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COVID-19 ImpactsREGIONAL PLANNING INFORMATIONHeather McNellGENERAL MANAGER, REGIONAL PLANNING AND HOUSING SERVICES
COVID-19 Response Task Force Open Meeting: April 22, 202038240630
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
5.1
Core Services Data and monitoring Policy research Convene on planning issues of regional interest Provide a planning resource Leadership and Innovation
2
Provide a strategic, long-range, cross-boundary, interdisciplinary lens
Support planning throughout the region – Utilities, member jurisdictions, TransLink, other regional interests
REGIONAL PLANNING
Slide 2 of 31
COVID-19 Response Task Force
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What are we looking at?
• Housing (demand, market, starts)• Economy (job loss, sectors, change)• Transportation (transit use, travel, patterns)• Land Use (office, industrial markets)
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Two types of information…
• Indicators – report out regularly on change
• Real-time data as available• Sources vary
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HOUSING
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Housing Demand – Listings vs. Sales
86179195 9606
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MV listing MV sold
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Greater Vancouver Fraser Valley
GV/FVREB, April 2, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Housing Starts
CMHC Apr 8, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Building Permits
Statistics Canada April 8, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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ECONOMY
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
• In March, Canada’s economy shrank by 9%
• 2.6% slowdown in economic activity in Q1 of 2020
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CANADA - Jobs
RBC, April 13, 2020 / Statistics Canada April 15, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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CANADA - Jobs
The March decline was almost 30 standard deviations outside the normal range
• Canada saw a loss of over 1 million jobs in March
• Unemployment rate climbed 2.2 points to 7.8%
RBC, April 13, 2020Stats Canada
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
• Accommodation and food-services down 36,400 employees (18.7%) from Feb.
• Information, culture and recreation down 16,800 (14%).
• Wholesale/retail trade down 40,000 employees (9.9%).
• Broadly, services fell 6.5% • Goods-producing sector unchanged;
agriculture and manufacturing off setting a drop in construction.
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CANADA - Jobs Statistics Canada, April 9, 2020
Slide 12 of 31
COVID-19 Response Task Force
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BRITISH COLUMBIA - Jobs
BC Stats
• Labour Force contracted by 80,400 in March
• Number of jobs decreased by 132,400
• Compared to March 2019, 151,000 fewer positions
• Unemployment rate still second lowest in Canada at 7.2%
BC Stats April 9, 2020; Statistics Canada April 9, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
• Metro Vancouver recorded 89% of the province’s job losses, with a drop of 8% or 117,000 persons.
• Unemployment rose to 7.5% from 4.6% in Feb. (up 2.5% from Mar 2019)
• Concentration of the decline reflects the disproportionate impact on services-producing sectors.
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METRO VANCOUVER - Jobs
BC Stats April 9, 2020; Statistics Canada April 9, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Consumer Patterns
RBC Economics, RBC Data and Analytics, April 16, 2020
Eating in / Dining out
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Consumer PatternsEssential and work from home vs. discretionary spending
Grocery sales +38%Hand sanitizer +639%Masks and gloves +377%Dry goods and shelf stable foods +239%
Stats Canada / Week ending March 14, 2020
RBC Economics, RBC Data and Analytics, April 16, 2020
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TRANSPORTATION
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Transportation / Mobility
• Transit usage down 83% across region
• Still seeing 250,000 trips per day
• Vehicle counts down 30-40% on Golden Ears, Pattullo, and Knight bridges
• Vehicle traffic down 47% in Vancouver
TransLink, Vancouver April, 2020
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Mobility Patterns in BC Google, April 11, 2020
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Effect of Public Health Measures on Mobility in BC
Feb 17 Feb 24 Mar 2 Mar 9 Mar 16 Mar 23 Mar 30
Google, April 11, 2020; BCCDC April 15, 2020
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Port and Airport Volumes
• Departures from country’s 10 busiest airports are down 84%
• At YVR, over spring break, passenger volumes were down to around 10,000-20,000 per day (compared to 70,000/ day in 2019)
• For the Port, vessel calls only down 3% in March; total containers handled for Q1 down 11%
YVR, Port Apr 15, 2020; Conference Board of Canada April 14, 2020
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Land Use
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Industrial Lands
• Q1 2020 industrial market statistics do not show significant impacts due to COVID-19
• Q2 will provide more information. • Vacancy is hovering near record lows - this
is the 12th consecutive quarter with a vacancy rate below 2.0%.
Colliers April 15, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
• Region-wide, vacancy rates decreased by 20 basis points to 2.7% while Vancouver’s downtown core is at 1.3%, a 70 basis point decrease from the previous quarter.
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Office
Colliers Apr 15, 2020
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
• March numbers are an indicator, but only the last two weeks were more directly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic,
• We will continue to report out on April numbers and more accurate March numbers as information becomes available.
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Summary
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Guiding Metro Vancouver Forward
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Demand for Essential Services Remains HighWater
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BL/d
Daily System Consumption Comparison for March/April 20202020 2016 to 2019 Avg
Currently tracking 0.5% higher than prior years average consumption
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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Demand for Essential Services Remains HighSolid Waste
Forecasting approximately 11% less in Waste Flow for 2020
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Solid Waste System Waste Flow Comparison for March and April 20202016 to 2019 avg 2020
Slide 28 of 31
COVID-19 Response Task Force
• Infrastructure projects play a key role in economic recovery
• Coordination across the region provides a strategic advantage
• Inform 2021 budget process• Providing information to
members29
Going ForwardData to Inform Decision Making
Slide 29 of 31
COVID-19 Response Task Force
• Metro Vancouver , UBC and the BCCDC working to improve understanding of COVID-19 in wastewater
• To measure COVID RNA concentrations to track community infection rates and locations
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Utilities Innovation in the Community
Global News
Science Magazine
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
Thank you
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COVID-19 Response Task Force
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