campuses as living laboratories for a greener future

Campuses as Living Laboratoriesfor a Greener Future

Jerry Sheehan, Chief of StaffCalifornia Institute for Telecommunications and

Information Technology (Calit2)

July 20th, 2010

Thursday, July 22, 2010

I. The Warming World

II. Carbon Regulations and Universities

III. The UCSD Green Campus Testbed

Topics to Be Discussed

The Warming World

CO2 Rises Suddenly Since Industrial Era

Medieval Warm Period

Little Ice Age

388 PPM in 2010

Source: David JC MacKay, Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air (2009)

Global Average Temperature over Last 160 Years

Climate Models Match Past Temperature VariationsCombining Natural and Anthropogenic Effects

SOURCE: http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm

Atmospheric CO2 LevelsLast 800,00 Years and 21st Century

SOURCE: US Global Change Research Program Report, 2009

SOURCE: EPA Analysis of American Power Act, June 14, 2010

CO2 Emissions Persist for Millennium

SOURCE: PNAS, February 10, 2009, Vol 206

Planet Already Committed to Dangerous Warming

SOURCE: V. Ramanthan and Y. Feng, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, PNAS, September 2008

Planet Has Only Realized 1/3 of the

Committed Warming

Future Emissions Move Peak to the Right

SOURCE: Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, National Research Council, July 2010

What Would it Take to Limit CO2 to 450PPM

SOURCE: Shell Oil, Energy Forecast, 2009

Limiting GHG concentrations to 450 ppm CO2-equivalent is expected to limit temperature rises to no more than 2°C above pre-industrial levels. This would be extremely challenging to achieve, requiring an explosive pace of industrial transformation going beyond even the aggressive developments outlined in the Blueprints scenario.

It would require global GHG emissions to peak before 2015, a zero-emission power sector by 2050 and a near zero-emission transport sector in the same time period…

Reducing Emissions 50% by 2050 Requires Radical Change

SOURCE: Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgraduate School, AAAS Talk, January 2010

The Challenge“The Biggest Single Peacetime Project Humankind

Have Ever Undertaken”

Thinking About the Future is Hard

Climate Regulation and Universities

US EPA Mandatory Reporting of GHG

SOURCE: US Environmental Protection Agency, http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions/ghgrulemaking.html

US EPA Mandatory Reporting of GHG

Institution Gross Emissions Scope 1 & 2 (CO2e) Year

US EPA GHG Rule Requires Reporting in 2011?

University of Illinois 491,258 2008 YES!

University of Louisville 52,2709 2008 YES!

Syracuse University 80,498 2007 YES!

University of Tennessee 234,000 2008 YES!

Penn State University 309, 117 2008 YES!

University of California San Diego 192,862 2008 YES!

SOURCE: American College and University Presidents Climate Commitment, http://acupcc.aashe.org/

American Power Act

SOURCE: http://wonkroom.thinkprogress.org/2010/05/12/kerry-lieberman/

How a Bill Becomes a Law

SOURCE: Mike Wirth and Dr. Suzanne Cooper Guasco, Queens University of Charlotte, SunLight Labs Award Winner

When This

SOURCE: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/horizon-oil-spill.html

Leading to This

SOURCE: National Geographic, 2010

And These

Obama Oval Office Gulf Coast Address June 15, 2010

Only Get You This..

SOURCE: CNN, June 15, 2010

Individual American CO2 Emissions

=1 Ton CO2

20 Tons

=AB 32 Required Decrease

14 Tons

Subnational GHG Goals in the U.S.

STATES 2009•72% Climate Action Plans•42% GHG Reduction Targets•66% Cap & Trade

SOURCE: Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Climate101-State Actions, January 2009

• Executive Order S-3-05 Green House Gas targets.

• 2010 GHG emissions set to 2000 levels.• 2020 GHG emissions set to 1990 levels.• 2050 GHG emissions set to 80% of 1990

levels.

• AB 32 (Signed Into Law 2006)• Identify statewide GHG emissions for 1990 to

serve as emissions limit to be achieved by 2020.• 427 million metric tons of CO2e goal,

roughly 30% reduction.• Mandatory reporting and verification of GHG

emissions by major emitters on or before Jan 1, 2008.

• If you emit over 25,000 metric tons of CO2e reporting is required.

• Identify and adopt regulations for discrete early actions enforceable by or before January 2010.

California and Greenhouse Gas Emissions

• California State law currently requires 20% of power to be renewable by 2010.

• California is likely to only achieve about ½ of this by the deadline.

• Executive Order S-14-08 [October 2008] set a goal of 33% renewable in the portfolio .

• Executive Order S-21-09 [September 2009] directs California Air Resources Board to adopt regulations to support 33% renewable by 2020.

• Regulations to be in place and adopted by stakeholder by July 2010.

• More strict then any other state but Hawaii which has a 40% requirement by 4030.

• Including hydro-power by 2020, California expects to exceed this and hit 45% renewables.

California and Renewable Energy

GHG Regulation in British Columbia

• Bill 44-2007 (Greenhouse Gas Reductions Target Act) became law in 2008

• Act Establishes GHG Targets• 2020 33% less than 2007• 2050 80% less then 2007

• Public Sector Organizations CARBON NEUTRAL by 2010.

• If not neutral, must buy oversets at cost of $24/Ton.

University of British Columbia and Carbon Costs

Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012

2010 2011 2012

Carbon Offset $1,602,750 $1,602,750 $1,602,750

Carbon Tax $1,179,940 $1,474,925 $1,769,910

Total $2,782,690 $3,077,675 $3,372,660

SOURCE: UBC Sustainability Office, August 2009

Universities Pledging to Address Climate

The ICT Challenge and Opportunity

Breakdown of ICT’s GHG Emissions by Area

SOURCE: SMART2020 Report, 2008

6% Growth

Clouds May Not Have Silver Linings

SOURCE: GreenPeace, MakeIT Green, March 2010

PREZITATION

https://prezi.com/mt2zmpyvljz0/acuta-green/

For Campus Lab Details See Interactive Prezi

campuses as living laboratories for a greener future

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