31 december 2015 - investis...
TRANSCRIPT
RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED
31 DECEMBER 2015
1
AGENDA
Brian Mattingley | Introduction
Itai Frieberger | 2015 Overview
Aviad Kobrine | Financial Review
Itai Frieberger | Operational Review & Summary
Q&A
2
3
POC
VAT
CURRENCY MOVEMENTS
M&A DISTRACTION
THE PERFECT STORM
4
IN GREAT SHAPE
Another record year across the business
A result of proper planning and efficient
execution
Continued investment in people and
technology
Significant platform and content
enhancements on an ongoing basis
New regulated markets and products, with
more in the pipeline
Strong current trading
5
SUMMARY OF 2015 RESULTS
Revenue up 12% on a like for like basis1
B2C Revenue up 14% on a like for like basis1
Record Q4 Revenue up 20% for the Group 23% for B2C on a like for like basis1
Revenue impacted by adverse currency movement of $35m and $10m EU VAT
$32m2
newly introduced gaming duties
Adjusted EBITDA1
at $81m (2014: $101m)
Adjusted EBITDA margin1
at 17.4% (2014: 22.1%)
Adjusted PBT1
of $56m (2014: $68m)
Adjusted EPS1
of 15.9c (2014: 19.2c)
Strong Cash generation, net cash generated from operating activities represents 105% of Adj. EBITDA
Final Dividend of 4.0c per share (2014: 4.5c), 7.5c for the year (2014: 8.0c) plus a one-off 8.0c (2014:
7.0c), a total of 15.5c (2014: 15.0c) for the year
1 Like for like as defined in the 2015 annual report.
2 Excluding $2.1m UK POC incurred in December 2014.
.
6
AVIAD KOBRINE, CFO | FINANCIAL REVIEW
7
1 Totals in this presentation may not sum due to rounding. 2 Excluding depreciation of $8.9 million (2014: $9.0 million) and amortisation of $9.7 million (2014: $8.3 million). 3 Excluding impairment charges of nil (2014: $1.7 million) 4 Excludes retroactive duties and associated charges of $8.4m (2014: nil) 5 Excluding share benefit charges of $4.1 million (2014: $1.7 million)
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT 1
$m 2015 2014 % Change
Revenue (before EU VAT) 472.3 454.7 4%
EU VAT 10.2 -
Revenue 462.1 454.7 2%
Operating expenses2,3 127.4 130.3
Gaming duties4 50.0 15.8
Research and development expenses 36.8 40.7
Selling and marketing expenses 138.9 133.8
% of Revenues 30.1% 29.4%
Administrative expenses5
28.4 33.4
Adjusted EBITDA3,4,5
80.6 100.7 -20%
% of Revenues 17.4% 22.1%
Depreciation, Amortisation and Impairment 18.6 19.0
Share benefit charges, finance and other 6.4 6.1
Share of Joint Ventures loss 0.1 7.7
Adjusted Profit Before Tax 55.5 67.9 -18%
Acquisition costs & retroactive gaming duty 23.0 -
Profit Before Tax 32.5 67.9
Taxation 3.0 11.0
Profit After Tax 29.5 56.9
Adjusted EPS 15.9 ¢ 19.2 ¢ -17%
8
GROUP REVENUE
Revenue 2003–2015 ($m)
Revenue up 12% on a like for like basis to $507.7m (2014: $455m)
Reported Revenue up 2% to $462m (2014: $455m) despite new EU VAT and adverse currency movements
19.6% CAGR since 2003 on a like for like basis and 18.7% on a reported basis
20
70
120
170
220
270
320
370
420
470
520
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
59 75
123
157
217
263 247
262
331
376
401
455 462
35
10
EU VAT FX effect
$m
508
9
GROUP REVENUE
Quarterly Revenue 2010–2015 ($m)
Very strong Q4 2015 Revenue
Each quarter is higher than comparable quarter on a like for like basis
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Q110 Q111 Q112 Q113 Q114 Q115Like for Like
69
75
94
103
114
119
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Q210 Q211 Q212 Q213 Q214 Q215Like for Like
61
79
92
97
111
126
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Q310 Q311 Q312 Q313 Q314 Q315Like for Like
61
86 92
94
114
124
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Q410 Q411 Q412 Q413 Q414 Q415Like for Like
71
91
97
107
115
138
Q1 ($m)
Q2 ($m) Q4 ($m)
Q3 ($m)
10
Revenue increase in core UK and European markets despite adverse currency movements and EU VAT
UK remains the largest market with 46% of Revenue in 2015
Regulated markets* represents 59% of Revenue, consistently increase over time
