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Discussion Paper Series
B No.39
Sociology, Economics and Politics of
Central Asian Migrants in Russia
Edited by
Kazuhiro Kumo
March 2011
INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH HITOTSUBASHI UNIVERSITY
Iiiii
HIER Discussion Paper Series (B)
Sociology, Economics and Politics of
Central Asian Migrants in Russia
Edited by
Kazuhiro Kumo
The Institute of Economic Research
Hitotsubashi University
Tokyo, Japan
March 2011
ii
The Institute of Economic Research
Hitotsubashi University
Naka 2-1, Kunitachi City, Tokyo, 186-8603, JAPAN
http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp
Printed in Tokyo, Japan
iii
Preface
A long time has already passed since international labor migration first garnered
attention. Moreover, a great deal of debate has developed on the impact of foreign
remittance from migrant workers on the economies of the countries from which the
migrants originate. Both positive and negative effects have been addressed. On the positive
side, for example, foreign remittance can boost the income levels of households receiving
remittances, while it can have both a positive and negative impact on human capital
accumulation in countries supplying migrants. However, foreign remittance to transitional
economies has rarely been the chief object of analysis.
Although many transitional economies have small populations and the value of
their incoming foreign remittance is not particularly large in absolute terms, it is often high
as a proportion of GDP. Tajikistan, for example, in particular, has exhibited the highest
percentages in the world in recent years, at more than 30 or 40 percent of GDP, among
others. Other Central Asian countries such as Uzbekistan and Kyrgyz also send out their
labor into Russia and receive large remittances in comparison with their own GDP scale.
Central Asian countries are therefore prime examples of how international labour migration
from former Soviet republics (which maintain close connections with Russia), and the
foreign remittance that leads to, can affect the economies of countries with small
populations.
It is against this background that we organized an international workshop entitled
"Labor Migrants in Russia and Central Asia" supported by Center for Economic
Institutions, the Institute of Economic Research at Hitotsubashi University on May 20,
2010. This book represents one of outcomes from the collaboration between Russian and
Japanese scholars. We hope this volume could be beneficial to the researchers on Russian
and the CIS economic studies and make a contribution to the further development of
in-depth studies on migration and social transfer.
Kazuhiro KUMO
March 2011
iv
Table of Contents
Preface ……………………………………………………………...……………….… iii
List of Contributors …………….……………………………………...…………….. v
Acknowledgement ………………...…………………………………….……………... vi
I. Central Asian Migrant Workers in Moscow: Realities Revealed by their own Words (by
Norio HORIE and Sergei RYAZANTSEV) ……………………….……................……. 1
II. Tajik Labour Migrants and their Remittances: Is Tajik Migration Pro-Poor?* (by
Kazuhiro KUMO) ………………………………………………………….………...… 27
III. Migrant Workers from Central Asia into the Russian Federation (by Sergei
RYAZANTSEV, Norio HORIE and Kazuhiro KUMO) …...…………………....…………. 59
v
List of Contributors
Norio Horie
Professor, Vice Director, Center for Far Eastern Studies, University of Toyama (Toyama,
Japan)
Kazuhiro Kumo
Associate Professor, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research,
Hitotsubashi University (Tokyo, Japan)
Sergei V. Ryazantsev
Professor, Head of the Center for Social Demography and Economic Sociology, Institute of
Socio-Politic Research, Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russian Federation)
vi
Acknowledgement
This research work was financially supported by the Grant-in-Aid for Scientific
Research from the Ministry of Education and Science of Japan (No.21730221) in
2009-2010, the Mitsu Sumitomo Banking Corporation Foundation and the Center for
Economic Institution at the Institute of Economic Research at Hitotsubashi University
Foreign Researcher Invitation Program. The editor also wishes to thank Mrs. Eriko
Yoshida, secretary of the Russian Research Center at the Institute of Economic Research,
Hitotsubashi University for her generous assistance and help in editing the book.
1
Central Asian Migrant Workers in Moscow: realities revealed by their own words
Norio Horie / Sergei Ryazantsev
Norio Horie, Professor, Vice-Director of Center for Far Eastern Studies, University of Toyama
(Japan). E-mail: horie@eco.u-toyama.ac.jp
Office Address: Gofuku3190, Toyama, 930-8555, Japan.Tel. +81-76-445-6436
Sergei Ryazantsev, Doctor of Economics, Professor, Director of Center for Social Demography and
Economic Sociology, Institute of Socio-Political Research RAS. E-mail: riazan@mail.ru
Abstract
Moscow annually attracts a large number of migrant workers. Many pitfalls can cause
problems for them to gain legal status in Moscow. Some become illegal workers without
realizing it, some consciously become illegal, and some do not understand the legal
bureaucratic procedures or find them too much trouble and consequently work illegally. On the
other hand, many are fortunate enough to achieve legal status through the kindness of
employers or sponsors, or are lucky enough to attain legal status as a result of personal
connections. In many cases, the difference between working legally or illegally is determined
by the slimmest opportunity or piece of good fortune. We conducted qualitative research
interviews with 20 Central Asian migrant workers in Moscow. They revealed what obstacles
they face in crossing borders, in their work places, and in their daily lives in Moscow. For
people who immigrate to work in Moscow, the most important aspects of their experiences are
the problems faced when crossing the border, problems related to work, and problems faced in
everyday life. Russian immigration officials at borders and on the streets exploit the vulnerable
status of such workers and swarm after their money. Unfortunately, profit can be made by
agents who intervene in border control, registration, or work permit application procedures.
Among the Central Asian immigrants who took part in our study, many did not know how to
apply for and obtain a work permit. Some applied through intermediary agents without
determining whether this route was legal. Some wanted to obtain legal papers, but failed to
2
address the complicated application process because they had not experienced any problems,
even though they had been working illegally. These people fall in between the cracks between
regular and irregular statuses This demonstrates the blind spots in Russian border control and
foreign labor management. Russia must improve her migration policies and governance and
reflect on the voices of the migrant workers who find themselves trapped inside her complex
and contradictory systems.
1. Introduction
Russia is the second largest country in the number of immigrant stock. Her
capital city, Moscow, annually attracts a large number of migrant workers. Migrants in
Moscow face troubles that have their roots in their vulnerable status as foreign workers.
Many pitfalls can cause them to have problems gaining legal status. Some become illegal
without realizing it, some consciously choose to work illegally, and some fail to understand
the legal bureaucratic procedures or find them to be too much trouble and consequently
continue to work illegally. On the other hand, some workers are fortunate enough to
achieve legal work status through the kindness of employers or sponsors, or are lucky
enough to attain legal status as a result of personal connections.
To delineate the features of Central Asian migrant workers, most researchers use
official statistics that are often unreliable and select anecdotal stories from the mass media
and interviews with experts in Russia. We often read “according to an expert” not only in
academic articles but also in newspapers. This is partly because we lack reliable data sets to
critically analyze the present dynamics of Central Asian migrant workers, and partly
because we have few opportunities to listen to the migrants themselves. Researchers
outside Russia and Central Asia therefore quote anecdotal stories from mass media and the
comments of Russian scholars, even if such stories and information quoted from scientists,
bureaucrats, and newspapers are reproduced and circulated without being confirmed1.
We conducted our own in-depth interviews with 20 Central Asian migrant
1 Дятлов (2009, p. 152) described this information circulation without proof as a “pyramid” scheme in
migration research.
3
workers living in Moscow and its suburbs. This is not a new idea in Russian migration
studies. For example, Tachiana Ivanova (Иванова2009) conducted life history interviews
with two Tajiks in a study that addressed a problem that resembled ours. Maxim Grigoriev
and Andrei Osinnikov’s (Григорьев et al. 2009) conducted interviews with 102 illegal
immigrants from a huge range of different countries, including the Central Asian countries
of Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Kazakhstan, the Caucasian
countries of Georgia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, such former Soviet Union countries as
Ukraine, Belarus, and Moldova, African countries including Ghana and Zambia, and China.
Ruget et al. (2008) also attempted qualitative studies that focused on Central Asian
immigrants, but with different aims. A huge number of in-depth interviews with migrants in
Russia was conducted by Human Rights Watch (2009). This unique survey of 127 migrants
working in Russian construction shares some focus points with our research. Note that all
these surveys were conducted recently. This shows that researchers on migration issues in
Russia refuse to accept the reality shown by quantitative researches. Instead, they are
focusing on the reality that quantitative research cannot grasp.
Key differences exist between our study and all of the above research. First, the
focus of our study was restricted to Central Asian immigrants. Second, we employed
unique methodology and analysis of Central Asian migrant workers. For example, Maxim
Grigoriev and Andrei Osinnikov focused on illegal migrants in Moscow and described the
reality of their situations. In our study we pursued the reality migrants often face found
between the fuzzy status of working illegally and legally. As mentioned above, we expected
that migrants could not understand which procedures are necessary to get legal working
status and might often ask mediators to complete the procedures for them. How can such
workers prove that all the documents issued through mediators are correct? For
example,police may destroy migration cards, and border officers may refuse to stamp
passports, creating trouble in Russia and at future border situations. We focus on the pitfalls
that can cause immigrants to work illegal in Moscow.
In many cases, the difference between working legally or illegally is determined
by the slimmest opportunity or piece of good fortune. For immigration policy makers or
administrators of migrant workers, what determines whether they are legal has nothing to
4
do with such arbitrary good fortune; it concerns the question whether correct bureaucratic
procedure has been followed and whether the resulting documentation exists. This is why
the term “illegal” immigrant is eschewed in migration studies, and the terms “irregular” or
“undocumented” immigrant are often used2.
2. General features of Central Asian migrants in Russia
Russia’s policy attitude toward immigrant labor is divided into two approaches:
“Far abroad” and “Near abroad” countries. The “Near abroad” countries are the CIS
countries. The “Far abroad” countries are the rest of countries in the world. This division is
crucial for Russia’s perspective to solve a series of tasks, including fulfilling workforce
shortages, attacking demographic crises, maintaining national or cultural identity, and so on.
Russia’s migration policies and foreign labor management measures are coordinated to fill
shortages of unskilled workers in domestic labor markets with CIS workers, who easily
adapt to Russian society. Returning ethnic Russians from CIS countries are especially
welcomed to maintain their cultural and ethnic identities in Russia. Migrants from CIS
countries except Georgia and Turkmenistan are allowed to across borders without visas and
work permits, although such special treatment for CIS workers is often linked to
corresponding increases of illegal workers.
The share of CIS workers among all foreign workers registered in Russia
continues to increase annually (Figs.1 and 2, and Table 1). In the 1990s, the most major
migrants registered in Russia were from China and the Ukraine. One of the reasons why the
share of Central Asian workers is increasing is that the number of migrant workers from
non-CIS countries has been severely restricted by work permit quotas. Contrary to such
caps, migrant workers with visa-free regimes (from most CIS countries) are not regulated
when entering Russia to search for jobs and often get more work permits than the number
of work permit quotas. In 2007 when the legislative procedures were simplified for migrant
workers with visa-free regimes and were simultaneously required to have a plastic work
2 Irregular and undocumented immigrants refer to immigrants who have failed to fulfill the various
regulated conditions of entry, residency, and economic activity of the host country, as defined by the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development (Document A/CONFERENCE.171/13 of 18 October 1994. http://www.un.org/popin/icpd/conference/offeng/poa.html)
5
permit card, the number of foreign workers from CIS countries doubled. This means many
undocumented foreign workers from CIS countries registered (or received amnesty) in
2007.
Source: Compiled by authors fromdata of Росстат, «Труд и занятость в России» (annuals covering
the period)
Table 1 Share of CIS workers among registered foreign workers in Russia (in person and %)
Registered foreign workers CIS workers Non-CIS workers Share of CIS
workers (%)
2005 702,500 343,665 358,835 48.9
2006 1,014,013 537,722 476,291 53.0
2007 1,717,137 1,152,786 564,351 67.1
2008 2,425,921 1,779,996 645,925 73.4
Source: Compiled by authors from data of Росстат, «Труд и занятость в России» (annuals
covering the period)
6
Source: Compiled by authors from data of Росстат, «Труд и занятость в России» (2009)
Another reason is that the bottom of the Russian labor market is beginning to
depend on cheap labor from Central Asia, especially in the construction industry. In the
Russian construction boom during the highly economic development of the past decade,
Russia required cheap labor in which Russian citizens have no interest. Chinese workers
also work in construction, but they are not so flexible to the labor market demand in
construction. With strict legislative procedures for non-CIS workers to get work permits,
such Chinese workers cannot be flexibly employed. It is no secret that Russian employers
can flexibly hire CIS workers from the streets. Yaroslavl highway (Route M8) in Moscow
is a popular labor market for foreign workers from CIS countries.
The allocation of work permit quotas themselves shows that most CIS workers
work at the bottom of the labor market. The quota system allocates work permits by
occupation. We divided all the quota occupations into three types: managers/technicians,
clerical/service workers, and manual laborers. Even in Moscow with its concentration of
foreign companies, the allocation for manager/technician work permits does not even come
to 20% of all work permit quotas. Rather than suggesting that the quota for managerial
technical occupations is limited, this fact shows that it would not be possible to sustain
Moscow’s economy without the foreign workers who work at the lower end of Russia’s
labor market. The source of this huge number of foreign manual laborers is the CIS, and in
particular, the Central Asian countries.
7
Table 2 Number of work permit quotas in Moscow by occupation in 2009
Occupation type Occupation Number of work
permit quotas
A Legislators, senior officials and managers 67,993
A Physical, mathematical and engineering science professionals 7,483
A Physical and engineering science associate professionals 3,442
B Finance and sales associate professionals 19,848
B Protective service workers and other personal service workers 10,667
B Models, salespersons, demonstrators 3,147
C Skilled agricultural and fishery workers 245
C Extraction and building trade workers 92,562
C Metal, machinery and related trades workers 18,234
C Other craft and related trades workers 7,558
C Stationary-plant and related operators 2,283
C Machine operators and assemblers 14,129
C Drivers and mobile-plant operators 26,348
C Elementary occupations 96,466
C Other 21,752
Total 392,157
Note) A: business managers/technicians, B: clerical/service workers, and C: manual laborers
Source: Compiled by authors from order of Ministry of Health and Social Affairs: Приложение № 2 к
Приказу Министерства здравоохранения и социального развития Российской Федерации
(Минздравсоцразвития России) от 26 декабря 2008 г. N 777н “О распределениипосубъектам
Российской Федерации утвержденной Правительством Российской Федерации на 2009 год квоты
на выдачу иностранным гражданам разрешений на работу .”
The Russian government has several measures to regulate foreign workers:
employment permits, work permits, work permit quotas, and resident registration. When
the economic crisis hit Russia, President Putin argued in 2009 that the migrant quota should
8
be slashed by up to 50% of the total number of quotas. The number of quotas in 2010 was
decreased to half of the 2009 number as he declared.
