agenda€¦ · stephanie lilly-palmer dr. lanita white greg rogers carla haugen – chair renee...
TRANSCRIPT
AGENDA
State and Public School Life and Health Insurance Board
June 18th, 2019
1:00 p.m.
EBD Board Room – 501 Building, Suite 500
I. Call to Order .......................................................................................... Carla Haugen, Chair
II. Approval of May Minutes ..................................................................... Carla Haugen, Chair
III. ASE-PSE Financials ......................................................... Bonnie Casey, EBD Comptroller
IV. Subcommittee Update ........................................... Chris Howlett, EBD Executive Director
V. 2020 Rates ............................................................ John Colberg & Gaelle Gravot, Cheiron
VI. Director’s Report ................................................... Chris Howlett, EBD Executive Director
VII. Adjournment ......................................................................................... Carla Haugen, Chair
Upcoming Meetings
July 23rd, 2019, August 20th, 2019, September 17th, 2019
NOTE: All material for this meeting will be available by electronic means only
Notice: Silence your cell phones. Keep your personal conversations to a minimum.
STATE AND PUBLIC SCHOOL LIFE AND HEALTH INSURANCE BOARD MEETING MINUTES
191st meeting of the State and Public School Life and Health Insurance Board (hereinafter called the Board), met on June 18, 2019 at 1:00 p.m. in the EBD Board
Room, 501 Woodlane, Suite 500, Little Rock AR 72201.
Date | time 6/18/2019 1:00 PM | Meeting called to order by Carla Haugen, Chair
Attendance
Members Present Members Absent
Cindy Allen Dr. John Kirtley
Stephanie Lilly-Palmer
Dr. Lanita White
Greg Rogers
Carla Haugen – Chair
Renee Mallory - Vice-Chair
Dori Gutierrez
Melissa Moore
Lisa Sherrill
Cindy Gillespie – Proxy – Jimmy Fields
Dr. Terry Fiddler
Herb Scott
Chris Howlett, Employee Benefits Division Executive Director
OTHERS PRESENT:
Rhoda Classen, Cory Walker, Eric Gallo, Theresa Huber, Sharon Parker, Bonnie Casey, Lanita Wasson, Krista Grafe, EBD; Dr. Dwight Davis, UAMS EBRX; Jessica Akins, Takisha Sanders, Health Advantage; Elizabeth Montgomery, ACHI; Sylvia Landers, Securian; Greg Jones, Mainstream; Ronda Walthall, Wayne Whitley, ARDOT; Andy Davis, ADG; Suzanne Woodall, MedImpact; David Kizzia, AEA; John Bridges, AAEA; Jack Hopkins, Centene; Martha Hill, MW; Cynthia Foster, Phillip Narrine, ASP; Jenny Carlisle, AEDC; Jimmy Fields, DHS; Bill Clary, ARSEBA; Frances Bauman, NovoNordisk; Lura Campbell, Donna Morey, ARTA; Christian Gonzalez, AG; Jenna Goldman, Delta Dental; Todd Forwood, CYC; Wanda Henry, AGPC; Sheila Weddington; Diann Gwatney, Gabby Eaton, MG Smith, Marty Morgan, Lex Dobbins, Gary Walker, Retiree
Page 2
Approval of Minutes by: Carla Haugen, Chair
MOTION by Mallory:
Motion to accept the May 21st, 2019 minutes.
Lilly-Palmer seconded; all were in favor.
Minutes Approved.
Financials by: Bonnie Casey, EBD Comptroller
Casey reported the financials for May 2019. For PSE in the month of May, we paid four (4) weeks of claims for both medical and pharmacy; the
FICA savings received for the month was $545,000, and $2.7 million for the year. We had a net gain
of $2.8 million for the month and a net gain $16.4 million year-to-date. Net assets available are $79
million.
For ASE in the month of May, we paid four (4) weeks of claims for both medical and pharmacy. We
had a net gain of $3.1 million for the month and a net gain of $12.6 million year-to-date. Net assets
available are $21.7 million.
The projected vs. actual claims and expenditures report shows the numbers from the current month,
the year-to-date (YTD) and the differences. The monthly amounts are for May 2019 and YTD
amounts are for January-May 2019.
Subcommittee Updates by: Chris Howlett, EBD Executive Director
Howlett provided a brief recap of the June Quality of Care and Benefits Subcommittee meetings.
There was a recommendation from the Benefits Subcommittee for the Board by Shelby McCook to
recommend:
• PSE: No rate increase along with no changes in plan benefits.
• ASE: 5% rate increase across the board. No changes in plan benefits.
2020 Rates by: John Colberg & Gaelle Gravot, Cheiron
Colberg & Gravot provided 2020 and 2021 ASE/PSE considerations for change as listed below:
PSE
• Current projections show no rate increase needed for 2020
• Changes in rates and/or benefits could be needed for 2021
• Rate increases for 2020 would reduce changes needed for 2021
Page 3
ASE
• Significant changes in rates and/or benefits are needed in ASE for 2020
• Significant changes may also be required for 2021 – However, the plan also has about a 1/3 chance of not requiring any changes for 2021.
Discussion:
PSE
White: On the PSE side, are we doubling the reserves? Colberg: No, any time we allocate reserves for future contributions, Board policy is that you use
half of that the first year, 30% the second year, and 20% the third year. If we allocate $20 million, we would use $10 million the first year, $6 million the second, and $4 million the third.
