a detailed overview of hospitality projects in the region...a detailed overview of hospitality...
TRANSCRIPT
A detailed overview of hospitality projects in the region
The latest outlook for the years ahead
Ed JamesDirector of Content & Analysis, MEED Projects
All the project information in this presentation is sourced from MEED Projects
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Crude oil prices 2013-18 ($ a barrel)
Source: FT.com
THE OIL PRICE
HISTORICAL AWARDS
Source: MEED Projects
Value of GCC contract awards, 2015-2017 ($m)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
2015 2016 2017
Value of GCC contracts awarded 2017 ($m)
Source: MEED Projects
Total = $120bn
2017 worst case scenario = $112bn
So market performed a little better than the worst case scenario
UAE, Oman and Bahrain performed much better than expected. KSA
performed substantially worse than anticipated
6,525
13,042 13,864 12,764
25,409
48,413
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
2017
2017 COMPARISON
Source: MEED Projects
Value of GCC Construction and Transport contracts awarded in 2017 by area ($m)
Dubai’s performance is the only thing to have
saved the market from meltdown
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Doha Municipality Emirate of AbuDhabi
Emirate of Dubai Mecca Province MuscatGovernorate
Riyadh Province
Construction Transport
GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects
Value of GCC hotel construction contracts awarded, 2013-17 ($m)
4062
7985
8789
5790
5080
1246
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A total of nearly $33bn worth of hotel construction investment in the region over the past five years
GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects
Value of GCC hotel construction contracts awarded by country, 2013-17 ($m)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects
Value of GCC hotel construction contracts awarded by top 10 cities 2013-17 ($m)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Abu Dhabi Doha Dubai Fujairah Jeddah Manama Mecca Muscat Riyadh Sharjah
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects; excludes hotels currently under construction
Value of GCC hotel construction projects by operator, 2013-17 ($m)
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Hilton Worldwide
Accor
Starwood Hotels & Resorts
Jumeirah Hotels & Resorts
Marriott International
The Address Hotels and Resorts
Kerzner International Resorts
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels
Rotana Hotel Management
InterContinental Hotels Group
Wyndham Hotel Group
Viceroy Hotel Group
Taj Hotels Resorts & Palaces
Shaza Hotels
Roda Hotels & Resorts
StayWell Hospitality Group
The Langham Hotels & resorts
Minor International
Raffles Hotels
Top Projects 2013-17
Source: MEED Projects
Top hotel projects awarded in the GCC 2013-17
Project Country Estimated value ($m)ICD - Palm Jumeirah: Royal Atlantis Resort & Residences (Phase 2) UAE 842Arenco - Palm Jumeirah : Arenco H2 and H3 Resort Hotels UAE 614Jabal Omar Development Company - Jabal Omar: Phase 4 Saudi Arabia 613Emaar - Downtown Dubai: The Address Residence Sky View : Main Works UAE 489Dubai International Real Estate - Jewel of Creek Development: Package 8 UAE 395Meraas Holding - Bluewaters Island : Venu Hotel UAE 381Al Rajhi Investment - Tilal Al-Naseem : Naseem 3 Saudi Arabia 380Asas Capital - Park Regis Makkah Saudi Arabia 360First Qatar Real Estate - Panorama Residences and Suites (Parcel AQ-07) Qatar 350Dubai Holding - Jumeirah Al Naseem UAE 350Eagle Hills - The Address Fujairah Resort + Spa UAE 326Gemstone Real Estate Development - Aqua Raffles Hotel Jeddah Saudi Arabia 320Al Rajhi Investment - Tilal Al-Naseem : Naseem 4 Saudi Arabia 300AMIAS - Shangri-La Residences Jeddah (Sail Tower) Saudi Arabia 300Meraas Holdings - Pearl Jumeirah: Nikki Beach Resort UAE 294Daphne Hotels Company - JW Mariott Hotel Tower Qatar 285Assas Investments - Palm Jumeirah : Viceroy Hotel UAE 272S. H. Al Mana / Al Sharq - Palm Jumeirah : W Hotel and Alef Residences UAE 270RSG - Lusail Development: Langham Place Qatar 260
Top Projects Q12018
Source: MEED Projects
Top hotel projects awarded in the GCC Q12018
Project Country Estimated value ($m)
Damac Properties - Aykon City : Phase 1: Tower B UAE 163Omniyat Properties- Business Bay: Dorchester Hotel (Plot No:BB.B03.018) UAE 160MOBH - Dubai South : Hilton Dubai Hotel UAE 120RAK Properties - Hayat Island : InterContinental Mina Al Arab Resort UAE 92Khamas Group - JVC : Marriott JVC Hotel & Residence Inn (Plot No : JVC17TCP00) UAE 80Private Developer - Movenpick Hotel Bausher Oman 80Binghatti Developers - Millennium Binghatti Residences UAE 80Wasl - Aloft & Element Hotel at Al Raffa (Plot No.3160553) UAE 72MOBH - IMPZ : Radisson Blu Hotel (Plot No : MS 001) UAE 60Kukh Al Raidah For Development & Real Estate Investment - Hotel Towers Saudi Arabia 45Nuzul - Samhan Heritage Five Star Hotel At Al Diriyah Saudi Arabia 44Private Developer - Diwan Residence Towers Saudi Arabia 40Action Hotels Limited - Novotel Sharq Hotel Kuwait 40Aces Property - Jumeirah Village Circle : Dusit Princess Aces UAE 40ITICO - Dubai Healthcare City : Marriott Residence Inn (Plot No. DHC2.A.02) UAE 30