Table 3 Number of work permit quotas and issued work permits in Russia
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
work permit
quotas
530,000 213,000 214,000 329,300 6,308,842 1,828,245 3,976,747 1,944,356
quotas for
non-visa-free
countries
- - - - 308,842 672,304 1,250,769 611,080
quotas for
visa-free
countries
- - - - 6,000,000 1,155,941 2,725,978 1,333,276
issued work
permits
210,486 248,768 225,799 267,200 1,193,959 3,500,000 N.A N.A
Share of issued
work permits
(%)
39.7 116.8 105.5 81.1 18.9 191.4 N.A N.A
Source: Compiled by authors from data of Federal Migration Service
Work permit quotas are considered effective means to reduce foreign workers in
Russia, but interestingly the number of work permits issued exceeded quotas in both 2007
and 2008 (Table 3). The number of workers from non-visa-free countries de facto cannot
exceed their quota because they have to get work permits before they enter Russia. The
foreigners who can get work permits after they arrive in Russia are CIS workers with
visa-free regimes who can also get work permits before they find jobs. In principle, work
permits are issued on a first-come first-serve basis to any CIS workers who apply for them.
There is no guarantee that workers receive work permits if the quota in their province has
already been filled (Human Rights Watch, 2009, p.25). But, as Table 3 shows, CIS workers
9
got more work permits than the number of quotas3. This means the quota system does not
regulate foreign workers from CIS countries. The chairman of the committee for
International Communications and National Policy in Moscow city also claimed that the
work permit quota system is useless (Александров, 2008, с.6).
3. Methodology
Our interviews emphasized the life stories of the immigrants. One special feature
of our study is how it evokes a picture of many immigrants who live in the neutral space
between legal and illegal status.
The interviews were mainly carried out at the immigrants’ work places
(construction sites, cafés, dacha where they are employed, markets etc.) by the academic
staff and graduate students of the Institute of Socio-Political Research, Russian Academy of
Science. The interviewers were all researchers on migration studies. 20 immigrants were
interviewed over a specified period of time (Jan-Feb 2009).
To match the immigrant dialogues to the aims of our study, we set up a model
story and shared it with interviewers before the interviews. The migrants decide while
living in their home countries to migrate to Russia. They may have family there and a
reason to leave their home countries. They board a bus, a train, or a plane. The journey is
underway, but various forms of harassment await them at the border. When they arrive in
Moscow, they have to look for a place to live and work. As foreigners, they must deal with
various permission and authorization procedures. Once they have found work, as low-paid
workers, they probably have to accept very harsh working environments and conditions.
Forced labor and unpaid work are also reported. Their living environments are probably far
from satisfactory. They have to send money back to their families in their home countries,
but they have trouble knowing how to do this and how much to send. As they become used
3 Recently Moscow has begun to regulate the period to reserve work permits for CIS workers without jobs.
CIS workers have to get a contract with employers for 15 working days soon after they get work permits. If a
worker cannot get a job, his work permit becomes invalid. We don’t believe that this regulation would
effectively decrease the number of undocumented workers.
10
to life in Moscow, they often experience unpleasant encounters due to their foreigner status.
Police abuse and harassment and xenophobic attacks are often reported in newspapers and
academic articles. As their life continues, the most likely unresolved question is how long
they intend to stay in Russia. Do they dream of returning to their home countries? Do they
intend to live in Russia permanently? Our study sought to draw out the course of their life
stories, starting with life in their home country to their current daily life in Russia. The
dialogue established with the interviewees included feelings of empathy, indulgence,
puzzlement, and antagonism in response to this story. What is important in the process of
this research is to discover new, unexpected stories from the real voices of migrants.
In a qualitative study, interviewers must improvise (Wenger 2001 p.5), and
interaction must exist between the interviewer and interviewee; but because our study was
carried out using different interviewers, we standardized the basic question items to a
certain extent for the convenience of interviewers and toguarantee interview quality. This
means that our interviews sacrificed some improvisation and interaction. The interviewers
were instructed not to stop the migrants’ stories and to encourage them to talk as much as
possible. In actual interviews, some interviewees were reluctant to talk, and some talked
much more than we expected. We did not show these basic question items to the migrants.
Due to the interactions and improvisation, some migrants could not answer all questions
and some items were often skipped or their orders were changed, as demanded by the
situations. Before being interviewed, we explained our purpose, but we did not provide
them any financial incentive. Some of migrants refused to be interviewed; some were
willing. The basic information of the interviewees is shown in the appendix. We are
permitted by interviewees to describe their personal information in this paper, but carefully
contrived not to indentify them for their safety. The standardized basic question items are
shown in Table 4.
Of course, interviews from just 20 people don’t entail a large-scale interview
project. Furthermore, the question remains whether the voices of immigrants in interviews
are representative of all Central Asian immigrant residents in Russia. However, whether the
views expressed by individuals are representative isn’t nearly as important as showing how
migrants subjectively evaluate their status, their lives in Moscow, Russian government
11
Table 4 Basic question items
1 What is your name? How old are you? Are you married? Do you have children? Where does your family live?
2 What is your place of origin? What is your academic background? Nationality?
3 Why did you want to work in Russia? When did you first come to work in Russia? How many times have you
come to work here? What work did you do and where?
4 What means of transportation did you use when you came to Russia? Did you have any problems at the border
when entering the country? If so, what kind? Have you had any trouble when leaving the country to return home?
5 What kind of job did you do in your home country? What are you currently doing (job title, company name,
position)? How did you get a job in Russia? Who helped you?Did you pay that person?
6 Do you have a work permit? Was it difficult to get a permit to work in Russia?
7 Did you receive any assistance from your employer in completing residency registration procedures, obtaining a
work permit, or securing accommodation? Aside from these things, did your employer organize anythingelse for
you (accommodation, insurance, meals, work clothes, tools for work etc.)?
8 What is your monthly income?
9 How long is your work day? How many days off do you have a week? Are you able to take time off?
10 How much and how frequently do you send money to your family? Whom you sent money? What is the money
you send home used for?
11 When did you come to Russia? How long do you plan to work in Russia? How regularly do you return home?
12 What kind of place do you live in (apartment block, dormitory, temporary housing, etc.)? How much is your rent?
What kind of living environment do you reside in? What do you do for meals?
13 Have your working conditions or living environment in Russia ever affected your health?
14 What kind of trouble have you encountered in Russia? Have you ever had money extorted from you? What are
you afraid of in Russia (police, fascist gangs,hooligans, etc.)?
procedures, and the attitudes of the people and the authorities with whom migrants must
deal. These voices surely include the reality they face. Therefore, through their voices, we
can understand the reality of the immigrant experience in Russia in a way that it is not
possible through a quantitative study.
The following is the basic background information of the immigrants we
12
interviewed. We collected the voices of immigrants from Central Asian countries currently
residing in Moscow and its suburbs. The only other condition imposed on interviewees was
that they must come from Central Asian countries. Of the 20 interviewees, three already
had dual-nationality with Russia and their home country, and one was in the process of
applying for Russian citizenship. As for the countries of origin, 11 were from Tajikistan, six
were from Uzbekistan, and three were from Kyrgyzstan. We excluded migrant workers
from Kazakhstan since Kazakhstan itself has already become a host country for immigrants
whose numbers are small compared to the numbers of migrant workers from the other
Central Asian countries. The number of migrant workers from Turkmenistan is also
relatively small, so we also excluded them. Appropriately, the majority of interviewees
were from Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, which basically reflects the composition of migrants
from each country. The ages ranged from 19 to 49, but the majority were in their 20s to mid
30s.The stories in our interviews cover a wide range of topics. In this paper, we focus on
the following topics: mediation between migrants and authorities, bureaucratic barriers, and
the uncertainty of migrants’ status.
4. Institutionalization of informal mediation
We argue that currently informal mediation in relationships between migrants
and immigration authorities is undergoing a process of institutionalization. In this part of
our paper we demonstrate that the phenomenon of informal mediation now occupies a
stable position in the Central Asian migrant society. The emergence of mediators between
migrants and authorities in Russia is well known and has also been emphasized by several
literatures4. Mediators play their role when and where migrants are too vulnerable to break
through bureaucratic barriers or authorities’ abuses. They emerge at borders, at workplaces,
in labor markets, and on the streets where migrants are discouraged to contact authorities or
accomplish legislative procedures.
The essence of institutionalization is in theory the reduction of uncertainty in
external environments, making it more predictable for other’s actions (Berger and
4 For example, see Human Right Watch (2009), and Marat (2009).
13
Luckmann 1966, p.74). Migrants often face uncertainty at borders, when processing
documents, and in daily life on the street. Based on life stories obtained from migrants we
consider the institutionalization of informal mediation through border processes and
legislative procedures in Russia between migrants and authorities.
1) Mediators on borders
First, informal mediations appear when migrants face uncertainty in legislative
procedures at borders. The difficulties experienced when crossing borders are not just
related to inefficient customs and immigration procedures. Many immigrants realize their
vulnerability when they approaching the border. In our interviews, all immigrants who
came to Moscow by plane claimed that they had had no problems during their journey or at
the airport. The trouble apparently occurs with border crossings over land. For example, it
normally takes four days to travel from Bishkek to Moscow by bus. But one man
complained that it took 14 days to reach Moscow because of the bad bus maintenance,
inadequate roads, excessive driver breaks, and border inspections. To cross the border easily
they had to pay extra money to customs officers. This time-consuming and
money-consuming procedure always requires negotiation between migrants and authorities.
The uncertainty of the negotiations between migrants and border authorities
created the need for informal mediations between migrants and authorities. In our
interviews female migrants did not experience abuse and harassment by officers at borders,
but most male migrants crossing land borders had experienced them. A man from Tajikistan
told in detail of the trouble he experienced when crossing the border by train. His
experience sheds light on the realities faced by migrants at borders:
“When I first came to work in Russia in 2001, I had trouble leaving Tajikistan. I was
the right age for military service, so I was held at the border until they checked to see
whether I had any military service obligations. In the past I usually came to Russian on
the train departing Khuj and bound for Saratov. Customs and immigration at the border
between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan generally go smoothly. Conductors charge an extra,
unofficial, one-way payment that ranges between 250 and 600 rubles for “security”
14
and “comfort,” as if they separately buy coal and water. If a passenger had trouble with
the customs, border control, or the police, the conductors promised to “settle” the
problem. If we didn’t pay the conductors, they threatened us, saying, “We can’t take
responsibility for you.” When entering Uzbekistan, the officials often deliberately
failed to stamp Tajik passports with entry visas. When we leave the country, if we
don’t have an entry stamp in our passport we are arrested and interrogated, and then
they try to send us on without a departure stamp, too. Generally, this is because they
want to get money from Tajiks.
For example, my first time, I didn’t pay the conductors. The official was clamping
down on people without departure stamps. So I ended up paying 50 rubles. What’s
even more interesting, the more stamps you have in your passport, the more you seem
to get harassed with endless questions from border control. I guess if we have lots of
stamps it looks like we often work abroad, so they think we have money to pay them.
50 rubles is the going rate. The conductors settle everything. In Kazakhstan we don’t
get this kind of trouble with border control and customs. There are also no problems
with border control when we enter Russia.
But once we cross the border into Russia and enter Saratov, people in plainclothes
board the train, claiming to be officials of some organization or other and waving
around their official credentials. But we have no idea what organization they are from.
Once they have taken all of the immigrants’ passports, they call the guides into their
compartment one by one. To get our passports back, we generally have to pay between
200 and 500 rubles. If we don’t pay, we may even get beaten up. When we got to
Saratov station, the leader of OMON (a special police unit) went round to each
carriage and collected all Tajik passports. Then an intermediary turns up on the
platform. Well, he’s a Tajik. He claimed that with a bit of money, he can sort things out
with OMON. Then he collected 300 rubles from each of us. Once the money was paid
to the police, we got our passports back. Then another man, who also called himself an
intermediary, said he would sort out our train tickets for whatever Russian town we
were going to. It is difficult to buy a ticket without going through the intermediary, and
we have to wait in line for ages at the station. Some people had been queuing for
15
almost two days! At the ticket window we were often told that the tickets were sold out,
or if any remained, only expensive ones would be left. In my case, I didn’t leave
Saratov for 10 hours. I had trouble with the police on the train to Moscow and had
money taken from me. That kind of thing happens over and over and over” (Furkat,
Tajikistan).
2) Mediators for legislative procedures for work permits and residency registration
Migrant workers from Central Asia do not need a visa to work once they have
entered Russia. They can first come to Russia and start looking for work. If Central Asian
immigrants successfully find a job in Russia but fail to get a work permit after they have
started working, they become illegal workers. As we mentioned, the legislative procedures
to get work permits and residence registration were simplified in 2007, but among all the
interviewees, not one believed that the work permit application process had actually been
simplified.
Migrant workers from Central Asia themselves shoulder the primary burdento
get work permits when they are looking for jobs in Russia. All the responsibility to
complete the procedures is imposed on the foreign workers themselves. The role of
employers is not clear to encourage or help foreign migrants to satisfy the application
procedures. It seems the employers aren’t too concerned whether their migrant workers
choose to be illegal or legal.
Contrary to government claims that the application procedures were simplified,
migrants still lack knowledge about obtaining work permits. Il’sada is confused by this
situation:
“I don’t have a work permit. And I don’t know how and where to getone. But I have
registration. Nobody told me to get a work permit, but I filed my residency
registrationmyself. An acquaintance helped me” (Il’sada, Kyrgyzstan).
Behzod has worked for more than two years in Russia without being registered
as a foreign worker. Barno and Sokina also have no idea how to obtain work permits. And
16
their employers have no interest in whether they have work permits:
“I don’t have a work permit. Nobody asks for it. But I have residency registration,
which my brother helped me with. It’s official. I don’t know how and where he got it.
That’s all right with me (Behzod, Uzbekistan).
“At present, I don’t have a work permit in Russia, but I’m going to file when I return
from Uzbekistan. Now I’m going home to change my passport. As soon as I return
to Russia, I intend to file for a permit. I understand that I should work legally, or I
might have a lot of problems. I have acquaintances who have gotten into trouble.
But I don’t know how to file for a work permit. My employer doesn’t seem
interested in it, either” (Barno, Uzbekistan).
“I don’t have a work permit yet. I have worked for four months, but I manage to get
along without a work permit. Nobody has checked on me, either. My employer
doesn’t ask for it, and I don’t know where to go or what to do. I just know that the
procedure is long and expensive.” (Sokina, Tajikistan).
Some people are unsure whether they are working legally, even if they have
obtained a work permit. This person paid an intermediary agent 7,000 rubles (about 200 US
dollars) to get a work permit:
“I paid 7,000 rubles for a work permit to an intermediary agent at the market who
told me this document is necessary and that he will help me apply for it. I don’t
know if it’s aboveboard. I just asked how much, paid him, and then a month later the
permit arrived. At the market you can get any application done this way” (Jamshet,
Tajikistan).
