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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Building a Sustainable Energy Future for British ColumbiaJoin us! www.bcsea.org
BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
Our vision is a sustainable future in which
all of BC’s energy
is green and renewable.
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
When you think about the future of our world, what do you feel?
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
HOPE
WORRY
or
?
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
We’ve come a long way from this….
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
To this …
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but…
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Smithore Dreamstime.com
We have also come to this…
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
GDP =GrossDepletion of the
Planet
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Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Climate Change
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
1. Earth has a very thin atmosphere, which protects us from being roasted by day and frozen by night.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
2. Two important “greenhouse gases” trap heat in the atmosphere
and keep us warm: water vapor and
carbon dioxide
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
3. When there is too little water vapor and carbon dioxide, Earth goes into an Ice Age.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
3. When there is too much, Earth warms, ice melts, and sea levels rise.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
ICE AGES
4. Carbon dioxide (blue) and temperature (red) have tracked each other very closely over the last 700,000 years.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
4.
5. The gasoline that fuels the world’s transportation comes from ancient fossil carbon.
Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
6. The coal that generates much of the world’s electricity comes from ancient fossil carbon.
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As we burn the fossil fuels…
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7. When we burn fossil fuels, their ancient carbon escapes into the atmosphere
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
8. When we burn forests, their carbon escapes, entering the atmosphere.
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How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
When we destroy forests, their carbon also escapes, entering the atmosphere.
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9. All this extra carbon is trapping too much heat, and causing
global warming.
Burning fossil fuels anddestroying Earth’s forests
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If global warming exceeds 1.6°C up to
31% of Earth’s species
will be committed to extinction,
having nowhere to go to escape the rising heat
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
HOPE
WORRY
or
?
BCSEA 2014 BCSEA 2014 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
10.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
“The two scientists cited a major study which stated that people using cell phones doubled their risk of developing brain cancer and acoustic neuromas, a tumor that damages the hearing nerve… and that people who started using cell phone before the age of 20 years are five times more likely to develop brain cancer.
The European Parliament voted 522 to 16 to urge ministers to impose stricter limits, because children are particularly vulnerable to the risk.” Mercola.com
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Toronto’s Department of Public Health:
“Children under 8 should only use
mobiles in emergencies.
Teenagers should limit calls
to 10 minutes or less.”
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Was that text message that important?
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Was that text message that important?
How to Understand the Climate Crisis in 10 Easy Steps
10.
A New Green Economy
The power of our vision
The power of our vision
than the power of our fears
The power of our vision
The Race to Zero CarbonThe Race to Zero Carbon
is the Race to a Clean Green
Economy
is the Race to a Clean Green
Economy
BCSEA 2013 BCSEA 2013 www.bcsea.org www.bcsea.org
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
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William KakwambaMalawi, Africa
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Two Possible Futures
One Rational Choice
We don’t need to vilify fossil fuels. We can praise them, and
then say “Enough!”
For 300,000 years, we harvested the Sun’s energy through firewood
For 300 years, we have harvestedit from fossil fuels
It was fossil fuelsthat launched the Industrial Age
and the modern world.
It is fossil fuels that have made advanced engineering, solar PV and electric vehicles possible.
The Age of Fossil Fuels is the necessary
LAUNCH RAMPfor the Solar Age
300,000 yearsFirewood
300 yearsFossil Fuels
A billion yearsSolar Energy
The Age of Firewood
The Age of Fossil Fuels
The Solar Age
Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years
Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com
The Sun will not begin to turn into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.
And with every passing year, solar technology will improve
and fall in price.
More solar energy reaches Earth in an hour than humans use in a year.
Sunmine, Kimberley, BC. 1.05 MW, 4,000 solar modules www.sunmine.ca
1977: $77
1997: $7
2013: $0.7
Price of Solar PVper Watt
A hundredfold fall in the price of solar PV
since 1977
Mass production = falling prices
100 GW in 2012
Solar PV 140-fold increase since 2000
200 GWin 2014
By 2020, every south-facing roof without 4 kW solar could lose its owner up to $1,000 a year
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
By 2020, every commercial roof that is not solar could lose its owner $10,000 a year
Vauban, Freiburg, Germany
Solar railwayParis to
Amsterdam
Solar Stadium, Taiwan
70%OF CANADIANS SUPPORT MOVING TO A
SYSTEM OF PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION
T-Sou’ke First NationVancouver Island
T’Sou-ke Nation Solar Project
T-Sou’ke Chief Gordon Planes:
“First Nations have lived for thousands of years
on this continent without fossil fuels.
