2014 credit suisse energy summit · 2017. 5. 4. · england davy jones blackbeard area lomond north...
TRANSCRIPT
2014 Credit Suisse Energy Summit February 2014
Forward Looking Statement Cautionary Statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements in which Freeport-McMoRan Oil & Gas (FM O&G) discusses its potential future performance. Forward-looking statements are all statements other than statements of historical facts, such as those statements regarding projections or expectations relating to production, reserve estimates, cash production costs per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE), operating cash flows, cash margin and cash flow estimates, capital expenditures, exploration efforts and results, development and production activities and costs, the impact of oil and gas price changes, and the impact of derivative positions. The words “anticipates,” “may,” “can,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “expects,” “projects,” “intends,” “likely,” “will,” “should,” “to be,” and any similar expressions are intended to identify those assertions as forward-looking statements.
FM O&G cautions readers that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance or exploration and development success, and its actual exploration experience and future financial results may differ materially from those anticipated, projected or assumed in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that can cause FM O&G’s actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements include variations in the market demand for, and prices of, oil and gas, drilling results and production rates, changes in oil and gas reserve expectations, unanticipated hazards for which we have limited or no insurance coverage, adverse conditions, such as high temperatures and pressure that could lead to mechanical failures or increased costs, the ability to retain current or future lease acreage rights, production rates, industry risks, regulatory changes, political risks, weather- and climate-related risks, environmental risks, as well as other general oil and gas exploration and development risks and hazards, and other factors described in more detail under the heading “Risk Factors” in Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.’s (FCX) Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), as updated by FCX’s subsequent filings with the SEC.
Investors are cautioned that many of the assumptions on which FM O&G’s forward-looking statements are based are likely to change after its forward-looking statements are made, including for example the market prices of oil and natural gas, which FM O&G cannot control, and production volumes and costs, some aspects of which FM O&G may or may not be able to control. Further, FM O&G may make changes to its business plans that could or will affect its results. FM O&G cautions investors that it does not intend to update forward-looking statements more frequently than quarterly notwithstanding any changes in FM O&G’s assumptions, changes in business plans, actual experience or other changes, and FM O&G undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
The SEC requires oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. Beginning with year-end reserves for 2009, the SEC also permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose probable and possible reserves, as such terms are defined by the SEC. We use certain phrases and terms in this presentation, such as "net resource potential” which the SEC's guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. “Net resource potential” does not take into account the certainty of resource recovery, which is contingent on exploration success, technical improvements in drilling access, commerciality and other factors, and is therefore not indicative of expected future resource recovery and should not be relied upon.
This presentation contains certain financial measures such as operating cash margin, which is commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry but not recognized under GAAP. As required by SEC Regulation G, reconciliations of this measure to amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements are included in the Addendum to this presentation.
2
Oil & Gas Portfolio
3
Madden
Haynesville
Gulf of Mexico
San Joaquin Valley
Arroyo Grande
Santa Maria Basin
Los Angeles Basin
Eagle Ford
California • 430 MMBOE total resource potential
• 188 MMBOE proved reserves
• 2,000+ future locations
• Brent based pricing
Eagle Ford • 116 MMBOE total resource potential
• 59 MMBOE proved reserves
• 53,000 net acres
• 250+ future locations
• LLS pricing
Gulf of Mexico • 5,898 MMBOE total resource potential
• 171 MMBOE proved reserves
• 175+ future locations
• HLS pricing
Madden • 169 BCFE total resource potential
• 107 BCFE proved reserves
• 30+ future locations
• NYMEX pricing
Haynesville • 5,200 BCFE total resource potential
• 158 BCFE proved reserves
• 11,000+ future locations
• NYMEX pricing
Morocco • 3,337 MMBOE total resource
potential
• Brent pricing
Morocco
Algeria GALP
Genel
Genel
Kosmos, BP
Chevron
FM O&G
Cairn
Cairn, Genel
Mazagan Permit Area
Agadir
Chariot
Africa
Chevron
Kosmos, BP
Kosmos, BP
Note: SEC end of year 2013 proved reserves. Total resource potential includes unrisked proved, probable, possible, development and exploration and is based on $100 Brent based oil pricing, and natural gas pricing of $4.50/MMBtu in 2014, $5.50/MMBtu in 2015 and beyond.
