a status update for flashfluxincluding data usage ... · –now uses fp-it (geos 5.12.4) and modis...

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A Status Update for FLASHFlux including Data Usage Highlights from new POWER portal Paul Stackhouse, David P. Kratz, and Takmeng Wong, (NASA LaRC) PC Sawaengphokhai, Shashi Gupta and Anne Wilber (SSAI) POWER Team: Jason Barnett, Tyler Bristow, and Bradley MacPherson (Booz-Allen-Hamilton); David Westberg and James Hoell, (SSAI) Tonya Davenport and Fenny Wang and the Atmospheric Science Data Center Team (SSAI) 5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 1

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Page 1: A Status Update for FLASHFluxincluding Data Usage ... · –Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018) –FLASHFluxTISA available via CERES subsetter,

A Status Update for FLASHFlux including Data Usage Highlights from new POWER portal

Paul Stackhouse, David P. Kratz, and Takmeng Wong, (NASA LaRC)

PC Sawaengphokhai, Shashi Gupta and Anne Wilber (SSAI)

POWER Team: Jason Barnett, Tyler Bristow, and Bradley MacPherson (Booz-Allen-Hamilton); David Westberg and James Hoell, (SSAI)

Tonya Davenport and Fenny Wang and the Atmospheric Science Data Center Team (SSAI)

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 1

Page 2: A Status Update for FLASHFluxincluding Data Usage ... · –Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018) –FLASHFluxTISA available via CERES subsetter,

CERES FLASHFlux Overview• FLASHFlux Overview

– Uses CERES based production system through inversion applied to Terra and Aqua for SSF products

– Most recent calibration projected forward– LPSA/LPLA SOFA algorithms for surface fluxes– FF TISA uses a 3-day window for diurnal interpolation using both Terra and

Aqua; central daily average delivered in sun local time

• FLASHFlux Operational Objectives– FF SSF products within 4 days => ASDC, CERES subsetter– FF TISA Global 1x1 daily averages within 6-7 days latency => ASDC,

CERES subsetter– FF TISA processed for inclusion into POWER Web portal to dissemination

directly to users => most usage through POWER

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 2

Page 3: A Status Update for FLASHFluxincluding Data Usage ... · –Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018) –FLASHFluxTISA available via CERES subsetter,

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 3

FLASHFLUX: Schematic of Current Uses

CERES FLASHFluxSSF (Lev 2) &TISA (Lev 3)

Data Products(ASDC Archive)

Scientific Uses

Missions : NOAA GOES-16/17, CloudSat and Megha-Tropiques

Agricultural Crop Projections: NASA APIAS,ICASA general worldwide usage

Educational UsesNASA Earth Observatory

POWER Web Portal (power.larc.nasa.gov)

Applied Science Uses

Building Energy Monitoring with RETScreenExpert: for NASA center buildings and

general worldwide usage

Field Campaigns

subscription

BAMS Annual “State of Climate” Report

ASDC Order As Needed

ProcessedNightly from DPO

Local Use (DPO)

RETScreenformat

DSSAT format

CERES S’COOL

CERES WGs

Page 4: A Status Update for FLASHFluxincluding Data Usage ... · –Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018) –FLASHFluxTISA available via CERES subsetter,

FLASHFlux v3C Status

• Production with v3C (MODIS C5/C6/C6.1) (since Jan 1, 2017)– Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018)

– FLASHFlux TISA available via CERES subsetter, ASDC and specialized formats through

POWER web portal (power.larc.nasa.gov) 5-6 days latency

– Plan to continue production for 2019 while production adapted to FF v4A; plan to reprocess

from the end of December once FF v4A ready

• Current Activities– Development towards V4A => V4A through FLASHFlux SSF being tested (uses MC6.1)

– V3C vs 4A SSF; SW algorithm updates being evaluated

– Finalizing V4A TISA modifications (consistent with Ed 4)

• FLASHFlux Data Provision Through POWER– POWER web portal usage growing

– Usage Examples from US and World

– User metrics through April

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 4

Page 5: A Status Update for FLASHFluxincluding Data Usage ... · –Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018) –FLASHFluxTISA available via CERES subsetter,

