advancements in robotics and aiglobal robotics sales forecast source: ifr, world robotics 2019 robot...
TRANSCRIPT
Advancements in
Robotics and AI
Jeff Burnstein
President
Association for Advancing Automation
Agenda
Market Statistics
Technology Trends
Advanced Automation
Examples
Market Statistics
Global Robotics Sales Forecast
Source: IFR, World Robotics 2019
Robot Sales by Country
Source: IFR, World Robotics 2019
North America - Industries
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
ANNUAL Robot Orders by Industry (North America, 2010-2018)
All Other Industries
Metals
Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed
Plastics & Rubber
Semi & Electronics/Photonics
Food & Consumer Goods
Automotive Component
Automotive
29,513Units Ordered-15% Growth
NA Jan. – Sep. Results 23,894Units Ordered
5% Growth
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
F92010
F92011
F92012
F92013
F92014
F92015
F92016
F92017
F92018
F92019
Robot Orders by Industry (North America, Jan-Sep, 2010-2019)
All Other Industries
Metals
Life Sciences
Plastics and Rubber
Semiconductor & Electronics
Food & Consumer Goods
Automotive Component
Automotive
NA – Jan. – Sep. Auto vs. Non-Auto
4,614
7,202
10,449
9,244
13,690 14,528
16,617
18,490
11,830
13,312
4,992
6,414 5,914
6,487
7,545 7,899 7,368
8,804
10,878 10,582
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
F9 2010 F9 2011 F9 2012 F9 2013 F9 2014 F9 2015 F9 2016 F9 2017 F9 2018 F9 2019
Robot Orders: Auto vs. Non-Auto (North America, January-September 2010-2019)
Automotive Non-Automotive 線形 (Automotive) 線形 (Non-Automotive)
NA Jan. – Sep. Industry Growth
-10%
-6%
-5%
0%
0%
4%
15%
47%
-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Semi & Electronics/Photonics
Metals
All Other Industries
Automotive Component
Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed
Food & Consumer Goods
Plastics & Rubber
Automotive OEM
NA January – September 2019 Order Growth (Units, YoY)
Technology Trends
Tech Trends in Robotics
Mobility
Vision
Gripping
AI
Opening doors to new robotics applications
Mobility Applications
• Autonomously mobile bases• Onboard Intelligence Systems• Use computer vision and sensors• Can include robot arms for material
handling
Source: IFR World Robotics 2018
Professional Service Robots (Logistics, Field, Agriculture)
2018: 165,300 units (+32%)
+21% per year (2019-2021)
Domestic / Household Robots (Vacuums, Lawnmowers)
2018: 7.5 million units (+23%)
+31% per year (2019-2021)
Entertainment Robots (Toys, Leisure)
2018: 2.8 million units (+20%)
+12% per year (2019-2021)
Mobile “Industrial” Robots are
Represented in this Category
Mobile Robot Market is Growing
Credit:IAM
RoboticsIAM Robotics
Credit:MashableWalmart
Walmart / Bossa Nova
Presented by:
www.robotics.org/AMR
New AMR Conference
Vision Applications
• The ‘eyes’ of a system• Form factors of hardware are getting smaller• Often leverages software advances like
machine learning or AI
Credit:TechCrunch
Veo RoboticsVeo Robotics
Gripping Applications
• End effectors are becoming more dexterous
• Leveraging machine learning and AI to learn how to grasp objects in random orientations
Credit:Soft RoboticsSoft Robotics
Credit:OsaroOsaro
AI + IOT Survey
•THE CHALLENGE
• A New Beat For the Factory
• AI + IoT are already factory accelerators (at least for some)
• But what is required to accelerate the accelerators?
• Last 2 years – capturing moments in the real world to answer that question.
24 Faith McCreary & Irene Petrick | ACCELERATE – AI, IOT, and a New Beat for the Factory I © 2019 Intel Corporation I All rights reserved.
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- Whoever, said it really
83% Companies Planned to Invest But …
FUTURE IN MOTIONTOP PLANNED TECHNOLOGY
INVESTMENTS IN NEXT 2-3 YEARS
51% Artificial intelligence
44% Predictive or big data analytics
35% Smart machinery or equipment
31% Robotics
29% Smart upgrades to existing equipment
25% Additive manufacturing
24% Smart building
23% Smart asset tracking or monitoring
19% Virtual or augmented reality
18% Blockchain
17% Intelligent vision systems
17% Industrial automation
15% Indoor location tracking
12% Real-time coaching systems
12% Industrial wearables
10% Digital twins
10% Voice interaction
9% 5G
9% Autonomous guided vehicles
8% Integrated Controls
6% Fog or edge computing
5% Drones
“I mean we're going through an assessment period right now and I know that everybody that I work with is going to be changing due to these assessments in our organizational restructuring. If we keep on doing them, then my project is going to get passed between so many different people, that it will never see the light of day. I've had four different plans because I've had four different managers that view the initiative very differently. Changing a plan slows you down even after we have the buy-in.”
PRINCIPAL MANUFACTURING ANALYST,
END MANUFACTURER
25 Faith McCreary & Irene Petrick | ACCELERATE – AI, IOT, and a New Beat for the Factory I © 2019 Intel Corporation I All rights reserved.
Work Desk in Factory Warehouse
“I think a major outage from a security-related attack to some IoT systems that cause a big business impact might just make everyone say, ‘Hey, let's not do this. We are not ready.’ I think that is going to scare the hell out of many of us."IT AND AUTOMATION OPERATIONS
MANAGER,
ORIGINAL EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURER
36% TECHNICAL SKILL GAPS that prevent us from benefiting from our investment
27% DATA SENSITIVITY from increasing concerns over data and IP privacy,
ownership, and management
23% LACK OF INTEROPERABILITY between protocols, components, products, and
systems
22% SECURITY THREATS both in terms of current and emerging vulnerabilities in the
factory
18% HANDLING DATA GROWTH in amount and velocity as well as sense-making
18% SCALABILITY ROADBLOCKS to accommodating growth without any business
or performance loss
11% OUTPACING MARKETABILITY by our solutions getting too far ahead of
customer and partner capabilities
10% MAINTAINABILITY CHALLENGES that make the advanced systems difficult to
keep up and running
8% NOT TRUSTING advanced systems due to lack of transparency about smart
actions and outputs
Challenges with Potential to Derail Investment
Advanced Automation Examples
Tesla’s Gigafactory 1
Reno, Nevada
Employs 3,000+
Credit:Tesla
The VergeGigafactory 1 Size
Other Gigafactories
Gigafactory 1 in Reno, NV Gigafactory 2 in Buffalo, NY
Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai
Heavily Utilizing AutomationCredit:Tesla
The Verge
Digital Twins
A digital representation of a physical object or system
Main Vendors Include:
Credit:SIEMENSDigital Twins
Summary & Conclusion
1. Robot sales are growing globally.
2. Innovation in areas like mobility, gripping, AI, vision and collaboration with humans is helping drive the growth.
3. Companies are using robotics and AI to develop advanced factories that are transforming manufacturing.
Credit:P&GFuture is People + Automation
Plan Now for Automate 2021!
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Thank you!
Jeff Burnstein
President
Association for Advancing Automation
900 Victors Way STE 140
Ann Arbor, MI, USA
Phone: +1 (734) 994-6088Email: [email protected]: @JeffBurnstein