White: What are we using this year? Colberg: We are allocating $35 million and we will use $17.5 million in 2020, about $10 million in
2021, and $7 million in 2022. Dr. Fiddler: Depending on the desired reserve levels, the Board determines what we want to have
as our desired reserve level or is that a prepared percentage of the total number of assets that we have? methodology?
Howlett: Relative to the 50,30,20 methodology, that was Board approved. As far as the allocation and reserves, the white level is catastrophic reserves. The catastrophic reserves were established right after I arrived. It is used in the event that we have a higher claims base or something hit us, we have about 3 months of claims experience (PSE) in reserves set aside.
ASE
Howlett Are you saying that there is a 29% chance we will not hit the target and have to even touch the catastrophic?
Colberg: I’m saying that there is a 73% chance that you won’t get to the catastrophic and that’s looking at variation and claims.
Haugen: With the 5% rate increase across the board, we may or may not touch the reserves at all? That doesn’t take in to account any pharmacy initiatives or anything else we are doing on the plan to try to save.
Colberg: Those are already in there. Howlett: Operationally, we have some specialty pharmacy pieces as well as some network
things we worked on that generates about a million and a half back to the plan. That is calculated in here, however, that’s also split between both trust funds, more heavily on the ASE. We have a few initiatives that won’t kick off until mid to late summer that are not in here.
Dr. Fiddler: I thought a month ago we were concerned with a large rate increase to keep us out of the reserves on the ASE side. Is this saying that’s not happening?
Haugen: It’s saying that there is only a 70% chance that we won’t even dip down into reserves now for 2019.
Howlett: Remember, as we have been going over this for several months, this is modified as we progress. Historically, we have pretty significant trends that have been set. The only other exception we see there is when we have about 13,000 participants that actually hit their complete out of pocket max and then the plan pays 100%. We usually do not see
Page 4
that until later in the fall. Our experience is updated each month and with those updates, it also updates our trend scenarios.
Colberg: The main difference is the fact that we are taking that catastrophic reserves down to $16 million which frees up over $15 million to go into the reserve allocation. Essentially, that saves 8% of a rate increase. Instead of being at 13% we are at 5%.
Gravot: The presentation to the Benefits meeting on Friday for ASE was not dipping into the catastrophic reserves in which case we were talking about a 16% rate increase. Because we are taking some of the money from the catastrophic reserve, we have that money now available to allocate and that reduces that increase to recommendation is, 5%.
Lilly-Palmer: One of the things we discussed heavily was the parity to Medicare and we’ve got the state retirees who are better with a 5% increase and not touching the Medicare. You have a smaller 5% increase now as opposed to 2021 when it would have to be heavier than the 16%. So, if we have a 73% chance of not having to dip into the catastrophic reserve, that is basically how we came to that conclusion. Plus with the Medicare retirees, you have the Medicare rebates. There were a lot of factors involved in that.
Haugen: The recommendation from the Benefits subcommittee was for PSE there will be no rate increase along with no changes in plan benefits and for ASE there will be a 5% rate increase across the board (Actives, Medicare, and non-Medicare eligible) with no changes in plan benefits.
MOTION by Lilly-Palmer: I make a motion for no changes in PSE and 5% across the board for ASE with no benefit changes. Herb seconded
Dr. Fiddler: So, we are going from 2018 at $30.6 million and taking $16 million and will be left with
$16 million left in catastrophic reserves. Is that a good number? How much do you try to have in catastrophic reserve?
Howlett: Typically, we have done a month and a half on ASE and three months on PSE based on economy of scale. That puts us just shy of a month of claims experience.
Colberg: Back in 2016 it was 11. They were basically doing about a half month of claims. Dr. Fiddler: And that is not what you wanted? Howlett: We started establishing a reserves in 2016. We have continued to build that up over the
next subsequent 2 years and have maintained that average of $30.6 million. Do I have reservations against landing at $16 million? I do not.
Scott: To be perfectly clear of what we are voting on, especially in ASE. We are talking 5% increase across the board in ASE which means both active and retirees. There is no change in benefit plan, which is the drug coverage, or deductibles that have currently been set. Motion Approved.
Director’s Report by: Chris Howlett, EBD Executive Director
Chris gave a brief recap and thanked everyone for all their hard work. We work very closely with our
relationship with ARSEBA. We have landed at no rate increase for either Dental or Vision. I am still
Page 5
working with state procurement on the life insurance that is due. We are good through 1/1 and I have
a couple of options I am waiting to hear back on. I should have that by the first of week and will have
that at the subsequent Board meeting.
Haugen: Before I adjourn, I have been on this Board for well over 10 years and a lot of the
members are new this year. I have been really of appreciative of what has been brought
to this Board, the good questions asked and even challenging the members who have
been here a long time. It is never easy to ask for rate increases and each of you have
dug into everything in just the last few months. Being on this Board this long, this is the
quickest we have come to making a decision and that’s because of all the great
questions. I appreciate all the hard work getting us to this part and although for some of
the employees it is an increase, I think everyone has made the right decision and I hope
you stand proudly behind that. Thank you for your good work.
MOTION by Dr. Fiddler:
I motion to adjourn the meeting.
