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Agriculture in Brazil Overview | April 2010

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Agriculture in Brazil. Overview | April 2010. Los Grobo Overview. Section 1. Los Grobo & Sollus: Unique Integrated Business Platform. Complementary businesses with specific focus allows for higher value creation in both vehicles. Agribusiness Value Chain. Farmland. Production. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Agriculture  in  Brazil

Agriculture in BrazilOverview | April 2010

Page 2: Agriculture  in  Brazil

Los Grobo Overview

Section 1

Page 3: Agriculture  in  Brazil

3

► Execution capacity– Strong local presence– Quickly identify business

opportunities► Production efficiency

– Crop rotation– Risk/reward analysis– High technology

► Infrastructure– Agreements with

infrastructure players– Better working capital

management– Capacity to manage sales

according to price fluctuation– Lower logistic costs

Los Grobo & Sollus: Unique Integrated Business Platform

ProductionFarmland Services

Agribusiness Value Chain

Key Value

Drivers

► Scale– Dilution of costs and

investments– Stronger bargaining power

► Complementary revenues– Recurring cash flow

generation– Reduced cash flow volatility – Risk diversification

Complementary businesses with specific focus allows for higher value creation in both vehicles

Land Appreciation Play Agriculture Operation Play

Partnership

LAND

PRODUCTION

INFRA & SERVICES

FARMLAND SCARCITY

-

Land

app

reci

atio

n

+

LAND

Ecosystem development

► Opportunity identification► Execution capacity ► Land conversion► Divestiture of developed land

Page 4: Agriculture  in  Brazil

4

Los Grobo & Sollus: Solid SponsorshipSuccessful agricultural operator, a top financial player and an expert in commodities

► One of the most successful private equity funds in Brazil

► Highly recognized financial player/business developer

► Investment vehicle of Banco Pactual´s former partners

– Pactual was the largest investment bank in Brazil and one of the largest Asset Managers. It was sold to UBS for US$ 3.1Bn in 2006

► Vinci is the controlling shareholder of PDG Realty, second largest real estate company in Brazil by market cap, and of Equatorial Energia, a leading Brazilian energy company

► Vinci has also investments on the ethanol business in Brazil through CMAA and on the retail /fashion business through InBrands

Vinci Partners

► Touradji Capital Management is a New York based commodities hedge fund manager

► The firm currently manages over US$ 3.5 billion in assets

► Through its investment activities, the firm has developed extensive firsthand knowledge of the Brazilian agricultural economy and its producing regions

► Touradji Capital Management funds posted positive returns in 2008 despite the market volatility and abrupt downturn, which indicates its expertise in risk management

► The sponsor Paul Touradji has over 14 years experience investing in commodities and related equities

Touradji Capital ManagementGrobocopatel Family

► More than 90 years of agribusiness market, since the arrival of the family in Argentina, from Ukraine

► In 1984 Adolfo founded Los Grobo Agropecuária composed by 4 employees and 3k ha and became a Professional company at the first half of the 90’s decade

► Gustavo, son of Adolfo, joined Los Grobo in 1984 and was responsible for the development of its actual business model

► Under Gustavo´s management, Los Grobo was the first agro company in the world to obtain the ISO 9001, becoming also a Harvard Case

► Gustavo Grobocopatel has received several awards, including the recent most influent company Leader in Latin America by “América Economía”

Page 5: Agriculture  in  Brazil

5

Uruguay

ArgentinaChile

Brazil

Venezuela

Peru

Bolivia

Paraguay

MAPI

TO

MTGO

MS

PR

MG

Colombia

Geographically Diversified Production – 2009/2010

Los Grobo: Sizeable and Diversified LatAm Player

Planted Area (k ha)¹

Los Grobo is the 2nd largest LatAm grain producer, with more than 250k ha of productive land throughout Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay…

Brazil:

Production Area: 55k haInput Sales: US$ 50 mmGrain Origination: 800 tonCrushing: 90 ton

Argentina:

Production Area: 90k haInput Sales: US$ 25 mmGrain Origination: 1,000k tonCrushing: 266 ton

Uruguay:

Production Area: 90k haInput Sales: US$ 15 mmGrain Origination: 440k ton

Paraguay:

Production Area: 16k haGrain Origination: 35k ton

Total:

Production Area: 251k haInput Sales: US$ 99 mmGrain Origination: 2,255k tonCrushing: 170k ton