Strong Operating Performance
- 40% Increase in pro forma production volumes compared to prior year
- 125% Increase in pro forma cash flow compared to prior year
Advanced Important Projects for Profitable Future Growth
- Lucius deepwater GOM Development nearing first production in 2H 2014
- Holstein platform rig activated and recently commenced drilling operations
- New growth opportunities in deepwater GOM identified
- Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous Opportunity on GOM Shelf and Onshore South Louisiana
- Lomond North discovery announced
- Record oil production from the Eagle Ford Shale with reduced rig count
2013 Year in Review Focused on Execution
4
A Strong & Focused Organization
5
Key Strengths
Strong Management of the Base Production
- Offshore GOM (2)
- California
˗ Eagle Ford
Effective Capital Management
- Focus on oil & gas cash operating margins
- Manage production/investment to maximize cash flow
Return Driven Growth
- Concentrate on high return projects including offshore redevelopment from existing infrastructure and development drilling onshore
- Exploration focused on high impact projects to drive future returns
2013 MBOE/D(1)
72
39
46
2013 Cash Operating Margins(1)
$70
$62
$67
(1) Cash operating margin reflects realized revenues less cash production costs for the 7 months ended December 31, 2013. Refer to slide 27 of the addendum. (2) Includes properties on the Shelf and in the Deepwater GOM.
Operational Plan
6
$2,500 $3,000
$3,500$4,000 $4,100 $4,400 $4,500 $4,700
$0
$800
$1,600
$2,400
$3,200
$4,000
$4,800
$5,600
$6,400
$7,200
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
PF2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
MB
OE
/D
Net Production
MM
$
Oil & Gas Cash Operating Margin
(1)(2)
CAPEX
Cash Operating Margin Plan(2) Production Cash Operating Margin 2013 Actual(3)
(1) Oil and Gas revenues minus cash production costs. (2) Assumes $105.00/Bbl Brent based oil pricing in 2014 and $100.00/Bbl in 2015 and beyond. Natural gas pricing of $3.50/MMBtu in 2014, $4.50/MMBtu in 2015
and beyond. (3) Actual prices of $108.68/Bbl Brent and $3.66/MMBtu natural gas.
2013 Results Significantly
Exceeded Plan
Base Oil Producing Assets
7
California
Los Angeles
Basin
San Joaquin Valley
Arroyo Grande
Pt Pedernales
Pt Arguello
38,900 BOE/D 4Q 2013 Production
2,000+ Future Locations Brent Based Pricing
Eagle Ford Eagle Ford Horizontal Oil Play
• PXP acreage position
▪ 74,000 gross / 46,000 net
• 4 to 6 rigs operating by YE
• 16 wells drilled to date, 21 by YE
• 10 wells waiting on completion
• Primarily Karnes County
• Hydrocarbon Phase
▪ Oil and Gas Condensate Windows
• Depth to Eagle Ford Top
▪ ~10,500' - 11,000' TVD
• Lateral Length
▪ ~4,000'
• Shale Thickness
▪ ~105" to 120"
M
E
X
IC
O
T E X A S
GU
LF
OF
M
EX
ICO
Walker
San Jacinto
Val VerdeHarris
Sutton Kimble
LeeTravis
Milam
Llano
Burnet
Mason
Gillespie
Grimes
Matagorda
Williamson
Fort Bend
Brazos
Waller
Burleson
Webb
Duval
Frio
Kerr
Edwards
Starr
Bee
Uvalde
Bexar
Hidalgo
Zavala
Kinney Medina
Dimmit
La Salle
Kenedy
Real
Zapata
Maverick
Lavaca
Goliad
Atascosa
Hays
Brooks
Fayette
Wharton
De Witt
Live Oak
Wilson
Victoria
McMullen
Bastrop
Jim Hogg
Gonzales
Nueces
Colorado
Karnes
Kleberg
Blanco
Bandera
Austin
Jackson
Refugio
Cameron
Comal
Jim Wells
Kendall
Willacy
Guadalupe
Caldwell
San Patricio
Washington
Calhoun
Aransas
Location Map
KARNES
ATASCOSA
Legend
PXP ACREAGE
OIL WINDOW
GAS CONDENSATEWINDOW
21