Current FLASHFlux Versions

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 5

3/29/171/1/1712/1/16V3B (GEOS 5.9.1, MC5)

V3C (MC5, GEOS 5.12.4)

(started 8/1/14)

V3C (MC6.1, GEOS 5.12.4)

MC = MODIS Collection 5/6/6.1GEOS = FP-IT version

3/31/18

3/1/18

V3C (MC6, GEOS 5.12.4)

Present

Using MODIS Collection 6 to 6.1 (but Ed 2 Clouds)

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Current v3C Production System

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 6

MOA FLASH 1.1P1

InversionCER3.1P2 (Terra)CER3.1P3 (Aqua)

(Hourly)

SSFSubsetter

Clouds MainCER2.1P2 (Terra)CER2.1P3 (Aqua)

(Hourly)

CER1.1P8 (IES)

SSFA EQCHB SSFB

PGE Output

PGE Input

Clouds CER2.3P1(Monthly)

CERESSnow &Ice

ESNOW/EICE

MODISMOD03 (terra)MYD03(aqua)

CER3.2P2SSF

FLASHSFC-HR

CER3.4P1S’COOL

andValidation

CER5.1P1TISA Avg

(Daily)

FLASHFlux Processing Stream

FLASHGrid Hourly

4.2P1

EQCHGSSFAI CRHU-WL0063

LegendMOA (SS1)

Clouds (SS2)

Instantaneous Fluxes (SS3)

Time and Space gridding (SS4)

Time and Space averaging (SS5)

MODIS Collection 6.1

Using FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4)

FF Daily (.netCDF)

POWER Applications

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Latency Success Rates for SSF and TISA

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19

SSF 4 Days Latency Success Rate

Terra Aqua

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19

TISA Latency Success Rate

6 days 7 days

90%

70%

% Time SSF Products Delivered < 4 Days(Terra in blue; Aqua in orange)

% Time TISA Products Delivered < 4 Days(6 days in blue; 7 days in red)

Nov/ Dec ‘18

Nov/ Dec ‘18

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Updated Global Anomaly Time Series

CERES Science Team Meeting 8

Global-annual Mean Difference (2018 minus 2017) (W m-2)

2018 Anomaly (relative to Clima-tology) (W m-2)

Inter-annual variability (2001 to 2017) (W m-2) (2-sigma)

OLR -0.40 +0.500 ±0.60

TSI -0.00 -0.10 ±0.15

RSW +0.05 -0.70 ±0.85

Net +0.40 +0.60 ±0.80

“State of the Climate 2018”(Stackhouse et al, 2019 submitted)

5/7/2019

+/- 2 sigma of climatology

EBAF; extended with FF

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TOA Flux Year-to-Year Changes

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 9

2018 (EBAF+FF’) Minus 2017 (EBAF only)

Stackhouse et al, 2019 submitted

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Recent SW Validation: 1/2017– 12/2018

CERES Science Team Meeting

Daily Averaged TISA Comparison

5/7/2019 10

0

100

200

300

400

500

0 100 200 300 400 500

Vers

ion

3C D

eriv

ed D

SF

(W m

-2)

Ground Measured DSF (W m-2)

1 2-10 11-20 19-50 51 - 100 > 100

N = 14831Bias = -5.3 W m-2

RMS = 29.8 W m-2

Version 3C201701-201812

Ensemble Type Bias(W m-2)

RMS(W m-2)

N

All Obs -5.3 29.8 14831

Continental -4.5 28.0 8311

Coastal -3.6 25.5 2616

Desert -5.0 20.7 2055

High Latitude -25.4 54.8 1155

Island 11.4 30.1 694

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Recent LW Validation: 1/2017 – 12/2018

CERES Science Team Meeting

Daily Averaged TISA Comparison

5/7/2019 11

0

100

200

300

400

500

0 100 200 300 400 500

Vers

ion

3C D

eriv

ed D

LF (

W m

-2)

