august 20, 2018 2018 mac-mcmcfc annual...
Post on 26-Jun-2020
1 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
August 20, 2018 2018 MAC-MCMCFC Annual Conference
• Brief overview of the Michigan Public Policy Survey (MPPS)
• Trends of local government officials’ views on:
! Whether the state of Michigan is headed in the right direction or is off on the wrong track
! Governor Snyder’s job performance ! The Michigan Legislature’s job performance
2
• A census survey – all 1,856 Michigan counties, cities, villages, and townships
• Respondents – chief elected and appointed officials
• Administered – online and via hardcopy
• Topics – wide range, such as fiscal health, budget priorities, roads, public safety, planning and zoning, economic development, intergovernmental cooperation, service privatization, employee policies, labor unions, environmental sustainability, Great Lakes, citizen engagement, much more.
3
• 70+% regular response rates -- in Spring 2018: 78% of counties
• Transparency -- Questionnaires online -- Pre-run data tables online -- Sharing of (anonymized) datasets with other researchers
• Expert advisors on questionnaire content
• Research partnership with Michigan local government associations
-- MAC, MML, & MTA
• Borrowing from other proven sources such as NLC and ICMA
4
5
• Brief overview of CLOSUP and the Michigan Public Policy Survey (MPPS)
• Trends of local government officials’ views on:
! Whether the state of Michigan is headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track
! Governor Snyder’s job performance ! The Michigan Legislature’s job performance
6
Do you feel things in the state of Michigan are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the
wrong track?
32%
50%
54%55%
46% 44% 47%
56%
50%
34%32%
32%
38% 39%36% 33%
18%15% 14%
12% 15%17%
16%11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Rightdirec4on Wrongtrack Don'tknow
32%
50%
54%55%
46% 44% 47%
56%
50%
34%32%
32%
38% 39%36% 33%
18%15% 14%
12% 15%17%
16%11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Rightdirec4on Wrongtrack Don'tknow
7
Do you feel things in the state of Michigan are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the
wrong track?
32%
50%
54%55%
46% 44% 47%
56%
50%
34%32%
32%
38% 39%36% 33%
18%15% 14%
12% 15%17%
16%11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Rightdirec4on Wrongtrack Don'tknow
8
Do you feel things in the state of Michigan are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the
wrong track?
32%
50%
54%55%
46% 44% 47%
56%
50%
34%32%
32%
38% 39%36% 33%
18%15% 14%
12% 15%17%
16%11%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Rightdirec4on Wrongtrack Don'tknow
9
Do you feel things in the state of Michigan are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the
wrong track?
10
Percentage of local officials who say Michigan is headed in “the right direction”
(by party ID of local officials)
46%
63%
69%
72%
59%60% 64%
72%
27%
48%
43%
45%
37%35%
31%
46%
11%
29%26% 30%
28%
20%
26%
30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
11
Percentage of local officials who say Michigan is headed in “the right direction”
(by jurisdiction type)
41%
58%
64% 63%
57%
36% 36%
55%
34%
61%
56% 55%53%
36%33%
44%
29%
45%
52%
48%
38%35%
42%
53%
32%
49%
53%56%
46%49%
53%
60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Coun/es Ci/es Villages Townships
12
45%
52%52%
59%
49%
62%
38%
50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Popula3on<1,500
Popula3on1,500-5,000
Popula3on5,001-10,000
Popula3on10,001-30,000
Popula3on>30,000
Percentage of local officials who say Michigan is headed in ”the right direction”
(by jurisdiction size)
13
Percentage of local officials who say Michigan is headed in ”the right direction”
(by jurisdiction’s urban-rural status)
51%49%
43%
35%
57%60%
56%
43%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Rural Mostlyrural Mostlyurban Urban
2017 2018
14
• Brief overview of CLOSUP and the Michigan Public Policy Survey (MPPS)
• Trends of local government officials’ views on:
! Whether the state of Michigan is headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track
! Governor Snyder’s job performance ! The Michigan Legislature’s job performance
15
How would you rate the way Rick Snyder is performing his job as Michigan’s governor?
15%
37%
49%
51%52% 54%
41%
46%
52%
31%31% 30%
26%29%
30%
31% 30% 30%
52%
22%19%
19%
15%14%
26%
20%
13%
2%
10%
3% 4% 5%3% 2%
4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
15%
37%
49%
51%52% 54%
41%
46%
52%
31%31% 30%
26%29%
30%
31% 30% 30%
52%
22%19%
19%
15%14%
26%
20%
13%
2%
10%
3% 4% 5%3% 2%
4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
16
How would you rate the way Rick Snyder is performing his job as Michigan’s governor?
15%
37%
49%
51%52% 54%
41%
46%
52%
31%31% 30%
26%29%
30%
31% 30% 30%
52%
22%19%
19%
15%14%
26%
20%
13%
2%
10%
3% 4% 5%3% 2%
4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
17
How would you rate the way Rick Snyder is performing his job as Michigan’s governor?
15%
37%
49%
51%52% 54%
41%
46%
52%
31%31% 30%
26%29%
30%
31% 30% 30%
52%
22%19%
19%
15%14%
26%
20%
13%
2%
10%
3% 4% 5%3% 2%
4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
18
How would you rate the way Rick Snyder is performing his job as Michigan’s governor?