Lilly-Palmer seconded; all were in favor.
Meeting Adjourned.
Benefits and Quality of Care Sub-Committee
June 18, 2019
1
State and Public School Life and Health Insurance Board Benefits Sub-Committee and Quality of Care Summary Report
The following report resulted from a meeting of the Benefits Sub-Committee and Quality of Care meeting. Topics Discussed: - Approval of Minutes - Financials *Benefits only - Wasteful Services Follow-Up *Quality of Care only - Catapult Update *Quality of Care only - 2020 Rates *Benefits only - Director’s Report Cheiron Update: John Colberg & Gaelle Gravot, Cheiron Colberg and Gravot provided 2020 ASE/PSE considerations as listed below:
PSE
• Current projections show no rate increase needed for 2020.
• Changes in rates and/or could be needed for 2021.
• Rate increases for 2020 would reduce changes needed for 2021.
ASE
• Significant changes in rates and/or benefits are needed in ASE for 2020.
• Significant changes may also be required for 2021 o However, the plan also has about a 1/3 chance of not requiring any
changes for 2021.
MOTION by McCook: I recommend to the Board:
• PSE: No rate increase along with no changes in plan benefits.
• ASE: 5% rate increase across the board. No changes in plan benefits.
Scott seconded. All were in favor. Motion Approved
2020 Rate Projections
Gaelle Gravot, FSA, MAAA
John Colberg, FSA, MAAA
Arkansas State Employees
& Public School Employees
Health Benefits Program
June 18, 2019
Board Meeting
6/18/2019
Topics
Page
1) Plan Funding and Updates 3
2) Updated PSE Projections 5
3) Updated ASE Projections 13
AppendicesA. 2019 Final Rate Details 24
B. 2019 Plan Design 28
C. Assumptions, Use & Disclosures 30
2
6/18/2019
Plan Funding Illustration
3
State/District Contrib.
Emp/Ret
Contrib.
Other Income
Claims (& expenses)
ReservesBuild Use
6/18/2019
Changes in Projections Since May
• May claims, enrollment, and financials
• Experience period
– April 2018 - March 2019 for medical• Same as presented in May but one additional month of
runout
– June 2018 – May 2019 for pharmacy• Updated from May 2018 – April 2019
• All projections based on Benefits Committee recommendations
– No rate increase or benefit changes for PSE
– 5% rate increase with no benefit changes for ASE
4
6/18/2019
PSE Projected Experience
5
Actual Projected Projected
ACCOUNTING BASIS 2018 2019 2020
State Contributions for Plan Year 88.1$ 88.1$ 88.1$
Minimum District Contributions 87.0 89.2 93.9
Participant Contributions 130.4 133.1 135.7
Other Income 13.8 14.4 13.9
Reserve Allocated 4.5 12.7 25.2
TOTAL INCOME 323.7$ 337.5$ 356.8$
Medical Claims Paid + IBNR Change1
(232.9) (245.1) (265.6)
Pharmacy Claims Paid + IBNR Change1
(56.4) (61.6) (59.7)
Expenses / Other (30.9) (30.4) (31.5)
TOTAL EXPENDITURES (320.1)$ (337.1)$ (356.8)$
NET PLAN GAIN / (LOSS) 3.6$ 0.4$ 0.0$
PLAN ASSETS (END OF YEAR)
Net Assets (Prior to IBNR) 160.6$ 148.3$ 123.1$
IBNR Reserve (29.0) (28.0) (28.0)
Catastrophic Reserve (58.5) (58.5) (58.5)
Reserve for Current and Future Premiums (25.2) (47.8) (22.5)
NET ASSETS AVAILABLE 47.9$ 14.0$ 14.0$
ENROLLMENT
Active Employees (includes COBRA) 46,006 46,715 48,347
Retirees 15,710 16,408 17,198
TOTAL ENROLLED 61,716 63,123 65,545
TOTAL INCOME PEPM 437$ 446$ 454$
TOTAL EXPENDITURES PEPM (432)$ (445)$ (454)$ 1 The IBNR Change reflects only the June 30 modification shown on the financial statements.
6/18/2019
PSE Enrollment
6
6/18/2019
PSE Financial Projections
7
6/18/2019
PSE Projected Assets
8
The graph below shows the distribution of assets under random trend scenarios with asset values
ranked from largest to smallest and compared to reserves.
The scenarios do not reflect the likelihood of variations in other factors such as income, population, or
pharmacy initiatives.
Catastrophic Alloc. for 2020 Past Contrib. IBNR Zero
97.9% 99.9%+ 99.9%+ 99.9%+% of scenarios greater than or equal to reserve 99.9%+
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Mil
lio
ns
% of Scenarios greater than or equal asset value
ASE 12/31/2019 Assets vs. Reserves
IBNR Past Contrib. Allocations Allocation for 2020 Catastrophic Reserve Assets
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Mil
lio
ns
% of Scenarios greater than or equal asset value
PSE 12/31/2019 Assets vs. Reserves
IBNR Past Contrib. Allocations Allocation for 2020 Catastrophic Reserve Assets
6/18/2019
PSE Projected Assets
9
The graph below shows the distribution of assets under random trend scenarios with asset values
ranked from largest to smallest and compared to reserves.
The scenarios do not reflect the likelihood of variations in other factors such as income, population, or
pharmacy initiatives.