Abdumavlon works at a kiosk in a market. He knows that not all application
procedures are legal, but he is also realistic. To obtain a work permit, foreign workers must
17
submit medical documents that can only be obtained in each province from a few medical
facilities designated by the Federal Migration services. All the workers in services and
trades should have a “sanitary certification book.” To work in Russia, every step to obtain
documents needs mediators. Abdumavlon got it without a medical check, with the helpof a
mediator:
“I have a work permit. I also have my sanitary book. Well, I haven’t actually had a
checkup. I just paid money. In the market there’s a person who can apply for
documentation for foreigners. I didn’t have to go anywhere myself. I also have an alien
registration card” (Abdumavlon, Tajikistan).
Having arrived in Moscow from Novosibirsk, Javit finally understood the
procedures:
“I have a work permit. I applied for it soon after I came to Moscow. I didn’t have one
in Novosibirsk. Here in this market, getting a work permit is not difficult at all. If you
pay an intermediary agent 7,000 rubles, you can get an official card in about a month”
(Javit, Tajikistan).
Most employers are not interested in whether their employees have work permits.
Muzafar, who is employed in a private residence, has worked for a long time without a
permit, but he is fortunate to have an employer who takes care of him in a number of ways.
The owner of the private residence eventually helped him with the work permit application,
so he now works legally:
“I have a work permit and an alien registration card. The owner of the house helped
me. I worked without a work permit for the first four years, though” (Muzafar,
Tajikistan).
Dima and Maksad were also helped by their employers to obtain work permits.
18
Maksad has a full set of documents, including an residency registration card, medical
documents, and a work permit, but he had to pay 7,000 rubles to his employer: the same
sum charged by intermediary agents to obtain a work permit:
“I sorted out my residency registration myself after I arrived here through an
acquaintance of mine who owns my apartment block. I still don’t have a work
permit. It is supposed to arrive in three days. I’ve already sent off all the
application documents. My company took care of all the paperwork. I submitted
all the necessary documents to my supervisor and paid the 7,000 ruble fee. That’s
the cost for alien registration, a physician’s statement, and a work permit, in other
words, a complete set of documents. My employer is trying to make sure that all
of his employees are working legally” (Maksad, Tajikistan).
The work permit application procedures remain ambiguous and hidden, and
without the help of intermediary agents or honest employers, satisfying all of them is hard.
Such complexity easily changes Central Asian migrant workers into “illegal workers.” This
uncertainty causes mediators to work between migrant workers and authorities. Even if
they complete these procedures, migrants cannot verify whether all the documents and
permits are completely legal. Mediators are not reliable in any legal sense. From the voices
of the migrant workers we found almost no positive contribution from employers to help
their workers work legally and conveniently. Employers currently don’t have enough
responsibility for their employees.
3) Xenophobia, harassment, and abuse without mediators in daily life
Our model story assumed that migrants from Central Asia would face much
trouble with xenophobia in their daily lives. According to the SOVA5, people from Central
Asia are often killed or injured by racist violence (at least nine killed and 28 injured in the
5 The SOV is a Moscow-based Russian nonprofit organization that was founded in October 2002, working
on such topics as nationalism and racism..
19
first half of 2010)6. These figures are deflated because of the decrease of migrants due to
Russia’s economic crisis. In 2009, 29 people from Central Asia were killed and 68 people
were injured by xenophobic attacks. Of course, Central Asians are not the only targets.
People from Caucasus are also victims (11 killed, 47 injured). SOVA warned that almost
anyone might be a target7. Therefore we were prepared to hear such horror stories from our
interviewees.
Fortunately, our expectations were betrayed. Of course, this does not mean that
xenophobia is not a serious problem for Central Asian migrants, and we are not going to
downplay the critical situation of migrants who face xenophobic attacks. For example,
based on her experience in her early days in Moscow, this female interviewee is always
afraid of such attacks:
I feel very vulnerable and afraid of everything and everywhere. I became especially
afraid when a drug addict attacked me with a knife and said that if I cried for help he
would cut me. I didn’t have any money because I had just come to Moscow and didn’t
have a jobyet... When he threatened to kill me, I asked him why. He answered because
I wasn’t Russian. After that I also started to fear skinheads too. Before arriving
Moscow I didn’t even know what a skinhead was (Iroda, Uzbekistan).
Even though we encouraged our interviewees to talk about xenophobia, they
soon turned their stories to abuse by police on the streets of Moscow, suggesting greater
concern over police harassment and abuse than xenophobia:
I was harassed by hooligan some time at night. They threatened me but I got away. I’m
more worried about the police. They often stop me and check my documents.
Sometimes they let me go, and sometimes they openly extort money. And sometimes
migration officers check work permits. But it’s easier with them if you have all the
6 See the SOVA report: http://www.sova-center.ru/en/xenophobia/reports-analyses/2010/07/d19436/
7 See the SOVA report: http://www.sova-center.ru/en/xenophobia/reports-analyses/2010/03/d18151/
20
necessary documents. My documents are in order. (Abdumavlon, Tajikistan).
Xenophobic attacks may occur unexpectedly for migrants, but police
harassments and abuses are routine on the streets. Contrary to the situation on borders,
harassments and abuses on the streets do not allow mediators between migrants and
authorities. Migrants have to face authorities directly on the streets in Moscow, and they are
vulnerable from such harassment and abuse, especially from police.
The best way for migrants to protect themselves from police harassment and
abuse is by staying in their work places and decreasing their opportunities to face the police
on the streets. Migrants often work with other migrants and rarely face Russian citizens.
For employers it is convenient to keep migrant workers away from incidents on the streets.
Their living and working spaces in Moscow are separate from the space occupied by
Russian citizens. This man’s boss seems to care for him, and he rarely walks outside his
construction site:
There are no problems with police. Our boss keeps an eye on everything, and
nobody touches us. But we don’t leave the area, and only sometimes we go to the
bank or the grocery store, but everything is near here (Anatolii, Kyrgyzstan).
Makhmadgun works as a loader in a market. The marketplace is also a closed
space, and he also spends his life in Moscow in the market place without going out:
I try not to leave the area of the market, nobody touches us here, and if you leave,
police may catch you. Then you’ll have to pay them. They don’t look at work
documents, they just take money, everything I have. There are no special problems if
I don’t go to town. It’s difficult to work here, but I have to work someplace
(Makhmadgun, Tajikistan).
There is no mediation between migrant workers and police and between migrants
and xenophobic citizens. Migrant workers unexpectedly encounter xenophobic attacks and
21
police abuse and harassment. They have little choice but to remain in the market or the
construction site where they live and work. This uncertainty can be reduced by the Russian
government reactions to guarantee migrants’ security.
5. Realities revealed by their own words for better government
In this paper we described the uncertainties arising from routine abuse and
harassment on borders and streets, bureaucratic barriers in legislative procedures to obtain
residency registration and work permits, and migrant workers’ lack of knowledge to
complete all the procedures. The uncertainties faced by migrants are often mediated by
legal or illegal mediators, who reduce the uncertainty between migrants and immigration
authorities, although their price is expensive. And there is no guarantee that such mediators
themselves are legal. Mediators continue to increase as many migrants remain skeptical
about contacting the authorities. The active contribution of mediators reduces migrant
doubts and reflects that Russia’s legislative procedures are not pro-migrant.
The following facts are not just morally reprehensible but also demonstrate
theblind spots where migrants face doubt and slip into illegal status: immigration officials
exploit migrant workers’ vulnerable status at the borders and swarm after their money; a
business has grown around mediating between migrants with officials in border control;
and migrants face police abuse and harassment.
Russia’s Federal Migration Service must be exposed to the plight of migrant
workers to improve their governance. The realities revealed by their voices fail to describe
conditions where migrant workers can securely work and live. The skepticism of mediation
businesses was fanned by the consequences of the institutional cracks that arose from the
present migration and labor policies. This does not simply mean that Russia should restrain
such businesses. Without establishing pro-migrant workers, such restrictions often push
migrant workers into uncertainty without any help. Migrant workers currently themselves
cope with all the responsibility and costs for legislative procedures. We recommend that
employers be responsible for all the procedures to guarantee that foreign workers are
working legally. As a third party institution to the Federal Migration Service, Russia should
create a new government agency that investigates the abuses and harassments faced by
22
migrant workers. Without listening to the voices of migrant workers and without perceiving
their reality, the host country cannot improve migration governance.
References
Berger, Peter and Thomas Luckmann, 1966 (1991 reprint version), The Social
Construction of Reality: A Treatise in the Sociology of Knowledge, Penguin Books.
Human Right Watch, 2009, “Are you happy to cheat us”: Exploitation of Migrant
Construction Workers in Russia. Downloaded at http://www.hrw.org.
Marat, Erica, 2009, Labor Migration in Central Asia: Implications of the Global
Economic Crisis, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and the Silk Road Studies Program.
Ruget, Vanessa and Burul Usmanalieva, 2008, Citizenship, migration and loyalty
towards the state: a case study of the Kyrgystani migrants working in Russia and Kazakhstan,
Central Asian Survey, Vol.27, No.2, pp.129-141.
Александров, А.О., 2008, Трудовая миграция и пути её регулирования, на
Сборнике материалов XVII и XVIII Московско-берлинских семинаров по актуальным
проблемам миграции «Трудовая миграция и пути преодоления нелегальной занятости»,
Москва.
Дятлов, Виктор., 2009, Трансграничные мигранты в современной России:
динамика формирования стереотипов, Международный научно-аналитический и
информационный журнал, №1 (1), С.140-153.
Григорьев, Махим и Андрей Осинников, 2009, Нелегальные мигранты в Москве,
Москва; Издательство «Европа».
Иванова, Татьяна, 2009, Таджики в московском социуме, под ред. Ж. А.
Зайончковская, Иммигрантц в Москве. Мосева: «Три квадрата».
23
APP
EN
DIX
: BA
SIC
IN
FO
RM
AT
ION
OF
IN
TE
RV
IEW
EE
S
NO
N
ame
Age
Y
ear
of b
ord
er
cros
sing
Fam
ily
Pla
ce o
f or
igin
/
nat
iona
lity
Aca
dem
ic
bac
kgro
un
d
Job
Jo
b i
n h
ome
cou
ntr
y
1 F
urka
t 27
20
01
Mar
ried
, one
chi
ld,
wor
king
aw
ay f
rom
fam
ily
Taj
ikis
tan/
dual
nat
iona
lity
(200
8)
Uni
vers
ity
grad
uate
Pr
inti
ng f
acto
ry w
orke
r U
nive
rsit
y st
uden
t
2 B
arno
27
20
08
Mar
ried
, hus
band
and
wif
e
both
mig
rant
wor
kers
Uzb
ekis
tan
Com
plet
ed p
rim
ary
educ
atio
n
Ass
ista
nt c
hef
Une
mpl
oyed
3 K
abul
30
20
00
Com
mon
law
mar
riag
e U
zbek
ista
n U
nive
rsit
y gr
adua
te
Che
f U
nive
rsit
y ac
adem
ic
(eco
nom
ist)
4 Il
’sad
a 32
20
08
Sing
le, t
hree
chi
ldre
n,
wor
king
aw
ay f
rom
fam
ily
Kir
gizs
tan
Tec
hnic
al c
olle
ge
grad
uate
Dis
hwas
her
Seam
stre
ss/w
aitr
ess
5 Ir
oda
26
2005
M
arri
ed, o
ne c
hild
, all
livin
g to
geth
er
Uzb
ekis
tan/
dual
nati
onal
ity
Uni
vers
ity
grad
uate
U
ntil
rec
entl
y a
wai
tres
s, n
ow a
hous
ewif
e/un
iver
sity
stu
dent
Mar
ket
trad
er
6 S
okin
a 19
20
08
Sing
le, l
eft
fath
er b
ehin
d,
livin
g w
ith
mot
her
and
sist
er
Taj
ikis
tan
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e M
aid
in a
pri
vate
hom
e D
omes
tic
help
er
7 B
ahzo
t 30
20
05
Mar
ried
, wor
king
aw
ay
from
fam
ily
Taj
ikis
tan
Uni
vers
ity
grad
uate
M
erch
andi
ser,
sal
es
Uni
vers
ity
lect
urer
8 B
ehzo
d 22
20
06
Sing
le
Uzb
ekis
tan
No
answ
er
Prin
ting
fac
tory
wor
ker
Goo
ds h
andl
er i
n m
illi
ng
fact
ory
9 M
uzaf
ar
33
2000
M
arri
ed, t
hree
chi
ldre
n, a
ll
livin
g to
geth
er
Taj
ikis
tan
No
answ
er
Secu
rity
gua
rd/g
arde
ner
U
nem
ploy
ed
10
Nai
mdg
on
26
1999
M
arri
ed, l
ivin
g w
ith
wif
e T
ajik
ista
n (a
pply
ing
for
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e W
areh
ouse
wor
ker
Une
mpl
oyed
24
11
Dim
a 27
20
00
Mar
ried
, ini
tial
ly a
lone
,
late
r jo
ined
by
wif
e
Taj
ikis
tan
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e C
lean
er a
t acc
omm
odat
ion
agen
cy
Dom
esti
c he
lper
12
Mak
sad
22
2003
Si
ngle
, liv
ing
wit
h pa
rent
s T
ajik
ista
n U
nive
rsit
y gr
adua
te
(cor
resp
onde
nce
cour
se)
Cle
aner
N
o an
swer
13
Jam
shet
21
20
07
Sing
le
Taj
ikis
tan
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e T
axi d
rive
r Pr
ivat
e fr
eigh
t com
pany
14
Abd
umav
lon
23
2004
Si
ngle
T
ajik
ista
n H
igh
scho
ol g
radu
ate
Mar
ket
shaw
arm
a (d
oner
keb
ab)
stal
l
Dom
esti
c he
lper
15
Tshe
rbek
24
20
09
Sing
le
Uzb
ekis
tan
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e O
dd jo
b w
orke
r M
arke
t tra
der/
good
s
hand
ler
16
Olg
a 25
20
05
Sing
le
Kir
gizs
tan/
dual
nat
iona
lity
(20
08)
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e Sh
op a
ssis
tant
Sh
op a
ssis
tant
17
Kun
ysh
18
2008
Si
ngle
U
zbek
ista
n H
igh
scho
ol g
radu
ate
Shop
sal
es a
ssis
tant
B
ecam
e m
igra
nt w
orke
r
stra
ight
aft
er g
radu
atio
n
18
Mak
hmad
gun
31
1998
D
ivor
ced
Taj
ikis
tan
Dro
pped
out
of
univ
ersi
ty
Goo
ds h
andl
er a
t mar
ket
Part
-tim
e
mar
ket/
cons
truc
tion
sit
e
wor
ker
19
Javi
t 23
20
05
Sing
le
Taj
ikis
tan
Hig
h sc
hool
gra
duat
e O
wne
r of
a m
arke
t clo
thin
g st
all
Stud
ent
20
Ana
toly
49
20
06
Mar
ried
, fiv
e ch
ildr
en,
wor
king
aw
ay f
rom
fam
ily
Kir
gizs
tan
Dro
pped
out
of
univ
ersi
ty
Con
stru
ctio
n si
te f
orem
an
Fore
st m
onit
or in
for
estr
y
indu
stry
27
Tajik Labour Migrants and their Remittances: Is Tajik Migration Pro-Poor?*
Kazuhiro Kumo+
[Abstract]
For the four years since 2006, Tajikistan, a former Soviet republic, has led the
world in the receipt of foreign remittance as a proportion of GDP. Needless to say,
key reasons for this are the low income levels in Tajikistan and the country’s
special relationship with Russia, which is enjoying rapid economic growth. Yet
while interest in the relationship between migration and foreign remittance has
existed for a long time, not many studies have looked at this region. This paper
used household survey forms from two points in time to profile households in
Tajikistan and international labour migration by Tajiks, and examined the
relationship between household income levels in Tajikistan, the poorest of the
former Soviet republics, and foreign remittance being received from international
labour migrants and the likelihood of migrants being supplied. It found no
correlation between household income levels and amounts of money received
from abroad, which suggests that altruistic models of the relationship between
migration and remittance do not apply. Moreover, it also found that households
with high incomes are more likely to supply migrants, indicating that international
labour migration from Tajikistan may not be conductive to reducing poverty in
that country.