WILSON
ATASCOSA
Legend
FM O&G ACREAGE
OIL WINDOW
GAS CONDENSATE
WINDOW DRY GAS WINDOW
48,200 BOE/D 4Q 2013 Production
250+ Future Locations LLS Pricing
Gulf of Mexico Texas Louisiana
72,800 BOE/D 4Q 2013 Production
HLS Pricing
FM O&G Producing Area
Per BOE Cash Operating Margin Strength by Area 4Q 2013
Cash Production Costs $12
Cash Production Costs $35
Cash Production Costs $11
Deepwater GOM California Eagle Ford
Cash Operating Margin
$64
Cash Operating Margin
$75
Cash Operating Margin
$54
Note: Cash production costs include lease operating expenses, production and ad valorem taxes, steam gas costs, and gathering and transportation expenses. Cash operating margin reflects realized revenues less cash production costs. Refer to slide 28 of the addendum. 8
9
Cash Operating Margin Leader Quarter Ending September 30, 2013
Note: Sources: public filings, Barclays. Companies referenced in this chart: Apache, Anadarko, Chesapeake, Chevron, ConocoPhillips,
Devon, EOG, Exxon, Marathon and Occidental.
Cash operating margin per barrel of oil equivalent, a non-GAAP measure, is defined and reconciled to the most comparable GAAP
measure, gross profit, included in the Addendum. FM O&G does not make any representations as to the accuracy of the information
used to make the calculations on the conformity of this measure with those that may be presented by the respective companies, and
does not undertake to provide GAAP reconciliation with respect to any non-GAAP financial measure that may be included in such
information. Refer to slide 29 of the addendum.
$/BOE
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
FM O&G
Dynamic Production Growth
10
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Operating Development Exploration
Green Canyon Area Inboard Lower
Tertiary/Cretaceous
Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous
Keathley Canyon Lower Tertiary Mississippi
Canyon Area Green Canyon Area Keathley Canyon
Pliocene-Miocene
MB
OE/
D
Keathley Canyon Pliocene-Miocene Mississippi
Canyon Area Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous
Exploration/Development Growth Areas
11
Louisiana
Garden Banks
Keathley Canyon
Walker Ridge Lund
Atwater Valley
Mississippi Canyon
Viosca
Knoll
Mississippi Canyon Area
Green Canyon
2
3
1
4
Green Canyon Area
Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous
Keathley Canyon Pliocene-Miocene
5
Morocco
Africa
Morocco
Texas Louisiana
Lineham Creek
Exploration
Development Assets
Inboard Lower Tertiary/ Cretaceous
England Davy Jones
Blackbeard Area
Lomond North
Lafitte
Approximately 15 identified exploration and development projects
Spud dates starting May 2014 with net resource potential for the initial program of 1.9 Billion BOE
The Lomond North discovery well is currently in completion operations to test Lower Wilcox and Cretaceous objectives found below the salt weld. The Lineham Creek discovery well located in Cameron Parish was drilled to 24,600 feet and has been suspended while future plans are being developed. Completion operations are also underway at Davy Jones #2 well located on South Marsh Island Block 234, and in addition we plan to complete the Blackbeard West #2 well located on Ship Shoal Block 188 in 2014
1
12
Drilling activities to date have successfully confirmed geologic model and have indicated the potential for a major new geologic trend spanning 200 miles in the shallow waters of the GOM and onshore in the Gulf Coast area.
