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Delayed Enucleation of Eyes with Advanced Intraocular Retinoblastoma Due to Pre-enucleation Treatment Increases Metastatic Death
Junyang Zhao, MD1*, Meirong Wei, MD2*, Guohua Liu, MD3*, Zhao Xun Feng, BSc4,5, Carlos E.
Solarte MD, FRCSC6, Bin Li, MD7, Yizhuo Wang, MD8, Chengyue Zhang, MD9, Brenda L.
Gallie, MD, FRCSC4,9,10
Authors’ affiliations
1 Department of Ophthalmology, Beijing Children’s Hospital, Capital Medical University,
National Center for Children’s Health, China.
2 Department of Ophthalmology, LiuZhou Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital, China.
3 Department of Ophthalmology, Qilu Children’s Hospital of Shan Dong University, China.
4 Department of Ophthalmology and Vision Science, Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto,
Ontario, Canada.
5 Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
6 Department of Ophthalmology and Vision Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta,
Canada.
7 Department of Ophthalmology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, China
8 Department of Pediatrics, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, China.
9 Departments of Ophthalmology and Vision Science, Molecular Genetics and Medical
Biophysics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
10 Vision Science Research Program, Krembil Research Institute, and Techna Institute,
University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Corresponding author: Junyang Zhao, 56 Nanlishi Lu, Xicheng District, Beijing, China,
100045 [email protected]
Running Head: Delayed Enucleation of Advanced Retinoblastoma Increases Death
Word count: /3000 words
Numbers of figures and tables: 1 consort diagram, 3 figures and 3 tables and 3 online only
figures
Key Words: retinoblastoma, enucleation, chemotherapy, pathology
Abstract (270/275)
Purpose: Advanced intraocular retinoblastoma can be cured by primary enucleation, but delay
may increase risk of metastasis. We hypothesized that delayed enucleation over a defined length
of time would increase metastatic death.
Methods: A multicenter retrospective review of eyes primarily and secondarily enucleated for
group D and E retinoblastoma. One eye enrolled per child. Primary outcome was disease-specific
survival.
Results: Studied were 554 enucleated eyes/children: 202 group D and 352 group E (International
Intraocular Retinoblastoma Classification). Primarily enucleated eyes had median <0.1 month
from diagnosis to enucleation. In comparison, pre-enucleation chemotherapy delayed enucleation
(group D median 8.4 months; group E median 2.8 months). Eyes with pre-enucleation
chemotherapy had fewer high-risk histopathology (pT3/pT4) than primarily enucleated eyes
(group D, p = .04; group E, p = .003).
Disease-specific survival (DSS) was lower with prolonged delay between diagnosis and
enucleation. Delay longer than 3.5 months (group D) and 2 months (group E) were associated
with reduced DSS (group D, p = .02; group E, p = .02). Children with group E eyes and 1 to 3
cycles of pre-enucleation chemotherapy had the same DSS as children who had primary
enucleation, but those with ≥4 cycles had lower DSS than children primarily enucleated (p
= .03). Children with high-risk eyes (pT3/pT4) after pre-enucleation chemotherapy had lower
DSS than those with high-risk eyes primarily enucleated (p = .002).
Conclusions: We showed that there is a window of opportunity in which enucleation is most
effective and no amount of pre-enucleation chemotherapy confer any survival benefit. Delay
from diagnosis to enucleation >3.5 months (group D) and >2 months (group E) increases risk of
death from metastasis.
