a 20-year community roadmap for …roadmap: findings • ai will be transformative: rapid, worldwide...

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CRA Computing Community Consortium Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence and the computing research community Leads: Yolanda Gil and Bart Selman August 2019 A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH IN THE US

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Page 1: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

CRA Computing Community Consortium Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

and the computing research community

Leads: Yolanda Gil and Bart Selman

August 2019

A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

RESEARCH IN THE US

Page 2: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: PROCESS

•  Summer2018:CCCdiscussespotentialRoadmapleaderswithacademia,government,&industrialstakeholders;selectsAAAIpresident(Gil)&president-elect(Selman)

•  Fall2018:Co-leaders,togetherwithAIcommunity,designthreeworkshops

•  Nov2018-Jan2019:Workshopstakeplace •  Jan2019:TownhallatAAAI;meetingswithkeystakeholders •  Mar-Apr2019:DCbriefingsatOSTP,NSF,DARPA,NITRDAI-

IWG,DIB,andHillwithCRA•  Apr2019:CCCandcommunityfeedback •  August2019:Roadmapreleased

Page 3: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: FINDINGS

•  AIwillbetransformative:rapid,worldwideimpact

•  Atthesametime,therearemanyconcernsaboutthesecurityandvulnerabilityofsystemswiththesecapabilities,aswellasaboutthefutureofworkinanAI-enabledworld

•  AcceleratingindustrysuccessesinAI:builtonacademicfoundationsandfacilitatedbymassivedatasets,computepower,andhumanresources

Page 4: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: FINDINGS, CONT. •  FewofAI’sbigchallengescanbesolvedbypiecing

togetheracademicresearchprojects •  Manyoftheassociatedissuesandproblemsareoutside

ofindustryscope,priorities,andtimelines

•  ThenextgenerationofAIchallengeswillrequirebringingacademia,industry,andgovernmenttogether

Page 5: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: RECOMMENDATIONS •  I.NationalAIInfrastructure

–  NationalAIResearchCenters–  Mission-DrivenAILabs–  OpenAIplatformsandresources–  Sustainedcommunity-drivenAIchallenges

•  II.TraininganAIWorkforce•  III.CoreAIPrograms

Page 6: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

NATIONAL AI RESEARCH CENTERS

Some possible models:

•  Multi-universitycenterswithaffiliatedinstitutions,focusedonpivotalareasoflong-termAIresearch(e.g.,integratedintelligence,trustandresponsibility)

•  Decade-scalefundingtosupportontheorderof100faculty,200AIengineers,500students,andnecessarycomputinginfrastructure

•  Visitingfellowsfromacademia,industry,andgovernmentwillenablecross-cuttingresearchandtechtransfer

Page 7: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

MISSION-DRIVEN AI LABORATORIES

•  LivinglaboratoriesforAIdevelopmentintargetedproblemdomainswithgreatsocietalimpact(AI-readyhomes,hospitals,schools,…)

•  DesignedtoallowAIresearchersaccesstouniquedataandcollaborations

•  Decade-scalefundingtosupportontheorderof50permanentAIresearchers,50visitorsfromAIResearchCenters,100-200AIengineersandtechnicians,and100domainexpertsandstaff

Page 8: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

OPEN AI PLATFORMS AND RESOURCES Open,sharedR&Dresources:•  AIplatforms,facilities,testbeds•  Data,knowledgebases•  Toolsets,software,hardware,storage•  …

Page 9: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

AI CHALLENGES • Sustainedcommunity-drivenAIchallenges

– TomoveAItothenextstep,weneedtocapitalizeontheenergiesandsynergiesthatarefosteredbyhealthycompetition,whilepromotingconcertedprogressonhardAIproblems.

Page 10: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: RECOMMENDATIONS

•  I.NationalAIInfrastructure•  II.Traininga21stCenturyAIWorkforce

– Curriculumdevelopment,atalllevels,incorporatingAIethicsandpolicy– EducationandtrainingbeyondthetraditionalBA/BS(e.g.,communitycollegeprograms,certificateprograms,onlinepost-baccalaurateprograms,…)

– Recruitmentandretentionprograms(studentsandfaculty,under-representedgroups,…)

– IncentivizinginterdisciplinaryAIstudies(incl.policy,law,societalimpact,…)

•  III.CoreAIPrograms

Page 11: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: RECOMMENDATIONS

•  I.NationalAIInfrastructure•  II.TraininganAIWorkforce•  III.CoreAIPrograms

–  Maintainandextendfundingforthesecriticalprograms

Page 12: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability
Page 13: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

BACKUP SLIDES

Page 14: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: SOCIETAL DRIVERS

v  Boosthealthandqualityoflifev  Providelifelongeducationandtrainingv  Reinventbusinessinnovationand

competitivenessv  Acceleratescientificdiscoveryandtechnical

innovationv  Expandevidence-drivensocialopportunityand

policyv  Transformnationaldefenseandsecurity

Page 15: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ROADMAP: RESEARCH PRIORITIES

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Page 16: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

US R&D LEADERSHIP

•  ManhattanProject •  Moonshot •  HumanGenome •  HubbleTelescope

•  LIGOGravitationalWaves

ManhattanProject 1939:$2Billion 2019:$36Billion

HubbleTelescope 1990:$1.5Billion 2019:$3Billion

HumanGenomeProject 1991:$2.7Billion 2019:$5Billion

Page 17: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

CHALLENGES TO THAT LEADERSHIP

TheVerge

CBINSIGHTS

Quartz

CBINSIGHTS

MITTECHNOLOGYREVIEW

ForbesForbes

Forbes

Page 18: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ThemissionofComputingResearchAssociation'sComputingCommunityConsortium(CCC)istocatalyzethecomputingresearch

communityandenablethepursuitofinnovative,high-impact

research.

COMPUTING COMMUNITY CONSORTIUM

Page 19: A 20-YEAR COMMUNITY ROADMAP FOR …ROADMAP: FINDINGS • AI will be transformative: rapid, worldwide impact • At the same time, there are many concerns about the security and vulnerability

ASSOCIATION FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

The Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) is an

international scientific society devoted to promote research in, and responsible use of,

artificial intelligence.

AAAI also aims to increase public understanding of AI, improve the teaching and

training of AI practitioners, and provide guidance for research planners and funders concerning the importance and potential of

current AI developments and future directions.