GEOGRAPHICAL SEGMENTATION
Geographic Segmentation, Revenue 2014 and 2015
2014
2015
$m
* UK, Spain, Italy, USA (non Social), Denmark, Romania and Ireland Sport
44%
37%
12%6%
UK Europe
(ex UK)
Americas ROW
46%
39%
10%5%
UK Europe
(ex UK)
Americas ROW
53%52% 50% 45%
41%
47% 48% 50%55% 59%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Non-Regulated Regulated
11
Revenue B2C 2010 – 2015 ($m)
Revenue up 14% on a like for like basis to $444.2m (2014: $391m)
Reported Revenue up 3% to $403m (2014: $391m) despite new EU VAT and adverse currency movements
14.9% CAGR since 2010 on a like for like basis and 12.7% on a reported basis
Strong performance continued to be led by Casino and Sport
REVENUE B2C
180
230
280
330
380
430
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
222
284
330
352
391
403
32
10
FX effect EU VAT
$m
444
12
70
80
90
100
110
120
Q412 Q413 Q414 Q415
86
93
100
113
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
H212 H213 H214 H215
166
175
198
211
Revenue B2C Half and Quarterly trend ($m)
Positive momentum continued well into H2
Strong Q4 2015
Momentum achieved despite adverse currency movements and EU VAT
REVENUE B2C
$m
Revenue B2C Quarterly trendRevenue B2C per Half trend
13
70
80
90
100
110
120
Q412 Q413 Q414 Q415
86
93
100
113
6
3
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
H212 H213 H214 H215
166
175
198
211
14
5
On a like for like basis underlying growth was considerably higher than reported Revenue
H215 up 16% over H214 on a like for like basis
Q415 up 23% over Q414 on a like for like basis
REVENUE B2C
$m
Revenue B2C Quarterly trendRevenue B2C per Half trend
Revenue B2C Half and Quarterly trend ($m)
14
0
50
100
150
200
250
Casino Poker Bingo Emerging Offering
221
94
47 30
261
90
48 45
FY14 FY15
Revenue B2C 2015 vs. 2014($m)
All product lines impacted by adverse currency movements
On a like for like basis, Revenue increased in all products with the exception of Poker
Casino up 18%, Poker down 3.9%, Bingo up 2.1%, Emerging Offering up 51.2%
REVENUE B2C BY PRODUCT
$m
Reported Revenue B2C per productRevenue B2C per product like for like basis
0
50
100
150
200
250
Casino Poker Bingo Emerging Offering
221
94
47 30
231
87
44 41
FY14 FY15
15
Revenue Casino B2C 2010 – 2015 ($m)
Casino growth continues, leveraged by unique content, increased mobile activity and
smart marketing approach
Successful launch of 777 brand and Slots in Spain
18% increase on a like for like basis
REVENUE CASINO B2C
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
117
148
165
190
221
231
23
8
FX effect EU VAT
$m
261
16
Revenue Poker B2C 2010 –2015 ($m)
Poker Revenue on a like for like basis down 3.9% to $90m (2014: $94m)
No. 2 position in global poker rankings* maintained, outperformed market in relative liquidity
Outperform industry average
REVENUE POKER B2C
$m
* Source Pokerscout.com Feb 2016
2
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
38
61
88
94 94
87
FX effect EU VAT
90
17
Revenue Emerging Offering B2C 2010 –2015 ($m)
Emerging offering reported Revenue up 38% to $41m (2014: $30m), up 51% on a like for like basis driven
by Sport
Strong increases across all Sport measures including revenue, deposits, activity and customer acquisition
Sport product is currently offered in most of our B2C brands
REVENUE EMERGING OFFERING B2C
$m
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
16 22
25 24
30
41
4
FX effect
45
18
Revenue Bingo B2C 2013 – 2015 ($m)
Revenue on a like for like basis up 2% to $48m (2014: $47m)
New innovative offers and content are constantly introduced with more in the pipe line
While KPI’s improve the market remains highly competitive
REVENUE BINGO B2C
$m
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2013 2014 2015
44
47 44
4
FX effect
48
19
CORPORATE CASH POSITION
Cash position 2015
Cash position remains strong with corporate cash net of customer deposits ahead of previous year
Maintain high EBITDA cash conversion ratio
Customer deposits increased 22%