CAGR 02 / 03 – 09 / 10 E: 21%

Grain Origination (k tons)¹

CAGR 02 / 03 – 09 / 10 E: 20%

BA

… also servicing over 500k Ha of production through its services business

486594

8331,030

1,389

1,7631,868

2,255

02 / 03 03 / 04 04 / 05 05 / 06 06 / 07 07 / 08 08 / 09 09 / 10E

Clients Own

Soybean Wheat Corn Others

64

02 / 03

43%

31%13%

81

03 / 04

53%

27%

10%

105

04 / 05

49%

29%

12%

118

05 / 06

54%

24%

14%

154

06 / 07

53%

27%

13%

173

07 / 08

47%

26%

18%

247

08 / 09

51%

23%

21%

251

09 / 10E

62%

24%

9%

Page 6: Agriculture  in  Brazil

Global Agribusiness Outlook

Section 2

Page 7: Agriculture  in  Brazil

7

0

40

80

120

160

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Ethanol

Biodiesel

Per Capita Meat Consumption (2009=100)2

Population Growth

► Global population will rise by 1.5 billion people over the next 20 years

► Migration to urban areas, specially in the developing countries

Global Agribusiness Outlook: Increasing and Sustainable Demand

Economic and Income Growth

► Consistent personal income growth in developing countries

► Income growth increases meat consumption and food demand

Development of Global Biofuels

► Development of viable and environmental friendly fuels globally

► Increase in blending of biofuels with gasoline

► Fuel crops are crowding out food crops, constraining food supply

Increasing demand for food and biofuels are the main pillars for bullish commodities outlook…

World Biofuels Production (Liters – billions)3

Urbanization (Million of people)1

Source:1. OECD2. FAPRI3. MB Agro

90

100

110

120

130

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Brazil China EU Russia

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

Developing urban population

Developed urban population

Page 8: Agriculture  in  Brazil

8

17% 5%

10%

22%

16%

22%

47%

47%

55%

8%

25% 22%

Series1 Series2

0

200

400

600

800

South andCentralAmerica

Sub-Saaharan

Africa

NorthAmerica

Europe Asia andP acific

North Asia,East Urals

NorthAfrica andNear East

Potential Arable Land

Actual Arable Land

► All-year-round crops

Long Term Competitive Advantages

Land Availability (k ha)2

Leading Producer of Major Products (% of Global Production)1

South America: The Natural Supplier… and South America is likely to consolidate its position as the global preeminent farming region…

Coffee

Soybean

Sugar

Poultry

Beef

Corn

Orange Juice

Source: 1. USDA 2008/2009 Estimates2. FAO

1st

1st

2nd

1st

3rd

► Highly favorable geographic and climate conditions

► Competitive production costs

► Favorable regulatory environment

3rd

2nd 5th

3rd 6th

... due to its competitive advantages and abundant resources

20%

Page 9: Agriculture  in  Brazil

9

South America: Upside PotentialDespite the bullish scenario for agribusiness, land prices are still lower when compared to other main productive areas…

… and are likely to appreciate as farmland becomes more scarce

Farmland Price Dynamics and Appreciation Estimates

( - )

D

evel

opm

ent S

tage

s

(+)

Raw Land

Production

Infra &Services

Scarce Land

► Agriculture potential

► No agricultural utilization

► Lack of services / infrastructure

► Crop is implemented

► Lack of services / infrastructure

► Developed crops

► Availability of services / infrastructure

► Successful prior crops

► Well developed region

► Lack of available properties nearby

STAGE CONDITIONSAPPRECIATION

ESTIMATES¹

► Balsas – MA

► US$ 1.1k / ha

► Luis Eduardo – BA

► US$ 3.0k / ha

► Rio Verde – GO

► US$ 4.0k / ha

► Ribeirão Preto – SP

► US$ 7.5k / ha

► Traditional producing area► Arbitrage opportunities rising

► Highly developed infrastructure for exports and logistics

► Concentration of high yield products

► Significant soybeans and sugarcane crops expansion

► Limited infrastructural integration

► Several infrastructure developments expected

► Further development of exports and logistics facilities

Average Agricultural Farmland Price (US$ / ha)

USA 11,000

6,000 4,000

3,000

5,900

5,300

3,500

2,300

1,400

3,500

► Long cattle tradition► Northern provinces: best promises in

acreage increase

5

1

2

► Paraguay is growing its agricultural acreage steadily

3

4

6

5

1

23

4

6

Source: FNP, Iowa State University and Sollus

Page 10: Agriculture  in  Brazil

The Soybean in the World

EUA32%

Brasil28%

Argentina21%

China7%

Outros12%

EUA25%

Brasil15%

China19%

Argentina18%

UE 7%

Outros16%

EUA40%

Brasil35%

Argentina15%

Outros10%

Soybeans

EUA14%

Brasil22%

Índia7%

Argentina49%

Outros8%

Soymeal

UE 20%

Japão6%

Méximo5%

China45%

Outros24%

Soybeans

Soybean Production

Soybeans Crushing

Exports

Imports

Índia10%

China28%

Outros62%

SoyOil

Page 11: Agriculture  in  Brazil

11

Historical Soybeans Yield

Historical Soybeans Yield (tons/ha) vs. Modeled (LS)