Introduction
Retinoblastoma (RB) is the most common primary malignant intraocular tumor of the
eye.{Dimaras, 2015 #10} It accounts for 4% of all pediatric malignancies affecting one in every
16,000 to 18,000 live births.{Gallie, 1996 #7;Shields, 2006 #13;Broaddus, 2009 #12;Broaddus,
2009 #14} If discovered early, RB is one of the most treatable cancer. The International
Intraocular Retinoblastoma Classification (IIRC) predicts ≥90% chemotherapy success for
salvage of group A, B and C eyes.{Shields, 2006 #17} Even advanced RB (groups D and E)
confined to the eye can be cured by simple enucleation. However, of concern is that delayed
enucleation may increase risk of extraocular tumor extension which has limited curative options
and high mortality rate.{Gunduz, 2006 #16;Zhao, 2011 #9}
Unlike other pediatric cancers, rigorous controlled clinical trial in RB are missing for a
multitude of reasons including: low incidence of disease to interest pharmaceutical industry,
complexity with bilateral disease and vision preservation as a competing outcome measure to
cure of cancer.{Dimaras, 2015 #10} Therefore, multi-center collaboration in research is essential
to advance evidence for clinical management of RB. For this study, we assembled a database of
600 children whose eyes were primarily or secondarily enucleated for advanced intraocular RB
at 29 Chinese treatment centers. It is a continuation of our previous publication in 2011 which
identified a delay by more than 3 months from diagnosis to enucleation increases mortality for
children with group E eyes.{Zhao, 2011 #9} Since then, there has been an increasing shift
toward salvage of group D eyes by use of systemic chemotherapy{Chan, 2005 #26} and lately
intravitreal chemotherapy{Berry, 2017 #20;Munier, 2012 #18;Munier, 2012 #19}, intra-arterial
chemotherapy (IAC){Munier, 2016 #3;Yousef, 2016 #5;Shields, 2014 #4}, periocular
chemotherapy{Mallipatna, 2011 #24}, and tumor endoresection via pars plana vitrectomy{Zhao,
2018 #25}. Trial eye salvage with any of these modalities can delay enucleation. Our aim is to
re-evaluate the risk of delayed enucleation for both group D and E eyes. Secondary objective is
to study the relationship between pre-enucleation systemic chemotherapy and histopathologic
risk and their effect on long-term patient survival.
Method
Data Collection and Ethics
This was a retrospective study of all IIRC group D and E children who had primary and
secondary enucleation at 29 Chinese treatment centers between January 17, 2006 and December
26, 2010. The final follow-up date accounted in this study was December 13, 2017. Clinical
information collected include age at diagnosis, sex, disease laterality (unilateral/bilateral),
clinical staging of diseased eyes at diagnosis (IIRC), date of enucleation, neoadjuvant and
adjuvant treatments, last follow-up date, evidence of extraocular extension and date of death. The
study was approved by the ethics boards of all participating institutions, in accordance with the
Declaration of Helsinki. The list of participating centers is provided in Supplement X.
Eligibility
Of 600 children with advanced RB, none had clinical evidence of extraocular disease or
metastasis at diagnosis by lumbar puncture (LP), bone marrow aspiration, MRI or CT. For
analysis of delayed enucleation on mortality, criteria for exclusion were children who died from
reasons others than tumor metastasis and those with bilateral advanced RB (D/D, D/E, E/D or
E/E). For analysis of pre-enucleation chemotherapy (cycles or presence/absence) on mortality, in
addition to the above exclusion criteria, children with less than one complete chemotherapy cycle
(< 3 weeks) or those with pre-enucleation salvage therapy other than systemic chemotherapy
were secondarily excluded (Figure 1).
Histopathologic Assessment
All enucleated eyes were pathologically staged initially using the 7th Edition American
Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pTNM based on review of hematoxylin and eosin-stained
slides. Microscopic slides included multiple section levels of the mid-globe, both calottes and
surgical margin of optic nerve. Evaluated features included the presence and extent of tumor
invasion into the optic nerve, anterior chamber, choroid and sclera. A second independent
reviewer updated the histopathology staging to 8th Ed. AJCC pTNM via review of pathology
reports and representative microscopic sections. For analysis, histopathologic risk was condensed
into two groups: low-risk (pT1 and pT2) and high-risk (pT3 and pT4). High-risk features include
massive choroidal invasion (≥3 mm), scleral invasion, episcleral invasion, retrolaminar optic
nerve invasion and invasion of optic nerve surgical margin. Table 1 summarizes the 8th Ed.
AJCC pathological staging.
