
Operational & cost efficiencies (LEAN methodology,
back office organization)
Cargo network optimization
Source: Customs reports 2012; LATAM 1 Information as of December 2012
69% 51%
29% 48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
LAN 2012 LATAM 2013
Freighter
Belly
Others
USA – Latin America Domestic Brazil
LATAM 38%
Other 62%
C A R G O
Cargo
144 destinations
15 freighters
US$2bn LTM revenues
Market position1
Cargo Revenues: Belly-Freighter Mix
LATAM 49%
Other 51%
22
Contents
I. LATAM AIRLINES GROUP BUSINESS MODEL
II. BUSINESS UNITS
III. FINANCIAL RESULTS
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
23
Financial results evolution
9,752 9,869
9M12(pro-forma)
9M13
Operating Revenues1 (US$mm)
1,116
1,514
9M12(pro-forma)
9M13
11.4%
15.3%
+3.9pp
Adjusted EBITDAR
Margin
Source: Company filings 1 Includes passenger revenues, cargo revenues and other operating income
Adjusted EBITDAR (US$mm)
24
LATAM Airlines Group Operations 2013
53,957
35,483
14,446
55,274
35,193
15,999
Inter D. Brazil SSC
82%
74% 79%
82% 80% 79%
Inter D. Brazil SSC
65,628
48,211
18,348
67,162
44,164
20,365
Inter D. Brazil SSC
2012 2013
+2.3% (8.4%) +11.0% +2.4% (0.8%) +10.7% +0.1pp +6.1pp (0.2pp)
Pax Load Factor Pax Traffic (million RPK) Pax Capacity (million ASK)
7,646 7,652
Cargo Load Factor Cargo Traffic (million RTK) Cargo Capacity (million ATK)
0.1% (0.5%) (0.3pp)
4,488 4,467 59% 58%
25
LATAM operating exposure dominated by BRL
4.0 3.9
2.4 2.1
4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13
Balance sheet exposure reduced by:
Moving aircraft and related debt from TAM
to LATAM balance sheet
Reducing TAM’s debt in USD
LATAM FX rate composition (%)
57% 67%
30% 24%
13% 9%
100% 100%
Revenue Cost
USD
BRL
Others
Gap between revenues and cost in BRL of 6pp
Financial hedge of US$500mm covering 2014 BRL
exposure at an average annual rate of BRL 2.30
per USD
Balance sheet exposure Operating exposure
Balance sheet exposure (US$bn)
Source: Company filings
26
We are committed to returning to investment grade metrics
Total debt by type (3Q13) Main Financial Ratios
US$mm Dec. 2012 Sep. 2013
Total debt 9,760 10,264
Cash & equiv. 1,120 1,762
Cash & equiv. as % LTM revenues 8.5% 13.2%
Net debt 8,639 8,502
Adjusted net debt1 11,608 11,529
Adj. net debt / LTM Adj. EBITDAR 7.3x 5.8x
Source: Company filings. Note: 2012 ratios based on 2012 pro-forma adjusted EBITDAR 1 Adjusted to include capitalized aircraft leases (7.0x annual lease expense). Unadjusted gross debt as of Sep. 2013 is equal to US$10,263mm. Figures do not consider US$450mm of
securitized notes issued on November 7, 2013 2 Based on current debt profile. Short term debt payments maturities are shown as of September 2013. Figures do not consider US$450mm of securitized notes issued on November 7, 2013 3 TAM debt payments are included from the date of the merger
Debt amortization schedule2 (US$mm)
LAN Aircraft Debt 51%
TAM Aircraft Debt 17%
TAM Bond 11%
Debentures 2%
Bank Loans 19%
Total Adjusted Gross Debt: US$13,291mm1
745
1,122 832 810
63
111 535
66 24
224
2012 2013 2014 2015
Aircraft Loans Bank Loans Public Obligations
1,458 1,368
876 832
3
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
27
LATAM’s fleet plan: Focus on fleet renewal
232 236 237 242
79 83 75 73
16 15 15 14 327 334 327 329
2012 2013 2014 2015
Narrow Body Wide Body Freighters
Total aircraft at the end of the year
Fleet commitments 1.95 1.17 1.89
US$bn
+26 aircraft
-19 aircraft
+19 aircraft
-26 aircraft
+28 aircraft
-26 aircraft
Source: Company filings
002
057
121
212
052
052
056
131
175
051
146
073
212
153
065
251
207
043
146
148
151
Co
lor sch
eme
28
2013-2014 Guidance
0% / 2%
2% / 4%
(7%) / (9%)
12% / 14%
ASK growth (passenger)
• Total network
• International (Long Haul & Regional)
• Brazil Domestic
• SSC Domestic
2013 2014
0% / 2% ATK growth (cargo)
~5% +/- 0.2pp Operating margin
Assumptions
2.28 (4Q13) Average exchange rate
(BRL/USD)
122 (4Q13) Jet fuel price (US$ per
barrel)
(1%) / 1%
(2%) / 0%
0%
6% / 8%
(2%) / 0%
6% /8%
2.40
120