afta travel trends · november 839,800 4.7% 888,600 5.8% positive december 874,100 7.7% 877,000...

AFTA Travel Trends November 2018

© AFTA Travel Trends Report 2018

Inbound and Outbound overview

Introduction

This snapshot provides an overview

of the balance of trade between

Inbound and Outbound Travel for

Year end of September 2018.

It uses information provided by the

Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)

Overseas Arrivals and Departures

(OAD) data set.

Source: September 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning and Visitors Arriving - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

Total Visitor and

Australian departure

and arrivals – Year End

September 2018

The ABS collects data on all

travellers entering and leaving

Australia through the Inbound

Passenger Card.

This section displays the number of

international tourists entering and

Australians departing Australia as

of September Year end 2017 and

2018.

For travel and tourism to be

sustainable it is imperative that

the trade between each country

is balanced and this snapshot

tracks overall benefits to each

country.

The countries chosen are the

major Australian source markets

and desired destinations.

September YE 2017 Total number of international

visitors to Australia

Inbound


trips by Australians

Outbound

September YE 2018 Total number of

international visitors to Australia

Inbound


trips by Australians

Outbound

China 1,350,700 524,500 1,435,100 581,300

New Zealand 1,347,900 1,429,000 1,383,200 1,421,500

USA 771,500 1,090,800 781,800 1,078,900

UK 720,500 624,800 736,300 651,300

Singapore 437,500 400,500 439,500 418,500

Japan 432,400 387,900 455,200 448,100

Malaysia 406,300 266,500 402,500 266,100

South Korea 291,900 75,000 305,300 72,700

India 291,900 348,300 346,700 386,800

Hong Kong 274,300 219,700 304,900 240,000

Indonesia 291,900 1,213,100 346,700 1,214,100

Thailand 97,600 567,500 98,400 582,200

Fiji 40,800 349,100 45,500 342,100

National Total 8,721,500 10,450,900 9,172,800 10,869,100

Inbound Report

Introduction

These snapshots provide an

overview of the performance of the

Australian inbound tourism sector.




(OAD) data set.

Performance indicators are provided

for each market and month.

A neutral rating is provided for

markets which have a year on year

variation of (+/-) 2%.

Where are our participants?

Total inbound tourists to

Australia – September

2018


international tourists travelling to

Australia each month.

Month

Total number

of travellers

2016 - 2017

Change on

previous

year

Total number

of travellers

2017 - 2018

Change on

previous year2018 Performance

October 709,200 12.3% 757,000 6.7% Positive

November 701,500 8.1% 754,600 7.6% Positive

December 712,100 7.5% 744,600 4.6% Positive

January 710,900 7.4% 762,900 7.3% Positive

February 723,000 12.0% 751,600 4.0% Positive

March 706,900 5.1% 772,700 9.3% Positive

April 753,300 11.1% 755,100 0.2% Neutral

May 734,400 8.2% 766,500 4.4% Positive

June 725,300 4.4% 770,400 6.2% Positive

July 747,000 7.6% 772,100 3.4% Positive

August 752,100 9.3% 791,600 5.3% Positive

September 745,800 4.1% 773,700 3.7% Positive

Total 8,721,500 8.0% 9,172,800 5.2% PositiveKey Highlights

• During September 2018, visitor

arrivals (773,700) decreased

2.3% when compared with

August 2018 (791,600).

• This followed monthly increases

of 0/2% for July 2018 and 2.5%

for August 2018.

• For the 12 month period ending

September, an overall 5.2%

positive growth was achieved.

Source: September 2018 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted

600,000

650,000

700,000

750,000

800,000

850,000

Total number of tourists 2017 Total number of tourists 2018 5 year average


Year end changes to

top Australian source

markets – September

2018

This section displays the

performance of the major

Australian source markets for

international travellers for 12

month period ending September

2017 and 2018.

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

2017 Year

end change

Total number

of travellers

2018

2018 Year end

change2018 Performance

China 1,350,700 12.8% 1,435,100 6.2% Positive

New Zealand 1,347,900 1.2% 1,383,200 2.6% Positive

USA 771,500 10.4% 781,800 1.3% Neutral

UK 720,500 2.0% 736,300 2.2% Positive

Singapore 437,500 2.6% 439,500 0.5% Neutral

Japan 432,400 8.1% 455,200 5.3% Positive

Malaysia 406,300 8.8% 402,500 -0.9% Neutral

South Korea 294,500 7.7% 305,300 3.7% Positive

India 291,900 16.0% 346,700 18.8% Positive

Hong Kong 274,300 14.8% 304,900 11.2% Positive

National Total 8,721,500 8.0% 9,172,800 5.2% Positive

Key Highlights

• Malaysia moves back to a

neutral position after recording

a negative result for the 12

months ending August 2018,

whilst UK slips from positive to

neutral.

• India remains the highest

growth market.