Future GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects; excludes hotels currently under construction
Value of known future GCC hotel construction projects ($m)
1215
80
21431443
3230
12319
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
Current known and planned investment is just over $20bn
Future GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects; excludes hotels currently under construction
Value of known future GCC hotel construction projects by city ($m)
1972
1000
8044
7031023 920
1215 1026 852 663
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Future GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects; excludes hotels currently under construction
Rooms pipeline of known future GCC hotel construction projects
867 322
5855
1795
6602
32803
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
More than 47,000 rooms in the future hotels pipeline in the region
Future GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects; excludes hotels currently under construction
Rooms pipeline of known future GCC hotel construction projects by city
3542
24320
20141060 1265 1960 2683
1395 1263 1545
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Top Future Projects
Source: MEED Projects
Selected top future hotel projects in the GCC
Project Country Estimated value ($m)Duqm Beach Touristic Resort LLC - Duqm Beach Resort Oman 500Jabal Omar Development Company - Jabal Omar: Phase 6 Saudi Arabia 450Jabal Omar Development Company - Jabal Omar: Phase 5 Saudi Arabia 426DIRE - Roda Hotels in Al Garhoud UAE 408Qetaifan Projects Company - Qetaifan Island North: Phase 1 Qatar 400MAG PD - DHCC : MAG of Life Creek Resort : Main works UAE 360Sisban - Fairmont Jeddah Hotel & Resort Saudi Arabia 350Dubai International Real Estate - Jewel of the Creek Development : Package 9 UAE 300Eagle Hills - Vida Marassi Al Bahrain Bahrain 300Al Alfia Holding - Dream Doha Qatar 300Emaar - Dubai Creek Harbour : The Address Harbour Point UAE 300Naseel - Park Hyatt Riyadh Saudi Arabia 300Diyar Al Muharraq / Eagle Hills - The Address: Marassi Al Bahrain Bahrain 300Al Alfia Holding - Hotel Tower in Lusail Qatar 280Omniyat Properties - Business Bay : Langham Place Downtown Dubai UAE 273Damac Properties - Akoya Oxygen : Golfotel UAE 250Wasl - Jumeirah Beach : MGM Resort UAE 250Miral - Yas Bay : Hilton Abu Dhabi Yas Island Resort UAE 250Al Jasrah Real Estate Development - Lusail Development: Alar Hotel Qatar 240Gulf Related - Maryah Central : South Tower UAE 230
Future GCC Hotel Investment
Source: MEED Projects; excludes hotels currently under construction
Value of known future GCC hotel construction projects by operator ($m)
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Fairmont Hotels & Resorts
Vida Hotels & Resorts
Roda Hotels & Resorts
Hilton Worldwide
The Address Hotels and Resorts
Marriott International
Katara Hospitality
Rotana Hotel Management
Movenpick Hotel & Resort
Hyatt Corporation
Starwood Hotels & Resorts
Dream Hotel Group
Emaar Hospitality Group
The Langham Hotels & resorts
InterContinental Hotels Group
Paramount Hotels & Resorts
MGM Resorts International
Minor International
Accor
Rove Hotels
Value of Planned and Un-awarded GCC Projects ($m)
Source: MEED Projects
69092
171619134583 158389
1243477
715202
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE
Future Projects
Value of Planned and Un-awarded GCC Projects by sector ($m)
Source: MEED Projects
82991
1458975
7871229397
107916
224194
453913
56264
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
Chemical Construction Gas Industrial Oil Power Transport Water
Future Projects
Summary
• Hotel investment in the region has been significant since the economic boom started with higher oilprices in 2003. The past five years have seen more than $30bn worth of investment in hotels, but likeother sectors spending has slowed considerably in the last two years with lower oil prices
• The exception has been Dubai which has been able to continue to attract increasing numbers MICE,business and tourist travelers to the emirate. Other markets appear to be suffering from over-supply inmany areas to compound the issue
• Dubai is expected to be the clear leader for hotel investment in the GCC over the next five years as itcontinues to announce new hotels and invest in tourist and commercial attractions. All told there aremore than $20bn worth of hotel projects in the regional pipeline comprising more than 47,000 rooms
• The outlook in other markets is much less bearish although opportunities remain in specific areas suchas the Red Sea coast, Duqm, and the Holy Cities
• Regional hotel brands are expected to become a lot more prominent; three of the top five future leadingoperators by investment pipeline are forecasted to be regional players
Future Projects – MGM Belagio Dubai
Future Projects – Vida Marassi Bahrain
Future Projects – Park Hyatt Riyadh
Future Projects – Hilton Yas Island