agus purnomo. indonesia. low carbon strategies and challenges

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    Low Carbon Strategies and Challenges

    - Indonesia

    Agus Purnomo

    Head of Secretariat, National Council on Climate Change

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    Indonesia's GHG emissions are growing fast and are drivenby forestry and peat

    1

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    2

    85 percent of Indonesias emissions in 2005 stem from land

    use related activities

    1 Includes absorption of managed forests and timber plantations

    SOURCE: Indonesia GHG abatement cost curve

    243 246 300

    550

    129

    313

    2,052

    1,739

    763

    Totalemissions

    Othersectors

    Totallanduserelated

    Agri-culture

    PeatFire

    Peatdecomp-osition

    Absorp-tion1

    Degrad-ation

    Deforest-ation

    85%of total

    Breakdown of Indonesias emissions into majorsourcesMillion ton CO2e

    Land use related emissions

    Emissions from other sectors

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    The potential to reduce emissions is representing up to 5 percent of globalabatement needed

    955

    225

    3,260

    Remainingemissions

    OtherAgriculture

    106

    PowerPeat

    56

    Petroleum

    61

    Transport

    87

    609

    LULUCF

    1,161

    Totalabatement

    Percent oftotalreductionpotential

    1 2 3 4 5

    SOURCE: DNPI Indonesia GHG abatement cost curve

    50 26 10 5 4 3

    6

    Projected abatement potential

    Million tons, CO2e Indonesia has a total reductionpotential of 2,305 MtCO2e, 70% ofits projected business as usualemissions of 3,260 MtCO2e in2030

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    Indonesias Vulnerabilities

    Sea level rise & land inundation threatens coastal

    zonesNorth coast Java, south Kalimantan,west Sumatra

    Water changed water balance leading to droughts andfloods regionally differentiated

    Agriculture food security threatened, and decliningproductivity in particular rice cultivation

    Health spread of diseases correlated to effects of climate change(malaria, dengue, cholera, diarrhea etc)

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    Results

    President Yudhoyono has taken the climate change agenda from obscurityto national prominence

    2007 2008 2009 2010

    Events

    NCCCestablished

    Bali ActionPlan

    Forest G11

    Nationalemission

    reduction plan

    Indonesia GHGemission cost curve

    President Yudhoyonocommited to a 26%emission reduction

    Central Kalimantan andJambi Low CarbonGrowth Plan

    COP13 (Bali,Indonesia)

    Indonesiaassociates withCopenhagenaccord

    NCCC press conference G20 summit (Pittsburgh, USA) COP15 (Copenhagen, Denmark)

    EastKalimantanlow-carbongrowth plan

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    Indonesia is charting a green growth plan which will ensure sustainableeconomic growth with a smaller carbon footprint

    Three provinces have responded thePresident by developing green growthstrategies with DNPI

    We are devising an energy mix

    policy that will reduce ouremissions by 26% by 2020. With

    international support, we are

    confident we can reduce

    emissions by as much as 41%

    CO2Mitigation

    AdaptationEconomicdevelopment

    Insti-tutional

    enablers

    Low-Carbon Growth Plan

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    MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE INTONATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENDA

    Bi-/Multilateralcooperation

    BALI ACTION

    PLAN

    PRES

    STATEMENT:

    G20 2009

    M

    AICCTF

    ROADMAPS

    (ICCSR)

    Bridges NationalAction Plan on CCinto 5 yr mid-termdevelopment plan(RPJM) 2010-2014 &inputs till 2030.

    ICCTF- Internationalfinancing mechanismchannelinginvestment funds intonational CCinitiatives.

    GoIs ownbudget

    Mainstream

    ing into

    RPJM

    RAN - GRK

    YellowBook

    7

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    NATIONAL PRIORITY & ACTION PLAN 2010-2014

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    Bureaucracy Reform and Good Governance

    Education

    Health

    Poverty Alleviation

    Food Security

    Infrastructure

    Investment Climate

    Energy

    Environment and Disaster Management(incl. Climate Change)