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
Dividends
Paid
Customers
Deposits
Cash net of
Deposits
Net Cash from
Operating Activities
% of
Adj. EBITDA
53
82
96 105 %
$m
$m
$m
20
20.0%
30.0%
FY14 FY15
29.4% 29.4%
0.7%
EU VAT
Marketing ratio remains stable but customer acquisition increased 28%
Strong Revenue growth driven by optimised marketing and strong analytics
Lower Cost per Acquisition (CPA)
MARKETING COST RATIO
Marketing Costs 2015 vs. 2014
Marketing Costs Marketing Costs % of Revenue*
$m %
* Like for like ratio is based on Revenue before deduction of EU VAT
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
FY14 FY15
134 139
21
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
37.1% 32.8% 30.2% 28.7% 28.7% 27.0%
34.9%30.9% 34.9%
29.4% 29.4% 29.4%
8.2%
8.3% 6.8%
7.4% 7.4% 6.0%
8.3%
9.0% 7.2%8.9% 8.9%
7.8%
0.6%
2.2% 3.1%3.5% 3.5% 10.6% Gaming duties
R&D
Admin. Expenses
S&M expenses
Operat ing expenses
COST STRUCTURE
Cost as a % of Total Revenue 2010 – 2015**
* Excluding EU VAT ** Excluding share benefit charges, depreciation and amortisation, impairment charges and retroactive gaming duties and exceptional M&A costs
80.8%
Cost ratio to Revenue* at 81% (2014: 78%)
Continued efficiency improvements save for external factors
77.9%77.9%82.2%83.2%
89.1%
22
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
5.8% 5.6% 5.5% 5.9% 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.6%
1.8%3.7%
1.1%1.0% 0.9%
0.8%0.6%
0.7%
CB PSP
PROCESSING COST
Cost as a % of Total Revenue 2008 - 2015
5.3%
Consistent reduction in processing fees as volume in regulated markets increases
Additional payment methods introduced, growth in deposits and optimisation of costs improve performance
over time
5.6%6.3%
6.8%6.9%6.6%
9.2%
7.6%
23
ADJUSTED EBITDA BRIDGE 2014 vs. 2015
Internal vs. External effects
Strong adjusted EBITDA mitigated an incremental $42m external impact of newly introduced gaming duties
and EU VAT
Before adjusting for adverse currency movements
$m
100.7
123.1
80.6
22.4
10.2
32.2
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Adj. EBITDAFY 2014
InternalGrowth
Adj. EBITDABefore
POC & VAT
EU VAT Newly IntroducedGaming Duties*
Adj. EBITDAFY 2015
Increase Decrease
* Including incremental UK POC tax and newly introduced gaming duties in Austria, Romania, Denmark and Ireland
24
Continues improved performance over time despite external factors
Before adjustment for adverse currency movements
ADJUSTED EBITDA TREND
Adjusted EBITDA 2010 –2015
$m
29
56
67
76
101
81
32
10
8.0
28.0
48.0
68.0
88.0
108.0
128.0
148.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EU VAT
Newly introduced Gaming Duties*
Adj. EBITDA
* Including UK POC and gaming duties in Austria, Romania, Denmark and Ireland Sport
123
25
Steady increasing dividend, hand in hand with strong cash generation
DIVIDEND
DIVIDEND PER SHARE ($c) 2012 - 2015
$c
9.0
14.0 15.0 15.5
56%
67%
72%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1.5
3.5
5.5
7.5
9.5
11.5
13.5
15.5
17.5
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Base % change vs. FY12
26
BALANCE SHEET
$m 31-Dec-15 31-Dec-14
Non-current assets
Goodwill and other Intangible assets 157.3 157.2
Property, plant and equipment 11.2 15.5
Other non-current assets 3.6 1.4
172.1 174.1
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents 178.6 163.1
Trade and other receivables 35.6 30.0
Total Assets 386.3 367.2
Equity
Share capital and share premium 5.4 4.5
Retained earnings and reserves 156.8 180.6
Total equity attributable to equity holders 162.2 185.1
Liabilities
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 140.0 114.6
Customer deposits 82.4 67.5
Non-current liabilities
Deffered tax liabilities1.7 -
Total equity and liabilities 386.3 367.2
27
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
$m Year Ended 31 December 2015 2014
Cash flows from operating activities
Profit before income tax 32.5 67.9
Share benefit charges 4.1 1.7
Depreciation, amortisation and Impairment charges 18.6 19.0