Ground Measured DLF (W m-2)

1 2-10 11-50 51 - 100 101 - 200 > 200

N = 14995Bias = -5.2 W m-2

RMS = 16.2 W m-2

Version 3C 201701-201812

Ensemble Type Bias(W m-2)

RMS(W m-2)

N

All Obs -5.2 16.2 14995

Continental -7.8 16.5 8097

Coastal -3.3 13.2 2599

Desert -6.5 15.4 2025

High Latitude 6.9 21.2 1577

Island -5.0 11.7 697

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-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

FLAS

HFlux

- Gr

ound

Mea

sure

d DS

F (W

m-2

)

GCR Mean = 181.2 Wm-2

Bias = -0.7 Wm-2

RMS = 23.0 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150FL

ASHF

lux

- Gro

und

Mea

sure

d DS

F (W

m-2

)

SGP Mean = 184.3 Wm-2

Bias = 2.2 Wm-2

RMS = 22.2 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

Version 3C Difference Time Series: SW & LW

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 12

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DLF

(W m

-2)

SGP Mean = 341.0 Wm-2

Bias = -2.8 Wm-2

RMS = 11.2 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DLF

(W m

-2)

GCR Mean = 355.3 Wm-2

Bias = -4.2 Wm-2

RMS = 12.1 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

SW

LW

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POWER GIS-Enabled Portal Featuring FLASHFlux Fluxes(https://power.larc.nasa.gov)

• Using ArcGIS architecture to geospatially enable entire POWER data archive for access to growing Applied Science users.

• Increased spatial/temporal resolutions: - Features CERES FLASHFLUX for Solar &

GMAO MERRA-2/GEOS 5.12.4 for meteorological parameters

- Mapped to ½ x ½ spatial resolution, Low latency Daily Time Series, 30 Year Climatological Averages

• Complete API service (data order using URL)- allows for data to be repeatedly requested

using a script or from within a user analysis program

• Interactive Data Access Viewer and ArcGIS Image Services- User selection of location, parameters- Output formats ASCII, CSV, geoJSON,

NetCDF4, ICASA, GeoTiff

135/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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POWER Data Usage Metrics Since Release

14

POWER Data Monthly Average Metrics(POWER-GIS v1 on-line May 16, 2018)

Acquisition Type

Unique Users

Data Requests

Effective Volume (Gb)

API 18,491 27,315,190 11,966

ArcGIS --a 85,413 0.01

DAV 73,987 478,378 1,363

OPeNDAP 136 669,208 216

RETScreen 1,606b 122,624 158

Total 89,666c 28,670,813 13,703

CERES 64,015 14,791,195 3,045

% CERES 71.4% 51.9% 22.2%

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

a Currently untrackable; b Old RETScreen version users not counted;c Unique users across all acquisition types

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POWER Connects to RETScreen

15

RETScreen Clean Energy Management Software

World’s leading clean energy decision-making software• Benchmark, feasibility, performance and

portfolio analysis• Energy efficiency, heating and cooling, power

generation and cogeneration• Renewable energy and fossil fuels• Residential and commercial/institutional

buildings and industrial facilities• 36 languages covering 2/3rds world’s population

Empowering cleaner energy decisions worldwide• 575,000+ users in all countries, growing at

50,000+ new users per year• 1,100+ universities & colleges also use for

teaching & research

• Well over $8 billion in direct user savings since 1998

Next generation, RETScreen Expert, released September 2018 with updated NASA POWER interface

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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POWER Impacts: LaRC Energy Projects -RETScreen Shutdown Analysis

16

• “RETScreen is a great tool for analyzing discrepancies from the baseline.”

• Estimated 940,000 kWh ($61,000) reduction in usage during the furlough as compared to what the predicted usage should have been (relative to weather).

• How was this reduction realized?

- Partial building shutdown.- Significantly fewer people

on Center (estimated ~400 total; about 11%).

• NASA Office of Strategic Infrastructure is planning to use RETScreen and Autotune(based upon EnergyPlusmodel) NASA wide.

