79. jump into profit

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  • 7/30/2019 79. Jump Into Profit

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    Jump Into Profit

    A word to the wise - and of course I include all our readers in that category -

    and that word is Signposts. What I am suggesting is that the daily feature in

    the Racing Post which goes under that name and which has been appearingthere for several months now is of enormous interest and assistance to

    anyone engaged in trying to make a profit by backing horses; and isn't that all

    of us? It truly is a wonderful collection of up to the minute statistics - some

    reasonably familiar and available from other sources - but others less so, and

    to the best of my knowledge, not to be found elsewhere. To find them all

    together, condensed in a couple of pages, is really helpful to all systems

    enthusiasts. Let's have a look at some Signposts.

    Hot trainers and hot jockeys is self-explanatory, but is a signpost that can

    certainly point you in the right direction. It provides you with those trainers

    and jockeys who have the best win/run % over the past 14 days and should

    be heeded at all times. Conversely, cold trainers and cold jockeys should

    make you think twice about backing their horses. Then there is the section

    which gives trainer-jockey combinations with the best % of wins at the course,

    with at least three course wins. There are systems based on this single fact,

    and I would suggest taking a close look at combinations with a win ratio of

    35% or over. Incidentally, just at random, I'm looking at Signposts for the 29th

    of July, and a trainer-jockey combination of 35% or more has indicated a nice

    13/2 winner.

    There is much, much more in Signposts, all of it I can recall cropping up in

    systems over the years. For example, it lists horses dropping to seller class

    for the first time, horses wearing blinkers or visor for the first time, horses who

    ran in the same race in previous seasons and horses who are out again within

    seven days of a win. Each of these groups is worth close scrutiny by itself.

    But there's more! We're given horses that are racing off a lower official

    handicap rating than they have won off last year, the Topspeed horses that

    are most points clear in handicaps, the Postmark horses that are most points

    clear in handicaps, the horses that have travelled furthest to contest today's

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    Finally, the system says it is to be used between November and March, so

    that makes it a timely choice for this month.

    Jump Into Profit

    This system should be operated only during the National Hunt Season proper

    - i.e. the period between November and March when there is no Flat racing.

    The operating rules are as follows: -

    1. Novice races only - hurdles and chases, including novice handicaps and

    novice sellers.

    2. In these selected races only, check the forecast favourite, and it must

    satisfy the following conditions. (A) Placed second or third last time out,

    current season. (B) Beaten favourite on its last outing. (C) Form rated in the

    top two (e.g. Daily Mail Formcast, Mirror Spotform, Express W Factor, etc).

    (D) It must be running again within 21 days of its last outing.

    Providing all the above conditions are satisfied and in the specific type of race

    stated, the horse will be a 'Jump Into Profit' selection. There is no restriction

    on the number of runners.

    This system should continue to do well on a level stake basis, but because of

    the very high win ratio and the consequent winning runs, profits can be

    boosted by the application of the 10% staking plan.