2016 florida youth substance abuse survey · 2016 florida youth substance abuse survey october 4,...
TRANSCRIPT
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2016FLORIDA YOUTHSUBSTANCE ABUSE SURVEY
October 4, 2016
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Presentation Outline
1. Methodology
2. ATOD prevalence rate comparisons
3. Three key findings from the2002-2016 FYSAS
4. ATOD trend summary
5. Special FYSAS topics2
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Methodology Survey administration: February of 2016
Sampling strategy: schools were selected to generatestatistically representative state-level and county-levelestimates
Students surveyed in all 67 Florida counties
Final sample size was 65,776 across grades 6 through12
The margin of error is less than 1.0 percentage pointfor M.S. and H.S. prevalence rates
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Survey Validation
ATOD exaggeration—1,085
Antisocial behavior exaggeration—500
Inconsistency—1,249
Fictitious drug—1,756
No response for more than 75% of the surveyquestions—1,100
3,391 respondents (4.9%) identified and eliminated byone or more of five validation tests:
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ATOD Prevalence RateComparisons
Lifetime prevalence—one or moreuses in student’s lifetime Indicates percentage of students who have
tried or experimented
Past-30-day prevalence—one or moreuses in past 30 days Indicates percentage of students who are
current users
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Lifetime PrevalenceMiddle School
21.814.6
8.0 7.0 6.4 3.3 3.2 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.40%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
6
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Lifetime PrevalenceHigh School
51.4
33.9 31.7
18.5 15.9
6.5 5.8 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.40%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
7
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Past-30-Day PrevalenceMiddle School
8.3 5.1 3.2 3.2 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.10%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
8 Past Two Weeks
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Past-30-Day PrevalenceHigh School
25.517.0
12.8 10.94.8 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
9 Past Two Weeks
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Key Long-Term Finding #1
Reduced alcohol use
Higher-risk alcohol use also down
Reduced cigarette use
Early initiation becoming lesscommon
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Changes Have Been:
Dramatic Falling by nearly half or more than half for
most indicators
Continuous Reductions in the majority of survey years,
trend line continuing down
Widespread Occurring across demographic groups
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AlcoholPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
19.7 20.3
10.1 8.3
40.8 42.0
28.425.5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School
12
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AlcoholPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
34.532.1
23.3 22.2
39.4 40.2
26.623.3
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS13
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Early Alcohol UseInitiation by Age 13—High School
37.7
21.8
19.4
7.3
3.9 3.50%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Try Alcohol Regular Alcohol Use14
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Binge DrinkingPrevalence by Grade Cohort
8.6
3.93.2
22.3 23.0
13.7
10.9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School15
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Binge DrinkingPrevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
19.7 18.0
12.010.9
21.9 22.4
12.6
9.9
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS16
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CigarettesPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
7.1
2.0
1.4
14.9
7.1
4.8
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School17
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CigarettesPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
18.4
8.37.1
14.7
6.6
4.6
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS18
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Early Cigarette UseInitiation by Age 13—High School
31.4
11.9
9.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Smoked a Cigarette, Even Just a Puff
19
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Key Long-Term Finding #2
All illicit drugs (other than marijuana)show reductions in use over the longterm
Almost all illicit drugs (other thanmarijuana) show reductions in use since2014
Reductions not as large as alcohol andcigarettes
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Use of Any Illicit Drug (Other than Marijuana)Past-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
9.6
10.9
6.25.6
10.6
8.57.7
0%
5%
10%
15%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School21
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InhalantsPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
5.1
6.6
3.1
2.22.3
2.8
1.31.2
0%
5%
10%
15%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School22
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InhalantsPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th Graders
3.8
4.5
1.3 1.3
5.2
6.2
3.1
1.5
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS23
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11.9 13.0
10.4
8.8
6.24.9
3.34.3
1.8 1.4 1.0 1.0
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Synthetic MarijuanaLifetime and Past-30-Day Prevalence
among High School Students
24Lifetime Prevalence Past-30-Day Prevalence
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25
Key Long-Term Finding #3
Marijuana trend different than otherATODs
Short-term reduction in use, butlong-term pattern is mixed
Attitudes toward marijuana use aredifferent than other ATODs
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MarijuanaPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
5.9 5.7
4.23.2
17.218.6 18.6
17.0
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School26
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MarijuanaPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
15.9 14.8 14.2
15.7 16.5
14.4
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS27
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Early Marijuana UseInitiation by Age 13—High School
13.4
10.6 11.410.6
0%
10%
20%
30%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Smoked Marijuana28
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38.542.5 42.8
63.7
69.168.4
30.032.5
25.3 24.9
20%
40%
60%
80%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Alcohol Cigarettes Try Marijuana
29
Risk of HarmPercentage Reporting “Great Risk”
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77.9
88.6
91.0
66.462.8
73.2
74.7
79.9
74.0
73.8
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Cigarettes Alcohol Marijuana30
Disapproval of ATOD Use“Wrong” or “Very Wrong”
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31
Overall ATOD Use
Dramatic reductions since 2004
Rate of decline has increased since2010
Reductions occurring in both M.S.and H.S.