Conceptual Model Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous
13
Recognized as Industry Leader in This New Exploration Frontier
Highlander Discovery – Cretaceous Tuscaloosa
14
Gross Pay
Economics: 20 – 30% ROR .5 - 1.0 $B Net PV10% $5/mcf - $6/mcf
Lomond North Discovery FM O&G
Jeanerette Minerals #1
Proposed Lomond NE
Lomond North Discovery LOUISIANA
South
Marsh
Island
Tuscaloosa Trend Cumulative Production 3.1 TCF, 121 mmbc
Cretaceous Tuscaloosa Discoveries
Lomond North
Davy Jones
Cretaceous Tuscaloosa
Trend
3.0 TCF Gross Resource Potential
Highlander Discovery – Cretaceous Tuscaloosa
15 Gross Pay
Judge Digby Field Type Log
Lomond North Discovery FM O&G
Jeanerette Minerals #1
Tusc 2
Tusc 3
Tusc 1
Proposed Lomond NE
Lomond North Discovery LOUISIANA
South
Marsh
Island
Tuscaloosa Trend Cumulative Production 3.1 TCF, 121 mmbc
Cretaceous Tuscaloosa Discoveries
Lomond North
Davy Jones
Cretaceous Tuscaloosa
Trend
3.0 TCF Gross Resource Potential
FM O&G Operated
FM O&G Non-Op
Development Tieback PHOBOS
LUCIUS
HOLSTEIN DEEP
COPPER
Texas Louisiana
Exploration Prospect
Holstein (100% WI)
Tara (100% WI)
Marlin (100% WI)
• Field Will be Shut-in for Planned Platform Maintenance and Subsea Tieback Upgrades in 3Q14
• Development Drilling of Subsea Tieback Opportunities Planned in 2H 2015
• Updip Tests of Current Producers
Horn Mountain (100% WI)
• Production Facilities Capable of Handling Over 100,000 BOED
• Platform Rig Refurbishment Began in 2H 2013; Drilling Activity Underway
• 7 Platform Sidetracks Planned in Coming Years
• Subsea Tiebacks Planned with Contracted Drill Ships
− Holstein Deep (Delineate Discovery)
− Copper (Holstein Analog)
• Lucius analog prospect with Pliocene/ Miocene objectives
• Located in 8,700’ of water in Keathley Canyon
• Northwest of Lucius Discovery
• PTD of 23,000’
Deepwater Gulf of Mexico Update
16
VK0868 VK0869 VK0870 VK0871 VK0872 VK0873
VK0912 VK0913 VK0914 VK0915 VK0916 VK0916
VK0956 VK0957 VK0958 VK0959 VK0960 VK0961
VK1000 VK1001 VK1002 VK1003 VK1004 Vk1005
38 39 40 41 0001 0002
82 83 84 85 0045 0046
126 127 128 129 0089 0090
170 171 172 173 0133 0134
Mississippi Canyon Area
Dorado
9 MMBOE
King 102
MMBOE
Platinum 32 MMBOE
Horn Mountain
120 MMBOE
Exploration
Development Assets
Ram Powell
Marlin 19 identified exploration and
development projects targeting stacked, high quality Miocene reservoir sands
263 MMBOE net resource potential
Horn Mountain hub volumes expected to reach ~60 MBOE/D in 2H 2018
Marlin hub volumes expected to approach 60 MBOE/D by late 2018
17
2
18
King Field Composite Type Log
Mississippi Canyon King M63
Prop D3ST
M63 Sand Attic
Prop M63 #1
NW Fault Block
Prop M63 #1ST1
D3
M63 Sand Producer A
A’
Prop #3
Prop #2
Prop D9
80 MMBOE Net Resource Potential
19
Mississippi Canyon Horn Mountain Deep
126 127
MC 127 HM Deep OH
MC 127 HM Deep Up-dip S/T
Deeper pool test below proven J&M
Sand field pays targeting the M56 Sand
which has been found productive in
several nearby exploration prospects
Large structural closure with numerous
offset opportunities
Horn Mountain
Composite Type Log 47 MMBOE Net Resource Potential
598 599 600 601 602 603
642 643 644 645 646 647
686 687 688 689 690 691
730 731 732 733 734 735
818 819 820 821 822 823
862 863 864 865 866 867
Tungsten
Holstein
Holstein Deep
Copper 137 MMBOE
106 MMBOE
25 MMBOE 65
MMBOE
Green Canyon Area
20
Silver Fox
Exploration
Development Assets
51 MMBOE
14 identified exploration and development projects targeting highly productive Miocene and Wilcox sands
972 MMBOE net resource potential
Holstein hub volumes expected to reach 40 MBOE/D in 2H 2016
3
588 MMBOE
Green Canyon Holstein Deep Development Miocene Type Log
GC 643
OCS-G 16772 #1 & 1ST2
Proposed Wells
Oil
21
86 MMBOE Net Resource Potential
Keathley Canyon Area Pliocene Miocene
Lucius
Tara
Phobos
Diana
Hoover Keathley Canyon
East Breaks
Alaminos Canyon
Garden Banks
Sigsbee Escarpment Exploration
Development Assets
Non-Op Producing Assets
1 identified development project and 4 identified exploration projects targeting highly productive Pliocene and Miocene sands