Catastrophic Alloc. for 2020 Past Contrib. IBNR Zero
90.5% 99.9%+ 99.9%+ 99.9%+% of scenarios greater than or equal to reserve 99.9%+
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Mil
lio
ns
% of Scenarios greater than or equal asset value
ASE 12/31/2020 Assets vs. Reserves
IBNR Past Contrib. Allocations Allocation for 2020 Catastrophic Reserve Assets
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Mil
lio
ns
% of Scenarios greater than or equal asset value
PSE 12/31/2020 Assets vs. Reserves
IBNR Past Contrib. Allocations Allocation for 2020 Catastrophic Reserve Assets
6/18/2019
10
PSE Rate Projections
The tables above show the aggregate increase in employee/retiree contributions needed under each
scenario assuming no changes in benefits, state contributions, or desired catastrophic reserve. The
actual increase by plan and tier would be determined by the Board.
2020 Rate Increase of 0%2020 2021 2022
1) 5.5% Medical / Pharmacy all years 0% 17% 21%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $35.3 $14.0 $0.0
2) 4.5% Medical / Pharmacy all years 0% 8% 21%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $35.2 $19.5 $0.0
3) 6.5% Medical / Pharmacy all years 0% 26% 21%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $35.3 $8.4 $0.0
4) 1 year at 0% Medical / Pharmacy, then 5.5% 0% 0% 14%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $35.0 $12.0 $24.7
5) 1 year at 9% Medical / Pharmacy, then 5.5% 0% 34% 17%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $35.4 $0.0 $0.0
6/18/2019
11
PSE Rate Projections
The graph above shows the aggregate increase in employee/retiree contributions needed under each scenario assuming no
changes in benefits or State contributions. The actual increase by plan and tier would be determined by the Board. The
scenarios do not reflect the likelihood of variations in other factors such as income, population, or pharmacy initiatives.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
42.1% 61.4% 76.6% 88.0% 93.8% 0% Rate Increase in 2020% of scenarios less than or equal to increase
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Em
plo
ye
e/R
eti
ree
Ra
te In
cre
ase
% of Scenarios less than or equal to rate increase
PSE 2021 Random Trend Rate Increase Scenarios
0% Rate Increase in 2020
6/18/2019
PSE Summary
• Current projections show no rate increase
needed for 2020
– Benefits Committee Recommendation is no
rate increase
• Changes in rates and/or benefits could be
needed for 2021, depending upon desired
reserve levels
12
6/18/2019
ASE Projected Experience
13
Actual Projected Projected
ACCOUNTING BASIS 2018 2019 2020
Employer Contributions 174.7$ 174.9$ 174.9$
Participant Contributions 96.7 97.2 101.7
Other Income 19.7 21.1 20.0
Reserves Allocated 18.0 21.7 25.1
TOTAL INCOME 309.1$ 314.9$ 321.7$
Medical Claims Paid + IBNR Change1
(201.4) (200.9) (214.9)
Pharmacy Claims Paid + IBNR Change1
(82.5) (86.5) (84.5)
Expenses / Other (22.7) (21.7) (22.4)
TOTAL EXPENDITURES (306.6)$ (309.1)$ (321.7)$
NET PLAN GAIN / (LOSS) 2.5$ 5.8$ 0.0$
PLAN ASSETS (END OF YEAR)
Net Assets (Prior to IBNR) 103.8$ 87.9$ 62.7$
IBNR Reserve (27.1) (26.2) (26.2)
Catastrophic Reserve (30.6) (16.0) (16.0)
Reserve for Current and Future Premiums (37.0) (45.6) (20.5)
NET ASSETS AVAILABLE 9.1$ 0.1$ 0.0$
ENROLLMENT
Active Employees (includes COBRA) 26,297 26,177 26,161
Retirees 12,375 12,696 12,977
TOTAL ENROLLED 38,672 38,873 39,138
TOTAL INCOME PEPM 666$ 675$ 685$
TOTAL EXPENDITURES PEPM (661)$ (663)$ (685)$
1 The IBNR Change reflects only the June 30 modification shown on the financial statements.
6/18/2019
ASE Enrollment
14
6/18/2019
ASE Financial Projections
15
6/18/2019
ASE Projected Assets
16
The graph below shows the distribution of assets under random trend scenarios with asset values
ranked from largest to smallest and compared to reserves.
The scenarios do not reflect the likelihood of variations in other factors such as income, population, or
pharmacy initiatives.
Catastrophic Alloc. for 2020 Past Contrib. IBNR Zero
70.3% 99.4% 99.9%+ 99.9%+% of scenarios greater than or equal to reserve 99.9%+
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Mil
lio
ns
% of Scenarios greater than or equal asset value
ASE 12/31/2019 Assets vs. Reserves
IBNR Past Contrib. Allocations Allocation for 2020 Catastrophic Reserve Assets
6/18/2019
ASE Projected Assets
17
The graph below shows the distribution of assets under random trend scenarios with asset values
ranked from largest to smallest and compared to reserves.
The scenarios do not reflect the likelihood of variations in other factors such as income, population, or
pharmacy initiatives.