Statistical Analysis
Sex, age at diagnosis, time from diagnosis to enucleation, follow-up since diagnosis,
systemic chemotherapy or not before enucleation, histopathologic risk (high vs low risk),
systemic chemotherapy or not after enucleation and IIRC classification (group D or E) were
summarized using frequency/percentage for categorical variables and median/range for
continuous variables. Baseline characteristics of children with and without pre-enucleation
chemotherapy were compared using Pearson - Chi2 test for categorical variables and Mann-
Whitney U test for continuous variables. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was
used to determine true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) for all possible cut off
values of time from diagnosis to enucleation in relation to disease-specific survival (DSS). For
any given threshold, TPR is the proportion of dead children correctly predicted, while FPR is the
proportion of living children wrongly predicted to be dead. TPR was prioritized in threshold
selection due to the greater importance of correctly identifying children at risk of metastasis.
Thresholds were used for placing children into categorical groups for survival analysis. Kaplan-
Mier (KM) survival analysis was associated to log-rank test for testing survival equality. Cox
proportional-Hazards model was used in complementary to calculate survival equality and
hazard ratio between sub-groups. Length of DSS was measured from date of diagnosis to date of
metastatic death. Patients alive were censored at last follow up. All P-values reported are two
sided and less than 0.05 indicated significance. All analysis was performed using STATA
version 15.1 (Stata Corporation) and SPSS Version 25 (IBM Corp).
Results
Patient Clinical Information
A total of 202 group D and 352 group E eyes from 554 children (335 males and 219
females) were included, with a median age of 23 months (range, 1 to 122 months) at diagnosis.
Non-studied eyes of bilateral children were IIRC group A in 27 cases, group B in 32 cases and
group C in 20 cases. Enucleation was the primary treatment for 275 eyes, while 279 eyes were
treated initially with systemic chemotherapy prior to enucleation (Table 2). 29 children also
received other pre-enucleation treatments in addition to systemic chemotherapy: IAC in 18 cases,
PPV endoresection in 6 cases, plaque radiotherapy in 3 cases, 1 case of stem cell transplantation
and 1 case of immunotherapy. Sex and age at diagnosis were not significantly different between
children with and without pre-enucleation systemic chemotherapy. The medium times from
diagnosis to enucleation were ≤ 0.1 months for primarily enucleated group D and E eyes. In
comparison, pre-enucleation chemotherapy significantly delayed enucleation (group D median
0.1 vs 8.4 months, P < .001; group E median 0-day vs 2.8 months, P < .001). Longer follow-up
was given to group E eyes with pre-enucleation chemotherapy than group E eyes primarily
enucleated (median 93 vs 84 months, P = .03). More primarily enucleated eyes had high-risk
histopathology (pT3 and pT4) than eyes treated with chemotherapy (group D 21% vs 11%, P
= .04; group E 34% vs 20%, P = .003). Related to histopathology, less children with pre-
enucleation chemotherapy received post-enucleation chemotherapy than primarily enucleated
children (group D, 14% vs 51%, P < .001; group E, 47% vs 62%, P = .03).
Pre-enucleation Chemotherapy
Median pre-enucleation chemotherapy cycles were 4 (range, 1 to 15 cycles). The
chemotherapy regimens used were either carboplatin, etoposide, and vincristine, or carboplatin,
cyclosporine, teniposide and vincristine, with doses lower than therapeutic doses previously
published{Chan, 1996 #8;Gallie, 1996 #7}. Eyes were removed when tumors progressed with no
possibility of useful vision.
Patients Died from Retinoblastoma Metastasis
22 children died from metastasis of whom among which 6 had group D and 16 had group E eyes
(Table 3). 14 14 of 22 children received pre-enucleation chemotherapy (median, 5.5 cycles). 11
11 received post-enucleation chemotherapy (median, 3 cycles). The median time from diagnosis
to enucleation was 3.7 months (range, 0 to 42.3 months). Histopathologic examination identified
5 eyes as low-risk and 17 eyes as high-risk. pTNM staging were: 4 pT1 [18%], 1 pT2b [5%], 2
pT3a [9%], 4 pT3b [18%], 2 pT3c [9%] and 9 pT4 [41%].
Primary Outcomes
ROC analysis identified time from diagnosis to enucleation >3.5 months and >2 months as cut
offs for groups D and E eyes respectively (Supplement 2 and 3). For survival analysis, group As
such, D eyes were placed into two groups: eyes enucleated <3.5 months and >3.5 months from
time of diagnosis. Group E eyes were grouped into eyes enucleated <2 months and >2 months
from time of diagnosis (Figure 2).