JEL Classification Numbers: O15, P46, R23
* A draft of this paper was presented at a regular study meeting of the Institute of Economic Research at Hitotsubashi University on 5 January 2011, at a workshop held at the Karelian Institute, University of Joensuu, Finland on March 8, 2011, and the author received numerous valuable comments. In particular, the author would like to thank, Takashi Kurosaki, Naohito Abe, Chiaki Moriguchi, Masaaki Kuboniwa, Ichiro Iwasaki, and Yuka Takeda for their advice. This paper represents part of the results of a 2010 research project subsidised by the Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation Foundation. + Associate Professor, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, 2-1 Naka, Kunitachi, Tokyo 186-8603 Japan.
28
1. Introduction
The objectives of this paper are to use micro data from surveys of living
standards conducted in Tajikistan in the late 2000s to profile households in that country
and international labour migration by Tajiks, as well as to explore the relationships
between household income levels in Tajikistan, the poorest of the former Soviet
republics, and the supply of international labour migrants and the amounts of foreign
remittance received.
A long time has already passed since international labour migration first
garnered attention. Moreover, a great deal of debate has developed on the impact of
foreign remittance from migrant workers on the economies of the countries from which
the migrants originate. Both positive and negative effects have been addressed. On the
positive side, for example, foreign remittance can boost the income levels of households
receiving remittances, while it can have both a positive and negative impact on human
capital accumulation in countries supplying migrants (Sharma, 2009). However, foreign
remittance to transitional economies has rarely been the chief object of analysis.
Although many transitional economies have small populations and the value of
their incoming foreign remittance is not particularly large in absolute terms, it is often
high as a proportion of GDP. Tajikistan, in particular, has exhibited the highest
percentages in the world in recent years, at more than 30 or 40 percent of GDP (Figure
1). Tajikistan is therefore a prime example of how international labour migration from
former Soviet republics (which maintain close connections with Russia), and the foreign
remittance that leads to, can affect the economies of countries with small populations.
Incomes in Tajikistan are the lowest of all the former Soviet republics. As a
result, a key issue for the country is whether the supply of migrants and the receipt of
foreign remittance can contribute to reducing its poverty. The main task of this paper
will therefore be to examine the relationship between international labour migration
from Tajikistan, and the foreign remittance it leads to, and household incomes there.
This paper is organised as follows. First, The author will use macro data from
Tajikistan to gauge the scale of foreign remittance, and then use internal data from the
Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, the primary destination of labour
29
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Hon
dura
s
Kyr
gyz
Hai
ti
Leb
anon
Mol
dova
Nep
al
Sam
oa
Les
otho
Ton
ga
Taj
ikis
tan
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
migrants from Tajikistan, to gain an overview of trends in the numbers of such migrants.
The author will then conduct a review of previous research relating to remittances by
migrants and household income levels in the countries supplying the workers and
previous research relating to Tajik labour migration, most of the latter of which has been
performed by international organizations. The data used in this paper is from the Living
Standards Measurement Survey conducted by the World Bank. Later, after employing
micro data to profile Tajik households and labour migrants, the author will analyse the
relationship between income levels and foreign remittance at the household level, as
well as the relationship between income levels and the supply of migrants. Finally, the
author will put together the findings and present the paper’s conclusions.
Figure 1 Top 10 world's leading countries in the proportion of remittances to their GDP
Source: Prepared by the author from the World Bank Web site, http://data.worldbank.org/indicator.
2. Tajik Migrants and their Remittances as Seen through Macro Data
Problems with using international balance of payments sheets to gauge foreign
remittance are widely known (Satake and Hassine, 2005), yet it is also clear that no
30
alternative indicators exist. According to the international balance of payments sheets
produced by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), foreign remittance to Tajikistan is
as shown in Table 11. From this table, one can see that remittances into Tajikistan have
expanded sharply since 2005. This situation can be viewed as follows: Although Russia
began recording strong economic growth in 2002 as oil prices climbed, there was
obviously a time lag during which decisions were made and information was obtained.
After this, however, labour migration from Tajikistan to Russia increased, and with it
foreign remittance to Tajikistan also climbed.
As Table 1 shows, foreign remittance to Tajikistan is not all that large2. What is
interesting is its high level as a proportion of GDP (gross domestic product). As Figure
1, which was presented earlier, shows, in 2007 it stood at more than 40 percent of GDP,
and in 2008 had climbed to almost 50 percent. Between 2002 and 2008, total
remittances from abroad grew far more rapidly than GDP, soaring by between 50
percent (2007–2008) and 118 percent (2005–2006) year on year. Foreign remittance is
therefore likely to have made an increasingly important contribution to the Tajik
economy.
Table 1 Received Amount of International Remittances by Tajikistan
viewed through Balance of Payment Statistics
Source: Prepared by the author from IMF, Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook Part 1, 2009.
However, it is difficult to obtain figures on the numbers of labour migrants.
1 Figures for remittances by workers and compensation for employee were drawn from balance of payments sheets from the World Bank to make estimates of foreign remittance. 2 In 2008, Tajikistan was 28th in the world for the receipt of foreign remittance, and received less than a fifth of the amount sent to the Philippines, which came fourth behind India, Mexico, and Nigeria. See World Development Indicators 2009, World Bank.
Credit (million USD) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Total Amount 78.5 146 252 466.6 1018.9 1690.7 2544.1 Income account
Compensation of Employe 0.1 - - 1.4 3.9 5.3 7.1 Current transfers account
Workers' remittances 78.4 146 252 465.2 1015 1685.4 2537
31
Most published statistics in CIS states on receiving migrants only include migrants who
have registered as permanent residents, and these are not the kind of short-term
international labour migrants that are the focus of this paper3. Table 2 therefore shows
figures for labour migrants from Tajikistan to Russia compiled by the Russian
Federation Migration Service (Federal’naya migratsionnaya sluzhba, FMS). The figures
represent total numbers of migrants who have obtained work permits and are working
legally.
Table 2 Labor Migrants into Russia (person)
Labor Migrants into Russia2005 2006 2007 2008
Total 702,500 1,014,013 1,717,137 2,425,921 of them from CIS 343,665 537,722 1,152,786 1,779,996 of them from Tajikistan 52,602 98,736 250,190 391,438
Source: Prepared by the author by internal documents obtained from FMS.
Until 2005–2006, Russia had fewer than 100,000 labour migrants from
Tajikistan. However, the number suddenly jumped in 2007. In that year the figure
climbed to 250,000, and reached just under 400,000 in 2008. Tajikistan has a population
of just over 7 million (7,374 thousand at the beginning of 2008), of which less than a
third are economically active4, so these numbers indicate that more than 5 percent of its
total population and over 16 percent of its economically active population have moved
to Russia alone as international labour migrants.
Tajikistan has therefore started supplying large numbers of international labour
migrants and receiving large amounts of foreign remittance, and this change is due
partly to the impact of Russia’s policy on the acceptance of such migrants. As Table 2
3 In 2007 there were only 17,300 Tajiks who had entered Russia and given their permanent residence as Russia (see SNGSAT, 2008), so the difference between this data and the figures in Table 2 is worthy of attention. In addition, it is quite possible that destination registered upon departure will differ from the final destination country where residence is actually registered. As a result, a migration matrix based on the country of departure will differ from one based on the country of entry. The United Nations (1998) performed a detailed study of the problems with emigration and immigration statistics. 4 Also see CISSTAT (2010).
32
shows, between 2006 and 2007 the total number of foreign workers with work permits
issued by the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation increased by almost
1.7 times. For almost 20 years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia
experienced a rapid and continuous decline in its population, which left it with a serious
shortage of labour (Kumo, 2010). Against this backdrop, in 2006 it began easing
restrictions on the admission of foreign workers. This change in direction was most
visible in the establishment in July 2006 of new rules concerning the registration of
foreign or stateless migrants in the Russian Federation5.
Tajikistan, meanwhile, does not, at least as far as the author can make out, have
a clear policy on the export of international labour migrants6. And although in 2004 the
Russian Federation and Tajikistan concluded a bilateral treaty concerning labour
migration7, it contained provisions that were completely at odds with what was actually
happening. For example, it called for overall migrant numbers to be limited. Obviously,
the increase in the flow of labour migrants from Tajikistan to Russia after 2004, which
can be seen in Table 2, may indicate that the bilateral treaty had a positive effect on
migrant numbers. Nevertheless, when thinking about the reasons for the massive flow
of labour migrants from Tajikistan to Russia, it is probably better to focus on factors
5 Federal’nyi zakon ot 18 iyulya 2006 g. N 109-FZ “O migratsionnom uchete inostrannykh grazhdan i lits bez grazhdanstva v Rossiiskoi Federatsii” (in Russian) <http://base. garant. ru/12148419/>. Residence for immigrants without visas (which include Tajiks) no longer required a permit, only registration. In addition, employers became able to hire any foreigner with a work permit. They no longer needed to hold a licence to hire foreigners themselves. 6 Not long after the collapse of the Soviet Union, regulations making it easier for Tajiks living abroad to return home were introduced, a treaty with the aim of elevating the status of expatriate Tajiks in the countries in which they were living was concluded, and so on. However, a review of government releases from the Republic of Tajikistan and the Russian Federation as well as the GARANT legal database did not turn up any laws and regulations that would really encourage migration. On 18 August 2010, a Mr. Kuggusov, head of analysis at Tajikistan’s Ministry of Labour and Social Security told the author that his government does not actually have a policy concerning labour migrants. On the same day, Mr. Sanginov, the first deputy minister at the ministry, said that Tajikistan does not compile statistics on the departure and entry of its citizens. He told the author that the government does not have any figures for international migrants at the national level, and that they do not have the ability to manage them even if they did. Even so, there are reports that the Tajikistan prime minister asked his Russian counterpart for a quota of 800,000 migrants (RIA Novosti, 2007.01.23, in Russian). 7 Soglashenie mezhdu Pravitel'stvom Rossiiskoi Federatsii i Pravitel'stvom Respubliki Tadzhikistan o trudovoi deyatel'nosti i zashchite prav grazhdan Rossiiskoi Federatsii i v Respublike tadzhikistan i grazhdan Respubliki tadzhikistan v Rossiiskoi Federatsii (Dushanbe, 16 Oktyabrya 2004 g.) (in Russian) <http://mirpal. org/files/files/согл%20тр%20мг%20РФ%20РТ.doc>. For more details, see Ryazantsev, Horie and Kumo (2010).
33
such as the special relationship Tajikistan had with Russia under the old Soviet regime
(Ryazantsev, 2007) and the rapid growth of the Russian economy and the resultant
widening of income disparities between the two countries (Figure 2)8.
Figure 2 Per Capita GDP of Russia and Central Asia
Source: World Development Indicators 2009, the World Bank, 2010.
A great deal of debate has focused on foreign remittance to developing
countries and whether it helps to cut poverty among households in the countries
supplying the workers. Given Tajikistan’s low levels of income9 and high levels of
foreign remittance received, an interesting question is whether foreign remittance is
indeed having a positive impact on reducing poverty, or whether instead it is resulting in
8 During the Soviet era a unified wage structure existed throughout the Soviet Union, and income disparities were far smaller than the differences in regional per-capita GDP shown in Figure 3. In 1980, the average wages of all employees and workers provided in official tables for the Soviet Union were only 1.22 times higher in the Russian republic than in the Tajik republic, and by 1990, at the end of the Soviet era, the multiple had only climbed to 1.43. See TsSU SSSR, Narodnoe Khozyaystvo SSSR 1990, 1991, p.38 (in Russian). 9 In 2008, per-capita gross domestic income (shown in the Purchasing Power Parity table for that year) in Tajikistan was $1,860, around the same level as Nigeria, Sudan, Cambodia, and Senegal. See World Development Indicators 2009, World Bank.
GDP per capita (constant 2000 USD)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
yearRussian Federation Kazakhstan Kyrgyz RepublicTajikistan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
34
wider income disparities and having no effect on cutting poverty. If one assumes that
migrants are supplied by households with low incomes, and that these low-income
households receive larger amounts of remittance from overseas, then foreign remittance
could probably be pro-poor. Reports from the World Bank (2009) and other
organizations have focused on the relationship between foreign remittances to Tajikistan
and reducing poverty there. However, it is difficult to say that they succeeded in
overcoming the problems inherent in the use of a cross-sectional analysis of single-year
data.
This paper will therefore use data from household surveys conducted in
Tajikistan to profile the poverty dynamics of Tajik households and international labour
migrants from Tajikistan in 2007 and 2009, and then analyze the relationships between
(1) household income levels in and foreign remittance to Tajikistan and (2) household
income levels and the supply of migrants.
3. Previous Research
A wealth of research has been conducted in the broad area of migration and
remittance (Mansoor and Quillin, 2006; Sharma, 2009). It is well known that the
traditional Becker (1974) altruistic model of the relationship between remittance and the
incomes of households receiving remittances suggests that increases in the utility levels
of the people remaining in the household are linked directly to increases in the utility
levels of the people sending the remittances, and that the lower the income levels of
households receiving remittances, the larger the remittances they will receive. This
indicates that there will always be a negative correlation between household income
levels and the amount of foreign remittance received in countries that supply migrants.
On the other hand, the exchange model of Lucas and Stark (1985), Cox (1987), Cox et
al. (1998), and others holds that remittance from migrants living overseas occurs
because the migrants expect to be provided with services by the members of the
household in the future. This indicates that positive correlations or no correlations exist
between (1) the amounts of remittance and the incomes of households receiving the
remittance and (2) the existence of remittance and the incomes of households receiving
35
remittance. This is because if the incomes of households remaining in the countries that
supply migrants increase, the prices of the services provided by the members of the
households will rise, resulting in a positive correlation between household incomes and
amounts of remittance. They also performed an empirical analysis, and found that the
data did not support the notion of a purely altruistic model.
