a supercourse for science: the view from the south ismail serageldin aaas – boston 15 february...
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A SuperCourse for Science:The View From The South
Ismail SerageldinAAAS – Boston
15 February 2008
Outline
• The World We Live In
• The Challenges Facing The South
• The Importance Of Science Education
• The Need For The SuperCourse
• A Partnership: AAAS And The Bibliotheca Alexandrina
• The Future
The World We Live In
By 1999 the knowledge sector adds more value than business sector to the GDP of
OECD Countries
3.5%
2.9%
Businesssector
Knowledgesector
Source: OECD, 1999.
Rich Countries Vs. Poor Countries
Income:
40 Times
Research:
220 Times
THE POWER OF HUMAN CAPITAL
78
69
40
60.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Researchers and Engineers per 10,000workers
JAPAN
USA
EU
China
LDCs Non-Asia
Source: European Commission, Scientific Partnership for Development, Brussels, 1998, p. 8.
Source: European Commission, Scientific Partnership for Development, Brussels, 1998, p. 37.
PCs per 10,000 Persons
1800
230
10
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
OECD MIC LIC
The enormous weakness of the schooling system on which the
university builds
But Some Developing Countries Have Performed Spectacularly Well…
The Challenges Facing The South
The Asian Tigers
From a very poor island to
• 22 million people • On 36,000 sq. kms. Of
mostly mountainous terrain
But…• Extremely wealthy
(reserves of $ 266 billion, per cap. GDP of $26,000)
• An Industrial Powerhouse!
Some of the tallest buildings in the world
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
Taiwanese companies, from chip foundry TSMC to laptop maker Quanta, produce
enormously but products are marketed under other brand names
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
#1 Provider of chip foundry services, with 70% of the market worth $8.9 billion
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
#1 Provider of notebook PCs, with 72% of the market worth $22 billion
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
#1 Provider of LCD monitors, with 68% of the market worth $14 billion
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
#2 Provider of servers, with 33% of the market worth $1.8 billion
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
#2 Provider of digital still cameras, with 34% of the market worth $2 billion
Source: BusinessWeek, May 16, 2005
#1 Provider of PDAs, with 79% of the market
worth $1.8 billion
Other success stories abound
• Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Hong Kong, China, India…
Different Countries, Different Strategies
• Korea 1990: top 5 companies account for 60% of exports
• Taiwan 1990: Top 60 companies account for 5% of exports
• Taiwan 1990: 25% of companies working on exports have <5 employees!
Korean Brands
Korea
• 3rd poorest country in 1955 to 11th biggest economy in 2005
• Spends more than Italy and Canada on R&D• Samsung bigger than Sony• Samsung has more advanced technology in
some sectors than Sony, Motorola or Erickson
Education: The Korean Example
Korea before 1960s
Source: DongA
ilbo
Status of Economic Growth
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
1962 1970 1996
Korea
Zimbabwe
Kenya
Employment by Industrial Sector (%)
01020304050607080
1962 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
AgricultureManufacturingService
Growth of Trade Volume (mil USD)
020000400006000080000
100000120000140000160000180000200000 Export
Import
• GDP growth: 4.9%• GDP: $730bn• Inflation: 2.5%• Population: 48.5m• GDP per head: $15,050
South Korea
Source: The Economist, Issues of 2005
Korea: “The Policies that have worked
well in the past are not necessarily the best to confront the
challenges of tomorrow…”
Phase of manpower supply
Literate and manually skilled work force
Semi-skilledwork force
Skilledwork force
Knowledgework force
Phase of economic development
TRADITIONAL INDUSTRY INDUSTRIALIZATION POST INDUSTRIALIZATION
Agriculture
Labor intensive industries
Capital intensive heavy and chemicalindustries
High technology/ knowledge intensive industries
IT,BT,CT,ET,NTServicese business
Adultliteracycampaign
Universalprimaryeducation
SaemaulUndong
Universalsecondaryeducation
Masshighereducation
Phase of education and training
“can do” spirit
1945 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Interrelationship between educational and economic development
Quantity does not mean forgetting Quality
Korean Student’s Performance in Reading, Math and Scientific Literacy on PISA 2000
Finland 546 Japan 557 Korea 552Canada 534 Korea 547 Japan 550New Zealand 529 New Zealand 537 Finland 538
Australia 528 Finland 536 England 532Ireland 527 Australia 533
Canada529
Korea 525 Canada 533 New Zealand 528
England 523 Switzerland 529 Australia 528Japan 522 England 529 Austria 519Sweden 516 Belgium 520 Ireland 513Belgium 507 France 517 Sweden 512Austria 507 Austria 515 Czech Rep. 511Iceland 507 Denmark 514 France 500Norway 505 Iceland 514 Norway 500France 505 Sweden 510 U.S.A 499U.S.A 504 Ireland 503 Hungary 496Denmark 497 Norway 499 Iceland 496Switzerland 494 Czech Rep. 498 Belgium 496Spain 493 U.S.A 493 Switzerland 496Czech Rep. 492 Germany 490 Spain 491Italy 487 Hungary 488 Germany 487Germany 484 Spain 476 Poland 483Hungary 480 Poland 470 Denmark 481Poland 479 Italy 457 Italy 478Greece 474 Portugal 454 Greece 461Portugal 470 Greece 447 Portugal 459Luxemburg 441 Luxemburg 446 Luxemburg 443Mexico 422 Mexico 387 Mexico 422
Reading Math. ScienceCountry Averag
eCountry Averag
eCountry Average
Country
4th grade 8th grade
Math. Science Math. Science
KoreaJapanNether landsCzech Rep.AustriaIrelandHungaryAustraliaU.S.ACanadaScotlandEnglandNorwayNew ZealandGreecePortugalIceland International Average
611(1)597(2)577(3)567(4)559(5)550(6)548(7)546(8)545(9)
532(10)520(11)513(12)502(13)499(14)492(15)475(16)474(17)
537
597(1)574(2)557(6)557(7)565(4)
539(10)532(12)562(5)565(3)549(9)
536(11)551(8)
530(14)531(13)497(16)480(17)505(15)
543
607(1)605(2)541(4)564(3)539(5)527(8)537(6)530(7)
500(13)527(9)
498(14)506(11)503(12)508(10)484(16)454(17)487(15)
526
565(3)571(2)560(4)574(1)558(5)538(9)554(6)545(8)
534(10)531(11)517(14)552(7)
527(12)526(13)497(15)480(17)494(16)
537
International Comparisons of Mathematics and Science Performance of Students in the 4th and
8th grades (1995)*
* Source : OECD(1997). Education at a Glance.