Courtesy Loretta Kelemen, Director, LaRC Center Operations

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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POWER Impacts: Benefits for World Agriculture S. America/Italy: HCO Hazelnut Company (Ferrero Corp. – makers of Nutella) uses data to assess suitability of crops in different regions; then uses for crop modeling simulations

Germany: Assess physical and chemical effects of land management practices. J OanneumResearch Forschungsgesellschaft mbH LIFE – Centre for Climate, Energy and Society, Graz

U.K.: “I am a researcher at ICRAF HQ (World Agroforestry Centre) trying to use POWER data in R to test the climate resilience of different farming methods in Africa.” Peter Steward, School of Biology, University of Leeds, Leeds.

US: Lumigrow is developing tool that may use POWER solar information from API to design smart lighting systems for greenhouse horticulture. Expects to build to 2000-3000 users per month. Brandon Newkirk, Emeryville, California, USA

Australia: “ … I can’t think of any other way I would do ET-based irrigation scheduling for sites that do not have actual daily records if it weren’t for the NASA data, so the service is invaluable for that work” Dr. John McPhee, Tasmania Institute of Agriculture

US/Netherlands: Worked with POWER data extensively for crops models in the global yield gap atlas project www.yieldgap.org

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 17

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Near Future: Moving FLASHFlux Toward V4Attribute FF v3C (MC6) FF v4A FF v4BBaseline 1QC Previous New calibration New calibration

GEOS FP-IT input GEOS 5.12.4 GEOS 5.12.4 GEOS 5.12.4

MOA Ed 4 compatible Ed 4 compatible Ed 4 compatible

MODIS Collection 6 Collection 6.1 Collection 6.1

Clouds Ed 2 Ed 4 w/ MC 6.1 calibration (current work)

Ed 4

SIBi (Snow/ICE Brightness Index)

No Yes Yes

Inversion (improved ADMs) Ed 2 Ed 4 Ed 4

Aerosols MATCH climatology MATCH climatology GEOS 5.12.4

Flux Algorithms Unchanged Modified SW surface algorithm (current work)

A0, Ap adjustments; new clear-sky TOA & surface albedos (current work)

TISA Ed 2 Compatible w/ Ed 4 (current work)

Compatible w/ Ed 4 (custom CERES TSI?)

Data Processed March 28 - present Planned to begin 1/1/19 None

Validation Results 1/1/17 – 6/30/18 --- ---

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 18

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Moving to FLASHFlux Ed4A

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 19

3/29/171/1/1712/1/16V3B (GEOS 5.9.1, MC5)

V3C (MC5, GEOS 5.12.4)

(started 8/1/14)

V3C (MC6.1, GEOS 5.12.4)

V4A (CERES Ed 4, MC6.1, GMAO 5.12.4)

1/1/19

MC = MODIS Collection 5/6/6.1GEOS = FP-IT version

3/31/18

3/1/18

V3C (MC6, GEOS 5.12.4)

12/31/18

Under development and testing

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Planned v4A Production System

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 20

MOA FLASH 1.1P1

InversionCER3.1P2 (Terra)CER3.1P3 (Aqua)

(Hourly)

SSFSubsetter

Clouds MainCER2.1P2 (Terra)CER2.1P3 (Aqua)

(Hourly)

CER1.1P8 (IES)

SSFA EQCHB SSFB

PGE Output

PGE Input

Clouds CER2.3P1(Monthly)

CERESSnow &Ice

ESNOW/EICE

MODISMOD03 (terra)MYD03(aqua)

CER3.2P2SSF

FLASHSFC-HR

CER3.4P1S’COOL

andValidation

CER5.1P1TISA Avg

(Daily)

FLASHFlux Processing Stream

FLASHGrid Hourly

4.2P1

EQCHGSSFAI CRHU-WL0063

LegendMOA (SS1)

Clouds (SS2)

Instantaneous Fluxes (SS3)

Time and Space gridding (SS4)

Time and Space averaging (SS5)

Ed 4 Clouds

MODIS Collection 6.1

Update forEd 4 SSF

SIBI

Update forEd 4 using FPIT

Initial data date Jan 1, 2018

FF Daily (.netCDF)

