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Accountable Care Organizations, Bundled Payments, and the

Future of Health Care

David Harlow JD MPHTHE HARLOW GROUP LLC

blog • healthblawg.comtwitter • @healthblawg October 27, 2011

Interactive Housekeeping . . .

• Questions and comments– Webinar chat window– Livetweeting the webinar, and a real-time

tweetchat -- #ACOchat -- http://j.mp/ACOchat

• Links to all government ACO issuances from October 20 – http://j.mp/ACOfinal

We are challenged by shifting sands

High-performing health care providers can be integrated into

high-performing health care systems

What are the federales trying to

accomplish?

The “Triple Aim”

Better careBetter health Lower costs

ACO: Getting more elegant

ACO is one tool to get providers to manage a population of

patients

How? Financial incentives.

$0

$2,000,000

$4,000,000

$6,000,000

$8,000,000

$10,000,000

$12,000,000

$14,000,000

$16,000,000

$18,000,000

BillingsDartmouth Everett Forsyth

GeisingerMarshfield

Middlesex Park Nicollet St. John's

Michigan

Yr 1 Yr 2

Yr 3 Yr 4

Yr 5

Graphic courtesy Jaan Sidorov, Disease Management Care Blog

Whatisan

ACO?

ACO BasicsSingle entityThree-year commitmentOne-way or two-way risk-sharingPCPs and broader network 5000 patient minimum

33 performance measuresPatient engagementPatient-centerednessStark/AKSIRSAntitrust

Proposed Rule versus Final Rulehttp://j.mp/ACOchart

http://j.mp/ACOqualitymeasures

Final ACO quality measures

ACO regulations coordinate

across numerous Federal

agencies

All in all, ACO risk/reward ratio seems skewed

IT infrastructure cost estimate >$1.5m

More details from the ACO rules, and traps for the unwary

Rolling start dates due to lateness in finalizing rules

Over 60% of health care provider executives said earlier this year

they intend to form an ACO

Culture of Collaboration

Opportunities for physician-led ACOs

Even if an ACO is not in your immediate future, these principles

will affect you

Bundled Payments

Commercial ACOs

Pay for Performance

Other Innovations

MSSP is just one arrow in the quiver

•Medicare Shared Savings Program – “Traditional” ACO•Advance Payment Initiative•Pioneer ACO•Other CMS Innovation Center Initiatives

CMS Bundled Payment Initiative

Bundled Payments

ACO “lite”MS-DRG-specificGainsharing

. . . Bundled Payment Pilot - 2013

Care Coordination Initiatives

Commercial plans are non-standardized

Jeff Goldsmith: Suggests 3 commercial ACO payment systems

for 3 different types of providers

• Risk-adjusted capitation

Primary

• Fee-for-service

Emergency

• Bundled payments

Specialty

What can you do now to prepare for the future?

Physicians are central to

the development

of an accountable

care organization

You cannot manage what you do not measure

Opportunity for all providers: Be the go-to (cost-effective) guys (or gals)

.

for contact info txt dharlow to 50500or scan the QR code

harlowgroup.nethealthblawg.com

twitter.com/healthblawgdavid@harlowgroup.net

Thank You David Harlow JD MPHTHE HARLOW GROUP LLC

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