Catastrophic Alloc. for 2020 Past Contrib. IBNR Zero
73.3% 93.7% 98.6% 99.4%% of scenarios greater than or equal to reserve 99.9%+
$-
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Mil
lio
ns
% of Scenarios greater than or equal asset value
ASE 12/31/2020 Assets vs. Reserves
IBNR Past Contrib. Allocations Allocation for 2020 Catastrophic Reserve Assets
6/18/2019
18
The tables above show the aggregate increase in employee/retiree contributions needed under each
scenario assuming no changes in benefits, state contributions or desired catastrophic reserve. The
actual increase by plan and tier would be determined by the Board.
ASE Rate Projections
No Benefit Changes2020 Rate Increase of 5%2020 2021 2022
1) 5.5% Medical / Pharmacy all years 5% 29% 21%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $30.4 $0.0 $0.0
2) 4.5% Medical / Pharmacy all years 5% 18% 21%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $30.4 $4.9 $0.0
3) 6.5% Medical / Pharmacy all years 5% 42% 18%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $30.4 $0.0 $0.0
4) 1 year at 0% Medical / Pharmacy, then 5.5% 5% 0% 27%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $30.4 $15.9 $4.1
5) 1 year at 9% Medical / Pharmacy, then 5.5% 5% 55% 10%
New Reserves Allocated ($ million) $30.4 $0.0 $0.0
6/18/2019
19
ASE Rate Projections
The graph above shows the aggregate increase in employee/retiree contributions needed assuming no 2021 changes in benefits
or changes in State contributions. The actual increase by plan and tier would be determined by the Board. The scenarios do not
reflect the likelihood of variations in other factors such as income, population, or pharmacy initiatives.
2021 Rate Increase 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
30.3% 46.5% 62.6% 74.5% 82.7% 5% Rate Increase for 2020 % of scenarios less than or equal to increase
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1% 11% 21% 31% 41% 51% 61% 71% 81% 91%
Em
plo
ye
e/R
eti
ree
Ra
te In
cre
ase
% of Scenarios less than or equal to rate increase
ASE 2021 Random Trend Rate Increase Scenarios
5% Rate Increase for 2020
6/18/2019
ASE Employee Contributions
20
Actives Current Rates
With 5.0%
increase
Additional
Contrib.
Premium
Employee Only $107.92 $113.32 $5.40
Employee & Spouse 390.46 409.98 19.52
Employee & Child(ren) 216.34 227.16 10.82
Family 498.88 523.82 24.94
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $4.4 $4.6 $0.2
Classic
Employee Only $47.88 $50.28 $2.40
Employee & Spouse 250.32 262.84 12.52
Employee & Child(ren) 112.74 118.38 5.64
Family 315.18 330.94 15.76
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.2 $0.3 $0.0
Basic
Employee Only $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Employee & Spouse 136.46 143.28 6.82
Employee & Child(ren) 29.00 30.46 1.46
Family 165.46 173.74 8.28
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.1 $0.1 $0.0
Total (Monthly) ($ mil) $4.7 $4.9 $0.2Est Annual Total ($ mil) $56.5 $59.2 $2.7
6/18/2019
ASE Retiree Contributions
21
NME Retirees Current Rates
With 5.0%
increase
Additional
Contrib.
Premium
Retiree Only $266.40 $279.72 $13.32
Retiree & NME SP 681.88 715.98 34.10
Retiree & Child(ren) 492.28 516.90 24.62
Retiree & NME SP&CH 907.76 953.16 45.40
Retiree & ME SP 514.78 540.52 25.74
Retiree & ME SP & CH 740.66 777.70 37.04
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.8 $0.8 $0.0
Classic
Employee Only $206.36 $216.68 $10.32
Employee & Spouse 541.74 568.82 27.08
Employee & Child(ren) 388.68 408.12 19.44
Family 724.06 760.26 36.20
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Basic
Employee Only $158.48 $166.40 $7.92
Employee & Spouse 427.88 449.28 21.40
Employee & Child(ren) 304.94 320.18 15.24
Family 574.34 603.06 28.72
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Total (Monthly) ($ mil) $0.8 $0.8 $0.0Est Annual Total ($ mil) $9.5 $10.0 $0.5
Medicare Eligible Current Rates
With 5.0%
increase
Additional
Contrib.
Retiree Only $166.82 $175.16 $8.34
Retiree & NME SP 582.30 611.42 29.12
Retiree & Child(ren) 392.70 412.34 19.64
Retiree & NME SP&CH 808.18 848.60 40.42
Retiree & ME SP 399.66 419.64 19.98
Retiree & ME SP & CH 625.54 656.82 31.28
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $2.6 $2.7 $0.1
Total (Est. Annual) $31.0 $32.6 $1.5
6/18/2019
ASE Summary
• Changes in rates and/or benefits are
needed in ASE for 2020
– Benefits Committee recommends 5% rate
increase with no benefit changes
• Significant changes may also be required
for 2021
– However, ASE also has about a 30% chance
of not requiring any changes for 2021.
22
6/18/2019
Cheiron (pronounced kī´· ron), the immortal centaur from Greek mythology, broke away from the pack and was educated by the Gods. Cheiron became a
mentor to classical Greek heroes, then sacrificed his immortality and was awarded in eternity as the constellation Sagittarius.