    Disadvantaged, Borders and Post-Conflict Areas

    11 National Priorities-

    Indonesian Cabinet

    2010-2014

    Culture, Creativity and Technology Innovation

    8

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    PRIORITY FOCUS

    Land, Area Development & Agriculture Spatial

    PlanInfrastructure

    Research and Development

    Investment, Finance and Subsidy

    Food and Nutrition

    Adaptation to Climate Change

    FOOD SECURITY

    Policy

    Restructuring of State Enterprises

    Energy Capacity

    Alternative Energy

    Oil and Gas Derivative Production

    Gas Conversion

    ENERGY

    Climate Change

    Environmental Degradation Control

    Early Warning System

    Capacity Building on Disaster Mitigation & Forest

    Fire

    ENVIRONMENTALAND DISASTER

    MANAGEMENT

    9

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    The National CC Roadmap

    The Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap will support the

    GOIs development vision related to climate change for the

    next 20 years. The implementation of the Roadmap will

    be through National Development Plan; the next

    Development is for period 2010 2014.

    There are nine priority sectors:Mitigation Sectors-: Energy, Forestry, Industry,

    Transportation, Waste ManagementAdaptation Sectors-: Agriculture, Marine and Fishery,

    Water Resources, Health

    10

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    Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

    UnilateralandInternationalSupport

    President SBY commitment at theG-20 Pittsburgh and COP15

    To reduce GHG Emission in 2020

    26%

    15%Unilateral

    RAN-GRK

    26%41%

    11

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    Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

    +15%

    26%

    Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified(MRV), clear and concise contracts, clearexecuting agencies, higher abatement cost ,not included in CDM project

    Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified(MRV), lower abatement cost, Mid-Term Dev.Plan, national priorities, economically feasible,not included in CDM project

    RAN-GRK

    Based on proposals of actions from Implementing Agencies

    Quick start: existing actions with co-benefits emissions reduction

    12

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    Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    2020

    E

    missionRate

    (GtCO2)

    BAU Skenario 26%

    26%

    13

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    Approach Toward Low Carbon Economy

    Mainstreaming adaptation and mitigation policies tomedium term sustainable development agenda

    Shifting the economy toward low carbon growth path

    Framing the policy within the pro-growth, pro-job, pro-

    poor development principles

    Taking advantage of global mitigation efforts and

    financial support

    Getting ahead of competition through low carbon

    features, policy incentives and delivering our 26%

    emission reductions from BAU 2020 commitment

    14

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    A low carbon growth plan is a holistic approach where economic growth,CO2 mitigation and adaptation go hand in hand

    Framework for Low-Carbon Growth Plan

    CO2 Mitigation

    Estimate the size of current and future emissions Assess the technical abatement potential and

    feasibility, and implementation cost of individualmitigation initiatives

    Economic development

    Analyse existing competitive strengths and

    weaknesses Explore potential new sourcesof growth (requiring less carbon emissions)

    Adaptation

    Analyse existing and future climate threats Explore adaptation measures and estimate total

    cost of realizationInstitutional enablers

    Develop strategy for critical enablers (e.g.,monitoring and evaluation, spatial planning,community engagement)

    Estimate the total costs of realizing theseopportunities

    Key elements

    CO2Mitigation

    AdaptationEconomicdevelopment

    Insti-tutionalenablers

    Low-Carbon Growth Plan

    SOURCE: DNPI Low carbon growth team; team analysis

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    The Councils work with Central Kalimantan, East Kalimantan and Jambi

    has led to other provinces requesting low carbon growth strategies

    SOURCE: DNPI

    AcehSumatra

    Utara

    Riau

    EastKalimantan

    West

    Kalimantan

    Papua

    South

    Sulawesi

    Lampung

    West JavaCentral

    JavaBali

    Jambi

    CentralKalimantan

    Showed interest for lcgp

    Existing lcgp

    Implementing lcgp

    D t il d l b th t t i h b d l d

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    Detailed low carbon growth strategies have been developed

    SOURCE: DNPI; Pemda Kaltim, Pemda Kalteng, Pemda Jambi

    Low-Carbon Growth Plans

    Sustainable economic developmentstrategy

    Competitive strengths and weaknesses New sources of growth

    Sector strategies

    Abatement opportunities, pilot projects,policies required

    Palm oil, forestry, agriculture, coal, oil &gas

    District strategies

    Districts size and land use Emissions and potential for abatement

    GDP and employment

    Implementation and enablers

    Detailed action plan Critical enablers required Estimate of total costs

    Key elements of LCGS

    Kalteng

    KaltimJambi

    Indonesia

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    East Kalimantans low carbon

    strategy and challenges

    Introducing East Kalimantan

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    Introducing East Kalimantan

