79. jump into profit
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7/30/2019 79. Jump Into Profit
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Jump Into Profit
A word to the wise - and of course I include all our readers in that category -
and that word is Signposts. What I am suggesting is that the daily feature in
the Racing Post which goes under that name and which has been appearingthere for several months now is of enormous interest and assistance to
anyone engaged in trying to make a profit by backing horses; and isn't that all
of us? It truly is a wonderful collection of up to the minute statistics - some
reasonably familiar and available from other sources - but others less so, and
to the best of my knowledge, not to be found elsewhere. To find them all
together, condensed in a couple of pages, is really helpful to all systems
enthusiasts. Let's have a look at some Signposts.
Hot trainers and hot jockeys is self-explanatory, but is a signpost that can
certainly point you in the right direction. It provides you with those trainers
and jockeys who have the best win/run % over the past 14 days and should
be heeded at all times. Conversely, cold trainers and cold jockeys should
make you think twice about backing their horses. Then there is the section
which gives trainer-jockey combinations with the best % of wins at the course,
with at least three course wins. There are systems based on this single fact,
and I would suggest taking a close look at combinations with a win ratio of
35% or over. Incidentally, just at random, I'm looking at Signposts for the 29th
of July, and a trainer-jockey combination of 35% or more has indicated a nice
13/2 winner.
There is much, much more in Signposts, all of it I can recall cropping up in
systems over the years. For example, it lists horses dropping to seller class
for the first time, horses wearing blinkers or visor for the first time, horses who
ran in the same race in previous seasons and horses who are out again within
seven days of a win. Each of these groups is worth close scrutiny by itself.
But there's more! We're given horses that are racing off a lower official
handicap rating than they have won off last year, the Topspeed horses that
are most points clear in handicaps, the Postmark horses that are most points
clear in handicaps, the horses that have travelled furthest to contest today's
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7/30/2019 79. Jump Into Profit
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Finally, the system says it is to be used between November and March, so
that makes it a timely choice for this month.
Jump Into Profit
This system should be operated only during the National Hunt Season proper
- i.e. the period between November and March when there is no Flat racing.
The operating rules are as follows: -
1. Novice races only - hurdles and chases, including novice handicaps and
novice sellers.
2. In these selected races only, check the forecast favourite, and it must
satisfy the following conditions. (A) Placed second or third last time out,
current season. (B) Beaten favourite on its last outing. (C) Form rated in the
top two (e.g. Daily Mail Formcast, Mirror Spotform, Express W Factor, etc).
(D) It must be running again within 21 days of its last outing.
Providing all the above conditions are satisfied and in the specific type of race
stated, the horse will be a 'Jump Into Profit' selection. There is no restriction
on the number of runners.
This system should continue to do well on a level stake basis, but because of
the very high win ratio and the consequent winning runs, profits can be
boosted by the application of the 10% staking plan.