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Use of Alcohol, Tobacco, or Any Illicit DrugPast-30-Day Prevalence Among Middle School Students
26.7 27.5
15.012.7
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School
32
Middle School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Decrease = 14.8
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Use of Alcohol, Tobacco, or Any Illicit DrugPast-30-Day Prevalence Among High School Students
46.6 48.0
37.3
33.330%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
High School
High School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Decrease = 14.7
33
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Students Reporting No ATOD Usein the Past 30 Days
73.3 72.5
85.087.3
60%
70%
80%
90%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School34
Middle School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Increase = 14.8
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Students Reporting No ATOD Usein the Past 30 Days
53.4
52.0
62.7
66.7
40%
50%
60%
70%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
High School
35
High School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Increase = 14.7
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Percentage Point Change 2014-2016Past-30-Day Prevalence
-2.2-1.8
-1.5 -1.2
-0.5 -0.4-0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
0.0 0.00.3
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
36 High School Only
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Percentage Point Change 2002-2016Past-30-Day Prevalence
-12.9
-8.3 -8.0
-2.0 -1.7 -1.1-0.9
-0.5 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
37
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Special FYSAS Topics
ATOD Use and DrivingATOD Use by Gender/Race/Ethnicity
Symptoms of DepressionATOD Use at School
38
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ATODs and DrivingPast-30-Day Prevalence Among High School Students
16.4
5.4
22.7
10.3
0%
20%
40%
60%
Riding with a DUI Driver Driving Under the Influence
Alcohol Marijuana39
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21.4 18.116.4
25.423.5 22.7
8.16.6 5.4
11.2 10.9 10.3
0%
20%
40%
60%
2012 2014 2016 2012 2014 2016 2012 2014 2016 2012 2014 2016
40
Riding withDrinkingDriver
ATODs and Driving TrendsPast-30-Day Prevalence Among High School Students
Riding withMarijuana
Driver
Drivingafter
Drinking
Drivingafter
Marijuana
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Riding with a Drinking DriverPast-30-Day Prevalence Among Non-Drinkers and Drinkers
10.2
33.5
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Non-Drinkers Drinkers41
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Riding with a Marijuana-Using DriverPast-30-Day Prevalence Among Non-Users and Users
12.3
71.9
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Marijuana Non-Users Marijuana Users42
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ATOD Use and GenderPast-30-Day and Lifetime Prevalence
19.917.0 16.5 15.4
8.4 10.6 10.9 11.5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
43
Alcohol Vaping/E-Cigs MarijuanaBlacking Out
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ATOD Use and Race/EthnicityPast-30-Day Prevalence
12.4
18.6 21.4
5.59.6
11.89.1
10.712.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
44
Alcohol Vaping/E-Cigs Marijuana
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ATOD Use and Race/EthnicityCigarettes: Risk of Harm and Disapproval
64.165.7 71.2
93.7 91.4 89.5 93.1 91.5 88.3
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
45
Perceived Risk Personal Disapproval Peer Disapproval
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Symptoms of Depression“yes” or “YES!”
23.5
35.7
21.5
39.7
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Life Not Worth It I Think I Am No Good I Am a Failure Sad or DepressedMost Days
46
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Symptoms of DepressionBy Gender
31.1
46.2
27.6
50.5
15.8
25.2
15.3
29.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Life Not Worth It I Think I Am No Good I Am a Failure Sad or DepressedMost Days
Female Male47
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DepressionNumber of Symptoms
49.2
17.0
11.6 9.712.6
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
No Symptoms 1 Symptom 2 Symptoms 3 Symptoms 4 Symptoms
48
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15.0
28.0
7.7
16.3
8.9
16.7
4.3
15.4
0%
10%
20%
30%
0 Symptoms 1 Symptom 2 Symptoms 3 Symptoms 4 Symptoms
Alcohol Vaping/E-Cigs Marijuana Any Illicit (No Marijuana)49
Symptoms of DepressionPast-30-Day ATOD Use
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3.3 3.21.4
6.5
12.2
3.9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Alcohol Marijuana Another Drug
Middle School High School50
ATOD Use Before or During SchoolPast-12-Month Prevalence