alpha matters quant research jun2014

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Quant Research APR 2014

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Page 1: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Quant Research

APR 2014

Page 2: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Introducing AlphaMatters Quantitative Research services and

products for market participants

Proven offerings in

Key Expertise

the market

in:

Trend / Mean Reversion / Stat Arb modeling;

Complete trading system design

Proprietary and Confidential ALPHAMATTERS 2

Page 3: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Core Team

Ganapathy Subramanian: 20+ years in the start up ecosystem as an investor, mentor and entrepreneur; Engg from NIT (Trichy), MBA from XLRI Bharath Rao: 10+ years of experience in analytics, product development and marketing; Engg from RV College of Engineering (Bangalore), MBA from University of Georgia; Led Developer Marketing in IBM and held senior positions in many startups Hemanth Kumar: 8+ Years of Research Experience in Image Processing, Speech Recognition, Computer Vision and Artificial Intelligence; Credited with 3 patents; Engg from PESIT (Bangalore) Completing PhD at the Indian Institute of Science

Page 4: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

IndexMatters:(Index trading system)

Comprehensive intraday

trading system for NIFTY (Indian Equity Index) from

entry till exit

Annualized yield:

~37%

Can be used as an alpha

generating input for hedged strategies or as a Decision

Support System for intraday

hedging the Indian index Nifty

Distributed through

Thomson Reuters and brokers in the Indian

market

Page 5: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Instruments Nifty Futures (Current Month)

Net Winners’ Ratio 59%

Performance Metrics of IndexMatters

Time Period 2 years

Frequency of trades ~ 1.6 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) 0.09% per trade

Max Drawdown 2.6% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 2.9

Annualized Return 37%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.06% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Page 6: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Equity Curve of IndexMatters

500000

700000

900000

1100000

1300000

1500000

1700000

1900000

2100000

1 14

27

40

53

66

79

92

10

5

118

13

1

144

157

17

0

183

19

6

209

22

2

235

24

8

261

274

28

7

300

31

3

326

33

9

352

36

5

378

391

40

4

417

43

0

443

45

6

469

48

2

Cumulative Capital vs Time in Days

Capital

Page 7: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

CommodityMatters

Short Term

Momentum based

trading system for

agri commodities

Annualized Yield: ~29%

Developed for Olam

International

Can be used as DSS for hedging

Decisions

Page 8: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Instruments Corn, Wheat, Soy Futures (2nd Month Continuous)

Net Winners’ Ratio 48%

Performance Metrics of CommodityMatters

Time Period 4 Years

Frequency of trades ~ 1 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) ~ 0.1% per trade

Max Drawdown 14% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 1.7

Annualized Return 29%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.03% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Page 9: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Instruments Corn, Wheat, Soy Futures (2nd month Continuous)

Net Winners’ Ratio 48%

Performance Metrics of CommodityMatters

Time Period 4 Years (Feb 2010 ton Jan 2014)

Frequency of trades ~ 1 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) 0.09% per trade

Max Drawdown 12% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 1.7

Annualized Return 29%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.03% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Equity Curve of CommodityMatters

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000 1 30

59

88

117

146

175

204

233

262

291

320

349

378

407

436

465

494

523

552

581

610

639

668

697

726

755

784

813

842

871

900

929

958

987

Cumulative Capital versus Time in Days

Page 10: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

OptionMatters

Medium Frequency

Stat-Arb on Index

Options

Yield Per Trade: 20 bps

Learns and uses the lack of parity between puts and calls

Number of Trades per Day: ~ 50

Winning Ratio: 88%

Page 11: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Instruments Corn, Wheat, Soy Futures (2nd month Continuous)

Net Winners’ Ratio 48%

Performance Metrics of CommodityMatters

Time Period 4 Years (Feb 2010 ton Jan 2014)

Frequency of trades ~ 1 per day

Profitability (Post Transaction) 0.09% per trade

Max Drawdown 12% of Capital

Sharpe Ratio 1.7

Annualized Return 29%

Transaction Cost Assumed 0.03% per trade

Leverage Assumed 1x

Equity Curve of OptionMatters

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

40599 40675 40745 40820 40897 41122 41197 41271 41341 41417

CU

MU

LATI

VE

EQ

UIT

Y

TIME

Cumulative Capital vs Time in Days

Page 12: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Proprietary Algorithms

Feature Selection Algorithm to

identify the early and confirmatory indicators (like

implied vol, global markets, broader

markets, high beta indices, currency

etc.)

An advanced classifier built on

top of SVM, trained on 200k

samples & tailored to financial markets to

recognize when “random walk”

breaks

Intelligent filter designed to cut

the market noise and identify 2 to3

real trends / reversals in a day and trail the trends

Page 13: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Tools

Algos

• Stat Arb Pa

rad

igm

s

• Mean Reversion

• Trade Execution

• Factor Models

• Trend Following

Too

l E

xp

ert

ise

• Matlab / R / Python,

• Excel / VBA,

• PHP

• MySQL

• C / C++ / Java

Ma

th E

xp

ert

ise

• Time Series Modelling

• Multivariate Regression

• Neural Networks

• Support Vector Machines

• Decision Trees

• Markov Chains

• Monte Carlo Simulations

Page 14: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Support Services

Back Testing

Hypotheses Testing &

Risk Modeling

Data Preparation / Validation

ETL Development

& Preprocessing

Tool / Indicator

Development

Compliance & Quality Assurance

Page 15: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Customers / Partners

Financial Information providers

Broking firms

Advisory

service provider

Hedge Funds

Page 16: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Collaborate in Developing Algo Trading / Decision Support Systems;

License our IP;

Customize our IP to different markets;

Leveraging us

Page 17: Alpha matters   quant research jun2014

Thank You www.alphamatters.com

Bangalore – Mumbai – London [email protected]

+91 99027 06060