23
6/18/2019
Appendix A – PSE Actives 2019 Final Rate Details
24
6/18/2019
Appendix A – PSE Retirees 2019 Final Rate Details
25
NME Retirees
Partially Risk
Adjusted Total
Rate
Direct State
Contrib.
Reserve Used /
(Added)
2019 Retiree
Cost
2018 Retiree
Cost
Assumed
Enrollment
Premium
Retiree Only $555.98 $0.00 ($85.16) $641.14 $641.14 $0.00 0% 484
Retiree & NME SP 1,328.58 0.00 (128.60) 1,457.18 1,457.18 0.00 0% 19
Retiree & Child(ren) 967.92 0.00 (224.68) 1,192.60 1,192.60 0.00 0% 7
Retiree & NME SP&CH 1,555.82 0.00 (452.82) 2,008.64 2,008.64 0.00 0% 4
Retiree & ME SP 747.16 0.00 (47.96) 795.12 795.12 0.00 0% 46
Retiree & ME SP & CH 1,159.10 0.00 (187.48) 1,346.58 1,346.58 0.00 0% 1
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.3 $0.0 ($0.0) $0.4 $0.4 $0.0 0% 561
Classic
Employee Only $313.40 $0.00 $40.10 $273.30 $273.30 $0.00 0% 1,871
Employee & Spouse 717.00 0.00 151.22 565.78 565.78 0.00 0% 257
Employee & Child(ren) 520.80 0.00 50.98 469.82 469.82 0.00 0% 60
Family 900.70 0.00 154.50 746.20 746.20 0.00 0% 38
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.8 $0.0 $0.1 $0.7 $0.7 $0.0 0% 2,227
Basic
Employee Only $251.64 $0.00 $103.14 $148.50 $148.50 $0.00 0% 379
Employee & Spouse 535.16 0.00 265.44 269.72 269.72 0.00 0% 70
Employee & Child(ren) 384.24 0.00 145.72 238.52 238.52 0.00 0% 26
Family 603.00 0.00 267.28 335.72 335.72 0.00 0% 21
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.2 $0.0 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 0% 495
Total (Monthly) ($ mil) $1.3 $0.0 $0.1 $1.2 $1.2 $0.0 0% 3,283
Est Annual Total ($ mil) $16.0 $0.0 $1.7 $14.3 $14.3 $0.0
Medicare Eligible
Partially Risk
Adjusted Total
Rate Subsidy
Reserve Used /
(Added)
2019 Retiree
Cost
2018 Retiree
Cost
Assumed
Enrollment
Retiree Only $191.18 $39.62 $50.78 $100.78 $100.78 $0.00 0% 12,155
Retiree & NME SP 747.16 0.00 (36.76) 783.92 783.92 0.00 0% 74
Retiree & Child(ren) 603.11 0.00 (153.99) 757.10 757.10 0.00 0% 17
Retiree & NME SP&CH 1,159.10 0.00 (362.38) 1,521.48 1,521.48 0.00 0% 2
Retiree & ME SP 358.00 74.07 20.89 263.04 263.04 0.00 0% 1,072
Retiree & ME SP & CH 769.93 0.00 (118.65) 888.58 888.58 0.00 0% 0
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $2.8 $0.6 $0.6 $1.6 $1.6 $0.0 0% 13,320
Total (Est. Annual) $33.3 $6.7 $7.6 $19.0 $19.0 $0.0
Change in Retiree Cost ($/%)
Change in Retiree Cost ($/%)
6/18/2019
Appendix A – ASE Actives2019 Final Rate Details
26
Actives
Risk Adjusted
Total Rate
State Contrib.
& Other
Reserve Used /
(Added)
2019 Employee
Cost
2018 Employee
Cost
Assumed
Enrollment
Premium
Employee Only $510.48 $355.50 $38.06 $107.92 $107.92 $0.00 0% 13,627
Employee & Spouse 1,138.22 660.35 78.41 390.46 390.46 0.00 0% 2,087
Employee & Child(ren) 851.64 561.03 65.27 216.34 216.34 0.00 0% 4,946
Family 1,479.40 865.90 105.62 498.88 498.88 0.00 0% 1,831
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $16.3 $10.6 $1.2 $4.5 $4.5 $0.0 0% 22,491
Classic
Employee Only $446.18 $351.74 $37.56 $47.88 $47.88 $0.00 0% 1,360
Employee & Spouse 987.56 651.06 77.18 250.32 250.32 0.00 0% 163
Employee & Child(ren) 740.42 554.30 64.38 112.74 112.74 0.00 0% 348
Family 1,281.80 853.62 104.00 315.18 315.18 0.00 0% 217
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $1.3 $1.0 $0.1 $0.2 $0.2 $0.0 0% 2,088
Basic
Employee Only $394.52 $348.40 $37.12 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 n/a 1,175
Employee & Spouse 864.62 643.04 76.12 136.46 136.46 0.00 0% 126
Employee & Child(ren) 650.00 548.40 63.60 29.00 29.00 0.00 0% 229
Family 1,120.10 843.04 102.60 165.46 165.46 0.00 0% 148
Est. Monthly Total ($mil) $0.9 $0.7 $0.1 $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 0% 1,677
Total (Monthly) ($ mil) $18.4 $12.3 $1.4 $4.8 $4.8 $0.0 0% 26,256
Est Annual Total ($ mil) $221.3 $147.4 $16.7 $57.2 $57.2 $0.0 0%
Total Active & Ret ($ mil) $305.0 $185.4 $21.7 $98.0 $98.0 $0.0 0% 39,103
Change in EE Cost ($/%)
Employee Cost assumes wellness participation. Employee Cost without wellness participation are $75 higher than those shown. Total employee cost reflects 10% assumed not to receive $75
wellness credit.
