2015-16 projections summary
TRANSCRIPT
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Photos by Susie Fitzhugh
2015-16 May Enrollment Projections
(Post-Open Enrollment)
May 29, 2015
Brent Kroon, Interim Director of Enrollment Planning
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Seattle Public Schools Enrollment
2
4 6 , 4 1 6
4 6 ,2 0 0
4 5 , 6 5 4
4 5 ,2 6 2
4 5 , 5
7 4
4 5 , 9 4
4
4 7 , 0 0 8
4 8 , 4 9 6
4 9 , 8 6 4
5 1 , 0 1 0
5 1 , 9 8 8
53,074
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
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Growth Rate
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3.1%
2.7%
2.2%
1.9%
2.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
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2015-16 Projections
Grade(s)2013-14
Official
2014-15
Official
2015-16
Initial (Feb)
Projections
2015-16
Updated (May)
Projections
Change*
from
2014-15
K 4,893 4,913 5,006 4,833 -80
1-5 22,105 22,613 23,216 23,238 +625
6-8 10,448 10,676 10,921 10,970 +294
9-12 13,564 13,786 14,054 14,033 +247
Total 51,010 51,988 53,197 53,074 +1,086
Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day.
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Enrollment by Grade
1 4 , 4 3 1 1
0 ,1 1 1
1 4 , 4 3 1
4 , 6 1 5
2 0
, 3 4 3
9 , 9 8
6
1 3 , 5 5 2
5 , 0 1 5
2 1 , 0
7 0
1 0 ,1 3 5
1 3 , 6 4 4
4 , 8 9 3
2 2 ,1 0
5
1 0 , 4 4
8
1 3 , 5 6 4
4 , 9 1 3
2 2 , 6 1 3
1 0 , 6 7
6
1 3 , 7 8 6
4,833
23,238
10,970
14,033
K 1-5 6-8 9-12
2004-05 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16*
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259
332
208
37
170
3.0% 2.6% 2.1% 0.4% 1.8%
NE NW CE SE SW
2015-16 * Regional Growth
6Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day.
http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdf
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Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 7
http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdfhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdfhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdfhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdf
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Every Student. Every Classroom. Every Day. 8
http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdfhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdfhttp://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_3/ProjectionRates_20150217_1013_AVG.pdf
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Schools with Significant Count
Changes in 2015-16 *
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Jane Addams MS +155 Dunlap -59
Hamilton Intl. +112 Washington -51
Garfield +108 Chief Sealth Intl. -38
Lowell +87 Franklin -36
K-8 STEM at
Boren+75 Greenwood -33
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• Approximately 50% of all schools will be at orwithin 5% of right-size capacity
• Nearly all option schools will be at or close to
capacity – Option schools with higher availability: Licton
Springs, The Center School, Cleveland, Nova
•
High Schools at or near capacity: Ballard, ChiefSealth Intl., Franklin, Garfield, Ingraham,Roosevelt
Capacity
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• Projected 1,086 student growth
• 2.0% increase from 2014-15
•
K projection revised downward (-173)• Middle Schools revised slightly upward
• Capacity will continue to be a challenge at
many schools
Summary
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• Enrollment Planning will review data following
year end transition in August
• Actual counts occur October 1
Next Steps
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• (206) 252-0630
Questions
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Seattle Public Schools:
Every Student. EveryClassroom. Every Day.
.