The association of delayed enucleation with diminished survival was confirmed. DSS
was lower if enucleation of group D eyes were delayed by longer than 3.5 months from diagnosis
(48-month DSS, 93% vs 100%; P = .02). No child with group D eye enucleated within 3.5
months died. For children with group E eyes, lower DSS was associated with delay to
enucleation longer than 2 months were (48-month DSS 97% vs 90%; HR = 3.10; P = .02).
Secondary Outcomes
510 eyes (177 group D and 333 group E) were studied for the effect of pre-enucleation
chemotherapy cycles on DSS (Figure 3). Group E eyes that received 1 to 3 cycles of systemic
chemotherapy had the same DSS as primarily enucleated eyes (48-month DSS, 97% vs 96%;
Hazard ratio = 0.77; P = .74). However, those with four or more cycles of chemotherapy had
lower DSS (48-month DSS, 86% vs 96%; HR = 3.35; P = .03). 4 group D children with pre-
enucleation chemotherapy died, while all primarily enucleated group D children survived.
However, the number is too few for survival analysis.
Of enucleated eyes with low histopathologic risk (pT1 & pT2), children with pre-
enucleation chemotherapy or not had no difference in DSS (48-month DSS, 99% vs 99%; Hazard
ratio = 0.94; P = .95; Figure 4). Despite similar adverse histopathology (primary vs secondary
enucleation % pT4, 15% vs 25%, P = .255), high-risk eyes that received systemic chemotherapy
had lower DSS than high-risk eyes primarily enucleated (48-month DSS, 59% vs 93%; HR =
5.05; P = .002).
Exploratory Outcomes
248 of 554 children received systemic chemotherapy after enucleation, with a median of
3 cycles (range, 1 to 15 cycles; Supplement 4). Not supported by published data{Kaliki, 2013
#27;Kaliki, 2011 #29;Honavar, 2002 #28}, 150 of 440 low-risk eyes received post-enucleation
chemotherapy and 16 of 114 high-risk eyes did not receive post-enucleation chemotherapy.
There was no difference in DSS between low-risk eyes with and without post-enucleation
chemotherapy (48-month DSS, 99% vs 99%; Hazard ratio = 0.49; P = 0.52). High-risk eyes
with post-enucleation chemotherapy had higher DSS compare to eyes without chemotherapy
(48-month DSS, 89% vs 49%; Hazard ratio = 0.21; P < 0.001).
Discussion
Although advanced intraocular retinoblastoma is relatively rare in developed countries, it
is the most common presentation in the developing world. In low to mid-income Asian countries,
group D and E disease constitutes 78% to 89% of all intraocular RB cases.{Chawla, 2016
#2;Gao, 2016 #3} Multi-center collaboration enabled us to the accrual one of the largest
databases of enucleated group D and E eyes. Due to lack of treatment consensus, a multitude of
institutional protocols were used across the 29 centers in this study. Family and physician may
choose to use pre-enucleation chemotherapy for various reasons including the desire for eye
salvage, parental resistance to enucleation and the belief that chemotherapy would lower risk of
metastasis.
Despite shifting emphasis toward salvage therapy, our study once again highlights the
risk to life with prolong delay to enucleation. We showed that although does not improve
survival, short duration of chemotherapy is safe. Given reported success rate of 47% to 95%
from centers worldwide {Berry, 2013 #5;Shields, 2014 #6}, there presents a window of
opportunity, 3.5 months in length, for attempted salvage of group D eyes. Group E eyes usually
present with irreversible ocular damage and high probability of adverse histopathology; thus, we
recommend urgent primary enucleation for these eyes.{Kaliki, 2015 #36;Yousef, 2015
#37;Kaliki, 2013 #35;Wilson, 2011 #30} Retinoblastoma team can take advantage of the 2-
month grace period to counsel parents who are resistant to enucleation of group E eyes. Our
study showed that enucleation ought to be performed before 3.5 months for group D eyes and 2
months for group E eyes to minimize risk of metastasis.