    Significant remaining natural forestcover

    Land area: 19.7million ha

    Natural Forest: 12.8million ha

    Population:3,550,586

    GDP: IDR 103 trillion

    GDP per capitaranked 2nd out of 33provinces1

    1 In year 2007

    45

    19

    7

    6

    8

    6

    18

    5

    12

    25

    18

    3420

    14

    Coal & Mining

    Forestry

    Palm oil/Estate crops

    Agriculture

    Employment2008

    1.26 Million

    Workers

    2 3

    CO2emission2005

    Oil & Gas

    Services/Others

    Manufacturing

    Construction

    100% =

    23

    46

    59

    255Million

    Ton CO2e

    1

    GDP2008

    103Trillion

    IDR

    2

    SOURCE: BPS Kaltim; East Kalimantan Environmentally Sustainable Development Strategy by National Council for

    Climate Change and Government of East Kalimantan

    Large share of emissions is generated by theagriculture, palm oil and forestry sectors

    E t K li t h b d i b th il d t

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    20SOURCE: BPS

    Real GDP growth, 1983-2008IDR Trillion, Constant price 2000

    35

    Services/Others

    Manufacturing

    Coal & Mining

    Forestry

    Palm oil

    Agriculture

    2008

    103

    07

    99

    Construction

    95

    67

    94

    64

    93

    55

    92

    49

    91

    50

    90

    47

    89

    44

    88

    43

    87

    44

    86

    43

    85

    43

    86

    2000

    82

    99

    79

    98

    76

    97

    76

    96

    73

    +3% p.a.

    Oil & Gas

    84

    42

    1983 06

    97

    05

    94

    04

    91

    03

    89

    02

    88

    01

    +5% p.a.

    East Kalimantans economy has been driven by the oil and gas sector,

    however this is in decline while coal, palm oil, and services are growing fast

    In the BAU scenario CO e emissions would reach 331 Mt by 2030 however

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    In the BAU scenario, CO2e emissions would reach 331 Mt by 2030, howeverpursuing a sustainable growth path can reduce this by 60 percent

    SOURCE: team analysisGross emissions are excluding absorption from managed forests and oil palm plantation

    Manu-facturing

    Agri-culture

    PetroleumandRefining

    Forest &ForestIndustry

    Mining

    16

    Palm oil Minorinitia-tives

    Total

    11

    13

    Emissionsafterabatement

    Majorinitia-tives

    Services Con-struction

    184 -60%

    Share ofemissions,percent

    18.5 21.0 22.9 16.8 3.26.1 4.8 6.7 100

    Sources of emissions differ between provinces

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    Sources of emissions differ between provinces

    Emission from power and oil andgas mainly along the coastline

    Emissions from LULUCFsignificant in all regencies

    Emissions from peat dominate inNunukan and Kutai Kartanegaradistricts

    = 1 Mt CO2 from Power

    = 0.5 Mt CO2 from Transport

    = 2.5 Mt CO2 from Oil/Gas

    = 10 Mt CO2 from Peat

    = 10 Mt CO2 from LULUCF

    = 10 Mt CO2 from Fire

    SOURCE: Kaltim Green, Wetlands International, East Kalimantan Statistics 2009, DNPI Indonesia GHG Abatement Cost Curve

    Emissions are not evenly distributed with the three largest

    http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://images.google.co.in/imgres?imgurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/images/orchids-supplay/peat.jpg&imgrefurl=http://green-drop-home.com/zencart/index.php?main_page=product_info&products_id=111&usg=__l5r9LDBxdqK_SwI0Qhrbq9xDaCg=&h=1704&w=2272&sz=912&hl=en&start=5&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=1-Z-6RxIB3SzMM:&tbnh=113&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=peat&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1
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    Emissions are not evenly distributed with the three largestdistricts contributing more than 50% of all emissions

    Tarakan

    0

    Sama-rinda

    3

    Balik-papan

    6

    PanajamPaserUtara

    6

    Malinau

    7

    Bontang

    8

    Paser

    31

    Nunukan

    40

    KutaiBarat

    45

    KutaiKer-tanagara

    52

    12

    Bulungan

    18

    Berau

    21

    KutaiTimur

    TanaTidung

    2

    SOURCE: Kaltim Green, Wetlands International, East Kalimantan Statistics 2009

    Gross emissions of East Kalimantans districts

    in 5 major industrial sectorsMtCO2e

    Forestry

    Oil Gas

    Mining

    Other sectors

    Palm oil

    Agriculture

    Share oftotal EastKalimantanemissions;Percent

    20.5 18.2 16.4 12.9 8.5 7.3 4.8 3.2 2.8 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.1

