a journey to the middle kingdom and back 2 final show version
TRANSCRIPT
China 2008 - Observations and travel log
Report to the Tech CommunityFriday, October 31, noonMatthew Nemerson, President & CEO Connecticut Technology CouncilVideo Conference Room at the Connecticut Innovation Center
Introductions and China familiarity Overview of the trip Opening observations China environment and growth
background Pictorial highlights My final thoughts Dicsussion
Quick introductions Have you been to China or the Pacific Rim? Special interests
Sponsored by Yale Education Travel My wife was “Professor on Board” 26 travelers
Mostly Law School and College grads from 1950s and 1960s with wives
Beijing > Xi’an > Yangtze River > Shanghai
18 Days
Expected Big buildings Great historical structures Growth Chaos Pollution Arrogance Oppression?
Didn’t expect Humility and introspection Optimism and appreciation for developments Fondness for USA Cleanliness (in Beijing and Shanghai) Quality of Museums Quality of infrastructure Level and expansiveness of growth Obvious challenges to continued growth
Road Warrior Details Canon Digital SLR – three lens Cannon – Powershot 100 point and shoot Panasonic laptop – 2.3 pounds WE 250 GB drive Conversion boxes Video Flip Sony hard-drive digital movie camera Lots of special plugs and powerpacks
Road Warrior Details Uploading to Flickr photos - slowly Bloging with Typepad – when connectivity Skyping when possible – a few problems From PDA wherever I was:
Text messaging at $.50 rather than calling at $1.95/minute
Getting emails usually and often able to send
Rank Country Industrial production Date of Info.
growth rate(%)1 Sudan 32.00 2007 est.
2 Azerbaijan 31.00 2007 est.
3 Angola 24.40 2007 est.
4 Vietnam 17.10 2007 est.
5 Equatorial Guinea 14.10 2007 est.
6 Egypt 13.80 2007 est.
7 China 12.90 2007 est~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~166 United Kingdom 0.70 2007 est.
167 Belize 0.50 2007 est.
168 Zimbabwe 0.50 2007 est.
169 United States 0.50 2007 est.
170 Saudi Arabia 0.20 2007 est.
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ch.html
Worlds largest at 104 million 2x the number of manufacturing
workers in the US, Canada, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, and the UK combined
Computers and computer parts in Guandong Province: “If there is a traffic jam between Dongguan
and Hong Kong, 70% of the world’s computer market will be affected.”A. Harney, The China Price, The Penguin Press, 2008
China is the number one producer of solar photovoltaics, with > 200 manufacturers creating 1700 MW of panels in 2007, nearly half of total world production of 3,800 MW.
China has become the world's leading proponent of solar heating technology
China is among the world leaders in wind energy with as much as 70% of the components made in China.
Chinese Renewable Energy Industries Association (CREIA), Scientific American, August 4, 2008
Incidence of Poverty – World Bank-ILOPeople PeopleBelow Below$2/Day $2/Day
Late-1980s Late-1990s
China 67.4% 50.1%India 83.2% 78.8%Africa 76.1% 76.1%
ANEEL KARNANI, THE MIRAGE OF MARKETING TO THE BOPCALIFORNIA MANAGEMENT REVIEW VOL. 49, NO. 4 SUMMER 2007
China's population doubled in 50 years to 1.3 billion today.
China is home to approximately 20% of the world's 6.4 billion
people. 170 cities over 1 million population Total of 56 ethnic groups, of which
the largest is the Han Chinese.
The Distribution of World Population
PRC government structure II
Policy is not set by government, but primarily by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
CCP something like a board of directors, but also maintains a parallel organizational structure to that of the government bureaucracy, with Party members overseeing the work of government officials.
J. Starr, Understanding China, Hill and Wang, 2001.
‘‘development is of overriding importance’’
‘‘development is the top priority’’ ‘‘overall, balanced and sustainable
development’’ gradually giving birth to a scientific
philosophy of development specific to China
Source: Liu, J. and Diamond, J. (2008). Revolutionizing China’s environmental protection. Science, Vol 413, 37-38
CO2 emissions are rising in step with growing GDP
Compared to the average person in China: Americans consume nine times as much
energy, use four times as much water, and release nearly eight times as much
greenhouse gas
Large (but controlled) population x sustained high rates of economic growth x increased investments in military and space x growing technological might = world superpower?
Intolerance of social behaviors x mass rural unemployment x corruption x poor environmental conditions x unwillingness to undertake structural reform = collapse of China?
Remember these sentiments:
The only way for manufacturers to compete with China is to move operations to China themselves....
“China makes you sharp or it kills you.”
Wall Street JournalMarch 2004
Move up the value chain from low value goods – i.e. cars, motorcycles industrial machinery
Branch out into design – J&J, research and development, brand creation to compete with higher price int’l brands
Acquire rivals and increase economies of scale
Retire and speculate on real estate!!
In December 2004, Chinese leaders agreed to shift the economy to be less reliant on inventment and exports and more toward domestic consumption.
One Chinese report referred to this as a move away from the two “strong horses” of investment and international trade toward the “weak donkey” of consumption.
Importing companies contribute to China’s vast pollution
That pollution has reached the US west coast and other parts of the world
China and other countries compete for energy, food crops, and other global resources (but this also reduces fertilizer loading and the water needed to grow grains and other crops
China’s fate is already intertwined with that of the rest of the world.
The rule of law and the legal system Worker and farmer health, safety and
livelihoods Watchdog role of media Grow-at-any cost vs. balanced
development And, even with the rising expectations of
Chinese citizens, ultimately, remember an important lesson from the west…
Getting used to world class airports
Getting used to world class airports
German Maglev connects to Shanghai suburbs and goes 250 MPH
Beijing extreme
The contrasts
Keeping the place clean
Olympic memories
Tiananmen Square
Tiananmen Square
Forbidden City
Forbidden City
“Traditional” Peking Duck
The Great Wall
Ming Tombs
Beijing Opera
Temple of Heaven
Hospital of traditional medicine
Summer Palace
At Tsinghua University
Platinum Certified
Marian Lectures
Xi’an
The Xi’an terracotta warriors
The Xi’an terracotta warriors
The Xi’an terracotta warriors
The Xi’an terracotta warriors
Xi’an scenes
Changing China
A typical university 40,000 students 4 year old campus Language and foreign trade
The country side
The 3 Gorges Dam
“Tangtze” River
The 3 Gorges Dam
The “trackers”
Impact of 3 Gorges Dam
Impact of 3 Gorges Dam
Impact of 3 Gorges Dam
Cultural and economic Impact of 3 Gorges Dam
The biggest city you never heard of… Chongching – 33 million
The biggest city you never heard of… Fascinating museum about the US
during and after war of Japanese occupation
Shanghai
Shanghai
Shanghai
Shanghai
Modern lifestyles
Modern lifestyles
Terrific Museums
Terrific Museums – Urban Planning
The acrobats are still going strong
Yale China Educational Trip October 2008
Thanks for watching!