Change in current assets and liabilities 38.4 25.7
Other non cash adjustments (2.6) 5.8
Cash generated from operations 91.0 120.0
Income tax paid (6.0) (8.1)
Net cash generated from operating activities 85.0 111.9
Purchase of property, plant and equipment (4.6) (5.5)
Internally generated intangible assets (6.8) (8.6)
Acquisition of intangible assets (3.0) (2.9)
Investment (1.2) 3.9
Net cash used in Investing Activities (15.6) (13.1)
Issue of shares 0.9 0.4
Dividends paid (53.5) (51.2)
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 16.8 48.0
Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of year 163.1 115.8
Effects of currency translation (1.3) (0.7)
Cash and cash equivalents - end of year 178.6 163.1
28
OPERATIONAL OVERVIEW
29
30
2015 2016Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
NEW PREMIUM 888 GAMES
888.ES SLOTS
WINK SLOTS
M&A EFFORT
888 IRELAND
888SPORT A BUSY YEAR
888.DK
888.RO
888SPORT.IT
A BUSY YEAR
777.COM
30
$508M2015
B2C | FTDs
CASINO | BETS
TOTAL | GROUP REVENUE
$376M2012
POKER | ACTIVES
SPORT | BETS
135%MAY 2015
100%JAN 2014
177%DEC 2014
244%APR 2015
300%DEC 2015
100%JUN 2014
108%DEC 2014
115%SEP 2015
120%DEC 2015
SPAIN | DEPOSITS
$401M2013
$455M2014
100%JUN 2014
126%DEC 2014
162%DEC 2015
100%JAN 2014
115%DEC 2014
140%AUG 2015
175%DEC 2015
* Revenue on a like for like basis
[ [
ITALY | ACTIVES
100%JUL 2014
150%DEC 2014
160%OCT 2015
203%DEC 2015
111%FEB 2015
120%AUG 2015
142%DEC 2015
100%JAN 2014
31
50%
70%
90%
110%
130%
150%
170%
190%
210%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Based on Jan 2010
FX effect
LONG TERM TREND
B2C DEPOSIT TREND
*FX effect rebase deposits back to original currency and than translate back to USD using 2014 rates for the purpose of a like for like real basis
32
C2 - NEW CASHIER
33
POKER OUTPERFORMANCE
Source: Pokerscout, February 2016
LIQUIDITY
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2
2013 2014 2015 2016
Month
ly Liq
uid
ity
Index
Operator 1 Operator 2 Operator 3 Operator 4 Operator 5 888Poker Industry
34
98 270 10
229$53m108
$4.8b21248m
OPERATIONAL MANAGEMENTCOMBINED TENURE
NEW GAME TITLES IN JACKPOT WINNING BINGO BRANDS
PROJECTS DELIVEREDGAMING LICENSES
UK MARKET SIZE PER H2GCTERABYTE OF DATA STOREDCOMMUNICATIONS SENT
35
WHAT’S UNDER THE HOOD?
36
B2C ACQUISITION
FTD’s 2015 vs. 2014
%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
Group Poker Casino Bingo Sport
128%
104%
121%
141%
191%
37
B2C ACTIVES
Actives 2015 vs. 2014
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
Group Poker Bingo Casino Sport
113%101%
115%
137%
185%
38
Based on average daily Bets
SPORT BETS
50%
150%
250%
350%
450%
550%
650%
750%
850%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
SPORT
39
Based on average daily Bets
SPORT LIVE BETTING SHARE AND DAILY EVENTS TREND
100%119%
147%
213%
315%
52%
56%
62%
65%67%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
H2'13 H1'14 H2'14 H1'15 H2'15
Daily Events Growth
Live Betting proportion
SPORT
40
REGULATED MARKETS
41
888.ES GGR TREND (Euro Based)
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
600%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2012 2013 2014 2015
Bets
Poker House profit EUR Casino House profit EUR Sport House profit EUR
Launch of 888.es Spain Sport Launch Spain Slots Launch
888 SPAIN GGR GROWTH (EURO based)
42
888.IT DEPOSIT TREND
888 ITALY DEPOSITS (EURO BASED)
Ap
pro
ved
Dep
os
it E
UR
Mo
bil
e D
ep
os
it S
ha
re
%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
65%
75%
85%
95%
105%
115%
125%
135%
145%
155%
165%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2014 2015
Approved Deposits EUR
Deposit mobile share
43 43
CASINOFLEX
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2
2014 2015 2016
Daily Deposit Increase
# of Brands (left axis)
X 20
44
Build on another record year
Clear growth strategy
New markets
Continuance in sport growth
Non organic opportunities
Enhanced content portfolio, platform and product edge
Strong current trading
WHAT’S NEXT?
45