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CBRE CAPITAL MARKETS
CBRE 2017 MULTIFAMILY CONFERENCE B E Y O N D T H E C Y C L E
THE QUIET GIANTS: A NEW TAKE ON THE SUBURBS
MATT VANCE CBRE
LESLEY L ISSER
Invesco
DANIEL MAHONEY LaSal le Investment Management
3
THANK YOU TO OUR SPONSOR!
CBRE VALUATION & ADVISORY SERVICES APPRAISAL & ASSESSMENT CONSULTING
Let’s Talk About the Trends
BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS BETHESDA (WASHINGTON, D.C.)
Source: Invesco
BUILDING IN THE ‘BURBS BETHESDA (WASHINGTON, D.C.)
Source: Invesco
SOME SUBURBS LOOKING MORE LIKE THE CBD ON BOTH AMENITIES AND NEW SUPPLY
Downtown L.A. Apartment Pipeline in Tysons Corner VA –
10 Miles from Downtown Washington
Apartment construction is ~20% of existing inventory in both submarkets. Source: LaSalle
WHAT IT REALLY MEANS TO BE URBAN (BOSTON’S NORTH END)
Live
Work Play Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors
THE LWP (LIVE, WORK, PLAY) INDEX FROM CBRE ECONOMETRIC ADVISORS
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors
RENTS BY DENSITY LEVEL (DALLAS)
Nominal Apartment Rent ($/unit)
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors, Axiometrics, Inc.; Q1 2017
RENTS BY DENSITY LEVEL (BOSTON)
Nominal Apartment Rent ($/unit)
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors, Axiometrics, Inc.; Q1 2017
PRIVATE INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS ARE TARGETING URBAN LOCATIONS (BUT NOT JUST DOWNTOWN CBD’S) NCREIF INDEX APARTMENTS BY LOCATION
18%
35%
47%
25%
38% 37%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
CBRE-EA Office CBDs Other Infill Zip Codes(Top 20% by Population Density)
Lower Density Suburban Zip Codes(Bottom 80% by Density)
% of Total NCREIF Apartment Value Five Years Ago Q4 2016
Source: LaSalle, NCREIF, CBRE-EA (definitions), US Census and ESRI (zip code density)
THANK YOU!
CBRE CAPITAL MARKETS
CBRE 2017 MULTIFAMILY CONFERENCE B E Y O N D T H E C Y C L E
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