beyond the current debate about broadband j. gary augustson, ron hutchins, tim lance, mike roberts

Beyond the Current Debate about Broadband

J. Gary Augustson, Ron Hutchins, Tim Lance, Mike Roberts

Prologue

• Incredible history

• Development spiral

The Role of the R&E Network

• Seminal shift from service- to facility-based networking

• Attributes of network:

» Light based, as minimum unit

» Secure

» Portable

» Private

» Organic

Extensibility and Scalability – Drivers for Deployment

• The -pool

• Growing intelligence at the edge

• Intelligence within and roaming

• First mile

• The λ-pool is almost here:

Possible CA*net 4 TopologyJanuary 1, 2002

Halifax

Edmonton

Seattle

VancouverWinnipeg

Quebec City

MontrealOttawa

Chicago

Halifax

New York

Regina

Fredericton

CharlottetownVictoria

Windsor

London

Sudbury

Thunder Bay

Saskatoon

Kamloops

Buffalo

Spokane

Minneapolis

Albany

St. John's

Calgary

Toronto

Prince George

Hamilton

Kingston

CA*net 4 Node

Possible Future Breakout

Possible Future link or Option

Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber

5,207 miles

11,000 miles

A.

B.

A. Starting footprint .

B. Multi-Loop core for owned fiber R&E net?

7-28-02

Lit National NLR Core Fabric Fiber - Sample Alternatives

9,342 miles

10,696 miles

C. D.

F.E.

C. ‘A.’ stepwise evolution with NY & Atlanta segments. D. Double Loop NLR core interim step alternative

E. Triple Loop core with NY/Boston segment. F. Triple Loop core plus sample regional access loops.

7-28-02

CA*net 4 Possible Architecture

Vancouver

Calgary ReginaWinnipeg

Ottawa

Montreal

Toronto

Halifax

St. John’s

Fredericton

Charlottetown

Chicago

Seattle

New York

Europe

Customer controlledoptical switches

Layer 3 aggregation serviceOptional Service Available to any GigaPOP

Large channel WDM system

Intelligence at the edge - CANARIE

Customer

ISP

AS 1

AS 2

AS 3

AS 1AS 4

BGP Peering is done at each switch

Customer controls wavelength and ports on switch. Customer sets up and tears down wavelength

Central AS disappears as customers can directly peer with each other and exchange wavelength

Manhattan Project – Phase 1

Deployment and Sustainability – Political, Social, Financial

• Maintaining broad discussion necessitates discipline

• Involving government directly to inform and support deployment and sustainability

• Engaging the commercial sector

• Working for the common good

• Assuring R&E will be the anchor tenant

Policy Issues

• Security

Policy Issues

• Security

• Portability

• Privacy and Trust

• Configuring the Network/Network User

• Organic Network and Government

A Possible Future Path

2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone

2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials

A Possible Future Path

2005. Multi-strand, multi-path backbone completed, first “controlled roaming”, 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR

A Possible Future Path

2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election

A Possible Set of Consequences

2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone

2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials

• Inter-metro commercial -services available.

• Competitive inter-metro -services available, first regional -services available, IBM, Motorola, HP join DL consortium with Ivies, Big 10, PAC 8, NSF expands cave research to true “virtual classroom”, NSF-NOAA funding for national NEXRAD research

A Possible Set of Consequences

2005.Multi-strand, multipath backbone completed, first “controlled roaming” 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR

• Corporate fiber added to R&E for broad “virtual classroom” and corporate – academe cooperation (Project Thinking CAP), critical need leads to White House campaign for “Rural Datafication Act” (RDA), hardened NEXRAD tool directly linked to “intelligent agents” at air traffic control

A Possible Set of Consequences

2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election

• RDA and Thinking CAP eases K-12 teacher retirement crisis, with low cost, accessible “Network Books” leads to sharp increase in US “TIMMS” scores, “open-electorate forum” makes qualitative changes in the national election, competitive pricing makes global broadband seem achievable, RDA drives broadband to homes.

or maybe …

Another Set of Consequences

2003. Phase one, national R&E optic backbone

2004. 80% regional fiber deployment, 40% “first mile” deployment in metro areas, 65% metro build saturation, NSF supports learning network trial testbed, several statewide Internet voting trials

• RBOCS press for Internet taxation, LEC status for regionals

• RBOC lobbying succeeds, some Regionals sell assets, NSF sharply trims network money (urges privatizing), NEXRAD sites upgraded, still without connectivity, universities scale back DL initiatives, IBM, Intel, Motorola, HP establish “corporate university”

Another Set of Consequences

2005.Multi-strand, multipath backbone completed, first “controlled roaming” 90% Regional FO Backbones, 70% “first mile” FO deployment in metro, 10% rural first encapsulated “network information units”, broad deployment of learning networks in tornado states for NCAR

• Strengthened DMCA sharply curtails Internet publishing, recording industry suits close several major ISPs, tax legislation supports for rural commercial data services, Internet radar data widely blamed in weather related plane crash, rural schools start to curtail math/science offerings

Another Set of Consequences

2006. First commercialized network roaming (used by news media), R&E roaming fully mature, broader network intuition deployment, “Network books” commercially available, first network based national election

• Plane crash controversy spills over into elections, suits bring 41 states to return to paper ballots (Consortium for Healthy, Accountable Democracy – Project CHAD), Elsevier’s and Springer’s DMCA-based suits force creation of Internet book services, rural libraries cut new purchases, most regionals divest of assets, US “TIMMS” scores drop.

It’s up to us!

Thank You

http://www.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/NET0202.pdf