b6: planning for brexit: issues your charity needs to consider going forward
Post on 21-Jan-2018
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PLANNING FOR BREXIT: ISSUES YOUR CHARITY NEEDS TO CONSIDER GOING FORWARD
CHAIRBRENDAN COSTELLOE SENIOR EXTERNAL RELATIONS OFFICER (EU), NCVO
SPEAKERSDUNCAN SHRUBSOLEDIRECTOR OF POLICY, PARTNERSHIPS AND COMMUNICATIONS, LLOYDS BANK FOUNDATION
JEMMA LEVENEDEPUTY DIRECTOR, HOPE NOT HATE
PETER REEVEHEAD OF HR, MND ASSOCIATION AND HEAD OF CHARITIES HR NETWORK
Brexit – the HR implications
Exercises in politics and fortune telling!
Peter Reeve
Head of HR MND Association / Chair Charities HR Network
Brexit - HR implications
Currently we have clarity as to the nature of the
Brexit arrangements
Look at two areas:
1. Workforce Implications leading up to Brexit
2. Predictions and Implications
The run up to Brexit
• The non-UK workforce
– According to CIPD figures 27% on EU nationals in the
UK were considering leaving
– Applications from EU qualified nurses fallen 70%
– 17% fall in seasonal workers coming to the UK
EU nationals in the UK are worried and others are not
coming in the first place
How reliant is your organisation on EU labour and where
else it might come from?
The run up to Brexit
• Salary inflation and real incomes
– CPI is currently at 3.5%+
– Interest rates are back up to 0.5%
2018 is likely to see real earnings fall
- What increases in costs can you afford?
- How to support people who fall into hardship?
Brexit - Politics and employment law
The government has said that Brexit will not see
a wholescale degradation of workers rights
• They don’t have the seats to pass significant changes
• But where were the UK reluctant adopters – EWTD,
agency workers rules – watch this space
What capability/capacity does your organisation have to
monitor and respond to changes significant and sudden
changes in employment law?
Brexit - uncertainty and change
Your organisation has a number of employees
who are genuinely worried about the/their future
Employers have to play a much greater role in
managing social issues – retirement, vocational
education etc
What communication and engagement capacity
do you have to honestly and openly support and
engage your people?
Community Cohesion post-Brexit
HOPE not hate Charitable Trust
@hopenothate
http://charity.hopenothate.org.uk/
@jemma_levene
England increasingly tolerant and open
39% occupy two most liberal tribes in society
But 23% of population = active enmity or latent hostile
Attitudes towards immigration are softening, caused by
changing demographics and the belief among sceptics that
Brexit will partly solve the ‘problem’. Over 90% of Britons
believe immigration is essential, but economic need should
determine the level of future immigration.
The British public are not confident about multiculturalism
and most people fear that British values are in decline. The two
liberal tribes distance themselves from the majority of British
public in this respect
Brexit
Only 6% of people are very confident Theresa May will secure a good deal for Britain in EU negotiations.
Brexit divides British society into two distinct groups. Little prospect that a deal can be secured without angering and further alienating one or both groups. Very little appetite for reversing Referendum result.
Cautious optimism remains about economy, but people are reporting less disposable income than a year ago; increasing opposition to austerity. Expectations for future economic well-being are divided along Brexit lines, with Remain voters fearful and Leave voters more optimistic.
Attitudes to the Grenfell Tower disaster shows deep divide in the country
Londoners, Labour voters and BAME draw a wider lesson about Britain’s unequal society where the poor lose out
Those outside London, Conservatives and Nigel Farage supporters view it as an isolated unfortunate accident.
http://nationalconversation.uk/resources/
Aims:
to get people talking about difficult issues
to engage with anxious middle ground in
polarised immigration debate, specifically about regaining trust after Brexit
The big challenges ahead
• Britain increasingly divided. Looking at tough period of economic downturn after Brexit, which could trigger resentment and an increased hatred toward others
• The ‘difficult conversations’ we need to have. We need to engage with concerns around integration and security
• How to fight active hostility? A constant hostile section of society could easily be triggered to negative actions by increased economic insecurity and sense of betrayal through Brexit processes
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