    EAST KALIMANTAN EXAMPLE

    Emissions by district detailed sources 0-1 Mt CO2e 2-5 Mt CO2e

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    Emissions by district, detailed sources

    SOURCE: Team analysis

    Tarakan

    Tana

    Tidung

    Samarinda

    Pasir

    Panajam

    Paser Utara

    Nunukan

    Malinau

    Kutai Timur

    Kutai Barat

    Bulungan

    Bontang

    Berau

    Balikpapan

    0 1 Mt CO2e

    1-2 Mt CO2e

    2 5 Mt CO2e

    5-10 Mt CO2e

    10+ Mt CO2e

    1 Palm oil mill effluent

    Total

    5.9

    21.8

    18.5

    18.2

    44.9

    KutaiKertanegara

    57.6

    43.6

    6.9

    40.2

    8.3

    12.3

    3.5

    2.3

    0.3

    284.3East

    Kalimantan

    MtCO2e, 2010

    0.0

    Palm oil

    Deforest-

    ation

    Peat

    decompFires POME1

    Agriculture

    Deforest-

    ation Fires

    Agric

    process

    Peat

    decomp

    Forestry

    Forestdegra-

    dation

    Deforest

    -ation

    Peat

    decomp Fires

    Oil & Gas

    Upstream

    process

    Coal mining

    6.3 3.1 0.8 2.3

    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    2.6 1.7 0.7 0.3 4.7 3.9 0.5 1.3 -0.2 1.5 1.0 0.3

    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 -0.0 0.0 1.5 0.4

    2.0 1.5 1.5 0.2 2.5 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.00.1 0.9 2.5 0.6

    7.8 4.1 1.9 0.4 8.7 4.0 1.7 3.9 -0.2 1.9 3.1 0.8

    5.6 6.0 4.6 0.7 1.8 2.7 4.2 2.8 5.90.8 0.9 7.7 2.0

    4.5 3.9 0.8 0.8 0.30.7 1.4 1.7 0.5

    0.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 4.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0

    1.4 0.9 7.1 0.3 1.5 2.8 6.8 0.7 -0.4 0.9 12.1 3.1

    0.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 2.6 0.8 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0

    1.6 2.1 0.3 0.3 1.2 2.4 0.3 0.8 -0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2

    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2

    0.0 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    26.0 22.4 16.9 3.2 33.8 23.9 16.8 13.0

    Refining

    and LNG

    Gas

    Flaring

    3.3-

    --

    15.1-

    -0.1

    --

    -1.4

    -0.2

    --

    --

    --

    --

    --

    --

    -0.0

    18.41.7

    Other

    2.5

    0.4

    0.7

    0.5

    0.6

    2.8

    0.2

    0.2

    0.4

    0.1

    0.6

    2.1

    0.5

    0.2

    11.86.2

    Deforest-

    ation

    Mining

    process

    Methane

    release

    ---

    0.40.81.5

    ---

    0.10.10.8

    0.50.94.4

    0.81.55.4

    4.38.13.7

    0.00.0-

    0.10.31.4

    0.81.40.7

    0.10.10.4

    0.10.20.0

    0.00.00.0

    ---

    7.213.518.43.2 9.4 31.0 8.0

    Other Total

    Potential CO2e reductions disaggregated to all districts 2-50-1

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    Potential CO2e reductions disaggregated to all districts