POWER Applications

Page 21: A Status Update for FLASHFluxincluding Data Usage ... · –Now uses FP-IT (GEOS 5.12.4) and MODIS Collection 6.1 (after March 1, 2018) –FLASHFluxTISA available via CERES subsetter,

Summary and Conclusions• FLASHFlux 3C and 4A progress

– Continued producing v3C MODIS 6.1– Developing v4A compatible with CERES Ed 4; will use to MODIS Collection 6.1– Evaluating changes to SW MODEL B

• FLASHFlux Applications:– POWER web portal featuring GIS tools for CERES/FF/POWER and with ASDC to

resulted in expansion of user base >64K unique IPs and ~15M data requests– Building agricultural usage; account for nearly 75% of data volume

• FLASHFlux publications: – 2018 SotC report submitted– Future papers: FLASHFlux TISA applications including energy

• Future Versions– Developing v4A by migrating CERES Ed 4 Clouds (collection 6.1) and Inversion; must

adapt current FF TISA => target June ‘19– Longer-term Upgrades (Spring ‘20): Refine SW Model B, Assess & adapt CERES TSI

to FLASHFlux TISA, Assess FPIT aerosol assimilation; NPP SSF

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 21

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FLASHFlux Web Sites:

https://flashflux.larc.nasa.gov

https://power.nasa.gov & https://power.nasa.gov

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 22

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Extras

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 23

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POWER (v1, GIS): Three Main Data Accessibility Options

245/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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POWER (v1, GIS): Interactive Data Access Viewer

25

Graphical Data Access- ½ x ½ deg; within 5-7 days of obs- multiple parameters from FLASHFlux, GMAO, etc. available- parameters arranged by application community (i.e., renewable energy, buildings, agroclimatology)- Multiple data output formats

Four Applications :- Time series at a single point (daily, monthly, up to 30 years*)- Regional times series (limited area)- Global climatology (30 year*)- Layer List (Image Services)

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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POWER (v1, GIS): ArcGIS Image ServicesImage Services1. Migrated current SSE-GIS

capabilities (see https://asdc-arcgis.larc.nasa.gov/sse/

2. OGC compliant (opensource)

3. Includes all available parameters for climatological values (ability to click a location and obtain data values)

4. Background maps with support for image tools

5. Time series slider and swiping tools, etc.

6. To Do: implement more services, allow for time series, add on-the-fly

265/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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POWER (v1, GIS): Accessing Data with API Service

• Complete instructions to setup up URL based data access (API using OPeNDAP)

• Provide immediate access to the data parameters and time periods required

• Returned file formatted for general software (Excel, GRaDs, MatLab) or customized script/coding for Decision Support Tools (RETScreen, HOMER)

275/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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Surface Energy Flux Year-to-Year Changes

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 28

Qnet = (SWnet+LWnet) – (LH+SH)

- FF provides last 2 years of surface fluxes for SW and LW- Changes consistent with TOA- LH, SH using OAFlux

- LH, SH interannual changes larger than net SW+LW

- El Nino like changes in central Pacific & warming in N. Pacific

Yu et al., 2019 submitted to State of Climate total surface energy changes 2018 - 2017l

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POWER Impacts: User Metrics

Inception through 3/31

Unique Users (K)

Data Requests (M)

Data Volume (Gb)

Renewable Energy

71.3 5.76 2543

Sustainable Buildings

5.8 0.86 270

Agro-climatology

9.3 19.44 9,340

Total 78.5* 25.95 12,032

POWER Weekly Data Requests by Data Source

POWER Weekly User Unique IPs by User Community

Dat

a R

eque

sts

Uni

que

Use

r IPs

* Total excludes user requests under different themes

Low latency 27% of DAV; 73% of daily API29

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POWER User Metrics Since Release

30

POWER Data Request Metrics(POWER-GIS v1 on-line May 16, 2018)

+ Includes only May 16 – May 31* Excludes returning users in multiple months

Month Unique Users

Data Requests

Effective Volume (Gb)

