■ ■ prof. dr. hubert speth woodmarket in germany presentation on the conference „woodmarket in...
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Woodmarket in Germany
Presentation on the conference „Woodmarket in Poland - towards stabilization“ Poznan 4th december 2007
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Some words about me…
Hubert Speth
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Some words about me…
Hubert Speth
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Agenda
1. German forests2. Government charta for wood3. Wood consumption in Germany4. Roundwood supply5. Summary
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Agenda
1. German forests1. One third of Germany covered with forests2. Forests are natural habitats 3. Who owns the forests in Germany? 4. National Forest Inventory
2. Government charta for wood3. Wood consumption in Germany4. Roundwood supply5. Summary
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
One third of Germany covered with forests
Source: Polley, H.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
One third of Germany covered with forests
Source: Polley, H.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
One third of Germany covered with forests
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
Who ownes the forests in Germany?
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
Who ownes the forests in Germany?
Source: Gerold, D.:
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
National Forest Inventory (1987 – 2002)
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
National Forest Inventory
Source: Polley, H.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
1. German forests
Potentials in harvesting in m3/ha/a
We can intensivly increase our wood-harvesting without problems! Source: Hecker, M.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Agenda
1. German forests2. Government charta for wood3. Wood consumption in Germany4. Roundwood supply5. Summary
Source photo: http://www.stroyeco.com/images/websec.jpg.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
2. Government Charta for Wood
Government Charta for Wood Goal: increase wood consumption in Germany by 20% in 10 years Measures:
- Enhance demand for wood- Optimise wood supply- Sustainable Forest Management
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Agenda
1. German forests2. Government charta for wood3. Wood consumption in Germany
1. German Sawmilling industry2. New and expansion investments in German sawmilling industry3. German construction sector4. Germanys Foreign woodtrate in past years5. Development of Export markets in 2007 for soft sawnwood
4. Roundwood supply5. Summary
Source photo: http://www.stroyeco.com/images/websec.jpg.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
German Sawmilling Industry
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
New and expansion investments in German Sawmilling Industry
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
New and expansion investments in German Sawmilling Industry (2)
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
New and expansion investments in German Sawmilling Industry (3)
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
German Construction Sector Permits granted in building construction
Total (including work on existing buildings) % changes on the previous year
Month Buildings DwellingsNovember 2006 ⇛- 18,5% ⇛- 22,7%December 2006 ⇛- 34,3% ⇛- 35,5%January 2007 ⇛- 47,8% ⇛- 50,3%February 2007 ⇛- 45,2% ⇛- 49,4%March 2007 ⇛- 41,0% ⇛- 46,5%April 2007 ⇛- 24,6% ⇛- 27,0%May 2007 ⇛- 22,6% ⇛- 25,0%June 2007 ⇛- 18,5% ⇛- 19,2%July 2007 ⇛- 13,7% ⇛- 16,7%
August 2007 ⇛- 15,9% ⇛- 18,8%September 2007 ⇛- 13,8% ⇛- 10,1%
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
German Foreign woodtrade in the past years
Development of export markets in 2007 for sawn softwood
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
Development of export markets in 2007 for sawn softwood
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
3. Wood consumption in Germany
Development of export markets in 2007 for sawn softwood
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Agenda
1. German forests2. Government charta for wood3. Wood consumption in Germany
4. Roundwood supply5. Summary
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
4. Roundwood supply
Potentials in Roundlogs
Source: Dunger,K/Bösch,D:
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
4. Roundwood supply
Source: Gerold, D.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
4. Roundwood supply
Who ownes the forests in Germany?
Source: Gerold, D.:
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
4. Roundwood supply
Owner Structure
Source: Hecker, M.
How to get the
logs out of these forests
?
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
4. Roundwood supply
Private-Public Partnerships Project Thuringia"Before the wood mobilization, there is a forest-ownership
mobilization "
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Agenda
1. German forests2. Government charta for wood3. Wood consumption in Germany4. Roundwood supply
5. Summary
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
5. Summary
1. Germany’s second forest inventory makes it clear, that the millions of cubic metres of log potential had hitherto remained unexploited in German forests; Especially private midsize and small forests are probably under-harvested. Because of the diversity of the ownership structure, it seems to be very difficult to increase the harvest volume in these private forests;
2. The goal of the German Government promotion program “Charta for wood” was to increase wood consumption in Germany by 20% within the next ten years;
3. The German sawmilling industry is going to increase the technical cutting capacity by around 13,6 million m³ by 2008 mainly focused on export for example to the United States;
4. Several ongoing projects try to mobilise timber resources, particularly in privately owned forests, to be able to meet round wood requirements of existing capacities and the envisaged expansion investments;
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
5. Summary
5. In January 2007, the storm “Kyrill” brought a windfall which amounted to 32 million m³ (abt. 25% of annual allowable cut) to Germany.
6. The German legislature cut the grant scheme for first-time home buyers from beginning of 2006 as well as the government increased the VAT of three percent effective from January 2007 which led to an all time low in German building permits in Autumn 2007;
7. The US-American housing bubble crashed and as a consequence the export of German softwood sawntimber sank rapidly. So then, producers tried to find new salesmarkets for their soft sawntimber;
8. Also other important salesmarkets (Japan, Levant, UK, France, etc.) weakened beginning from summer 2007 so increasing pressure on sawntimber prices;
9. Harvesting stops in several federal states in order to get a rise of roundlog prices.
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Thank you so much for your attention….
….and I wish the conference very much success!
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Addendum 1: Permits granted in building construction
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Addendum No. 2: Spruceprices roundwood L2bB
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Prof. Dr. Hubert Speth
Addendum No. 3: USA – Foreign trade in softwood lumber
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