The AJCC pTNM staging classifies the risk of metastasis based on extent of tumor
invasion and guides post-enucleation treatment. Our study points out the unreliability of pTNM
staging with secondary enucleation. Despite having the same advanced degree of tumor invasion
(pT3 & pT4), children who received pre-enucleation chemotherapy had diminished survival
compare to primarily enucleated children. High-risk histopathology after pre-enucleation
chemotherapy may be an indicator that the tumor is chemotherapy-resistant. Therefore, treatment
with the same regimen of chemotherapy (VEC) post-enucleation may be ineffective at clearing
off resistant microscopic metastasis.
The result from this study rejects a hypothesis from our previous publication that pre-
enucleation chemotherapy masks histopathologic risk.{Zhao, 2011 #9} We found children with
low-risk eyes survive equally well with and without pre-enucleation chemotherapy, lending
evidence against the possibility of high-risk eyes disguise as low-risk through chemotherapy.
The observation was that primarily enucleated children survived better than children who
received pre-enucleation chemotherapy despite having worse histopathology. It may be that
chemotherapy have truly downstaged some high-risk eyes to low-risk, but the improvement to
overall survival may be overwhelmed by the significantly worse survival of children who
received pre-enucleation chemotherapy but still has or later developed high-risk histopathology
(Figure 4). We feel high-risk eye despite systemic chemotherapy warrants closer monitoring by
the RB team. Perhaps these children could benefit from a different regimen of post-enucleation
chemotherapy or more aggressive adjuvant treatment such as orbital irradiation. Delay to
enucleation have been shown to associated with more adverse histopathology.{Kaliki, 2015
#36;Brennan, 2015 #41} Our finding of reduced survival for secondarily enucleated high-risk
eyes further underscore the importance of timely enucleation.
Our study also confirms finding by others that post-enucleation chemotherapy should be
reserved to children with high-risk histopathology.{Chantada, 2010 #38;Chantada, 2004 #39}
For children with low-risk eyes, post-enucleation chemotherapy exposes them to toxicity without
offering any survival benefit. Four children died from tumor metastasis despite of pT1
histopathology. The eyes of these children all had focal choroidal invasion or pre-/intra-laminar
invasion but not both. The worse survival of these children compared to children with neither of
these features prompts further study into the risk profile of histopathologic features. There is also
the possibility of pathology failure in which adverse features were present in these eyes but
weren’t noticed.
Conclusion
To summarize, our study reemphasized the danger of prolonged salvage treatment in
children with advanced intraocular retinoblastoma. We showed that no amount of pre-
enucleation systemic chemotherapy confers any survival benefit. Instead, delay to enucleation
>3.5 months for group D eyes and >2 months for group E eyes from chemotherapy or other
treatment increases risk of death from metastasis. Primary enucleation remains the method that
best achieves cure and attempts to salvage vision should never be carried out at the expense of a
child’s life.
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Table 1. American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological staging 8th Edition.
Category Criteria
pTX Unknown evidence of intraocular tumor
pT0 No evidence of intraocular tumor
pT1 Intraocular tumor(s) without any local invasion, focal choroidal invasion, OR pre- or intralaminar involvement of the optic nerve head
pT2 Intraocular tumor(s) with local invasion
pT2a Concomitant focal choroidal invasion and pre- or intralaminar involvement of the optic nerve head
pT2b Tumor invasion of stroma of iris and/or trabecular meshwork and/or Schlemm's canal
pT3 Intraocular tumor(s) with significant local invasion
pT3aMassive choroidal invasion (>3 mm in largest diameter, or multiple foci of focal choroidal involvement totaling >3 mm, or any full-thickness choroidal involvement)
pT3b Retrolaminar invasion of the optic nerve head, not involving the transected end of the optic nerve
pT3c Any partial-thickness involvement of the sclera within the inner two thirds
pT3d Full-thickness invasion into the outer third of the sclera and/or invasion into or around emissary channels
pT4
Evidence of extraocular tumor: tumor at the transected end of the optic nerve, tumor in the meningeal spaces around the optic nerve, full-thickness invasion of the sclera with invasion of the episclera, adjacent adipose tissue, extraocular muscle, bone, conjunctiva, or eyelids.
Table 2. Demographic and clinical characteristics of cohort (n = 554).