Relying on macro data, Adams and Page (2005), Gupta et al. (2009), and
Adams (2009) argued that remittance serves to reduce levels and degrees of poverty,
while Aydas et al. (2005) used data from Turkey to show that the lower the levels of
income in the home country, the greater remittances would be. With regard to research
based on household surveys, however, Semyonov and Gorodzeisky (2005, 2008), who
analyzed the relationship between household income levels and amounts of remittance
received in the Philippines, obtained a significant, positive coefficient between
household income levels and the amounts of remittance received. Meanwhile,
Dustmann and Mestres (2010), in an analysis of a sample of foreign workers living in
Germany, and Du et al.(2005), in a study of rural areas in China, obtained similar results,
which suggests that the exchange model is applicable. In other words, this being the
case, households with relatively low incomes will receive only small amounts of
remittance, which may not be pro-poor.
Labour migration and remittance in Tajikistan has also been dealt with in
reports published by bodies such as the International Organization for Migration (IOM)
and the Asian Development Bank (ADB). Moreover, the bulk of these studies have been
based on household survey data10. While studies of international labour migration that
employ micro data are by no means scarce, few of them include quantitative analyses.
Justino and Shemyakina (2009) used data from one year (2007) of the Tajikistan Living
Standards Measurement Survey, which the author will discuss later, to show that the
more foreign remittance a household receives, the less labour it will supply. Meanwhile,
10 Olimova and Bosc (2003) used an IOM-led survey of 4,000 individuals conducted in 2002–2003. Mughal (2007) also used an IOM survey, but this time it was one targeting only 712 households in Khatlon Province that was performed in 2005. Brown, Olimova and Boboev (2008) relied on survey with a sample of 3,300 households that was conducted in 2007 by the ADB. The IOM also carried out a survey of 500 households in 2008, and Khakimov and Mahmadbekov (2009) based their paper on this.
36
Brown, Olimova and Boboev (2008) demonstrated that households receiving a lot of
remittance spend more on education or invest more in small businesses, and that their
children have low rates of absence from primary school. In addition, Ogawa and
Nakamuro (2010) found that the receipt of remittance from migrants has a positive
impact on children’s school attendance.
Nevertheless, no analysis seems to have been conducted on the relationship
between household income levels and foreign remittance/migration in Tajikistan. Brown,
Olimova and Boboev (2008), World Bank (2009), and Khakimov and Mahmadbekov
(2009), either descriptively or using t-tests of means, all showed that households with
relatively low incomes were more likely to supply migrants. However, households were
divided into only two income classes, so this finding cannot really be said to be robust.
All the papers used cross-sectional data to describe the relationship between household
incomes (excluding remittances) and the amounts of remittance, and the authors of these
reports themselves mentioned the possibility that income might be endogenous.
Previous research has also produced a variety of profiles of international labour
migrants from Tajikistan. All the previous research referred to in this paper mentions,
albeit to different degrees, the concentration of Tajik migrants in Russia or Moscow.
The picture drawn is that 80–90 percent of migrants have gone to Russia and around 50
percent to Moscow. While predictable, it is still worth noting that more than 80 percent
of migrants are of working age, and also that over 80 percent of them are men, which
are both extremely high figures. Regarding the education levels of migrants, findings
are divided. While Olimova and Bosc (2003) concluded that they are higher than the
national average, Khakimov and Mahmadbekov (2009) drew the opposite conclusion.
This difference can probably be explained by the fact that Khakimov and
Mahmadbekov (2009) used a small sample and their survey focused on rural residents.
4. Data
This paper employs forms completed for the Tajikistan Living Standards
Measurement Survey (TLSS), a household survey conducted in Tajikistan by the World
Bank, in order to find out whether Tajik households with relatively low incomes receive
37
larger remittances and whether low-income households supply more migrants, or
whether the reverse is true. Although the Living Standards Measurement Survey
(LSMS) performed by the World Bank is well known11, the one conducted in Tajikistan,
which is used in this paper, needs a brief description12.
A TLSS was performed in 1999, 2003, 2007, and 2009. Although the sample of
households used for the TLSS is representative of the country as a whole, the data for
1999–2007, like most of the other LSMSs, is repeated cross-sectional data, and is not
panel data. On the other hand, the survey for 2009, while employing a smaller sample
about one third the size of those used for the 2003 and 2007 rounds, forms a panel with
the data for 2007.
As the author has already seen, foreign remittance to Tajikistan did not expand
at a steady pace. Rather, it increased rapidly between 2004 and 2005. However, the
surveys during this period featured no or only a few questions about foreign remittance
and migration, making it extremely difficult to compare the data with that from later
surveys13. The author will therefore not employ the TLSS from 1999 and 2003. Instead,
the author will focus his analysis on the two rounds of data from 2007 onwards, which
can be expected to offer a strong insight into the impact of foreign remittance. The 2007
survey (TLSS2007) was carried out between September and November 2007. The 2009
survey (TLSS2009), meanwhile, was performed between September and November
2009. In addition, the households that formed the panel sample were visited in the same
month they were for the 2007 survey. For TLSS2007, the sample comprised 4,860
households and 30,139 individuals, while for TLSS2009, it contained 1,503 households
and 10,069 individuals. Of the 1,503 households used for the 2009 survey, 1,435 form
panels with the sample for the 2007 survey, and the complete panel sample was 1,414 11 See “Living Standards Measurement Survey” on the World Bank website <http://iresearch.worldbank. org/lsms/lsmssurveyFinder.htm> for more details. 12 See such documents as Basic Information Document: Tajikistan Living Standards Measurement Survey 2007, July 2008 and Tajikistan Living Standards Survey 2009: Notes for Users, May 2010 for more details about the TLSS. Both these documents can be downloaded from the website mentioned in Note 11. 13 The surveys before 2003 (TLSS2003) do not provide various types of information, e.g. income earned abroad, remittances from members of the household living abroad, names of the overseas cities where family members lived/are living, whether the family members living abroad have/had work permits, and the type of work they engaged/are engaged in, and so on.
38
2007 2009All the sample 30,139 10,069 Among them who went abroad (in the households at the time of the survey) 328 501 Among them who are abroad (absent ath the time of the survey) 934 246 The number of population who went abroad during the year 4.19% 7.42%
Population of Tajikistan: 7.216 million 7.545 millionPercentage share of foreign passengers in the sample: ×4.19% ×7.42%
Estimated number of migrants from samples and national population: =302 thousand =560 thousand
Taijk labor immigrants to Russia based on FMS data: 250 thousand 391thousand(in 2008)
households. However, before moving on to the analysis, let the author first profile the
households and migrants.
4.1 Profiles of Tajik Households and International Migrants:
Descriptive Statistics
Table 2 shows that according to internal FMS data from the Ministry of
Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, the number of labour migrants from
Tajikistan was over 250,000 in 2007 and 390,000 in 2008. Looking at the TLSS data,
4.19 percent of all the individuals in the 2007 sample had travelled abroad during that
year, and in 2009 this figure had climbed to 7.42 percent of the sample. There is also no
great difference between the estimate of the total number of overseas travellers in the
country as a whole, as calculated based on the ratio of the sample size to the total
population of Tajikistan according to CISSTAT (2010), and the number of Tajik workers
in Russia according to the FMS internal data from Russia (Table 3). In 2007, the year
for which both sets of data exist, the estimate for the total number of Tajik migrants
abroad as calculated from the micro data (302 thousand) is a little higher than that for
the number of migrant workers from Tajikistan as calculated from the FMS data (250
thousand), which may strengthen the reliability of the data used in this paper.
Table 3 The size of foreign passengers from TLSS samples:
Comparison of Macro- ad Micro-data
Source: Estimated from CISSTAT (2010), TLSS2007, TLSS2009.
39
Table 4 Poverty Profile (Panel samples) in 2007 and 2009
(Based on per capita expenditure)
Source: Author’s calculation from TLSS2007 and TLSS2009.
Poverty line: 4.50 somoni in 2007 prices per capita per day; Extreme poverty line: 2.92 somoni in
2007 prices per capita per day.
TLSS2007 All Data Extreme Poor Poor Non-PoorNumber of Household 1,414 196 424 794
(100.0) (13.9%) (30.0%) (56.1%)Average monthly expenditure per capita inTajikistan somoni in 2007)
178.2 70.7 114.8 238.5
Average monthly income per household (inTajikistan somoni in 2007)
681.2 482.7 633.9 755.5
Wage 380.4 307.7 366.4 405.7 Income Transfer 14.2 10.2 11.7 16.6 Social Security 22.5 21.0 24.6 21.7 Scholarship 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 Self-consumption of agricultural goods 112.7 82.6 114.1 119.5 Others 20.3 4.2 15.4 27.0 Remittances received from abroad 130.8 56.9 101.4 164.7Average number of children (in person) 2.11 2.85 2.39 1.78Average number of elder persons (in person) 0.3 0.36 0.38 0.25Average number of household members (in person 6.23 7.52 6.8 5.6Average number of international migrants (in pers 0.33 0.32 0.34 0.33Average age of the household head (age) 51.7 52.19 52.5 50.5Household head is an employee (in percent) 62.4% 55.1% 59.4% 65.9%Femail household head (in percent) 19.6% 23.98% 16.3% 20.0%
TLSS2009 All Data Extreme Poor Poor Non-PoorNumber of Household 1,414 195 375 844
(100.0) (13.8%) (26.5%) (59.7%)Average monthly expenditure per capita inTajikistan somoni in 2007)
170.8 62.9 100.4 227
Average monthly income per household (inTajikistan somoni in 2007)
784.1 620.3 689.7 863.9
Wage 453.5 374.1 397.2 496.8 Income Transfer 21.2 13.0 8.9 28.5 Social Security 39.0 42.3 45.0 35.6 Scholarship 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.7 Self-consumption of agricultural goods 94.1 64.9 97.6 99.3 Others 68.0 29.3 46.2 86.6 Remittances received from abroad 107.9 96.5 94.8 116.4Average number of children (in person) 2.22 3.07 2.66 1.82Average number of elder persons (in person) 0.29 0.34 0.35 0.25Average number of household members (in person 6.78 8.33 7.63 6.04Average number of international migrants (in pers 0.45 0.48 0.47 0.44Average age of the household head (age) 52.8 54.5 53.8 52Household head is an employee (in percent) 60.0% 49.7% 56.3% 63.7%Femail household head (in percent) 17.4% 20.5% 15.2% 17.7%
40
4. 2 Households
Some of the descriptive statistics from the data comprised of complete panel
samples from TLSS2007 and TLSS2009 are shown in Table 4. The poverty line is based
on per-person expenditure, and for 2007 the base is 4.46 Tajikistan somoni, which,
based on an assessment of purchasing power parity, is equivalent to 2.15 U.S. dollars
was 2003. For 2009, the figure was adjusted using regional price indexes.
According to Table 4, wages account for over 50 percent of income. Using
averages for all the households in the panel sample, foreign remittance represented 19.2
percent (TLSS2007) and 13.2 percent (TLSS2009) of household income. However, if
only those households receiving foreign remittance are included, such remittance
accounts for more than 60 percent of their total income14.
A negative correlation is seen between per-person levels of consumption and
the number of children in the household. The table also shows that in both rounds the
average household size was more than six persons. However, as the World Bank (2005)
has shown based on the 2003 TLSS, which produced similar findings, having a woman
as head of the household does not seem to significantly increase the risk of the
household falling into poverty. Moreover, this was even truer in 2009 than in 2007. The
biggest change between TLSS2007 and TLSS2009 was probably the jump in the
number of international migrants per household. Although the poverty rate was slightly
lower in 2009 than 2007, it is impossible to say here whether this was due to migration
and remittance.
Figure 3 shows poverty dynamics for the panel households. With the
aforementioned poverty line as the cut-off point, 52.5 percent of the panel households
were in poverty temporarily during the period examined, while 15.8 percent of all the
panel households in the sample were in permanent poverty. In addition, with 2.92
Tajikistan somoni, which was equivalent to 1.15 U.S. dollars in 2003, denoting the
14 In both years, consumption was a lot higher than income (in TLSS2007 consumption was 63.0 percent higher and in TLSS2009 it was 47.7 percent higher), and this trends was especially apparent for high-income groups. Although it is possible that information on income was inadequately gathered, this pattern was seen in both years so the overall trend is unchanged. The author will therefore proceed under the assumption that information on income was inadequately gathered from all households.
41
1,414 Households Avr. # Migrants # Households (Transition Probability) Avr. # Migrants # Households 1,414 Households
A 0.31 448 (0.56) A 0.38 448(31.7%)
Non-Poor B 0.34 229 (0.29) D 0.48 242 Non-Poor794 (16.2%) 844
(56.1%) C 0.37 117 (0.15) G 0.56 154 (59.7%)(8.3%)
D 0.33 242 B 0.44 229(17.1%) (0.57)
Poor E 0.37 123 (0.29) E 0.50 123 Poor424 (8.7%) 375
(30.0%) F 0.32 59 (0.14) H 0.70 23 (26.5%)(4.2%)
G 0.27 154 C 0.48 117(10.1%) (0.78)
Extreme Poor H 0.43 23 F 0.56 59 Extreme Poor196 (1.6%) (0.12) 195
(13.9%) I 0.53 19 I 0.26 19 (13.8%)(1.3%) (0.10)
TLSS2007 TLSS2009
extreme poverty line in terms of per-person expenditure, Figure 3 shows the relationship
between poverty dynamics and the supply of international migrants.
Figure 3 Poverty Dynamics of Households and the Number of Migrants per Household in Tajikistan
(The Number of Complete Panel Household Samples: 1,414)
Source: Prepared by the author from TLSS2007 and TLSS2009.
Figure 3 does not enable one to make judgements about the relationship
between the supply of migrants and poverty levels. What the figure reinforces is that all
types of household except those under the permanent extreme poverty line (group I)
were supplying more international migrants in 2009 than they were in 2007. Neither the
relationship between poverty/income levels and foreign remittance shown in Table 4 nor
that between the supply of migrants and household consumption shown in Figure 3
indicates that as household incomes fall, the amount of foreign remittance received
increases.