    SOURCE: Team analysis

    Tarakan

    Tana Tidung

    Samarinda

    Pasir

    PanajamPaser Utara

    Nunukan

    Malinau

    Kutai Timur

    KutaiKertanegara

    Kutai Barat

    Bulungan

    Bontang

    Berau

    Balikpapan

    5+1-2

    EastKalimantan

    Abatement by source, MtCO2e 2030

    1 Reduced impact logging

    2 Includes the use of degraded land (13.9 MtCO2e) and REDD (9.8 MtCO2e) payment schemes

    Palm oil

    Zeroburning

    De-gradedland

    Watermgmt POME

    Yieldin-crease

    Con-cessionbuyouts

    0.00.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0

    0.21.5 1.0 0.30.3 0.0

    0.00.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0

    0.21.2 0.2 0.60.2 0.5

    0.44.7 1.2 0.70.4 1.9

    0.73.4 1.9 1.80.8 2.6

    0.72.7 3.4 0.30.8 0.0

    0.20.0 0.2 0.00.1 0.3

    0.20.8 1.5 2.80.2 0.0

    0.10.2 0.1 0.00.1 0.4

    0.31.0 1.8 0.10.3 0.0

    0.00.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0

    0.10.0 0.0 0.00.1 0.2

    0.00.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0

    3.115.6 11.4 6.83.3 6.0

    Oil &Gas

    ZeroFlaring,Process

    -

    0.8

    0.1

    -

    1.4

    0.2

    -

    -

    -

    -

    -

    -

    0.0

    2.7

    0.3

    Agriculture

    Zeroburnpolicy

    Peatrehab

    0.0 0.0

    0.6 0.2

    1.5 0.4

    1.9

    4.6 1.3

    1.0 0.3

    0.0 0.0

    7.2 2.1

    0.0 0.0

    0.4 0.1

    0.4 0.1

    0.0 0.0

    0.0 0.0

    18.5 5.4

    0.9 0.3

    0.5

    Forestry

    Peatrehab

    Zeroburnpolicy

    Re-forest-ationRIL1

    Avoidde-forest2

    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1

    4.0 1.08.7 2.3 2.0

    3.9

    2.4

    2.7

    3.1

    0.6

    2.8

    0.8

    2.4

    0.0

    0.9

    0.1

    0.3

    0.8

    2.5

    0.5

    0.0

    4.0

    0.0

    0.2

    0.2

    0.0

    0.0

    0.8

    0.4

    1.7

    1.4

    0.0

    0.4

    0.1

    0.5

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0

    0.9

    0.6

    2.8

    3.2

    0.6

    0.5

    0.4

    1.1

    0.1

    0.2

    0.0

    0.0

    4.7

    0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0

    2.5

    1.8

    6.3

    4.7

    1.5

    2.6

    1.2

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0

    0.0

    23.8 10.0 7.7 12.534.0

    Recla-mation

    Reducemethanerelease

    Stopillegalmining

    0.050.030.08

    0.090.050.16

    ---

    0.260.140.46

    0.330.180.58

    0.190.100.34

    0.010.000.01

    0.080.040.13

    0.040.020.07

    0.030.020.05

    0.010.000.01

    0.000.000.00

    ---

    2.901.562.01

    ---

    0.34

    0.67

    -

    1.90

    2.41

    1.39

    0.04

    0.56

    0.30

    0.21

    0.06

    0.02

    -

    8.11

    -

    Coal mining

    Processefficiency

    0.10.00.1

    0.30.20.1

    ---

    0.40.20.5

    0.60.30.6

    2.81.50.4

    0.00.00.0

    0.10.10.1

    0.50.30.1

    0.00.00.1

    0.10.00.0

    0.00.00.0

    ---

    4.82.62.0

    ---

    0.4

    0.9

    -

    2.4

    3.0

    2.9

    0.1

    0.7

    0.6

    0.3

    0.1

    0.0

    -

    11.3

    -

    Total

    Total

    16.2

    2.6

    12.2

    33.2

    34.5

    31.5

    6.8

    25.0

    6.3

    9.8

    1.0

    1.5

    0.1

    184

    0.5

    The 5 biggest initiatives to reduce CO2 emissions

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    26

    Reducing emissions from peat decomposition of agricultural areas can beachieved by adjusting and maintaining the water table at a sustainablelevel via dam systems and applying best practices in rice cultivation

    Reduce peatdecomposition

    4

    18 MtCO2e

    The 5 biggest initiatives to reduce CO2 emissions

    Description

    Abatement,2030

    ZeroBurning

    Policy1

    Although East Kalimantan has fewer fires than its neighbours, fires fromsmallholders, particularly in peat areas, cause significant emissions

    Prohibiting fire as a tool for land preparation, establishing fire brigades andensuring strong enforcement and large penalties for rule violations

    47 MtCO2e

    Re-forestation

    5

    Rehabilitate slightly critical land that has been partially degraded. Thereforestation will restore ecosystem services and also sequester carbon

    12 MtCO2e

    ReducedImpactLogging

    2

    Most of the emissions from legal logging are due to destruction of biomassthat is not the commercial timber removed and sold.