6/18/2019
Appendix A – ASE Retirees 2019 Final Rate Details
27
6/18/2019
28
Appendix B – 2019 PSE Plan DesignBenefit Option Name: Premium Classic Basic
Last Modified: 1/1/2019 1/1/2019 1/1/2019
Provider Network: Health Advantage Health Advantage Health Advantage
In-Network (INN) Benefits
Deductible (Individual / Family) $750 / $1500 $1750 / $27503
$4000 / $8000
Coinsurance 20% 20% 20%
Coinsurance limit (after Ded.) Individual/Family $2500 / $5000 $4700 / $6925 $2450 / $4900
Copays
Office Visit - Primary Care (PCP) $25 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
OV - Specialist Care Provider (SCP) $50 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Urgent Care (UC) $100 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Emergency Room (ER) Non-admitted $250 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Emergency Transportation-Ambulance $50 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Hospital Facility - Inpatient & SNF (Co-pay/Admission)4
$0 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Hospital Facility - Outpatient - Co-Pay4
$0 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Out-of-Pocket Max (Individual / Family)2
$3250 / $6500 $6450 / $96753
$6450 / $129003
Out-of-Network (OON) Benefits1
Deductible (Individual / Family) $2000 / $4000 $3000 / $60003 Not Covered
Coinsurance 40% 40%
Out-of-Pocket Max (Individual / Family)2
Unlimited / Unlimited Unlimited / Unlimited
Annual Maximum INN / OON Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited
Prescription Drugs
Separate Deductible then the following Copays: None Included with Medical Included with Medical
Retail (31 Days) - Generic/Formulary /Non-Form./ Specialty $15 / $40 / $80 / $100
Mail Order (93 Days) - Generic/Form. /Non-Form./Specialty $45 / $120/ $240/ $300
Non-Formulary Covered Yes No No
Out-of-Pocket Max (Individual / Family)2
$3350 / $6700 n/a / n/a n/a / n/a
Selected Detail Benefits
PsychiatryINN: $25 Copay;
OON: Ded. & Coins.Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Rehabilitation (i.e., speech, occup. physical):INN: $25 Copay;
OON: Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.Ded. & Coins.
ChiropractorsINN: $25 Copay;
OON: Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.Ded. & Coins.
Hearing AidsNo Copay; Limit of $1400
per ear every 3 years
Ded. & Coins.; Limit of
$1400 per ear every 3 years
Ded. & Coins.; Limit of
$1400 per ear every 3 years
Durable Medical Equipment (DME) Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Monthly HSA Contributions N/A $0 Single/$0 Family $0 Single/$0 Family1When an in-network provider is not available within 50 miles for a hospital and 25 miles for all other providers, then in-network benefits apply.2OOP Max includes the deductible.3A $2,700 embedded individual deductible maximum applies for family
coverage.4Deductible and Co-Insurance also applies
6/18/2019
29
Appendix B – 2019 ASE Plan DesignBenefit Option Name: Premium Classic Basic
Last Modified: 1/1/2017 1/1/2017 1/1/2017
Provider Network: Health Advantage Health Advantage Health Advantage
In-Network (INN) Benefits
Deductible (Individual / Family) $500 / $1000 $2500 / $50003
$6450 / $12900
Coinsurance 20% 20% 0%
Coinsurance limit (after Ded.) Individual/Family $2500 / $5000 $3950 / $7900 n/a / n/a
Copays
Office Visit - Primary Care (PCP) $25 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
OV - Specialist Care Provider (SCP) $50 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Urgent Care (UC) $100 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Emergency Room (ER) Non-admitted $250 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Emergency Transportation-Ambulance $50 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Hospital Facility - Inpatient & SNF (Co-pay/Admission)4
$250 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Hospital Facility - Outpatient - Co-Pay4
$100 Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Out-of-Pocket Max (Individual / Family)2
$3000 / $6000 $6450 / $129003
$6450 / $129003
Out-of-Network (OON) Benefits1
Deductible (Individual / Family) $2000 / $4000 $4000 / $80003 Not Covered
Coinsurance 40% 40%
Out-of-Pocket Max (Individual / Family)2
Unlimited / Unlimited Unlimited / Unlimited
Annual Maximum INN / OON Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited
Prescription Drugs
Separate Deductible then the following Copays: None Included with Medical Included with Medical
Retail (31 Days) - Generic/Formulary /Non-Form./ Specialty $15 / $40 / $80 / $100
Mail Order (93 Days) - Generic/Form. /Non-Form./Specialty $45 / $120/ $240/ $300
Non-Formulary Covered Yes
Out-of-Pocket Max (Individual / Family)2
$3100 / $6200 n/a / n/a n/a / n/a
Selected Detail Benefits
PsychiatryINN: $25 Copay;
OON: Ded. & Coins.Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Rehabilitation (i.e., speech, occup. physical):INN: $25 Copay;
OON: Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.Ded. & Coins.
