A sea of Opportunities

A SWOT of the Future of Our Seas

Luc van Hoof January 12th, 2016

Today’s menu

The Big Challenge Use of the seas! SWOT 2050? 2050!

Planet EARTH???

70% of our world is ocean

The Challenge

Feeding the world

Renewable energy production

Blue Growth

To feed 9-10 billion people by 2050Blue Revolution

Thinking of the Sea

Several images come to mind

Geographical area

Ecosystem

Political Area

Ruimte voor

Scheepvaart

Zandwinning

Windenergie

Olie & gas winning

Natuurbescherming

Aquacultuur

Recreatievissers

Visserij

Watersport

Defensie

Kabels & Leidingen Zandsuppletie

Future use of the Sea

• World demand for fish & fish products• Aquaculture• Recreational Fisheries• Marine Tourism• Shipping• Wind farms • Oil & Gas • Conservation

Its getting crowded

More activities out at sea More sectors More stakes More stakeholders Globalisation

Strengths

Lots of space Lots of water Lots of resources A lot of potential

●Food, feed, pharmaceuticals, energy, transport, ingredients, materials, minerals, nature, climate buffer

Lots of possibilities

Weaknesses

Not all waters are equal coastal zone vs high seas Lack of an ocean knowledge base Also on the potential economic challenges Resilience but tipping points Open Access Jurisdictions Lack of management of critical marine resources Governance, regulation and ocean policy

Opportunities: Blue Growth (1)

Aquaculture Seagriculture Coastal tourism Marine biotechnology Ocean energy Seabed mining

Opportunities: Ocean Food production

Fisheries?●Discards & Management

Sea ranchingMari-cultureBuilding with Nature

Options Produce more food

Sustainable Intensification Ecosystem approaches Ocean production

More efficient use of food there is no such thing as waste Alternative sources of proteins “Ingredientisation”

Major threats to the world's oceans (1)

Unsustainable fishing threat to ocean life, habitats, livelihoods and

food security

Major threats to the world's oceans (2)

Inadequate protection MPAs, working policies

Major threats to the world's oceans (3)

Tourism & Urban Development Coastlines and the coastal zone

Major threats to the world's oceans (4)

Shipping oil spills, ship groundings, anchor damage, and

the dumping of rubbish, ballast water, and oily waste

Major threats to the world's oceans (5)

Oil & gas prospecting and drilling windfarms Oil spills What to do with abandoned equipment

Major threats to the world's oceans (6)

Pollution sewage, garbage, fertilizers, pesticides,

industrial chemicals, plastics

Major threats to the world's oceans (7)

Aquaculture pollution the farms discharge, escaped farmed

fish, increased parasite loads, and the need to catch wild fish as feed.

Major threats to the world's oceans (8)

Climate Change Coral bleaching, rising sea levels, changing

species distributions

So where will we be in 2050?

2050?

Marine Dead Zones

2050!

seaweed

statice

samphire spirulina