    Reduced impact logging, e.g. skidding tracks, winches, harvest planningcan remove the same about of commercial timber but at lower emissions

    KPH forest management units are required, with about 1 forest employee

    overseeing 10,000 ha of HPH

    34 MtCO2e

    Significant emissions from palm oil and agriculture are due to the clearing offorests for land for the crops/plantations

    Use of degraded land (lahan critis) for future expansion oil palm, HTI, andagriculture will allow expansion with lower emissions

    Initiate land swaps of already granted concessions on forested land withequal sized plots of degraded land

    Use ofdegradedland

    3

    25.3 MtCO2e

    SOURCE: team analysis

    Palm oil can reduce emissions by over half from better land management

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    27

    and would 25% higher economic development than ina business-as-usual scenario

    Emissions from the palm oil sector could be reduced by

    60% against business as usual

    Palm oil can reduce emissions by over half from better land managementwhile increasing growth from productivity improvements

    SOURCE: Team analysis

    1) Expand on degraded land

    2) Yield improvement

    3) Oil palm buyout

    4) Water management and peatlandrehabilitation

    5) Fire prevention and management

    6) Reduced process emissions

    CO2 reduction initiatives Abatement

    MtCO2e

    11 MtCO2e

    3.3 MtCO2e

    3.2 MtCO2e

    6.8 MtCO2e

    15.6 MtCO2e

    3.0 MtCO2e

    1) Expand on degraded lands

    2) Yield improvements

    3) Palm oil concession buyouts

    GDP initiatives IDR Trillions

    IDR Trillions

    1.44

    0.14

    1.3

    10 152005 2520 2030

    PembanguanRamah Lingkuan

    Businessas usual

    Emissions

    Abatement

    11

    7

    16

    3

    33

    3

    -63%

    20 priority initiatives have been identified to reduce the carbon intensity of

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    28SOURCE: Diagnostic Workshop; Interviews; Discussions; Working Sessions; Team analysis

    20 priority initiatives have been identified to reduce the carbon intensity ofcurrent activities and to grow downstream and low carbon sectors

    Oil & Gas Coal Palm oil Forestry Agriculture

    Reduce

    carbonemissions

    Reduce venting

    and flaringemissions

    Revoke

    concessions inprotected areas

    Concessions to

    degraded lands

    Implement

    reduced impactlogging

    Zero Burning

    Policy

    Grow low

    carbon and

    high valueadd sectors

    Enforce goodmining practices

    e.g. rehabilitation

    Zero burning landclearance

    Use degradedland for

    plantations

    RehabilitateOpened Peat

    land

    Flare/use

    methane leakage

    Accelerateexploration

    Use methaneleakage

    Raise landproductivity

    REDD readiness Raising Yields

    Develop CBMpotential

    Build crude palmoil refinery in East

    Kalimantan

    Develop 2.6m toncapacity pulp &

    paper and forest

    products

    mills/plant

    New crops andaquaculture

    Develop new

    LNG/petro-

    chemical complex

    East Kalimantan is at a transition from strategy to implementation for its

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    29

    Roll out pilot program acrossthe whole province oncereadiness program has beencompleted and funding forcontinuation has been secured

    Continue to develop keyenablers (e.g. spatial planning,MRV, etc)

    Design organizational set upof Governor green deliveryunit

    Identify KPIs and reportingmechanisms of delivery unit

    Develop detailedimplementation plan and KPIsfor each district

    Identify funding sources andproposals

    Build key enablers:

    Basic MRV systems,including provincebaseline

    Integrated spatial planning Financial distribution

    mechanisms

    Community engagement

    mechanism

    gy plow carbon growth plan

    SOURCE: Team analysis

    Low carbon

    growth strategy

    Basic readiness

    implementation

    Low carbon

    growth pilots

    Develop a low carbon growthstrategy that identifies: Identifies major sources of

    emissions across theprovince and across

    different industry sectors Identifies major abatement

    opportunities and actionsfor promoting sustainablelivelihoods

    Identifies critical enablers

    Analyzes costs for carbonabatement and sustainablealternative livelihoods

    Priority areas of support to East Kalimantan implementation phase

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    30

    y pp p p

    Description

    Define organizational structure, key processes, deliverables, KPIs and reportingrelationships