42
Table 5 Profile of Tajik Migrants
All migrantsMigrants, who livewithin households atthe time of survey
Migrants, who areaway from thehousehold at the timeof survey
All the data 1262 328 934Female 89(7.1%) 26(7.9%) 63(6.7%)Average agre* 29.7 34 28.2Completed elementary school 147(11.7%)+ 33(10.1%)@ 114(12.2%)#Completed secondary school 970(77.0%)+ 252(77.1%)@ 718(77.0%)#Completed tertiary school 142(11.3%)+ 42(12.8%)@ 100(10.7%)#Went into Russia 1191(94.4%) 303(92.4%) 888Went into Moscow 706(55.9%) 177(54.0%) 529Aim of visit "to work/to look for - 310(94.5%) -Average wage (USD per month) 320(of 1131) 309(of 262) 323(of 869)Median of wage (USD per month) 300(of 1131) 300(of 262) 300 (of 869)Average amount remitted (USD per - - 2836(of 754)Median of the amount remitted (USDper year)
- - 1720(of 754)
All migrantsMigrants, who livewithin households atthe time of survey
Migrants, who areaway from thehousehold at the timeof survey
All the data 747 501 246Female 69(9.2%) 37(7.4%) 32(13.1%)Average agre* 30.4 31.7 27.8Completed elementary school 90(12.1%)+ 61(12.2%)+ 29(11.8%)Completed secondary school 565(75.9%)+ 378(75.9%)+ 187(76.0%)Completed tertiary school 89(12.0%)+ 59(11.2%)+ 30(12.2%)Went into Russia 737(98.7%) 497(99.2%) 240(97.6%)Went into Moscow 476(63.7%) 325(64.9%) 151(61.4%)Aim of visit "to work/to look for - 491(98.0%) -Average wage (USD per month) 390(of 583) 375(of 399) 420 (of 194)Median of wage (USD per month) 350(of 583) 300(of 399) 400(of 194)Average amount remitted (USD per - - 2754(of 199)Median of the amount remitted (USDper year)
- - 2400(of 199)
Profile of Tajik Migrants through TLSS2007
Profile of Tajik Migrants through TLSS2009
-: No such question; ;: lacking for three persons; @: lacking one person; #: lacking two persons;*: aged 19-49=93.2%; **: 19-49=91.8%.
Source: Calculated by the author from TLSS2007 and TLSS2009
4. 3 International Migrants
Table 5 presents some of the data on international migrants from all the
43
samples used in TLSS2007 and TLSS2009. Although previous research had already
pointed it out, people of working age, and particularly males, make up the
overwhelming majority of Tajik international migrants. Around 95 percent of those who
had travelled overseas during the year and already returned when the survey was
conducted had made their journeys for work purposes. On the other hand, more than 80
percent of those living abroad at the time of the survey were sending money home. Note
that per-capita GDP in Tajikistan in 2008 was 400 U.S. dollars15. Given this situation, it
is striking that the average amount of foreign remittance per remitter was over 2,500
U.S. dollars. The concentration of migrants in Russia is also clear from the data.
Ninety-nine percent of Tajik migrants are literate, and they clearly have higher levels of
education than that of the sample as a whole, a finding that is in line with most previous
research as well as Olimova and Bosc (2003).
Between 2007 and 2009, a clear change can be observed in the composition of
international migrants. Semyonov and Gorodzeisky (2005) described how labour
migrants from the Philippines were overwhelmingly men to begin with, but that with
the passage of time the ratio of males to females has come to be more or less equal. A
similar phenomenon has also been seen with other developing countries. In the case of
Tajikistan, while there was no change in the fact that the vast majority of migrants are
men, a significant increase occurred in the proportion of women16. As the chain
migration theory of population migration would predict, the concentration of Tajik
migrants in Russia, and especially Moscow, is striking. Furthermore, while the data used
in this paper does not allow a comparison to be made between the number of
15 See World Development Indicators 2009, World Bank. 16 The increase of the percentage was significant at one percent level. Tajikistan is an Islamic country, and some research has emphasised the weak position of women and their lack of freedom. Examples of such studies are Mal’tseva (2007) and Glenn (2009), the latter of which was a social science study. However, it is unclear whether such observations are really accurate. On 18 August 2010, Mr. Sanginov, the first deputy minister at the Republic of Tajikistan’s Ministry of Labour and Social Security, speaking to the author at his office, said that while the Russian police treat Tajik men extremely harshly, they are kinder to women, and that this has resulted in women more frequently moving to Russia to work. He also told the author that while work in places like restaurants is available all year round, work typically done by men such as street cleaning and construction can only be performed at certain times of the year in Russia.
44
international migrants in 2008 and 200917, the increase in Tajik labour migrants to the
Russian Federation between 2007 and 2008, as shown in Table 3, was, at 154 percent,
smaller than the increase in international migrants at the national level estimated from
TLSS2007 and TLSS2009, which was 185 percent. This suggests that the number of
migrants continued to expand during 2009.
5. Remittance Received, Migrants Supplied, and the Income of Levels
of Tajik Households
As the author has stated repeatedly, the main objectives of this paper are to
examine the relationship between household income levels and the amount of
remittance they receive, and the relationship between income levels and the supply of
migrants. In other words, if the amount of remittance received is relatively large for
households with low incomes, the altruistic model expounded by Becker (1974) of the
relationship between remittance and household income will apply, and a pro-poor
situation may emerge. On the other hand, if household income and remittance are
positively correlated or uncorrelated, the explanation provided by the exchange model
described by researchers such as Lucas and Clark (1985) may be more appropriate.
Furthermore, if migrants tend to be supplied by relatively poor households, and these
households develop the potential to receive remittance, this should be pro-poor.
Conversely, if migrants come from wealthy households, migration may not contribute to
raising the income levels of the poor.
5. 1 Analysis
Here the author will investigate the effect of household income levels on
amounts of remittance and the likelihood of migrants being supplied. A list of the
variables used in the analysis along with their definitions is provided in Table 6.
17 The TLSS for both years used the expression “in the last time” to ask respondents about travel to foreign countries in that year or that month. This means that even if, for example, someone had spent several months working abroad in 2008, come home, and then gone abroad again in 2009, only the most recent stay would be recorded. As a result, the more people with experience of overseas migration in recent years, the smaller the figures of migration in preceding years will be than the actual figures.
45
Variables introduced in the analysisAverage Std. Deviation Average Std. Deviation
Explained Variables130.77 786.68 107.948 440.984
(Tajikistan somoni in 2007)0.241 0.428 0.331 0.471
(Unity for households with overseas migrants in respective year, zero for others)
Explaining Variables(1) Location
Dushanbe (Unity for households in Dushanbe, zero for others) 0.17 0.376 0.17 0.376Urban (Unity for households in Cities, zero for others) 0.347 0.476 0.347 0.476
(2) Household CharacteristicsNumber of Household Members (in person) 6.226 2.88 6.779 3.038
0.624 0.484 0.598 0.49Sex of household head 0.804 0.397 0.826 0.379
(Unity for the households with male head, zero for others)Age of the household head (in age) 51.69 13.97 52.8 13.11
(3) Education attainment (Reference category: completed elementary school or less)Completed secondary education 0.586 0.493 0.587 0.493
(Unity for households with the head completing secondary education, zero for others)Completed tertiary education 0.191 0.393 0.19 0.393
(Unity for households with the head completing tertiary education, zero for others)
(4) Income0.55 0.77 0.68 0.70
(1,000 Tajikistan somoni in 2007)5.9 1.0 6.1 1.0
(Treated as missing data if income is zero; The number of cases in 2007 is 120, that in 2009 is 34.)Real monthly wage income of the household 0.38 0.67 0.58 0.76
(1,000 Tajikistan somoni in 2007)
Logarithm of real monthly income of the household above
TLSS2007 TLSS2009
Remittance Received Per Household Per Month
Real monthly income of the household without international remittances
Employee (Unity if the household head is an employee, zero for others)
Sent Migrants
Table 6 Variables introduced
Note: For complete panel household sample of 1,414.
Source: Calculated by the author from TLSS2007 and TLSS2009
Only the amounts of foreign remittance received from people who were abroad
at the time of the survey will be used in the analysis. Regarding those people who were
back in Tajikistan at the time of the survey yet had been overseas previously and earned
income there, the TLSS2007 and TLSS2009 data sets assume that they sent home 70
percent of the income they earned abroad. Although this is useful for making
macro-level estimates of the total amount of remittance, responses concerning
household income and expenditure basically relate to only the month or week before the
survey, therefore for this analysis in this paper it would be more appropriate to use the
amounts of remittance received immediately before the survey was conducted. The
supply of migrants, meanwhile, is measured using a dummy variable, with unity being
assigned if a member of the household had spent a month or more overseas during 2007
46
for TLSS2007 and 2009 for TLSS2009.
With regard to the location of households, Olimova and Bosc (2003) point out
that the number of migrants from the Tajik capital, Dushanbe, is relatively small, and
that urban areas offer a lot of opportunities to earn money and therefore supply fewer
migrants than rural areas, so the author will examine this conjecture. Next, as for the
explanatory variable concerning household characteristics, the author will employ the
number of people in the household, as the larger a household is the easier it may be to
supply migrants. A question whether having a woman as head of the household affects
the amount of remittance will be also investigated. The author will also employ a
dummy variable to examine whether the head of the household being in full-time
employment raises the likelihood of outside information being obtained and thereby
encourages the households to supply migrants. The education level of the head of the
household may also have an effect on the gathering of information on foreign countries.
On the other hand, the older the head of the household is, the more likely it may be that
the household hesitates about supplying migrants.
Regarding household incomes, to examine the relationship between the
incomes of households left behind in the mother country and the scale of foreign
remittance and the supply of migrants, this paper employs monthly household income
excluding foreign remittance. The author will also use logarithmic values of household
income as a substitute for income and an alternative means of defining the stochastic
formula. Furthermore, in light of the fact that household income includes social security
benefits, grants, etc., which may distort the figures, the paper will attempt to ensure the
analysis is rigorous by making real wages alone the explanatory variable18.
18 Note that while TLSS2007 includes detailed data on land, livestock, and agriculture-related assets, TLSS2009 does not. Data on assets was therefore not employed. However, with regard to 40 types of consumer durable, including cars, motorcycles, trucks, computers, air conditioners, and refrigerators, both TLSS2007 and TLS2009 asked respondents whether they owned such items as well as the subjective question of how much they thought they could sell it for if they were sell it now. These estimates are usable, so the author compiled them and attempted to use them in preliminary analysis. However, the estimation did not obtain a significant coefficient.
47
Exp
lain
ing
vari
able
s1A
-11A
-21A
-32B
-1F
ixed
e.
2B-2
Ran
dom
e.
2C-1
Fix
ed e
.2C
-2 R
ando
me.
2D-1
Fix
ed e
.2D
-2 R
ando
m e
.L
ocat
ion
Dus
hanb
e-3
9.17
-43.
06-3
7.71
--3
9.26
--4
3.06
--3
7.79
(41.
12)
(43.
57)
(41.
11)
-(4
1.76
)-
(43.
57)
-(4
1.75
)U
rban
-67.
81-7
3.88
-66.
07-
-68.
14-
-73.
88-
-66.
38(3
3.03
)*(3
4.96
)*(3
3.04
)*-
(33.
53)*
-(3
4.96
)*-
(33.
54)*
Hou
seho
ld c
hara
cter
isti
csN
umbe
r of
hou
seho
ld m
embe
rs-5
.75
-4.9
8-4
.76
-20.
43-6
.00
-20.
87-4
.98
-19.
48-5
.02
(4.4
3)(4
.74)
(43.
42)
(8.2
3)*
(4.4
6)(9
.22)
*(4
.74)
(8.2
5)*
(4.4
5)H
ouse
hold
hea
d-em
ploy
ee-4
8.12
-42.
59-4
2.39
-55.
97-4
8.18
-49.
48-4
2.59
-51.
44-4
2.47
(29.
41)
(32.
09)
(29.
59)
(44.
07)
(29.
46)
(50.
74)
(32.
09)
(44.
22)
(29.
63)
Mal
e ho
useh
old
head
-54.
69-6
1.43
-55.
48-1
2.93
-53.
604.
73-6
1.43
-12.
89-5
4.37
(33.
58)
(35.
61)+
(33.
57)+
(54.
47)
(33.
70)
(62.
44)
(35.
61)
(54.
44)
(33.
69)
Age
of
the
hous
ehol
d he
ad0.
850.
820.
86-1
.23
0.80
-0.9
40.
82-1
.22
0.82
(1.0
8)(1
.16)
(1.0
8)(1
.84)
(1.0
9)(2
.07)
(1.1
6)(1
.83)
(1.0
8)
Edu
cati
on a
ttai
nmen
t of
the
hous
ehol
d he
adSe
cond
ary
ecud
atio
n-3
.10
-6.8
2-3
.18
-61.
41-4
.77
-78.
75-6
.82
-61.
89-4
.88
(32.
95)
(34.
86)
(32.
91)
(50.
33)
(33.
02)
(56.
18)
(34.
86)
(50.
29)
(32.
98)
Ter
tiar
y ed
ucat
ion
13.0
711
.88
15.1
1-4
6.56
11.5
3-4
7.89
11.8
8-4
5.74
13.5
3(4
1.58
)(4
4.05
)(4
1.48
)(6
7.58
)(4
1.74
)(7
5.97
)(4
4.05
)(6
7.47
)(4
1.64
)
Hou
seho
ld in
com
eIn
com
e w
itho
ut r
emit
tanc
es-1
0.36
--
-17.
70-1
0.61
--
--
(17.
05)
--
(23.
88)
(17.
07)
--
--
Log
arit
hm o
f in
com
e w
itho
ut r
emit
tanc
es-
-16.
89-
--
-24.
79-1
6.89
--
-(1
3.75
)-
--
(20.
64)
(13.
75)
--
Wag
e in
com
e-
--2
8.00
--
--
-31.
23-2
8.15
--
(17.
39)
--
--
(24.
36)
(17.
88)
Con
stan
t22
2.26
325.
4221
7.99
417.
0322
7.05
540.
4732
5.42
411.
8122
2.76
(80.
71)*
*(1
03.9
7)**
(80.
65)*
*(1
31.6
3)**
(81.
10)*
*(1
68.0
5)**
(103
.97)
**(1
31.5
8)**
(81.
05)*
*
Obs
erva
tion
2828
2674
2828
2828
2828
2674
2674
2828
2828
R-s
q.0.
0052
0.00
630.
006
0.00
120.
0084
0.00
160.
0096
0.00
180.
0092
F2.
65**
2.88
**2.
90**
1.71
-1.
84+
-1.
86+
-W
ald
chi-
2W
ald
chi-
2W
ald
chi-
223
.40*
*25
.96*
*25
.66*
*
Not
e: *
*: s
igni
fica
nt a
t 1%
leve
l; *
: at 5
% le
vel ;
+: a
t 10%
leve
l. S
tand
ard
devi
atio
n is
sho
wn
in th
e pa
rent
hesi
s)S
ourc
e: T
he a
utho
rs e
stim
atio
n fr
om T
LS
S20
07 a
nd T
LS
S20
09.
Hau
sman
test
Chi
2(7)
=9.
86, P
rob>
Chi
2=0.
197
2. P
anel
Tab
le 7
Det
erm
inan
ts o
f th
e vo
lum
e of
inte
rnat
iona
l rem
itta
nces
rec
eive
d b
y th
e ho
useh
olds
.