Linear trend grow in Soybeans Yield

Argentina Uruguay

Paraguay Brazil

Page 12: Agriculture  in  Brazil

Production Cost Breakdown

SOYBEANS BRAZIL ARGENTINA URUGUAY PARAGUAY

Cost per Ha Seeds 7% 10% 11% 9% Chemicals 15% 9% 10% 12% Fertilizer 22% 5% 17% 16% Land Lease 19% 45% 32% 28% G&A 6% 11% 5% 9% Labor/Machinery 22% 10% 14% 15% Harvest 9% 10% 11% 11%

Production Costs - SOYBEAN

Page 13: Agriculture  in  Brazil

Grain Production in Brazil

Section 3

Page 14: Agriculture  in  Brazil

GRAIN PRODUCTION VALUE CHAIN

Page 15: Agriculture  in  Brazil

GRAIN PRODUCTION AREA IN BRAZIL

-2.000,0 4.000,0 6.000,0 8.000,0

10.000,0 12.000,0 14.000,0

1977

/78

1979

/80

1981

/8/2

1983

/84

1985

/86

1987

/88

1989

/90

1991

/92

1993

/94

1995

/96

1997

/98

1999

/00

2001

/02

2003

/04

2005

/06

2007

/08

2009

/10

Corn Planted Area ('000 ha)

BA MT MS GO MG SP PR SC RS

-

5.000,0

10.000,0

15.000,0

20.000,0

25.000,0

1977

/78

1979

/80

1981

/8/2

1983

/84

1985

/86

1987

/88

1989

/90

1991

/92

1993

/94

1995

/96

1997

/98

1999

/00

2001

/02

2003

/04

2005

/06

2007

/08

2009

/10

Soybean Planted Area ('000 ha)

BA MT MS GO MG SP PR SC RS

-200 400 600 800

1.000 1.200 1.400 1.600

Cotton Planted Area ('000 ha)

BA MT MS GO MG SP PR SC RS

-

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

Wheat Planted Area ('000 ha)

MS SC SP MG GO BA MT

Page 16: Agriculture  in  Brazil

Interno57%

Exportação43%

Soybeans in Brazil

Brazilian Market Overview Brazil – Consuming Market- 1990 x 2007

Producing Regions

Soja em Grão

Exportação

Moagem

Farelo

Óleo

Perda e Sementes

Exportação

Mercado Interno

Exportação

Mercado Interno

43%

57%10%

18%

72% 53%

47%

34%

66%

Centro Oeste52%

Sul36.90%

Nordeste7.90%

Sudeste0.70%

Norte2.50%

Interno78%

Exportação22%

Holanda36%

Japão18%

Espanha12%

Itália6%

Bélgica6%

Alemanha5%

Outros17%

China42%

Holanda14%

Espanha10%

Itália5%

Outros29%

Brazil – Export Markets – 1990 x 2007

Exports

Soybean

Crushing

SoyMeal

SoyOil

Seeds and Losses

Exports

Internal Mkt

Exports

Internal Mkt

Page 17: Agriculture  in  Brazil

17

Brazilian States Risk Reward Analisys

Historical Data

Different Risk and Risk x Reward relationships

10Y

Wor

st G

ross

Mar

gin

0%5%

10%15%

20%25%30%

35%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

RS

GO

MS

MAPR

GOMT

MAPR

-70%

-60%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

GO MS MT PR RS MA

10Y

Yie

ld V

olat

ility

Gross Margin

Too Risky

Best Risk x Reward

Good Risk x Reward

Hard to Scale Up

Good Risk x Reward

Lowest Risk and Margin

Page 18: Agriculture  in  Brazil

18

Los Grobo: LatAm Agribusiness Preeminent Agriculture Company

+

+

+

+

+

Sizeable and Diversified LatAm Player

One-Stop-Shop

Network Model

Superior Productivity and Efficiency

Proven Track Record with Strength Financials

Sponsors & Fully Aligned Management Team With Strong Execution Capacity

Structured and scalable growth platform with secured access to relevant grain production/origination

… leading to a highly synergistic business to maximize value creation throughout the Agribusiness Value Chain

Antonio Oliva [email protected]+55 62 3018-2700

Gustavo [email protected]+55 21 2554-1300

Contacts