    Establish regular operations and meetings with clear leadership of the Governor Define responsibilities vis--vis existing government departments, connection to

    DNPI and national institutions, and counterparts in the districts Support hiring of new positions and building day-to-day capabilities to implement

    the strategy

    SOURCE: Team analysis

    Support districts to develop a pipeline of projects based on identified prioritiesand targets

    Develop implementation plans to support launch of low carbon growth plan Identify potential sources of readiness funds and understand requirements for

    accessing funds Develop required materials to access funds, e.g. donor-ready proposals

    Build critical enablers such as a basic MRV system, integrated spatial planning,community engagement/public awareness

    Develop regulatory responses (e.g. optimizing land allocation through spatialplanning, land titling, environmental impact assessments, permitting, etc)

    Setting up theGovernors Green

    Delivery Unit

    Districtincubators: pilotsprojects andprograms

    Rapid capacitybuilding forcritical enablers

    1

    2

    3

    East Kalimantan framework for REDD Readiness Implementation

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    Use of degradedland for palm oil

    Peat rehabilitationand conservation

    Reduced ImpactLogging

    REDDReadiness

    Implementation

    Land tenureresolution

    Spatial planning Revise spatial planning to reflect objective to preserve carbon

    Application of state of the art technology Degraded land database

    Capabilitybuilding

    Create Provincial Council on Climate Change Involve local government departments in pilot initiatives

    Pilot program design Provincial investment memorandum (beyond pilot province application)

    Improved institutional capabilities Local land registry office

    Conflict resolution mechanism for land tenure

    Communicationand stakeholdermanagement

    Multi-stakeholder approach involving private sector, donors and NGOs Broad government alignment

    Supporting enablers

    SOURCE: Kaltim Green 31

    Snapshot of priority pilots in East Kalimantan

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    Avoiding deforestationby shifting new, large-

    scale agriculturecultivation to alreadydegraded land Access to degraded land: establishment of

    land bank of degraded land

    Reliable land registry office as landacquisition and conflict resolution

    Funding and compensation mechanisms

    Using degraded land (for oil palm)

    Reduce forestdegradation through

    more sustainableharvesting practices

    Create business case for RILimplementation

    Explore possibility for REDD creditcompensation

    Implement Reduced Impact Logging (RIL)

    Rewetting andrestoration of peatlandsto reduce emission from

    peat decomposition Establish common framework for peatrehab/ conservation

    Build business case for peat-based pilotprojects to enable access to carbonfunding

    Peatland rehabilitation and conservation

    Revise land use plan tominimize forestclearance while meeting

    development goals CO2e reference scenario from current plan Technical optimization of spatial plan on