Chi
2(7)
=10
.76,
Pro
b>C
hi2=
0.14
9
1. P
oole
d O
LS
Hau
sman
test
Chi
2(7)
=10
.18,
Pro
b>C
hi2=
0.17
9H
ausm
an te
st
48
5. 2 Results and their Interpretation
The results of the analysis on amounts of foreign remittance received are
shown in Table 7, and the results of the analysis on the determinants of whether
migrants will be supplied are shown in Table 8. In handling the panel data, a pooled
OLS or pooling logit model was not employed with an F test and Breusch-Pagan test for
the former and a Hausman test and logarithmic likelihood test for the latter. In addition,
for the panel analysis, a random-effects model with a Hausman test was selected. As the
table shows, it was confirmed that results were qualitatively the same when household
income was used as the explanatory variable and when its logarithm or wages alone
were used. Therefore, for both Table 7 and Table 8, the paper will use the results from
column 2B-2 as the author proceeds with the discussion.
As Table 7 shows, the level of household income does not have a significant
effect on the amount of foreign remittance received. In other words, the situation
predicted by a purely altruistic model, i.e. where the lower the level of household
income the greater the amount of remittance received, is not seen here. In the case of
Tajikistan, households with relatively low incomes do not receive more foreign
remittance than others, so it must be concluded that it is possible that such remittance
may not serve to reduce the degree of poverty of the poor.
When considering the relationship between income levels and remittance, the
endogeneity of income needs to be taken into account. For example, if they expect to
receive money from abroad, households that have supplied migrants may reduce their
supply of labour, making their incomes before foreign remittance lower than before.
Alternatively, if the household members with relatively high earning power become
international labour migrants, the income level of the household left behind may fall. In
both these cases, however, the income level of household can be expected to take a
negative coefficient, which is inconsistent with the results shown in Table 7.
Nevertheless, endogeneity may exist between remittance and income in the sense that
foreign remittance received in the past may have been invested in the education of
members of the household and led to higher household income now. Having said that,
foreign remittance to Tajikistan only began to increase rapidly in 2006, so it is hard to
49
imagine that such an effect would already have become apparent in 2007 or 2009, the
years to which the data used here relates19.
In column 2B-2 on Table 7, a significant coefficient was obtained only for
whether the household was located in an urban area. As suggested by Olimova and Bosc
(2003), this means that rural households receive more remittance from migrants than
urban ones do20. The fact that all the other variables were insignificant may be because
foreign remittance to Tajikistan is spread among a wide variety of households.
Next the author will examine Table 8 (2B-2), which shows the results of the
analysis on whether households will supply migrants. Household income exerts a
strongly significant positive impact on the supply of migrants. This means that
households with higher incomes are more likely to dispatch migrants. Therefore, just as
the Table 7 results did not show that the amount of remittance is higher, it hints at the
possibility that the supply of international migrants from Tajikistan is not pro-poor.
Insignificant coefficients were obtained for both whether the household was
located in the capital, Dushanbe, or in another urban area, which makes it clear that
households in such locations do not supply many migrants. The number of people in the
household, however, obviously has a positive effect on whether migrants are supplied.
The fact that the age of the head of the household yields a significant negative
coefficient may mean that, as expected, older heads of household may adopt a negative
attitude towards the very notion of migration itself. The education level of the head of
household is also insignificant, which indicates that in Tajikistan migrants are being
supplied from all types of household in this aspect. Alternatively, the effect of the
19 Even when the explanatory variable was set to the 2007 value for each household, the explained variable was set to the amount of remittance received by each household in 2009 (or whether the household had supplied migrants in 2009) and a cross-sectional analysis using panel data for households for the two years, the results were qualitatively the same as those in Table 7 and Table 8. In analysing the determinants of the amount of monthly foreign remittance received by households, the author also introduced individual characteristics of migrants along with all the household factors used here. For individual characteristics, the author used (1) the gender of the migrant, (2) the age of the migrant, (3) the education level of the migrant, and (4) the monthly salary earned in the foreign location by the migrant. However, only monthly salary was significant. If the endogeneity described in this paper exists, education level can be expected to obtain a significant positive coefficient. 20 The author also introduced eight dummy variables for the rural and urban regions within the four provinces comprising Tajikistan, but did not obtain any clear results. The same was true for preliminary analysis on whether migrants are supplied.
50
Exp
lain
ing
vari
able
s1A
-11A
-21A
-32B
-1F
ixed
e.
2B-2
Ran
dom
e.
2C-1
Fixe
d e.
2C-2
Ran
dom
e.
2D-1
Fix
ed e
.2D
-2 R
ando
m e
.L
ocat
ion
Dus
hanb
e-0
.63
-0.5
3-0
.56
--0
.74
--0
.64
--0
.69
(0.1
8)**
(0.1
3)**
(0.1
2)**
-(0
.22)
**-
(0.1
6)**
-(0
.16)
**U
rban
-0.5
4-0
.82
-0.6
4-
-0.6
6-
-0.9
5-
-0.7
6(0
.12)
**(0
.19)
**(0
.18)
**-
(0.1
6)**
-(0
.23)
**-
(0.2
3)**
Hou
seho
ld c
hara
cter
istic
sN
umbe
r of
hou
seho
ld m
embe
rs0.
040.
050.
040.
080.
060.
060.
060.
070.
05(0
.02)
**(0
.016
)**
(0.0
15)*
(0.0
35)*
(0.0
20)*
*(0
.036
)(0
.02)
**(0
.035
)*(0
.019
)*H
ouse
hold
hea
d-em
ploy
ee-0
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-0.5
7-0
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1-0
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1-0
.69
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70.
89(0
.10)
**(0
.11)
**(0
.11)
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.18)
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.13)
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.19)
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.14)
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.18)
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.13)
**M
ale
hous
ehol
d he
ad-0
.04
-0.0
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3-0
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2-0
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2-0
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(0.1
2)(0
.13)
(0.1
2)(0
.23)
(0.1
5)(0
.25)
(0.1
6)(0
.24)
(0.1
5)A
ge o
f th
e ho
useh
old
head
-0.0
1-0
.01
-0.0
1-0
.02
-0.0
2-0
.02
-0.0
1-0
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-0.0
2(0
.004
)**
(0.0
042)
*(0
.003
9)**
(0.0
08)*
(0.0
050)
**(0
.008
9)+
(0.0
051)
**(0
.008
4)*
(0.0
049)
**
Edu
cati
on a
ttai
nmen
t of
the
hous
ehol
d he
adS
econ
dary
ecu
dati
on0.
080.
070.
09-0
.10
0.06
-0.1
70.
04-0
.10
0.07
(0.1
2)(0
.12)
(0.1
2)(0
.20)
(0.1
4)(0
.21)
(0.1
5)(0
.201
)(0
.14)
Ter
tiar
y ed
ucat
ion
-0.2
0-0
.18
-0.2
0-0
.46
-0.2
8-0
.39
-0.2
5-0
.46
-0.2
9(0
.15)
(0.1
6)(0
.15)
(0.2
8)(0
.19)
(0.3
1)(0
.19)
(0.2
8)(0
.19)
Hou
seho
ld in
com
eIn
com
e w
itho
ut r
emitt
ance
s0.
21-
-0.
160.
25-
--
-(0
.059
)**
--
(0.0
9)+
(0.0
7)**
--
--
Lo g
arith
m o
f in
com
e w
itho
ut r
emitt
ance
s-
0.12
-0.
210.
16-
--
(0.0
48)*
*-
(0.0
81)*
(0.0
58)*
*-
-W
age
inco
me
--
0.30
--
--
0.29
0.37
--
(0.0
6)**
--
--
(0.0
9)**
(0.0
8)**
Con
stan
t-0
.013
-0.8
20.
0062
-0.
004
--0
.075
-0.
036
(0.2
8)(0
.37)
*(0
.28)
-(0
.35)
-(0
.36)
-(0
.36)
Obs
erva
tion
s28
2826
7428
2889
828
2880
026
7489
828
28Ps
eudo
R-s
quar
e0.
0052
0.05
30.
056
--
--
--
Log
-lik
elih
ood
-160
4.41
-150
6.06
-159
8.06
-294
.33
-157
9.7
264.
7314
85.4
8-2
90.9
3-1
572.
97ch
i-2
176.
83**
168.
93**
189.
53**
33.7
9**
Wal
d ch
i2: 1
28.5
5**
25.0
7**
Wal
d ch
i2: 1
22.8
5**
40.5
8**
Wal
d ch
i2: 1
36.9
1**
Log
like
lihoo
dL
og li
keli
hood
Log
like
liho
odch
ibar
2(01
)=49
.42*
*ch
ibar
2(01
)=41
.16*
*ch
ibar
2(01
)=50
.17*
*
Not
e: *
*: s
igni
fica
nt a
t 1%
leve
l; *
: at 5
% le
vel ;
+: a
t 10%
leve
l. S
tand
ard
devi
atio
n is
sho
wn
in th
e pa
rent
hesi
s)So
urce
: The
aut
hors
est
imat
ion
from
TL
SS
2007
and
TL
SS2
009.
Hau
sman
test
Chi
2(7)
=4.
53, P
rob>
Chi
2=0.
717
Tab
le 8
Det
erm
inan
ts o
f M
igra
nts
Sen
ding
2. P
anel
logi
t
Hau
sman
test
Hau
sman
test
Chi
2(7)
=5.
29, P
rob>
Chi
2=0.
624
Chi
2(7)
=3.
44, P
rob>
Chi
2=0.
841
1. P
oolin
g lo
git
51
education level of the head of the household is probably manifesting itself in higher
household income levels. The finding that the gender of the head of household does not
exert a significant impact can be said to be more or less in line with that obtained from
the author’s examination of the descriptive statistics on Table 5 concerning the profile of
households.
The results of this analysis show that households with low levels of income do
not receive larger amounts of foreign remittance, and also that households that supply
migrants tend to have relatively high income levels. In other words, it is difficult to
argue that with respect to Tajik labour migration, a purely altruistic model is applicable
to migration/remittance and household income. Regarding both amounts of remittance
and the supply of migrants, households with relatively low incomes are not in a more
advantageous position than other households. In Tajikistan, therefore, both the receipt of
foreign remittance and the supply of migrants may not be pro-poor.
Admittedly, as Table 4 and Figure 3 show, the overall level of poverty (poverty
headcount) declined by more than three percent between 2007 and 2009 (from 43.9
percent to 40.3 percent). Nevertheless, it would be rash to conclude that this was the
result of the supply of migrants and the remittance of money by them. Although the
number of migrants has certainly been increasing, since 2007 the country’s GDP has
also been growing at 3–7 percent21 per year, so the factors behind the drop in poverty
would need to be investigated separately.
6. Conclusions
With respect to Tajik migration, which increased noticeably during the late
2000s, this paper used household survey forms to provide outline profiles of poverty in
Tajik households and Tajik migrants. It then explored the relationship between the
21 National Bank of Tajikistan Website, “Macro Economic Indicators” <http://nbt.tj/files/docs/statistics/ macro_en.xls>, accessed on December 28, 2010. However, according to United Nations Statistics Division <http:// unstats.un.org/unsd/snaama/Introduction. asp> (accessed on January 18, 2011), while household consumption and overseas remittance declined by around 10 percent between 2008 and 2009, gross national income (GNI) increased. These findings are not inconsistent with those of this paper (Table 6), which found, using household survey data from 2009, that income increased and remittance declined compared with the same survey conducted in 2007.
52
income levels of Tajik households and the amount of remittance they receive and their
supply of migrants, with the aim of finding out if migration could be pro-poor.
Compared with the data up to 2007, in 2009 a change in the composition of
migrants was seen, with the number of migrants rising, the proportion of migrants
heading to Russia increasing, and the proportion of female migrants climbing. However,
this change can be surmised as being basically the extension of a trend that had already
begun earlier22. Although the migration of Tajiks has continued to increase, with regard
to amounts of remittance and the supply of migrants itself, this paper found that
households with relatively low incomes are not receiving larger amounts of foreign
remittance, even though they are dispatching more migrants. In other words, it is not the
case that the receipt of foreign remittance and the supply of migrants in Tajikistan
follow the pattern predicted by altruistic models relating to household income and
remittance, which is that households with lower incomes receive larger amounts of
remittance. It was therefore shown that it is difficult to say that foreign remittance and
migration are pro-poor in Tajikistan.
Migrants are supplied by a wide variety of Tajik households. Looking at the
data for household that form complete panels, the paper find that in January –
November 2009 (TLSS2009), 468 (33.1 percent) of the 1,414 households in the sample
had at least one member who had spent a month or longer overseas. In January –
November 2007 (TLSS2007), however, the figure was only 341 households (24.1
percent). These figures illustrate the expansion in migration.
As the economy as a whole bottoms out, information flows increase, and more
acquaintances begin living in the target destinations, it will probably become easier
even for relatively low-income households to supply migrants. In fact, the household
poverty dynamics shown in Figure 3 reveal that migration expanded across the board,
even from extremely poor households. At the same time, however, the analysis revealed
22 Previous research has noted that since the early 2000s, Tajik migration has been on an upward trend, and increasingly concentrated in Russia. The contention of Danzer and Ivaschenko (2010) that the increase in migration, the growing concentration of migrants in Russia, and the rise in the proportion of female migrants represents a response by households to the financial crisis of 2008 would therefore seem to be an overstatement.
53
a positive correlation between income levels and whether migrants will be supplied,
which may mean that if migration continues to increase in the future, it cannot be said
that there is zero likelihood that the poverty of poor households will be cemented.
Figure 3 also shows that although the supply of migrants increased overall, the poverty
rate did not decline between 2009 and 2007 critically. In addition, the more than 30
percent of households in the top band for consumption continued to stay out of poverty.
These findings may mean that income classes have already been solidified. Of course,
further investigation of this will require that the situation be observed for a far longer
period than the author has done in this paper.
What has been abstracted in this paper in its approach to Tajik labour migration
is the relationship between the characteristics of individuals and decision-making23.
This paper has focused on household income levels, amounts of foreign remittance, and
whether migrants are supplied. However, the gauging of future trends in labour
migration will require the investigation to return to a focus on what kind of people
become migrants and what kind of households they come from.
Furthermore, as was mentioned in section 2 of this paper, the relationship with
the Russian Federation may be having a major impact on the supply of labour migrants
from Tajikistan. Russia is facing a declining population and its policy on the admission
of foreign migrants is inconsistent and hard to make predictions about. Even as it
accepts large numbers of foreign workers, there are frequent reports of growing
xenophobia24. As a result, it is quite possible that the policy of accepting foreign
workers will be affected by policymakers giving greater consideration to the domestic
situation. Decisions made by individuals and households are not the only thing that
makes international migration possible. To predict the future, it will therefore be
essential to keep an even closer eye on government policy.
