4822 l6 project evaluation npv

27
PROJECT MANAGEMENT Project Evaluation

Upload: tee-shi-feng

Post on 15-May-2017

222 views

Category:

Documents


4 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

PROJECT MANAGEMENT

Project Evaluation

Page 2: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CLASS ACTIVITY 6For your particular project each group shall itemise the project’s cost and evaluate the worth of the project using NPV method. The interest shall be at 10%

Each group shall have 5 minutes to present its finding.

Marks will be given based on the presentation

Page 3: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

AIM OF EVALUATION• To determine whether the a project is

economically viable

Page 4: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

TOOLS OF EVALUATION• Net Present Value Method (NPV)• Internal Rate of Return Method (IRR)• Equivalent Uniform Annual Cost Method

(EUAC)• Cost Benefit Analysis Method (CBA)

Page 5: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHAT DOES NPV DO?• It calculate the value of the project at the

time of evaluation

Page 6: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHAT DOES IRR DO?• It calculate the rate of return of the project

Page 7: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHAT DOES EUAC DO?• It calculate the equivalent uniform annual

cost of the project.

Page 8: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHAT DOES CBA DO?• It calculate the benefit-over-cost ratio of

the project.

Page 9: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

BUT WHY DIFFERENT TYPES?

Page 10: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHEN TO USE NPV?• To know the total worth of the project

Page 11: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHEN TO USE IRR?• To compare the rate of return of the

project against some preferred rate

Page 12: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHEN TO USE EUAC?• When the investor is concern on the

amount of money to be acquired/allocated annually/periodically to maintain the project.

Page 13: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHEN TO USE CBA?• When the evaluation requires the use of

social interest rate

Page 14: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHAT IS SOCIAL INTEREST RATE?

• Rates applicable to socioeconomic projects

Page 15: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

WHCH ONE IS SOCIOECONOMIC PROJECT?

• Public investment project

Page 16: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

EXAMPLE OF PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROJECT?

• Penang Bridge• The Blue Mosque• KLIA• etc

Page 17: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

HOW TO PERFORM NPV? Step 1

• Determine P, F, A, i, nP0 = initial costF = +ve or –ve discrete paymentA = uniform periodical paymenti = interest raten = project life

Page 18: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CALCULATING NPV – Step 2• Put P, F, A, I and n on a cashflow diagram

C/flow

F

n

i = x% per yearA2

0

P0

A1

1 2 3 4 5 10

Page 19: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CALCULATING NPV – Step 3• Convert A1 and A2 into its equivalent value

at n = 0• i.e into another P value• Where P = A(P/A/i/n)

Discounting factor

Read the discounting factor from an interest table

Page 20: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

Interest table

Page 21: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

Top part of the interest table

Page 22: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

Top part of the interest table

Page 23: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CALCULATING NPV – Step 4• Convert F into its equivalent value at n = 0• P = F(P/F/i/n)

Page 24: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CALCULATING NPV – Step 5• Add all P to give NPV, i.e• NPV = -P0 – A1(P/A/i/n) + A2(P/A/i/n)

+ F(P/F/i/n)

Page 25: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

EXAMPLE

• Initial cost = RM64,000.00• Salvage value = RM32,000.00• Yearly income = RM15,000.00• Year maintenance = RM3,200.00• Investment life = 5 yaers• Interest rate = 10%

Page 26: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CASHFLOW DIAGRAM

i = 10% per yearC/flow

32K

n

15K

0

64K3.2K

1 2 3 4 5 10

Page 27: 4822 L6 Project Evaluation NPV

CALCULATING NPV

NPV = -P0 – A1(P/A/i/n) + A2(P/A/i/n) + F(P/F/i/n)= -64,000 – 3200(3.7908) + 15000( 3.7908)

+ 32000(0.6209)= -64000 – 12130.56 + 56862.00 + 19868.8= 600.24