15%
37%
49%
51%52% 54%
41%
46%
52%
31%31% 30%
26%29%
30%
31% 30% 30%
52%
22%19%
19%
15%14%
26%
20%
13%
2%
10%
3% 4% 5%3% 2%
4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
19
How would you rate the way Rick Snyder is performing his job as Michigan’s governor?
20
Percentage of local officials who say Governor Snyder’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by jurisdiction type)
7%
42%
46%
50%
61% 61%
36%
42%
48%
18%
36%
57%
48% 48%
59%
31%
35%
43%
21%
28%
40%
49%
41% 41%
34%
40%
44%
14%
38%
49%52%
54% 54%
46%49%
57%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Coun8es Ci8es Villages Townships
21
Percentage of local officials who say Governor Snyder’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by party ID of local officials)
4%
52%
63%
66%
69%71%
61% 62%
68%
15%
28%
44%43%
42%44%
26%
37%
49%
38%
12%
22%
19%
23%
28%
10%
18%
23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
22
Percentage of local officials who say Governor Snyder’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by party ID of local officials)
4%
52%
63%
66%
69%71%
61% 62%
68%
15%
28%
44%43%
42%44%
26%
37%
49%
38%
12%
22%
19%
23%
28%
10%
18%
23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
23
Percentage of local officials who say Governor Snyder’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by party ID of local officials)
4%
52%
63%
66%
69%71%
61% 62%
68%
15%
28%
44%43%
42%44%
26%
37%
49%
38%
12%
22%
19%
23%
28%
10%
18%
23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009(Granholm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
52%
26%
68%
52%49%
27%23%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
TotalMichigan
localofficials
TotalMichiganci/zens
Republicanlocalofficials
Republicanci/zens
Independentlocalofficials
Independentci/zens
Democra/clocalofficials
Democra/cci/zens
24
Percentage of local officials who say Governor Snyder’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by 2018 MPPS (officials) vs. 2018 SOSS (citizens))
25
• Brief overview of CLOSUP and the Michigan Public Policy Survey (MPPS)
• Trends of local government officials’ views on:
! Whether the state of Michigan is headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track
! Governor Snyder’s job performance ! The Michigan Legislature’s job performance
26
How would you rate the way the Michigan Legislature is performing its job?
5%
21%
26%26%
28%
23%20%
25%28%
33%37%
37% 38%36% 36%
39% 40% 40%
60%
36%34%
31% 32%
38% 38%
30% 29%
1%
6%3% 4% 4% 3% 3%
5% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
27
How would you rate the way the Michigan Legislature is performing its job?
5%
21%
26%26%
28%
23%20%
25%28%
33%37%
37% 38%36% 36%
39% 40% 40%
60%
36%34%
31% 32%
38% 38%
30% 29%
1%
6%3% 4% 4% 3% 3%
5% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
28
How would you rate the way the Michigan Legislature is performing its job?
5%
21%
26%26%
28%
23%20%
25%28%
33%37%
37% 38%36% 36%
39% 40% 40%
60%
36%34%
31% 32%
38% 38%
30% 29%
1%
6%3% 4% 4% 3% 3%
5% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Excellent/Good Fair Poor Don'tknow
29
Percentage of local officials who say the Michigan Legislature’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by jurisdiction type)
1%
32% 32%
18%
27%
21%
13% 12%15%
4%
16%
32%
21%
15% 14%12%
10%14%
3%
20%22%
27%
23%
19%
12%
24% 25%
6%
21%
26%28%
32%
25%23%
30%33%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Coun0es Ci0es Villages Townships
30
Percentage of local officials who say the Michigan Legislature’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by party ID of local officials)
4%
30%
37%37%
42%
32% 31%
36%38%
3%
11%
18%
16%
13%14%
8%
14%17%
8%5%
9%
6%8%
7% 5%
11% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
31
Percentage of local officials who say the Michigan Legislature’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by party ID of local officials)
4%
30%
37%37%
42%
32% 31%
36%38%
3%
11%
18%
16%
13%14%
8%
14%17%
8%5%
9%
6%8%
7% 5%
11% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
32
Percentage of local officials who say the Michigan Legislature’s performance is “excellent” or “good”
(by party ID of local officials)
4%
30%
37%37%
42%
32% 31%
36%38%
3%
11%
18%
16%
13%14%
8%
14%17%
8%5%
9%
6%8%
7% 5%
11% 12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Republicans Independents Democrats
33
Summary
• For the second straight year, the percentage of Michigan’s local leaders who are optimistic about the state’s direction has increased, with over (56%) saying Michigan is headed in the right direction (among county officials, 55% ).
• Local leaders’ positive job approval ratings for Governor Rick Snyder have risen for the second year in row as well, to 52% (and 48% among county officials). But although 68% of Republican officials say he’s doing an “excellent” or “good” job, 49% of Independents and 23% of Democrats say the same.
• Performance ratings for the Michigan Legislature trail both other metrics (15% of county officials rate it positively).
34
• Upcoming reports from the Spring 2018 wave: ! Local government fiscal health ! Medical marijuana regulation ! Local poverty issues and policies ! Intra-governmental relationships on elected
Boards and with staff
• Customized data analysis
• Looking for your input on future survey topics
top related