Lucius, the development project is currently in completion
Spud dates for the 4 identified exploration projects starting April 2014
1.6 Billion BOE net resource potential
4
22
Lucius 1
Lucius 2
Lucius 3
919 Lucius 5
Lucius 6
Planned Producer Gas Oil
Keathley Canyon Lucius Development
23
Lucius 4 Miocene
Completion Miocene
Pliocene
82 MMBOE Net Resource Potential
Morocco Miocene and Cretaceous Exploration
Approximately 8 identified exploration projects
Spud dates starting January 2015
Net resource potential of 1,728 MMBOE for the first 3 prospects (Toubkal, Jbel Musa and Amtoudi)
5
24
Freeport-McMoRan Oil & Gas Today
25
High Value Production With Superior Margins
+ High Impact Development Projects Directed Around
Producing Assets
+ Emerging Exploration From Inboard Lower
Tertiary/Cretaceous, International and Deepwater Gulf of Mexico
= High Growth Oil Production with
Industry Leading Margins
Addendum
26
27
Reconciliation of Cash Operating Margin (Non-GAAP) to Gross Profit (GAAP)
The following table reconciles cash operating margin, a non-GAAP measure, to Gross Profit (GAAP) for the seven months ended December 31, 2013. Management believes this presentation may be useful to investors. FM O&G management uses this information for comparative purposes within the industry and as a means to measure operating performance by our oil and gas production and the ability to fund, among other things, corporate items, capital expenditures and acquisitions. This measure is not intended to replace the GAAP statistic but rather to provide additional information that may be helpful in evaluating FM O&G’s operational trends and performances. Cash operating margin for our oil and gas operations reflects realized revenues less cash production costs. Realized revenues exclude unrealized gains (losses) on derivative contracts and cash production costs exclude accretion and other costs.
Seven Months Ended December 31, 2013
(In Millions)
Total
Oil & Gas
Oil and gas revenues before derivatives $ 2,949
Realized (losses) gains on derivative contracts (22)
Realized revenues 2,927
Less: cash production costs 653
Cash operating margin 2,274
Less: depreciation, depletion and amortization 1,364
Less: accretion and other costs 29
Plus: unrealized losses on derivative contracts (312)
Plus: other net adjustments 1
Gross profit $ 570
Per BOE
Oil and gas revenues before derivatives $ 77.45
Realized (losses) gains on derivative contracts (0.58)
Realized revenues 76.87
Less: cash production costs 17.14
Cash operating margin 59.73
Less: depreciation, depletion and amortization 35.81
Less: accretion and other costs 0.79
Plus: unrealized losses on derivative contracts (8.20)
Plus: other net adjustments 0.04
Gross profit $ 14.97
MMBOE
Revenues
(in millions)
Average Realized Price
per BOE
Cash Production
Costs
(in millions)
Cash Production
Costs
per BOE
Offshore GOM 15.3 $ 1,284 $ 84.00 $ 213 $ 13.94
Eagle Ford 9.9 783 78.87 119 11.97
California 8.3 779 93.95 268 32.33
Haynesville/Madden/Other 4.6 103 22.47 53 11.46
38.1 $ 2,949 77.45 $ 653 17.14
28
Reconciliation of Cash Operating Margin (Non-GAAP) to Gross Profit (GAAP)
The following table reconciles cash operating margin, a non-GAAP measure, to Gross Profit (GAAP) for the three months ended December 31, 2013. Management believes this presentation may be useful to investors. FM O&G management uses this information for comparative purposes within the industry and as a means to measure operating performance by our oil and gas production and the ability to fund, among other things, corporate items, capital expenditures and acquisitions. This measure is not intended to replace the GAAP statistic but rather to provide additional information that may be helpful in evaluating FM O&G’s operational trends and performances. Cash operating margin for our oil and gas operations reflects realized revenues less cash production costs. Realized revenues exclude unrealized gains (losses) on derivative contracts and cash production costs exclude accretion and other costs.