It is appropriate that First Nations
lead the way out of dependency and
addiction to fossil fuels and rely on the power
of the elements, the sun, the wind
and the sea once again.”
Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
The Challenge Tree
T’Sou-ke First Nation
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The Challenge Tree
T’Sou-ke First Nation
“I will have only a three-minute shower.”
“I will turn the lights off when I leave my room”
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Siemens AG
Bear Mountain Wind Farm, Tumbler Ridge, BC.
Transportation without Oil
Make walking fun and joyful
Istanbul,Turkey
Seoul, South Korea
In Holland, cycling is the main mode of transport for 31% of the people
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
San Francisco Bike Lane
Granville Street BridgeVancouver’s Imagined Future
Electric Bikes
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
The Copenhagen Wheel
Solar electric bike, top speed 48 km/hr
Solar Bike Lane, Holland
Cycling on the Solar Bike Lane
Better Local Transit
OLEVOn-Line Electric Vehicle, South Korea
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org
Fast, dangerous streets being slowed
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org
Fast, dangerous streets being slowed
Electric Vehicles
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Nissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range
Tesla 300-400 km range
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
Honda solar electric car charging
The Falling Price of EV Lithium Batteries
Top
Hiroko EV
Top
Siemens ZeroCat all-electric car ferry, Norway 120 cars +360 passengers
10 minutes recharge, 30-minute trip800 kw, 400 kw battery bank. 10 knots
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Japan’s Magnetic Levitation Train
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World Train Speed Record603 km/hour
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Kelsey Juliana
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HOPE
WORRY
or
?
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
Green Schools
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Grow a School Food Garden
The Edible Schoolyard, San Francisco
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Martin Luther King Jr. Middle School School, Berkeley
www.edibleschoolyard.org
TheEdible
Schoolyard
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Brooklyn Public School
In New York, they turned THIS…
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into THIS
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“A valuable tool for creating rich
learning experiences and helping children
reconnect to the natural world.”
- Richard Louv,
author of Last Child in the Woods
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The Nanaimo Food Forest Team
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SALT SPRING’S SOLAR PRIDEGULF ISLANDS SECONDARY SCHOOL
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Build a Solar Electric Car
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School Solar Car Challenge, Texas
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Use your Wheels
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Woodlands Clean Air Commuter Challenge, June 2008
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Calculate your school’s Carbon Footprint
and work to reduce it.
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www.greenteacher.com
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Become a Zero Waste School
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School garbage audit
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Garbage-Free Lunch
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… become a green engineer
Some of you could go on to…
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… become a solar installer
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… design solar cookers
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… make solar cars
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… build wind turbines
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… become an electric car engineer
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… sell electric bikes
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… become a green architect
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
… become an ecologist
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…become a greenengineer
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… become a green architect
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… build solar-cob houses
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… become a green investor
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v… become an organic farmer
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… become a chef for real food
Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com … become a green politician
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… study for a Green Business Degree
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WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB
WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB
A Stable, Long-Lasting Club:
•Students from Grade 8•Students from Grade 9•Students from Grade 10•Students from Grade 11•Students from Grade 12
WOODLANDS ENVIRONMENT CLUB
8
12
1110
9
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Keep in warm and watered inside until the soil is warm outside, at the end of May
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This is an amazing opportunity
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to build a Green, Solar World
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Smithore Dreamstime.com
… or give up, and tell yourself you can’t make a difference
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By Nattanicha Kongsathitporn, age 14, Thailand
We need to roll up the past.
Guy Dauncey 2011Guy Dauncey 2011www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com By Iskren Rumenov Petrov, age 14, from Bulgaria
We need to sail away from our old, polluting waysand build a green, sustainable world.
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Guy Dauncey 2015Guy Dauncey 2015www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
This is about our future.
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
Dream itWish itDo it
Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
If you want to make a difference, now would be a great time to do so.
www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
The visions we offer our
children shape the future.
It matters what those visions
are. Carl Sagan
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Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com
www.earthfuture.com
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Wikimedia
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Wikimedia
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There’ll be blue birds over, the White Cliffs of Dovertomorrow, just you wait and see.
There’ll be love and laughter, and peace ever after, tomorrow, when the world is free.
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Wikimedia
The forests will grow so deepThe planet will bloom again,
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The farmers will heal the earthOn their own precious land again.
Wikimedia
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There’ll be solar rooftops,
Solar Electric Light Fund www.self.org
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and lush organic gardens, tomorrow, just you wait and see,
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There’ll be bike bells ringing, and Nature singing,
CopenhagenCycleChic.com
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Tomorrow,When the world is Green.
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