Group D Eyes (N = 202) Group E Eyes (N = 352)Pre-enucleation Chemotherapy Pre-enucleation Chemotherapy
No (N = 61) Yes (N =141) P No (N =
214) Yes (N = 138) P
SexMale 37 (61%) 88 (62%)
0.81*122 (57%) 88 (64%)
0.21*Female 24 (39%) 53 (38%) 92 (43%) 50 (36%)
Age at RB Diagnosis, months
Median 21.6 19.20.19†
26.2 24.60.32†
Range 0.8 – 75.2 1.0 – 102.5 1.6 – 121.7 1.9 – 96.9
Time from diagnosis to enucleation,
months
Median 0.1 8.4< .001†
0 2.8< .001†
Range 0 – 3.0 0.2 – 60.4 0 – 4.0 0.2 – 30.2
Follow up since RB diagnosis,
months
Median 85.0 84.90.95†
83.7 92.90.03†
Range 0 – 112.9 3.8 – 130.1 0 – 137.7 2.1 – 129.0
High-risk histopathology(pT3 & pT4) 13 (21%) 15 (11%) 0.04* 73 (34%) 27 (20%) 0.003*
Received post-enucleation chemotherapy 31 (51%) 20 (14%) < .001* 132 (62%) 65 (47%) 0.007*
* Pearson - Chi2 test† Mann-Whitney U test
Table 3. Clinical information of patients died from metastasis.
IIRCID of dead
patient
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(month)
Pre-enucleation
Chemotherapy (cycles)
Post-enucleation
Chemotherapy (cycles)
AJCCpTNM
High-risk Histopathologic FeaturesMassive
choroidal invasion
Scleral Invasion
Episcleral
Invasion
Retro-laminar Invasion
Tumor at Resection Margin
Group D Eyes
360* 3.5 4 0 pT1 No No No No No563* 15.4 6 0 pT3a Yes No No No No497 23.9 4 0 pT3b Yes No No Yes No96 3.8 3 0 pT4 No No No Yes Yes164 10.9 6 1 pT4 Yes Yes Yes No No273 42.3 6 0 pT4 Yes Yes Yes No No
Group E Eyes
33 0 0 0 pT1 No No No No No547 3.4 4 2 pT1 No No No No No349 11.2 5 0 pT1 No No No No No343 0 0 0 pT2b No No No No No219 0 0 6 pT3a Yes No No No No125 9.2 6 3 pT3a No No No Yes No518 0 0 3 pT3b Yes No No Yes No429 19.0 9 0 pT3b Yes No No Yes No577 2.0 1 0 pT3c Yes Yes No No No528 6.2 6 0 pT3c Yes Yes No No No166 0 0 1 pT4 No No No Yes No351 0 0 4 pT4 No No No Yes Yes409 0.1 0 3 pT4 No No No Yes Yes480 0 0 12 pT4 Yes No No Yes Yes279 5.1 1 2 pT4 Yes No No Yes Yes501 19.9 6 15 pT4 No No No Yes Yes
* Patients secondarily excluded
Figure 2. (A) Disease-specific survival of group D eyes enucleated < 3.5 months and >3.5
months from time of diagnosis (B) Disease-specific survival group E eyes enucleated < 2
months and > 2 months from time of diagnosis.
Figure 3. Disease-specific survival of group E eyes with no pre-enucleation chemotherapy, 1
to 3 cycles of pre-enucleation chemotherapy and 4 or more cycles of pre-enucleation
chemotherapy.
Figure 4. Disease-specific survival of low-risk and high-risk eyes with and without pre-
enucleation chemotherapy.
Supplement 1. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of time from diagnosis to
enucleation as a predictor of disease-specific mortality for children with group D eyes.