Three Months Ended December 31, 2013
(In Millions)
Total
Oil & Gas
Oil and gas revenues before derivatives $ 1,233
Realized (losses) gains on derivative contracts (11)
Realized revenues 1,222
Less: cash production costs 293
Cash operating margin 929
Less: depreciation, depletion and amortization 632
Less: accretion and other costs 12
Plus: unrealized losses on derivative contracts (118)
Plus: other net adjustments -
Gross profit $ 167
Per BOE
Oil and gas revenues before derivatives $ 74.27
Realized (losses) gains on derivative contracts (0.69)
Realized revenues 73.58
Less: cash production costs 17.63
Cash operating margin 55.95
Less: depreciation, depletion and amortization 38.06
Less: accretion and other costs 0.78
Plus: unrealized losses on derivative contracts (7.12)
Plus: other net adjustments 0.04
Gross profit $ 10.03
MMBOE
Revenues
(in millions)
Average Realized Price
per BOE
Cash Production
Costs
(in millions)
Cash Production
Costs
per BOE
Deepwater GOM 5.6 $ 485 $ 86.61 $ 68 $ 12.14
Eagle Ford 4.4 333 75.05 51 11.42
California 3.6 318 88.96 124 34.87
Haynesville/Madden/Other 3.0 97 32.33 50 16.67
16.6 $ 1,233 74.27 $ 293 17.63
29
Reconciliation of Cash Operating Margin (Non-GAAP) to Gross Profit (GAAP)
The following table reconciles cash operating margin, a non-GAAP measure, to Gross Profit (GAAP) for the three months ended September 30, 2013. Management believes this presentation may be useful to investors. FM O&G management uses this information for comparative purposes within the industry and as a means to measure operating performance by our oil and gas production and the ability to fund, among other things, corporate items, capital expenditures and acquisitions. This measure is not intended to replace the GAAP statistic but rather to provide additional information that may be helpful in evaluating FM O&G’s operational trends and performances. Cash operating margin for our oil and gas operations reflects realized revenues less cash production costs. Realized revenues exclude unrealized gains (losses) on derivative contracts and cash production costs exclude accretion and other costs.
Three Months Ended September 30, 2013
(In Millions)
Total
Oil & Gas
Oil and gas revenues before derivatives $ 1,345
Realized losses on derivative contracts (12)
Realized revenues 1,333
Less: cash production costs 277
Cash operating margin 1,056
Less: depreciation, depletion and amortization 563
Less: accretion and other costs 11
Unrealized losses on derivative contracts (158)
Other net adjustments 1
Gross profit $ 325
Per BOE
Oil and gas revenues before derivatives $ 81.67
Realized losses on derivative contracts (0.74)
Realized revenues 80.93
Less: cash production costs 16.80
Cash operating margin 64.13
Less: depreciation, depletion and amortization 34.15
Less: accretion and other costs 0.70
Unrealized losses on derivative contracts (9.58)
Other net adjustments 0.06
Gross profit $ 19.76