Socio-Political trends in

April 2014

Presentation of the Sant Maral foundation

Prepared by: L. Sumati

2. “Which party would you vote for?” (June 2012) Nationwide

Countryside UB % Valid %

Mongolian People’s Party 21.3 15.0 18.8 27.9

Democratic Party 30.0 26.5 28.6 42.4

MPRP, MNDP Coalition 17.0 14.3 15.9 23.6

Civic Will - Green Party .8 4.3 2.2 3.3

Third Power Coalition 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.9

MTUP (Traditional United) .3 .1 .1

Other Party .3 1.0 .6 .9

(No answer) 7.4 12.0 9.2

(Don’t know) 22.0 25.3 23.3

2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would

you vote for?” (April 2013) Nationwide

Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid %

Mongolian People’s Party 23.8 12.2 19.2 31.9

Democratic Party 25.6 32.2 28.3 47.0

MPRP 11.3 9.1 10.4 17.3

Civic Will - Green Party .3 2.1 1.1 1.7

MNDP .3 .1 .3 .4

Republican Party .1 .1 .1 .2

Other Party .5 1.4 .9 1.4

(No answer) 10.2 12.4 11.1

(Don’t know) 27.8 30.4 28.9

2. “If Parliament Elections were held tomorrow, which party would

you vote for?” (March 2014) Nationwide

Countryside Ulan Bator % Valid %

Mongolian People’s Party 21.0 11.9 17.3 29.8

Democratic Party 27.1 37.1 31.3 54.0

MPRP 6.0 7.5 6.6 11.4

Civic Will - Green Party .6 1.4 .9 1.6

MNDP .3 .4 .3 .6

Other Party 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.7

(No answer) 14.1 11.9 13.2

(Don’t know) 29.4 28.2 28.9

21.3 23.8

21

30 25.6 27.1

17

11.3

6

2012 2013 2014

Rural area

Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP

15 12.2 11.9

26.5

32.2

37.1

14.3

9.1 7.5

2012 2013 2014

Ulan Bator

Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP

27.9 31.9 29.8

42.4 47

54

23.6

17.3 11.4

2012 2013 2014

Nationwide

Mongolian People’s Party Democratic Party MPRP

2012 2013 2014 Column1 Column2 Column3 Column4 Column5 Column6

1. Unemployment 27.8 Unemployment 33 Unemployment 31.1

2. Standard of living\

poverty\ income 15.6

Standard of living\

poverty\ income 15.9

Price increase\ Inflation

20.8

3. Price increase\ Inflation

14.6

Price increase\ Inflation

15.1

Standard of living\

poverty\ income 17.6

4. Law enforcement

8.9

Law enforcement

7.3

Economy\

manufacturing\mining 5.8

5. Corruption 8 Social Justice 5.4 Law enforcement 5.1

6. Social Justice

4.9

Economy\

manufacturing\mining 5

Education

5.1

7. Economy\

manufacturing\mining 4.4

Corruption

4.9

Corruption

4.5

8. Education 4.2 Education 4.3 Social Justice 4

9. Ecology\ Environment 3.7 Ecology\ Environment 3.4 Ecology\ Environment 2.3

10. State

administration 3.5

State administration

2.5

State administration

2.1

Verysatisfied

Somewhatsatisfied

Somewhatdissatisfied

Verydissatisfied

DK

Dec-12 2.4% 24.8% 49.7% 17.6% 5.5%

May-13 0.0% 20.3% 52.7% 18.5% 8.5%

Oct-13 1.2% 19.4% 48.5% 23.9% 7.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the general business environment in Mongolia?

Improved Stayed the same Worsened DK

Dec-12 42.4% 39.7% 11.8% 6.1%

May-13 33.3% 46.4% 11.5% 8.8%

Oct-13 30.3% 39.7% 23.3% 6.7%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

During the last 6 months have investment conditions for company operations improved, worsened or stayed the

same?

9.8

47.4

21.6

15.5

9.2

44.7

26.7

13.2 10.6

40.7

26.2

15.1

Fully approve Rather approve Rather disapprove Totally disapprove

Government Approval (nationwide)

2012 2013 2014

Biggest success of the government 2012 Column1 2013 Column2 2014 Column3

1. Agriculture 25.1 Dealing with Corruption 14 Dealing with Corruption 10.9 2. Economy\

manufacturing\mining 10.5

Agriculture

7.2

Agriculture

10.3 3. Education

8.1

Economy\

manufacturing\mining 6.3

Economy\ manufacturing\

mining 7.4 4. Reduction of

unemployment 3.2

Education

5.5

Education

6.1 5. Improving of

standard of living\

poverty\ income 2.6

Reduction of

unemployment

4

Reduction of

unemployment

5.8 6. Ecology\

Environment 1.9

Law enforcement

3.3

Infrastructure

3.8 7. Dealing with

Corruption 1.8

State administration

2.7

Law enforcement

2.7 8. Election/Election

promises 1.8

Social security

2.3

Ecology\ Environment

2.5 9. Social Justice

1

Ecology\ Environment

1.9

State administration/ open

government 2.3 10. Price increase\

Inflation 0.9

Improving of standard of

living 1.6

Social Justice

1.9

Mar-10

Sep-10

Apr-11

Nov-12

Mar-13

Sep-13

Mar-14

Mar-10 Sep-10 Apr-11 Nov-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14

Always 47.5% 43.3% 49.2% 40.8% 32.3% 33.9% 28.1%

Sometimes 45.1% 46.5% 36.0% 50.7% 52.6% 53.6% 56.7%

Rarely 6.4% 8.6% 10.1% 7.3% 11.4% 10.1% 11.8%

Never 0.9% 1.6% 4.7% 1.2% 3.7% 2.4% 3.4%

In your opinion, how often public officials are acting in violation of conflicts of interests?

15.10% 7.80%

79.80% 88.70%

2012 2013

Have there been times in the past 12 months when you or your family have

gone hungry?

Yes No

21.0

75.5

3.6

12.7

83.2

4.1

below average average above average

Living Standard

2012 2013

Countryside Ulan Bator Nationwide

The government has to eliminate

income differences 37.2 33.5 35.7

The government has to take

moderate action to reduce

income differences

43.3 49.6 45.9 The government should not

interfere 7.1 6.5 6.8

Spontaneously: ( it may interfere,

or may not interfere) 6.3 7.1 6.6

(No answer) 0.4 0.4 0.4 (Don’t know) 5.7 3 4.6