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(months)
True Positive
Rate (%)
False Positive rate (%)
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(months)
True Positive
Rate (%)
False Positive
rate (%)
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(months)
True Positive
Rate (%)
False Positive
rate (%)
> 0.035 100 85.2 > 4.285 66.7 47.4 > 11.285 50 21.4> 0.085 100 84.2 > 4.685 66.7 46.9 > 11.435 50 20.9> 0.115 100 82.7 > 4.82 66.7 46.4 > 11.785 50 20.4> 0.15 100 79.1 > 4.985 66.7 45.9 > 12.185 50 19.9> 0.185 100 78.1 > 5.135 66.7 45.4 > 12.4 50 19.4> 0.215 100 76.5 > 5.22 66.7 44.9 > 12.885 50 18.9> 0.25 100 74.5 > 5.485 66.7 44.4 > 13.3 50 18.4> 0.285 100 73 > 5.8 66.7 43.9 > 13.35 50 17.9> 0.315 100 72.4 > 5.915 66.7 42.9 > 13.52 50 17.3> 0.35 100 71.4 > 5.965 66.7 42.3 > 13.75 50 16.8> 0.4 100 70.9 > 6.085 66.7 41.8 > 13.965 50 16.3> 0.45 100 70.4 > 6.285 66.7 41.3 > 14.15 50 15.8> 0.485 100 69.9 > 6.45 66.7 40.8 > 14.235 50 15.3> 0.55 100 69.4 > 6.515 66.7 40.3 > 14.8 50 14.8> 0.635 100 68.9 > 6.615 66.7 39.8 > 15.38 50 14.3> 0.72 100 68.4 > 6.715 66.7 39.3 > 15.58 33.3 13.8> 0.835 100 67.3 > 6.83 66.7 38.8 > 16.48 33.3 13.3> 0.915 100 66.8 > 7.03 66.7 38.3 > 17.48 33.3 12.8> 0.965 100 65.8 > 7.3 66.7 37.8 > 17.95 33.3 12.2> 1.05 100 65.3 > 7.62 66.7 36.7 > 18.4 33.3 11.7> 1.115 100 64.3 > 7.92 66.7 35.7 > 18.815 33.3 11.2> 1.15 100 63.3 > 8.185 66.7 35.2 > 19.415 33.3 10.7> 1.235 100 61.7 > 8.315 66.7 34.7 > 20.215 33.3 10.2> 1.35 100 61.2 > 8.365 66.7 34.2 > 20.9 33.3 9.7> 1.5 100 60.2 > 8.415 66.7 33.7 > 21.785 33.3 9.2
> 1.615 100 59.7 > 8.45 66.7 33.2 > 22.485 33.3 8.7> 1.65 100 58.7 > 8.52 66.7 32.7 > 23 33.3 8.2> 1.735 100 58.2 > 8.67 66.7 32.1 > 23.5 33.3 7.7> 1.815 100 57.7 > 8.785 66.7 31.6 > 23.75 33.3 7.1> 1.9 100 57.1 > 8.835 66.7 31.1 > 24.05 16.7 7.1> 2.02 100 56.6 > 8.9 66.7 30.6 > 24.985 16.7 6.6> 2.085 100 56.1 > 9.03 66.7 30.1 > 26.62 16.7 6.1> 2.315 100 55.1 > 9.15 66.7 29.1 > 29.42 16.7 5.6> 2.55 100 54.6 > 9.235 66.7 28.6 > 32.685 16.7 5.1> 2.635 100 54.1 > 9.335 66.7 28.1 > 34.1 16.7 4.6> 2.735 100 53.6 > 9.42 66.7 27.6 > 36.3 16.7 4.1> 2.87 100 53.1 > 9.57 66.7 27 > 40.315 16.7 3.6> 2.985 100 52.6 > 9.685 66.7 26.5 > 42.28 16.7 3.1> 3.05 100 52 > 9.785 66.7 26 > 42.98 0 3.1> 3.15 100 51.5 > 9.92 66.7 25.5 > 44.565 0 2.6> 3.335 100 51 > 10 66.7 25 > 48.6 0 2> 3.485 100 50.5 > 10.1 66.7 24.5 > 53.35 0 1.5> 3.6 83.3 50.5 > 10.25 66.7 24 > 56.265 0 1
> 3.735 83.3 49.5 > 10.35 66.7 23.5 > 58.95 0 0.5> 3.8 83.3 49 > 10.485 66.7 23> 3.85 66.7 49 > 10.735 66.7 22.4> 3.885 66.7 48.5 > 10.985 50 22.4> 3.935 66.7 48 > 11.15 50 21.9
Supplement 2. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis of time from diagnosis to
enucleation as a predictor of disease-specific mortality for children with group E eyes.