ChiropractorsINN: $25 Copay;
OON: Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.Ded. & Coins.
Hearing AidsNo Copay; Limit of $1400
per ear every 3 years
Ded. & Coins.; Limit of
$1400 per ear every 3 years
Ded. & Coins.; Limit of
$1400 per ear every 3 years
Durable Medical Equipment (DME) Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins. Ded. & Coins.
Monthly HSA Contributions N/A $25 Single/$50 Family $25 Single/$50 Family1When an in-network provider is not available within 50 miles for a hospital and 25 miles for all other providers, then in-network benefits apply.
2OOP Max includes the deductible.
3A $2,700 embedded individual deductible maximum applies for family
coverage.4Deductible and Co-Insurance also applies
6/18/2019
Appendix C – Assumptions, Use & Disclosures
• Projections are based on medical claim experience for April 2018 through March 2019 and on pharmacy claims experience for June 2018 through May 2019, both paid through May 2019, adjusted for demographic, benefits, and network changes.
• Based on actual 2019 enrollment and financials through May
• Annual trends (unless otherwise indicated) of
– 5.5% medical
– 5.5% pharmacy
– 2.0% expenses (no trend for medical claims expense)
• No changes to State Contribution amounts, and minimum District contributions for 2020 of
$161.87 per enrolled employee per month.
• Wellness participation is 90% for PSE and 88% for ASE
• Additional Income (including investment income, FICA savings, pharmacy rebates, and ASE
retiree drug subsidies) in 2020 will be $13.9 million for PSE and $20.0 million for ASE
• Desired contingency reserves of $58.5 million PSE and $16.0 million ASE
• Reserve allocations to reduce contributions remain at 50% for first year, 30% for second year,
and 20% for third year
• Rates shown on the rating worksheets are prior to any risk adjustments
• No changes in benefits (unless otherwise indicated)
• Medical and pharmacy claims expenses annualized from January through May 2019; plan expenses annualized from February through May 2019.
• Per EBD, additional pharmacy savings of $1 million per month is assumed to be achieved starting October 1, 2019, with 55% of those savings attributable to ASE.
30
6/18/2019
Appendix C – Assumptions, Use & Disclosures
• Medical claims trend distributions– Assumed to follow gamma distribution with mean of
4.2%, standard deviation of 4.3%, and skewness of 40%
• Pharmacy claims trend distributions– Assumed to follow gamma distribution with mean of
2.4%, standard deviation of 5.7%, and skewness of 58%
• To simplify calculations, assumed independence– Between ASE & PSE
– From one year to the next
– Between medical and pharmacy
• Additional information is provided on the following two slides
31
6/18/2019
Appendix C – Medical Trends
32
per member per month ASE PSE
- 2009 to 2010 6.1% 4.8%
- 2010 to 2011 2.3% 2.2%
- 2011 to 2012 7.8% 12.3%
- 2012 to 2013 3.5% -1.7%
- 2013 to 2014 -0.4% 0.6%
- 2014 to 2015 0.4% -3.0%
- 2015 to 2016 8.7% 9.5%
- 2016 to 2017 2.4% 2.5%
- 2017 to 2018 10.4% 7.7%
Average
Standard Deviation
4.2%
4.3%
Assumed Trend Rate 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0%
32%Likelihood of Trends
exceeding assumption49% 40% 36%
6/18/2019
Appendix C – Pharmacy Trends
33
per member per month ASE PSE
- 2008 to 2009 6.9% 2.3%
- 2009 to 2010 1.7% -0.2%
- 2010 to 2011 3.1% -0.2%
- 2011 to 2012 9.3% 3.9%
- 2012 to 2013 1.7% -1.9%
- 2013 to 2014 0.9% -5.0%
- 2014 to 2015 12.4% 1.9%
- 2015 to 2016 3.5% 2.0%
- 2016 to 2017 2.0% -0.7%
- 2017 to 2018 1.8% 2.8%
Average
Standard Deviation 3.7%
2.4%
Assumed Trend Rate 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0%
Likelihood of Trends
exceeding assumption36% 30% 27% 24%
6/18/2019
Appendix C – Use & Disclosures
• Additional details about assumptions and methods will be provided in follow-up documentation.
• In preparing the information in this presentation, we relied on information (some oral and some
written) supplied by the EBD and the Plan’s vendors. This information includes, but is not
limited to, the plan provisions, employee eligibility data, financial information, and claims data.
We performed an informal examination of the obvious characteristics of the data for
reasonableness and consistency in accordance with Actuarial Standard of Practice No. 23.
• Cheiron's analysis was prepared exclusively for the Employee Benefits Division of the State of
Arkansas for the specific purpose of providing projections and options to the Arkansas State
and Public School Life and Health Insurance Board. Other users of this document are not
intended users as defined in the Actuarial Standards of Practice, and Cheiron assumes no duty
or liability to any other user.
• The figures in this presentation are preliminary and subject to change or modification as more
detailed information is gathered and depending upon decisions made by the Board.
• These slides are designed to accompany the presentation from Cheiron at the June 18, 2019
Board meeting. Additional information will be presented orally that is an important part of this
presentation, and information from these slides should only be used in context with that
presentation.
34
John L. Colberg, FSA, MAAA
Principal Consulting ActuaryGaelle, Gravot FSA, MAAA
Principal Consulting Actuary