african iron ore
TRANSCRIPT
African Iron OreMetal Bulletin, Johannesburg, 6-8 NovemberAlan Davies, Chief executive Diamonds and Minerals, Rio Tinto
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved
Cautionary statement
Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference6-8 November 2012 2
This presentation has been prepared by Rio Tinto plc and Rio Tinto Limited (“Rio Tinto”) and consisting of the slides for a presentation concerning Rio Tinto. By reviewing/attending this presentation you agree to be bound by the following conditions.
Forward-looking statementsThis presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in thispresentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Rio Tinto’s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Rio Tinto’s products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Rio Tinto, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Rio Tinto’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Rio Tinto will operate in the future. Among the important factors that could cause Rio Tinto’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual production during any period, levels of demand and market prices, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, operational problems, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or regulation and such other risk factors identified in Rio Tinto's mostrecent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") or Form 6-Ks furnished to the SEC. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of such risk factors and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation.
Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Rio Tinto plc or Rio Tinto Limited will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 3
Our presence in Africa is growing
Mutamba Project (Mozambique)
Simandou (Guinea) Murowa Diamonds (Zimbabwe) Rio Tinto Coal MozambiquePalabora Mining Company (Sth Africa)
CBG Sangaredi Mine (Guinea)
Rössing Uranium Mine (Namibia)
QIT Madagascar Minerals (QMM)Rio Tinto Alcan –Alucam (Cameroon)
3
Key
Mines and mining projects
Smelters, refineries, power facilities and processing plants remote from mine
Aluminium
Copper
Diamonds
Energy
Iron ore
Minerals
Richard Bay Minerals (RBM) (Sth Africa)
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 4
Near term uncertainty is likely to persist
Platts IODEX62% Fe, $/dmt, CFR North China
Synchronised slowdown underwayPurchasing Managers Index – Manufacturing
Source: Platts
Monthly new home sales growth in China% change year on year
Source: CEIC / NBS
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 5
However, the long term demand outlook remains attractive
Global commodity demand trajectoriesIndex 2012 = 100
• ~2 billion additional people to urbanise by 2030
• Global steel consumption expected to grow by 2 per cent per annum
• China to remain key driver until mid-2020s
Source: Rio Tinto analysis
2020s
• China GDP per capita currently19% of USA levels
• India and South East Asian economies more than offset flat and then falling consumption in China
• Consumption-led growth will benefit TiO2 and Aluminium
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 6
Chinese steel production is expected to grow to around 1 billion tonnes per year towards 2030
Chinese crude steel productionMillion tonnes
Chinese steel demand by sectorMillion tonnes
4
1-1
-1
18
xx Decade average compound annual growth rate (%)
Source: Rio Tinto analysis Source: Rio Tinto analysis
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 7
Steel growth still has a long way to run
Steel intensity and GDP 1900 – 2011Kg/capital crude steel production
1,000
1,200
1,400
China on track to exceed 500 kg/capita level of crude steel productionfor first timein 2011
Korea
Japan
Total steel demand over respective 20-year period tonnes per capita
0
200
400
600
800
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000
China(actual)1950–2010
USA
China (forecast) 2011–2040
India
Germany
GDP per capita (PPP basis, $2005)
Note: Stylistic representationSource: Correlates of War, Maddison, Global Insight, Rio Tinto
Note: Steel stock refers to the level of cumulative steel consumed within an economy over a 20-year periodSource: Rio Tinto analysis
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 8
The industry supply response is increasingly challenged
• Over the 7 years to 2018, it is expected that 700Mt of global supply additions will be required:
o 500 Mt to satisfy expected demand growth
o 200 Mt to replace expected high cost
Announced and completed iron ore capacity million tonnes
o 200 Mt to replace expected high cost supply exits
• We expect to add ~ 25% of required supply
• Cost escalation and rising capital intensity will increase pressure on marginal project returns
• Scarcity of highly skilled labour, access to financing
• Recent high profile project deferrals
Source: UNCTAD, Rio Tinto analysis
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 9
Simandou, a world class project in a world class province
• One of the largest known undeveloped iron ore deposits in a resource-rich province
• ~100Mtpa progressive mine development, 650km trans-Guinean railway and deep water port near
Progressive delivery of the Simandou project
FaranahMamou
Conakry
Ile Coastal Plain Mamou Range Eastern Plateau Region MineKabak
railway and deep water port near Conakry
• Project is advancing against clear segmented milestones agreed with the Government of Guinea
• Further investment will be made as the Government of Guinea progresses its financing strategy and grants approvals for the next steps in developing rail and port infrastructure
Sierra Leone
Liberia
Beyla
ForécariahGuinea
New airstrips
Pre-stripping (Oueleba main)
Camps & logistic centres
Infrastructure corridor
Marine Offload Facility
Stockyard earthworks
Potential phased ore delivery Proposed rail line
West rail (multiple fronts)
East rail (multiple fronts)
Access Road and Causeway
20
30
40
200%
250%
Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference
WA construction projects performanceCost (% of budget)
10
We are the right partner to move this project forward
RTIO projects Non RTIO projectsOver budgetbehind schedule
Mo
nth
s o
ver
bu
dg
et
6-8 November 2012
30
20
10
10
0%
50%
100%
150%
Budget Additional months
Source: Pit Crew Management Consulting Services
Under budgetahead ofschedule
Mo
nth
s o
ver
bu
dg
et
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 11
A unique development partnership
• A project of this magnitude requires a unique approach to development
• Partnership with Government of Guinea, Chinalco and IFC underpins strategy
• Project financing will provide additional opportunities for risk management and opportunities for risk management and governance for all partners
• Working alongside our partners towards the common goal of responsible and sustainable development
Tree-planting in Simandou to symbolise the partnership between Rio Tinto, China and Guinea
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 12
Phased development and ramp up of Simandou
• Simandou infrastructure declared a Project of National Interest for Guinea by presidential decree
• Construction of the pioneering marine offload facility underway
• Proceeding with preparatory works such • Proceeding with preparatory works such as roads, logistics centres and construction camps
• Engineering progressing towards a Bankable Feasibility Study
• Completion of Social Impact Environment Assessment
• Capital efficient deployment strategy in line with approvals and financing for construction works
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 13
Building mutually beneficial relationships will be key
• Implementing best practice sustainable stewardship and engagement
• Cross-sector partnerships to encourage economic diversification
• Capacity development and training to build skills and institutionsbuild skills and institutions
• Mentoring in procurement process
• Aim to create an opportunity for social and economic development
©2012, Rio Tinto, All Rights Reserved6-8 November 2012 Metal Bulletin African Iron Ore Conference 14
Leveraging our competitive advantages
• Pioneer in developing and operating mining and infrastructure assets globally
• Access to world class engineering and construction expertise for delivery of mega-mining projects
• Commitment to sustainable stewardship • Commitment to sustainable stewardship are core competitive advantage
• Recognised industry leader in technology and innovation
African Iron OreMetal Bulletin, Johannesburg, 6-8 NovemberAlan Davies, Chief executive Diamonds and Minerals, Rio Tinto