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(months)
True Positive
Rate (%)
False Positive rate (%)
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(months)
True Positive
Rate (%)
False Positive
rate (%)
Time from diagnosis to enucleation
(months)
True Positive
Rate (%)
False Positive
rate (%)
> 0.035 56.3 63.4 > 2.085 43.8 22.3 > 9 25 6.8> 0.085 56.3 60.4 > 2.115 43.8 21.7 > 9.12 25 6.5> 0.115 50 59.5 > 2.15 43.8 21.4 > 9.185 25 6.3> 0.15 50 54.2 > 2.235 43.8 21.1 > 9.315 18.8 6.3> 0.185 50 50.9 > 2.335 43.8 20.5 > 9.6 18.8 5.7> 0.215 50 49.7 > 2.42 43.8 20.2 > 9.9 18.8 5.4> 0.25 50 47.9 > 2.485 43.8 19.9 > 10.2 18.8 5.1> 0.285 50 47.6 > 2.565 43.8 19.6 > 10.8 18.8 4.8> 0.315 50 46.1 > 2.65 43.8 19.3 > 11.25 12.5 4.5> 0.35 50 45.5 > 2.72 43.8 19 > 11.7 12.5 4.2> 0.385 50 44.6 > 2.82 43.8 18.8 > 12.165 12.5 3.9> 0.415 50 43.2 > 2.885 43.8 18.5 > 12.55 12.5 3.6> 0.45 50 42 > 2.915 43.8 18.2 > 12.95 12.5 3.3> 0.485 50 41.1 > 2.95 43.8 17.9 > 13.435 12.5 3> 0.55 50 40.5 > 2.985 43.8 17.6 > 14.135 12.5 2.7> 0.615 50 40.2 > 3.165 43.8 17 > 15.665 12.5 2.4> 0.65 50 39.9 > 3.35 43.8 16.1 > 17.2 12.5 2.1> 0.685 50 39.3 > 3.485 37.5 15.8 > 17.935 12.5 1.8> 0.715 50 38.4 > 3.615 37.5 15.5 > 18.7 12.5 1.5> 0.75 50 38.1 > 3.68 37.5 15.2 > 19.435 6.3 1.5> 0.785 50 36.9 > 3.85 37.5 14.9 > 21.685 0 1.5> 0.815 50 36.6 > 4.02 37.5 14.6 > 23.9 0 1.2> 0.85 50 35.7 > 4.085 37.5 14.3 > 24.685 0 0.9> 0.885 50 34.8 > 4.135 37.5 14 > 27.385 0 0.6> 0.915 50 34.2 > 4.235 37.5 13.7 > 29.95 0 0.3> 0.95 50 33.3 > 4.315 37.5 13.4
> 1 50 32.7 > 4.4 37.5 13.1> 1.05 50 32.4 > 4.5 37.5 12.5> 1.085 50 31.5 > 4.6 37.5 12.2> 1.115 50 31 > 4.9 37.5 11.9> 1.2 50 30.7 > 5.265 31.3 11.9
> 1.285 50 30.1 > 5.415 31.3 11.6> 1.335 50 29.8 > 5.48 31.3 11.3> 1.4 50 29.5 > 5.65 31.3 11> 1.48 50 28.9 > 5.8 31.3 10.7> 1.55 50 28.6 > 5.88 31.3 10.4> 1.585 50 28.3 > 6.05 31.3 10.1> 1.615 50 27.4 > 6.185 31.3 9.8> 1.65 50 26.8 > 6.815 25 9.8> 1.72 50 26.2 > 7.565 25 9.5> 1.785 50 25.6 > 7.765 25 9.2> 1.815 50 25 > 7.95 25 8.9> 1.85 50 23.8 > 8.085 25 8.6> 1.885 50 23.5 > 8.115 25 8.3> 1.915 50 23.2 > 8.3 25 8> 1.95 50 22.9 > 8.52 25 7.7> 1.985 50 22.6 > 8.62 25 7.4> 2.035 43.8 22.6 > 8.8 25 7.1