0

150,000

300,000

450,000

600,000

750,000

900,000

1,050,000

1,200,000

1,350,000

1,500,000

1,650,000

China NewZealand

USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia SouthKorea

India HongKong

YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average


Monthly changes to top Australian source markets – September 2018



Australian source markets for

international tourists comparing

the Month of September 2017 to

September 2018.

Key Highlights

• South Korea recorded largest

decrease when comparing

September 2017 to September

2018 dropping 19.1%.

• Malaysia experienced highest

positive growth of 25.9% with an

increase of 7,600 visitors in

September.

• All markets are still

outperforming the 5 year

average.

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

Change on

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2018

Change on


China 119,700 17.6% 119,900 0.2% Neutral

New Zealand 111,900 -6.7% 116,700 4.3% Positive

USA 65,900 6.3% 62,900 -4.6% Negative

UK 57,800 -4.6% 59,700 3.3% Positive

Singapore 36,900 -8.0% 36,800 -0.3% Neutral

Japan 34,800 -0.9% 40,700 17.0% Positive

Malaysia 29,300 -18.4% 36,900 25.9% Positive

South Korea 30,300 21.2% 24,500 -19.1% Negative

India 27,600 22.1% 30,600 10.9% Positive

Hong Kong 24,700 22.9% 25,900 4.9% Positive

National Total 745,800 4.1% 773,700 3.7% Positive


0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

China NewZealand

USA UK Singapore Japan Malaysia SouthKorea

India HongKong

Sep-18 Sep-17 5 year average

OutboundReport

Introduction

This snapshot provides an overview

of the performance of the Australian

outbound travel sector.




(OAD) data set. Performance

indicators are provided for each

market.

A neutral rating is provided for

markets which have a year on year

variation of (+/-) 2%.

Source: September 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted

Total outbound Australian travellers –September 2018


Australians travelling outbound

each month.

Key Highlights

• During September 2018, short-

term resident returns (917,600

movements) decreased 2.1%

when compared with August

2018 (937,300 movements).

• This followed monthly increases

of 0.8% for July 2018 and 1.6%

for August 2018.

• All months in 2018, except for

February demonstrate positive

growth when compared to the

same month in 2017.

Month

Total number

of travellers

2016 – 2017

Change on

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2017 - 2018

Change on


October 839,200 6.2% 888,100 5.8% Positive

November 839,800 4.7% 888,600 5.8% Positive

December 874,100 7.7% 877,000 0.3% Neutral

January 852,800 5.3% 896,500 5.1% Positive

February 894,000 12.2% 873,500 -2.3% Negative

March 856,500 6.0% 913,000 6.6% Positive

April 890,300 9.3% 925,700 4.0% Positive

May 887,100 9.4% 934,400 5.3% Positive

June 873,900 6.1% 915,300 4.7% Positive

July 870,700 4.4% 922,700 6.0% Positive

August 875,500 4.6% 937,300 7.1% Positive

September 897,000 6.1% 917,600 2.3% Positive

Total 10,450,900 6.8% 10,889,700 4.2% Positive

700,000

730,000

760,000

790,000

820,000

850,000

880,000

910,000

940,000

970,000

Total number of travellers 2016 - 2017 Total number of travellers 2017 - 2018 5 year average

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

2017 Year

end change

Total number

of travellers

2018

2018 Year end

change2018 Performance

New Zealand 1,429,000 9.1% 1,421,500 -0.5% Neutral

Indonesia 1,213,100 1.5% 1,214,100 0.1% Neutral

USA 1,090,800 2.7% 1,078,900 -1.1% Neutral

UK 624,800 6.9% 651,300 4.2% Positive

Thailand 567,500 3.4% 582,200 2.6% Positive

China 524,500 15.3% 581,300 10.8% Positive

Singapore 400,500 6.3% 418,500 4.5% Positive

Japan 387,900 11.7% 448,100 15.5% Positive

Fiji 349,100 0.2% 342,100 -2.0% Negative

India 348,300 11.3% 386,800 11.1% Positive

National Total 10,450,900 6.8% 10,869,100 4.0% Positive

Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian’s –September 2018



destinations Australian’s are

travelling to as of September Year

end 2017 and 2018.

Key Highlights

• Fiji experienced a decrease of

2% over the 12 month period.

• Fiji decreased from 31,500 in

August 2018 to 26,600 in

September 2018, a decrease of

15%.


0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

NewZealand

Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India

YE 18 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average

Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian’s –September 2018



destinations Australian’s are

travelling to, comparing

September 2017 to September

2018

Destination

Total number

of travellers

2017

Change to

previous year

Total number

of travellers

2018

Change to


New Zealand 120,800 7.4% 117,100 -3.1% Negative

Indonesia 99,700 -2.1% 104,800 5.1% Positive

USA 90,200 2.3% 89,500 -0.8% Neutral

UK 52,600 5.8% 53,600 1.9% Neutral

Thailand 49,900 7.5% 46,500 -6.8% Negative

China 46,600 15.6% 51,300 10.1% Positive

Singapore 31,900 -0.9% 36,900 15.7% Positive

Japan 34,900 10.1% 37,500 7.4% Positive

Fiji 28,700 0.0% 26,600 -7.3% Negative

India 29,400 3.2% 35,000 19.0% Positive

National Total 897,000 6.1% 917,600 2.3% Positive

Key Highlights

• Thailand and Fiji both recorded

negative growth when

compared to September 2017

and also both dropped below

the 5 year average.

