a design science based simulation framework ......simulation framework for critical infrastructure...

A DESIGN SCIENCE BASED SIMULATION FRAMEWORK FOR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE INTERDEPENDENCY

Syed Yasir ImtiazRaj PrasannaS R UmaKristin StockDenise Blake

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CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES

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DESIGN SCIENCE METHODOLOGY

Application Domain

- Technical Systems

- Organizational Systems

- People

- Problems and Oppertunities

Foundations

- Scientific Theories and Methods

- Expertise and Experience

- Meta-Artifacts (Design Products and Processes)

RequirementsRelevance Cycle

Field Testing

Additions to KBRigor CycleGrounding

Build Design Artefacts and

Processes

Evaluate

DesignCycle

Environment Design Science Research Knowledge Base

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DESIGN SCIENCE METHODOLOGY

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GXP 1Substation

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GXP 2

GXP 3

Substation 1

Substation 2

Substation 4

Substation 3

Substation 5

Transmission Structures

Cables

STRUCTURE OF AN ELECTRICITY NETWORK

ELECTRICITY NETWORK ASSUMPTIONS▪ Various cable types may have different

repair times for each damage.▪ If the number of damaged cables

exceeds a predefined value, then they would be replaced with emergency overhead lines.

▪ Priority would be given to the sensitive sites like hospitals, fire brigade offices, police stations and other emergency management centres.

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REPAIR ASSUMPTIONS

ROAD NETWORK ASSUMPTIONS▪ Whole region is divided into different

roadzones▪ A matrix is developed that shows

probable number of days needed to have road access between different zones

▪ Road access time is helpful during the calculation of various damaged components of electricity network

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REPAIR ASSUMPTIONS

Step 1 - Understanding the characteristics of infrastructure network Step 2 - Composition of fundamental models for componentsStep 3 - Dependency Identification Step 4 - Identification of common featuresStep 5 - Computation of Recovery timeStep 6 – Development of Outage Maps

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INTEGRATED METHODOLOGY

Integration Module

Road Model

Electricity Model Core Block

Road access times between different zones

Damage map of roads, tunnels

and bridges

GIS data of GXPs, Substations, Transmission

structures and cables

Electricity Model

Integrated Outputs(electricity network outage with

road zone dependency)

ONGOING AND FUTURE WORK

DEVELOPMENT OF A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM AROUND THE SIMULATION FRAMEWORK

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DSS BASED ON DESIGN SCIENCE

understanding of the real world

where DSS will be applied

Knowledge of basic components, processes

and tasks carried out by the users

Identify various classes of users that are

expected to work with the DSS

Analyse specific functions that the DSS is expected

to provide.

Design Cycle

Development and Evaluation Cycle

▪ Can model electricity and road networks of any region (water network model in progress).

▪ Customizable repair strategies.▪ Customizable network paths with option to add and

delete any link between sources and destinations▪ Batch processing of multiple damage models.

Corresponding outage maps will be generated for each damage model.

▪ A comparison of different outage maps could be helpful to select the best recovery strategy.

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CAPABILITIES OF THE DSS

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EXAMPLE OF OUTAGE MAPS

THANKS!Any questions?

You can find me at:

y.syed@massey.ac.nz

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