May+ 1,074 148,090 87

June 4,787 695,524 412

July 7,688 310,585 234

August 7,985 519,756 673

Total 19,706* 1,673,955 1,407.09

% Using FLASHFlux 71.3% 64.6% 14%

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

% T

ime

Lag

< or

= to

Lag

Bin

Lim

it (%

)

Lag Bin Limit (Days)

Cumulative Frequency Distribution of Data Lag

% Success

% Success Since May 1

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

% T

ime

Lag

< or

= to

Lag

Bin

Lim

it (%

)

Lag Bin Limit (Days)

Cumulative Frequency Distribution of Data Lag

% Terra Success

% Terra Success since May 1

% Aqua Success

% Aqua Success since May 1

FLASHFlux Latency Success

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 31

FF SSF Goal: 4-day latency FF TISA Goal: 6-day latency

95%

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32

• 3M Company manages 11 facilities using RETScreen

and POWER (CERES FLASHFlux) data: “The NASA

datasets we use are critical to our energy analysis

since they are used as major variables that predict

our energy use.”

• Renewable energy engineers use daily solar

irradiance to assess performance of multiple solar

systems for clients of RETScreen users in Ottawa

region (e.g., others include MIT, Lockheed Martin,

Corning, Johnson Controls)

• Hawaii Department of Education implementing

program to use RETScreen at all education

buildings/schools

• Ontario Schools including Niagara district using

RETScreen (https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/school-

board-energy-managers-lead-way-gregory-j-leng)

Adding to US facilities soon!

3M Managing

Manufacturing Facilities

using

RETScreen and POWER

Example Uses of FF Data Distributed Through POWER

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting

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Updated Global Anomaly Time Series

CERES Science Team Meeting 33

Global-annual Mean Difference (2018 minus 2017) (W m-2)

2018 Anomaly (relative to Clima-tology) (W m-2)

Inter-annual variability (2001 to 2017) (W m-2) (2-sigma)

OLR -0.40 +0.500 ±0.60

TSI -0.00 -0.10 ±0.15

RSW +0.05 -0.70 ±0.85

Net +0.40 +0.60 ±0.80

“State of the Climate 2018”(Stackhouse et al, 2019 submitted)

5/7/2019

+/- 2 sigma of climatology

EBAF; FF extending

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-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

FLAS

HFlux

- Gr

ound

Mea

sure

d DS

F (W

m-2

)

GCR Mean = 181.2 Wm-2

Bias = -0.7 Wm-2

RMS = 23.0 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DSF

(Wm

-2)

FPK Mean = 166.8 Wm-2

Bias = -12.5 Wm-2

RMS = 39.5 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

FLAS

HFlux

- Gr

ound

Mea

sure

d DS

F (W

m-2

)

DRA Mean = 241.5 Wm-2

Bias = -6.4 Wm-2

RMS = 21.2 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DSF

(Wm

-2)

SGP Mean = 184.3 Wm-2

Bias = 2.2 Wm-2

RMS = 22.2 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

Version 3C Difference Time Series: SW

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 34

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-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DLF

(W m

-2)

GCR Mean = 355.3 Wm-2

Bias = -4.2 Wm-2

RMS = 12.1 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DLF

(W m

-2)

FPK Mean = 284.9 Wm-2

Bias = -3.1 Wm-2

RMS = 10.8 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DLF

(W m

-2)

DRA Mean = 318.5 Wm-2

Bias = -13.9 Wm-2

RMS = 18.7 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

FLAS

HFlu

x - G

roun

d M

easu

red

DLF

(W m

-2)

SGP Mean = 341.0 Wm-2

Bias = -2.8 Wm-2

RMS = 11.2 Wm-2

OCT 2018

MAR 2019

JAN 2019

DEC 2018

NOV 2018

APR2018

FEB 2019

MAY 2018

JUN 2018

JUL 2018

AUG 2018

SEP 2018

Version3C Difference Time Series: LW

5/7/2019 CERES Science Team Meeting 35