• India and Singapore continue

to show consistent growth for

the 12 month period however

the monthly growth from

August 2018 to September 2018

was neutral.


0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

NewZealand

Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India

18 Country 17 Country 5 year average

Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian’s – September 2018


performance of the popular

destinations visited by Australian’s

by reason of travel in September

2018.

HolidayVisiting

friends/relativesBusiness

Other Reasons for

Journey

New Zealand 42.7% 31.0% 15.6% 10.7%

Indonesia 86.4% 6.2% 2.7% 4.6%

USA 66.5% 14.7% 9.7% 9.1%

UK 46.0% 40.7% 7.0% 6.4%

Thailand 78.0% 9.9% 4.9% 7.1%

China 38.5% 30.7% 16.8% 14.0%

Singapore 55.4% 16.5% 17.8% 10.3%

Japan 68.7% 12.2% 9.7% 9.5%

Fiji 78.2% 11.5% 3.1% 7.2%

India 25.7% 50.1% 11.4% 12.8%

National Total 59.4% 22.8% 8.7% 9.1%

Source: September 2018 Short-term Movement, Residents Returning - Selected Destinations: Original

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey

Source: International Airline Activity—Monthly Publications, August 2018

Introduction

This snapshot provides the market

share of each airline for international

travel.

Information is sourced directly from

the Department of Infrastructure and

Regional Development.

Airlines

Department Summary:

Fifty-eight international airlines

operated scheduled services to/from

Australia during August 2018 (includes

five dedicated freight airlines but

excludes airlines operating only via

code share arrangements).

Airline activity - Month End

August 2018

This snapshot displays the market share of

each airline for international travel for the

month of August 2018.

This information from the Department of

Infrastructure and Regional Development

presents statistical information on the

scheduled operations of international

airlines operating into/out of Australia.

Monthly Share of passengers carried August -17 August -18

Qantas Airways 16.6% 17.1%

Jetstar 9.8% 9.0%

Singapore Airlines 8.2% 8.2%

Emirates 7.9% 7.9%

Virgin Australia 6.5% 6.4%

Air New Zealand 6.3% 6.2%

Cathay Pacific Airways 4.6% 4.4%

Qatar Airways 2.7% 3.3%

Etihad Airways 3.6% 3.3%

China Southern Airlines 2.9% 3.1%

Source: International Airline Activity—Monthly Publications, August 2017 and August 2018

Qantas Airways, 17.1%

Jetstar, 9.0%

Singapore Airlines, 8.2%

Emirates, 7.9%

Virgin Australia, 6.4%

Air New Zealand, 6.2%

Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.4%

Qatar Airways, 3.3%

Etihad Airways, 3.3%China Southern

Airlines, 3.1%

Source: International Airline Activity—Monthly Publications, August 2017 and August 2018

Airline activity – Year End

August 2018

This snapshot displays the market share of

each airline for international travel of Year

end – August 2018.

This information from the Department of

Infrastructure and Regional Development

presents statistical information on the

scheduled operations of international

airlines operating into/out of Australia.

Year End share of

passengers carriedAugust - 17

Year End share of

passengers carriedAugust - 18

Qantas Airways 16.0% Qantas Airways 16.9%

Jetstar 9.3% Jetstar 9.0%

Emirates 8.5% Singapore Airlines 8.0%

Singapore Airlines 8.1% Emirates 7.9%

Air New Zealand 6.6% Air New Zealand 6.6%

Virgin Australia 6.1% Virgin Australia 6.1%

Cathay Pacific Airways 4.7% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.4%

AirAsia X 4.1% AirAsia X 3.4%

Etihad Airways 3.2% China Southern Airlines 3.1%

China Southern Airlines 3.0% Etihad Airways 3.0%

Others 30.6% Others 31.6%

Qantas Airways, 16.9%

Jetstar, 9.0%

Singapore Airlines, 8.0%

Emirates, 7.9%

Air New Zealand, 6.6%Virgin Australia, 6.1%

Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.4%

AirAsia X, 3.4%

China Southern Airlines, 3.1%

Etihad Airways, 3.0%

Others, 31.6%

For further information please contact:

Naomi Menon

Head of Compliance and Operations

E: [email protected]

Ph: 02 9287 9900

© AFTA Travel Trends Report 2018

The information contained within this Report has been prepared by AFTA based upon best endeavours to ensure the accuracy and completeness of material.

AFTA accepts no liability for any loss or damage a person suffers because that person has directly or indirectly relied on any information provided by AFTA.

afta travel trends · november 839,800 4.7% 888,600 5.8% positive december 874,100 7.7% 877,000...

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