Note : Number in parenthesis is rank in each category.
Again in 2003
Source, The Economist, 10 February 2007
Again in 2003
Source, The Economist, 10 February 2007
Gross tertiary enrollment ratio
1980
Low Middle High
34
114
WDI, 1999
Gross tertiary enrollment ratio
1980
1996
Low Middle High
58
34
1511
54
WDI, 1999
Tertiary enrollment ratios
0
20
40
60
80
1965 1975 1985 1995
SS Africa
Low & Middle
High Income
Source: Task Force, 2000,
Tertiary enrollment ratios
0
20
40
60
80
1965 1975 1985 1995
SS Africa
Low & Middle
Rep. Korea
High Income
Source: Task Force, 2000,
Tertiary enrollment in technical fields
0
10
20
30
40
50
Taiwan Rep. Korea Hong Kong
Singapore OECD
WDR, 1999
The Importance Of Science Education
Thank you
Thank you
Four year effort:
Published 1996
18,000 reviewers
250 pages
The Need For The SuperCourse
The SuperCourse
• Will allow teachers to organize their own material
• To take a whole lecture or individual slides
• To tailor the lecture to his/her needs
• To stay in touch in an easy and accessible fashion with the latest in science
A Partnership: AAAS and The Bibliotheca Alexandrina
To Make The SuperCourse Work
• Build Communities of practice• Collect the best lectures• Organize them in a user-friendly way• Make them available for free• Constantly update the information
• All this will require the involvement of top-flight scientific communities of practice in various disciplines…
To Make The SuoerCourse Work
• Build Communities of practice• Collect the best lectures• Organize them in a user-friendly way• Make them available for free• Constantly update the information
• All this will require the involvement of top-flight scientific communities of practice in various disciplines…
Who better than the AAAS can help with these fascinating
tasks?
Note that they will come largely as the by-product of the
regular work of practicing lecturing scientists…
Why The Bibliotheca Alexandrina (BA) – Egypt’s New Library Of Alexandria?
The Reborn Bibliotheca Alexandrina – The New Library Of Alexandria
Almost at the very spot of the old one, Dedicated to science, Born Digital
A symbolic Value, Yes, But much more practical reasons to choose the BA
Over a million visitors a day
Over 500 Events a year
And International Gatherings
Many Scientific Conferences
Over 750,000 day visitors annually
Thousands of Children
Over 10,000 subscribers>250,000 reader visits/yr
Websites: Over 150 million
hits per year
The New Library of Alexandria
A complex of lively institutions!
The BA has …• 7 Research Institutes• 5 specialized libraries• Internet archive• Main Library• 9 permanent exhibitions• 3 museums• ALEXploratorium• Planetarium• 6 art galleries• Conference center ……and a whole lot more!
The Internet Archive
• Holds the memory of the world
• Every publicly accessible page on the WWW
• 1996 to the present • Original in San
Francisco• Only copy is in
Alexandria
The Racks of the Petaboxes
Each Rack can take the text of 100 million books
(of 300 pages each) or 12 million formatted books
Synchronized Daily with San Francisco
An Infrastructure for Science
• Hybrid Library (25,000 journals)• Large computing capability• Analytical Center• Large Storage Devices• Large-bandwidth connectivity
Connectivity
SO…
Let’s Build A Partnership:AAAS and The Bibliotheca
Alexandrina
Teams can build huge achievements over time
And the BA in Egypt is equipping itself to compete in these Modern Times
To compete with the Asian Tigers
ChinaIndiaKoreaBrazil
Mexico& many more…
It Is the Dawn of A new Age!
It Is the Dawn of A new Age!
Let’s Embrace it!
The Future
With your help…
We will create In Egypt a Base for The Supercourse maintained by an
excellent local team
Our Team
Limited size, limited resources
The Competition
Large size, unlimited resources
But we will surprise you!
Working All Together
There is so much
we can do for a
whole generation
For The Whole World…
Thank You
The images used in this presentation are strictly for the
educational purpose of this lecture. Any use by anyone for
any other purpose should be after consulting the copyright owners
of these pictures