    optimal low emission land conversion Stakeholder engagement to embed revised

    process into BAU going forward

    Revise East Kalimantan spatial plan

    SOURCE: Kaltim Green 32

    Delivering impact relies on multiple partners, both Indonesian and

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    international

    DonorsSet high aspiration and

    ensure safeguards forcritical issues such asspatial planning, forest

    moratorium and landtitling as well as clearfunding commitment

    Civil society / NGOsImplementation support for pilot

    provinces

    Government AgenciesImplementation of required

    policy changes identifiedduring the pilots toenable roll out across the

    province or evennationwide

    East Kalimantan Proof of profitable low carbon

    development programs, replicable

    nationwide Informs & triggers policy changesat provincial and national level

    Private sectorCommitment to change critical enablers

    e.g. regulatory requirements aswell as clear investment

    commitment

    SOURCE: Kaltim Green 33

    Available Plans and Planning Tools

    http://www.gggi.org/index.phphttp://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_UbK0VwDGzvw/Sref5zGojxI/AAAAAAAAAAM/pGYDrX6HPZs/s320/Logo+Kab.+Kutai+Barat.JPG&imgrefurl=http://www.channelkubar.co.cc/2009/09/sekilas-kutai-barat.html&usg=__ad6MVnwxh422en3HmbFIaT1VGeE=&h=320&w=295&sz=42&hl=en&start=1&zoom=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=7ZjVEKSLlaAIoM:&tbnh=118&tbnw=109&prev=/images?q=Kutai+Barat+logo&um=1&hl=en&tbs=isch:1http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.malangkab.go.id/imgnews/Kab.%20-@Logo_Bulungan_Colour_Big-1.JPG&imgrefurl=http://www.malangkab.go.id/newsdetail.php?id=131&usg=__pb7ovA9cnmki_eDMz2142bnxJFU=&h=320&w=272&sz=26&hl=en&start=1&zoom=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=a4NdCHpbPe9wPM:&tbnh=118&tbnw=100&prev=/images?q=Bulungan+logo&um=1&hl=en&tbs=isch:1http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_UbK0VwDGzvw/Sref5zGojxI/AAAAAAAAAAM/pGYDrX6HPZs/s320/Logo+Kab.+Kutai+Barat.JPG&imgrefurl=http://www.channelkubar.co.cc/2009/09/sekilas-kutai-barat.html&usg=__ad6MVnwxh422en3HmbFIaT1VGeE=&h=320&w=295&sz=42&hl=en&start=1&zoom=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=7ZjVEKSLlaAIoM:&tbnh=118&tbnw=109&prev=/images?q=Kutai+Barat+logo&um=1&hl=en&tbs=isch:1http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.energymanagertraining.com/logo/GTZ.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.energymanagertraining.com/logo/logo.htm&usg=__7KFGNezt3qVjaxj6dQN7XgqrTLQ=&h=808&w=1192&sz=17&hl=en&start=2&zoom=1&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=SlYqhkxDceVcdM:&tbnh=102&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=GTZ&um=1&hl=en&sa=N&tbs=isch:1http://www.gggi.org/index.phphttp://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.salon-europeen-commerce-equitable.org/IMG/jpg/AFD_rvb.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.salon-europeen-commerce-equitable.org/en/the-fair/financial-partners&usg=__7akjEQ5Bub9I8HSPxITCf7LcbP0=&h=2703&w=2759&sz=1305&hl=en&start=14&um=1&itbs=1&tbnid=tMnZwF8m62zYQM:&tbnh=147&tbnw=150&prev=/images?q=AFD+France+development&hl=en&um=1
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    34

    1. Long-Term and Mid-term National Development Plan, Climate

    Change Sector Road Maps

    2. National Action Plan to Reduce Carbon Emissions (RAN-GRK)

    3. Industry (Sub-Sector) Plans, National REDD+ Strategy

    4. Provincial (and Districts) Low Carbon Growth Plans

    5. OSIRIS, Satellite Based Land-Use Change Map (2000-2010), etc

    Available Plans and Planning Tools

    Making progress from plans to actions

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    1. Mobilize public and market resources for green investments

    (beyond CDM), not only in Europe or US, but also in China,Japan, Korea, Australia and NZ

    2. Innovative policy incentives

    3. Change the way ODA and MDB operates

    4. Start now with selected green investments in the region

    5. MRV Financial Assistance and its Emission Reduction Results

    Making progress from plans to actions

    Implementing REDD+ and Low Carbon Growth

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    Phase 1:Preparation

    Phase 3:Contributions for verifiedreductions

    Formation of task force Outside technical resources Task Force/Agency infrastructure Operations of task force Pilot province assessment Development of functional bodies

    (MRV, Financing, Agency)

    Stakeholder management

    Carbon neutral economicdevelopment

    Implementation of strategy in pilotprovince

    Implementation and enforcementof moratorium, including MRV

    Policy development

    Stakeholder management National capability building

    Carbon neutral economicdevelopment

    MRV operation Policy and legal enforcement Stakeholder management

    Need forfunding

    Phase 2:Transformation

    Key

    mechanismrequirements

    Transparency, accountability, andappropriate safeguards

    Established trustee with immediatecredibility

    Speed of implementation Quick approval and disbursement

    processes Short term involvement

    Transparency, accountability, andappropriate safeguards

    Established trustee Flexibility to accommodate

    evolution of REDD+ Agency Administrative capability Capability to disburse

    Transparency, accountability, andappropriate safeguards

    Established trustee Scale to manage large program Multilateral capability

    Potentialmechanism

    UN-REDD UNDP

    World Bank ADB

    ADB UNDP World Bank

    Private Intl banks Private domestic

    banks

    ADB UNDP World Bank

    Private Intl banks Private domestic

    banks

    requires a different financing mechanism

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    Thanks a bunch.