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    Hewlett-Packard CompaqMerger

    Business Decision MakingSpring 2005

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    Wh at W e Hoped to Learn

    Basic M&A criteriaHow th e AHP process really works

    Wh at h appened wit h HP & Compaq andh ow can we make it better in t h e future?

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    O utline

    I. Organizational StructureII. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. AlternativesV. Hierarc h yVI. Conclusion

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    O rganizational StructureCOOR DINATOR

    Shannon Caputo

    ALTE R NATIVES C R ITER IA EXPER TS W R ITER SSteve Piskadlo Phil Laspisa Evan Taylor Melissa ShahPaul Ferraro Kat h leen Cardelli -Presentations Jonat h an Lai

    S h awn Standen C h ris Skorski Chris Skorski Cassie Knox -Expert C h oice

    DO MAIN EXPER TS:

    Dr. Stephen Andriole

    Professor John Toppel

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    O utline

    I. O rganizational Structure

    II. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. AlternativesV. Hierarc h yVI. Conclusion

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    Introduction to HP

    W ell-respected systems vendor Smaller, but wort h y competitor to IBM

    Competes mainly in t h e h ardwarebusiness wit h desktops and serversLacking in th e services business

    Undisputed leader wit h its line of PCprinters

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    Introduction to Compaq

    Compaq sales leveled off wit h addedcompetition from Dell

    Compaq was best known for its personalcomputer offeringsAfter paying $5.4 billion to finance amerger wit h Digital Equipment, Compaqeliminated overlap by cutting t h ousands of

    jobs worldwide

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    Carly Fiorina: Mike Capellas:

    C.E. O . of Hewlett-Packard C.E. O . of Compaq

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    Wh y Merge?

    To compete wit h IBM and ot h er companies

    Th e combined services business will h ave65,000 services professionals vs. 100,000-plus for IBMR educe CostsBolster stock

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    Merger Dates

    September 4, 2001 - HP and Compaqannounced a definitive merger agreementto create an $87 billion global tec h nologyleader.Eigh ts mont h s later on May 3, 2002 HPand Compaq officially merge.

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    Wh at HP Has to Say on Wh y

    Because in one strategic move, we will become market leaders in servers, in storageand in management software -- t h e essentials of business infrastructure, w h ereleaders h ip really counts.Because we will greatly strengt h en our dept h and breadt h of tec h nology solutions at a

    time w h en customers demand integrated, end-to-end solutions.

    B ecause more inventors and engineers will befocused on solving the toughest technology challenges of our times -- together.Because combined we will lead t h e marc h toward open standards more effectively

    th an eit h er company could on its own.Because for our employees, customers and s h areowners, we will be a stronger, more

    vibrant HP, better conformed to lead and grow under market conditions t h at willdemand unprecedented integration, breadt h and flexibility.

    B ecause in our industry, to stand still is to fall behind.

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    O utline

    I. O rganizational StructureII. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. AlternativesV. Hierarc h y

    VI. Conclusion

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    Main Criteria

    Ability to ImproveFinancial PerformanceAbility to EvolveCompany

    Ability to Integrate

    Ability to Improve Financial Con ition

    Ability to Evolve Company

    Ability to Integrate

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    Financial Implicationsi

    Goal: Should HP and Compaq Merge? Ability to Improve Financial Conditions (L: .460 G: .460

    Ability to Decrease Costs (L: .643 G: .296) Ability to Increase Sales (L: .357 G: .164)

    PC Technology (L: .422 G: .069)

    Server Technology (L: .228 G: .038)Service Technology (L: .210 G: .034)Printer Technology (L: .140 G: .023)

    Ability to Evolve Company (L: .358 G: .358)Increase Intellectual Property (L: .600 G: .215)

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    Ability to Evolve Company

    . .Server Technology (L: .228 G: .038)Service Technology (L: .210 G: .034)Printer Technology (L: .140 G: .023)

    Ability to Evolve Company (L: .358 G: .358)

    Increase Intellectual Property (L: .600 G: .215)Improving Brand Value (L: .400 G: .143)

    Image (L: .396 G: .057)

    Awareness (L: .366 G: .052)Loyalty (L: .238 G: .034)

    Ability to Integrate (L: .182 G: .182)Human Capital Management (L: .364 G: .066)

    I I ll l P (L 600 G 215)

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    Ability to Integrate

    Increase Intellectual Property (L: .600 G: .215)Improving Brand Value (L: .400 G: .143)

    Image (L: .396 G: .057) Awareness (L: .366 G: .052)

    Loyalty (L: .238 G: .034) Ability to Integrate (L: .182 G: .182)

    Human Capital Management (L: .364 G: .066)Employees/Culture (L: .667 G: .044)Channel Partners (L: .333 G: .022)

    Company Organizational Structure (L: .251 G: .046)Resources (L: .222 G: .040)

    Technology (L: .337 G: .014)Marketing (Brand) (L: .268 G: .011)

    IT Infrastructure (L: .235 G: .009)Relationships with Customers & Suppliers (L: .161 G: .007)

    Future Planning (L: .163 G: .030)Strategy (L: .750 G: .022)Tactics (L: .250 G: .007)

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    O utline

    I. O rganizational StructureII. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. AlternativesV. Hierarc h y

    VI. Conclusion

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    Alternatives

    Sh ould t h ey Merge? YESSh ould t h ey Not Merge? N O

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    O utline

    I. O rganizational StructureII. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. Alternatives

    V. Hierarchy VI. Conclusion

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    Ex pert Choice

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    O utline

    I. O rganizational StructureII. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. AlternativesV. Hierarc h y

    VI. Analysis & RecommendationsVII. Conclusion

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    R esults

    NO 53.4% YES 46.6%

    Based on t h e M&Acriteria recommended

    by our domainexperts, HP andCompaq s h ould noth ave merged

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    o es

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    Sensitivity AnalysisTo c h ange t h e final outcome

    Ability to Improve Financial Performance must

    increase from 46.6 to 55.7 or a 19 .5% ch angeAbility to Evolve Company must decrease from35.8 to 27.8 or a -22.3% ch angeAbility to Integrate does not affect t h e decision

    O verall, t h e final answer is not very sensitive toany of t h e criteria

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    O utline

    I. O rganizational StructureII. Introduction

    III. CriteriaIV. AlternativesV. Hierarc h y

    VI. Analysis & R ecommendationsVII. Conclusion

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    Wh at Happened?

    Th ey did manage to save $3 billion wit h th e merger, successfully accomplis h ingth eir main goal of reducing costs of $2.1billionHowever, t h at came at t h e price of firing44,000 employees over t h e last 3 years O riginal estimate: 15,000-17,000

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    Conclusions

    Based on t h e criteriath e HP and Compaq

    merger s h ould noth ave gone t h roug h .

    Problems wit h integration as well asevolving t h e company

    can be forecastedth roug h th e AHPprocess we h ave

    s h own h ere today.

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    Mark Hurd: HPs New C.E. O .

    Mark Hurd, a former president at NC R corporation,wh ere h e spent 25 years; was appointed C.E. O . andpresident of Hewlett-Packard on Marc h 29, 2005.

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    Th ank You!

    Questions?