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59
MIGRANT WORKERS FROM CENTRAL ASIA INTO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION1
Sergei V. Ryazantsev
Professor, Head of Center Social Demography and Economic Sociology in Institute
Socio-Politic Research of Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russian Federation)
Norio Horie
Professor, Vice Director, Center for Far Eastern Studies, University of Toyama (Toyama,
Japan)
Kazuhiro Kumo
Associate Professor, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research,
Hitotsubashi University (Tokyo, Japan)
Introduction
According to the pessimistic population forecast in “the Concept of Demographic
Development of the Russian Federation,” the number of population over the age of 60
will be more than 8.3 million in 2025. Also, from 2010 to 2014, it is estimated that the
annual decrease in able-bodied citizens will be 1.3 million, which may cause a serious
concern for labour shortage2. Part of the labour shortage may be compensated by the
development of high technologies in the economy leading to the growth of
manufacturing productivity. But it would probably become unavoidable for the country 1 Given article has been prepared during the stay of Sergey V. Ryazantsev at Hitotsubashi University as a Visiting Professor in January-June 2010 and represents result of international cooperation between scientists of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Hitotsubashi University and Toyama University. Also in the given paper are used some material received by Sergey V. Ryazantsev in the process of the research “Migrant workers from Central Asia in the housing and utilities sector of Moscow” under the project “Towards Sustainable Partnerships for the Effective Governance of Labour Migration in the Russian Federation, the Caucasus and Central Asia” financed by the European Union (EU) (2007-2010), are used. 2 Broom on asphalt // Arguments and Facts. - #1-2, 2008. – P.23
60
to accept workers from abroad.
Central Asia consists of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and
Uzbekistan, formed after the disintegration of USSR. In 2008, Russia accepted more
than 1.2 million workers from these countries. Presently, natives of Uzbekistan,
Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan comprise half of the foreign workers in Russia. They work in
the economic branches of construction, housing and communal services, transportation,
trade, service industry, and many other areas. The number of foreign workers will
amount to an even larger figure if we consider the existence of undocumented labour
migrants (who may have no registration for residency, no work permits, or other
necessary documents). Migrant workers from Central Asia often take the severe jobs
that people are usually unwilling to take, and bear low standards of living in many cases.
In the given article, we examine the tendencies of labour migration from Central Asia,
the basic problems of migrant workers, and relationship between migration and
remittances, and present various suggestions which may improve the regulations on
labour migration in Russia.
General tendencies and regulations on international labour migration in Russia
Labour migration from abroad has been forming a considerable part of migratory
flow into the Russian Federation. According to the data shown by Federal Migration
Service (FMS) of Russia, the number of temporary labour migrants in Russia is
increasing significantly. While the figure was approximately 380,000 in 2003, it became
more than 702,000 in 2005, 1,014,000 in 2006, and 1,717,000 in 2007. Although 2.4
million foreign workers worked in Russia in 2008 (Figure 1), its share in the total
Russian workforce still remained only 3.4%. However, in some areas of the economy,
the share was higher - it reached almost 19% in construction.
61
Figure 1. Number of foreign citizens working in the territory of Russia in
1994-2008 (Thousand persons)
In recent years, foreign workers arrive in Russia from more than 140 countries. The
following three countries of Central Asia were the largest supplier of foreign workers in
2008: Uzbekistan (643,000), Tajikistan (391,000), and Kyrgyzstan (185,000). From the
CIS countries, a significant number of workers are exported from Ukraine (245,000),
Moldova (122,000), Armenia (100,000), and Azerbaijan (76,000). After the registration
procedure to receive a work permit in Russia was simplified in January 2007 for the
citizens of the CIS countries, their share grew, and in 2008, the figure accounted for
more than 73% of the total number of foreign workers. China, exporting 282,000
workers to Russia, comes third on the list, followed by countries such as Turkey
(131,000), Vietnam (95,000), and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (35,000)
(Figure 2).
Foreign workers who are legally accepted dominate the foreign workforce.
Structurally, foreign workers work mainly in the economic branches of construction,
agriculture, transportation, housing, communication services, trade, and service industry.
There is a tendency that workers from a certain country work in specific areas of the
Russian labour market. Tajik migrants work primarily in construction, housing, and
communal services. Migrants from Uzbekistan work in construction, agriculture, trade,
housing, and communal services. Kyrgyzstan migrants occupy jobs in housing,
communal services, transportation, trade, and other services. Construction, repair work,
62
factory work, and transportation industry attracts many Ukrainian migrants.
Moldavian migrants mainly become drivers, or work in construction. Chinese and
Vietnamese dominate trade, agriculture, and light industry. Turkish workers mainly
work in construction. Foreigners occupying top management of banks, insurance
companies, and commerce originate from countries of “Far Abroad” (USA, Japan, and
European states). It may be stated that foreign workers tend to find jobs in the Russian
labour market depending on their country of origin.
Figure 2. Ten largest countries exporting migrant workers into Russia in 2008
(Thousand persons)
Private-sector firms used to hire irregular migrants primarily, based on oral
agreements. However, the size of foreign labour force, employed by smaller private
businesses, has lately been increasing by approximately 5% per year. Sex and age
composition of foreign workers have been quite stable for many years - about 90% are
male workers. Up to 80% of the total male workforce and 90% of female workers are
from ages 18 to 39. Within the total foreign workforce, about 40% are from ages 30 to
39.
There is a considerable difference between the official figures and the actual number
of labour migrants in Russia. Though the actual number is unknown, it is estimated that
the number of irregular labour migrants are several times more than that of the
registered. The representatives of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia reported the
63
number of irregular labour migrants to be approximately 10 million, while some
politicians claimed the figure to be 15 million. We estimated the data is probably from
the population census of 2002. Through the research, there were still about 2 million
labourers not accounted for the current data, who may be assumed as temporary workers.
Some of the researchers estimate such figure to be 5 million. Approximately 70% of the
irregular labour migrants in Russia are citizens from the CIS countries. Although they
have arrived legally from countries where they may enter into Russia without visas,
they have not been able to register nor receive work permits in Russia. Such situation
has been the cause of the growth of illegal labour markets in big cities.
In the beginning of 2007, Russia adopted a number of new laws to solve problems
concerning temporary labour migrants. For example, registration for residency has been
simplified, and fines have been increased for employing irregular migrants, which made
it much easier for labour migrants to be registered. However, since the problem of
employers’ hiring migrant workers with unjustly low wages has not been totally
eliminated, it is necessary for the country to develop a network to supervise the working
conditions of migrants, and also enter into an agreement with each country concerning
labour migration.
Serious problems have also appeared in the immigration policy of Russia regarding
regulations on labour migration. Foreign labour force is accepted within the limits of
special quotas determined annually by the Government of the Russian Federation. Upon
the issuance of work permits based on the quota, the Ministry of Health and Social
Development locates the foreign citizens into various professional groups and to the
regions of Russia. Since 2007, the quota has been set separately for countries depending
on whether visas are required or not. The size of the quota for the countries admitted
free entry is several times larger than the rest of the countries.
Assigning quotas for accepting foreign labour force has caused serious problems in
Russia. For example, in 2003 and 2007, the scale of a quota was too large, and as a
result, only 40% and 20% was implemented for the respective years (Table 1), due to
the fact that there has been no clear method to evaluate the actual demand for foreign
labour force. Not all employers are able to plan out their demand for migrant workers
64
precisely, and some of them simply cannot apply in time.
Table 1. Quotas on attraction of foreign workers to the Russian Federation in
2003-2010 (Thousand persons)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Total (planned number) 530,0 213,0 214,0 329,3 6.308,8 1.828,3 5.227,6 2.555,5For the countries with a visaregime
- - - - 308,8 672,3 1.250,8 611,1
For the countries with a visa-free regime
- - - - 6.000,0 1.155,9 3.976,8 1.944,4
actually issued permissions 210,5 248,8 225,8 267,2 1.194,0 3.500,0 ... ...Quota performance, % 39,7 116,8 105,5 81,1 18,9 191,4 ... ...
Applications for the use of quota are frequently disarranged especially in the
regional area. There are often situations when a quota applied by one employer has
actually been used already by another employer. In mid-year 2008, the authorities were
forced to increase the quota urgently, since it had met the limit already by June. By the
end of the year, 3.4 million work permits were issued for foreign citizens, which was
almost a double of the initially planned quota.
In 2009, the Government of Russia first set the quota in the size of 4 million.
However, the world economic crisis prevented further development in some of the
economic sectors, and instead, resulted in an increase of unemployment which forced
the Russian authorities to reduce the size of quota for labour migrants. In the same year,
many foreign workers lost jobs and earnings, particularly at the time when Prime
Minister V. V. Putin declared to reduce the quota of foreign labour force to half the
initial size. He explained that the reduction of the quota was due to the impact of
economic crisis: “We must first provide job opportunities for Russians. Otherwise,
foreign workers will be taking over the jobs which should first be taken by the citizens
of Russia.” As a result, in 2010, the quota was reduced to almost half the size of the
previous year, and only 2.6 million work permits were planned to be issued.
65
Regional characteristics of labour migrations from Central Asia
Foreign labour migrants are dispersed unevenly in the Russian territory. Although
foreign labour migrants practically work in all regions, Central Russia obviously holds
the largest number of foreign workers which accounts for over 40% of the total regular
foreign labour force. Within Central Russia, 1/3 of the total labour migrants in the
country are concentrated in Moscow, where foreign workers account for 6% of the total
workforce. Moscow, now with more job opportunities due to the diversification of the
territory, has been attracting temporary labour migrants from various territories of
Russia, CIS states, and the states “Far Abroad.”
The second largest region, where every sixth of labour migrants work in, is Ural
Federal Okrug. Oil industries of Yamal and Nenets Autonomous Okrug, and
Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug have been the major source of job opportunities, and
marks second and third place in the country for the number of foreign workers
employed. Labour migrants (in the region) work primarily in oil mining industry, and
construction. Far East Okrug is the third largest region attracting foreign workers which
accounts for 10% of the total foreign workforce. Labourers, primarily from China,
Peoples Democratic Republic of Korea, and Vietnam work in construction, agriculture,
and forestry of Primorsky, Khabarovsk, and Amur territories of the region. Siberia,
North, West, Volga, and Southern Federal Okrugs follow by the number of foreign
workers (Figure 3).
At present, Moscow obviously holds the largest number of foreign workers among
all Russian regions. According to the 2007 data, there were almost 1/3(29%) of the total
foreign labour force in Moscow. FMS and its territorial departments have issued
approximately 650,000 work permits for foreign citizens to work in Moscow, including
532,000(or 82%) for workers who are admitted free entry into Russia. However,
according to other official figures, 483,000 migrant workers were working in Moscow
in the same year, including 244,000 workers who entered Russia through the visa-free
regime. The differences may be explained by the fact that work permits are issued in
various terms of length, some for less than one year. Therefore, it is possible for one
66
person to acquire several work permits in the same year. In 2007, FMS and the Federal
State Service of Employment of Population received 209,000 documents from
employers stating that they have hired foreign citizens who do not need visas on entry.
The actual figure is unknown even to the state agencies – they have official information
on only 39% of the labour migrants with work permits in Moscow.
Figure 3. Share of the number of foreign labour migrants in the regions of the
Russian Federation
The number of permits issued, and the figure of migrant workers from Central Asia
working in Moscow during 2007, also differs significantly for the same reason. FMS
has not been able to show an exact data on the number of foreign migrant workers
living in the territory. The number of foreign migrant workers in Moscow has been
increasing every year. Its growth in 2007 was especially notable since new rules for
migration and new procedures for issuing permits had been implemented. The size of
foreign workers increased by 24%, and distinctly, the percentage share of workers from
Central Asian countries in total foreign labour migrants increased by 70% to 90%. They
became the leading group of foreign workers occupying various economic sectors of
Moscow. For example, Uzbekistan, which was the seventh country on the list in 2006,
became first in 2008. Tajikistan, which was sixth, became second, and Kyrgyzstan
67
moved up to sixth from ninth.
Since the demand for human resources do not actually grow so rapidly in a year,
such increase was the effect of changes in the rules of legislation for foreign migrants.
Ones who were working irregularly or those who did not have an opportunity to acquire
work permits and not being able to register for residency were excluded from the
number of foreign migrants under the previous severe rules. And, the number of foreign
workers from countries of “Far Abroad” has not increased since 2007. The sudden
increase in the number of workers from Central Asia indicates that the procedures for
obtaining work permits and registering for residency were simplified only for citizens
from states allowed to enter Russia without visas (mainly CIS countries).
Figure 4. Number of migrant workers from Central Asia to Moscow in 2005-2008
(Persons) (Data of FMS of Moscow. 2008 data includes data from January to
September)
The official figures of foreign labour migrants from Central Asia seriously differ
from unofficial estimates. For example, by FMS data of 2006, 99,000 citizens of
Tajikistan and 33,000 citizens of Kyrgyzstan worked in Russia, whereas according to
the information of human rights NGO, “Narodnaya Liga Tajiki,” there were actually no
less than 1.5 million migrant workers from Tajikistan. Another example is that, although
270,000 worked in Moscow, the official data of FMS of Moscow shows a smaller size
68
(Figure 4). According to the State Committee of Migration and Employment of
Kyrgyzstan, there are 253,000 labour migrants in Russia, including 171,000 registered
migrants. But other estimates show that there are no less than 500,000 workers from
Kyrgyzstan.
Foreign workers in Moscow tend to work only in particular branches of the
economy. In Moscow, they account for a large share in trade, service, transportation,
housing, and communal service industries. On the contrary, the percentage is low in
construction, agriculture, forestry, and manufacturing industry compared to the
industrial structure of the Russian economy as a whole. According to the 2007 data of
FMS of Moscow, main economic branches where foreign labour was used were
wholesale and retail trade (32%), construction (26%), housing and communal services,
and social services (5%).
Employers of trade and catering business hire the most number of foreign migrant
workers. Despite the fact that the Russian authorities banned trading in markets by
foreign citizens, many of them are still involved in wholesale and retail trade, and also
service sectors such as restaurant businesses, repair works, etc. Owners kept renaming
markets in trade complexes so that they could continue to use foreign migrant workers.
Although only 110,000 permits for jobs in this branch were said to have been issued to
foreign citizens in 2007, the FMS estimates show that there were actually 156,000
persons working during the same year. Countries of Central Asia were the largest
suppliers of labour in trade and service sector: 66,000 from Tajikistan; 65,000 from
Uzbekistan; and 42,000 from Kyrgyzstan. More than half of the employees in the trade
and service sector were foreign workers.
Construction is the second branch of the economy attractive to migrant workers.
They are the major labour force in construction projects of Moscow. In 2007, FMS
issued approximately 230,000 work permits to foreign citizens to work in construction
firms. According to the official figures, foreign labour migrants numbered 124,000 or
82% of the construction labour force of Moscow, including 115,000 workers from
Uzbekistan, 104,000 from Tajikistan, and 53,000 from Kyrgyzstan. Ukraine and
Moldova, followed by Central Asian countries, are also large exporters of labour in the
69
construction sector of Moscow. Many labour migrants who do not desire permanent
residency prefer to work as irregular employees - some even work at night for relatively
low wages.
Transportation is also one of the economic branches where foreign labour has been
used actively. Approximately 10% of the labour force in transportation accounts for
foreign workers. Migrants from CIS states mainly work as drivers of trolleybuses,
minibuses, and other kinds of buses in Moscow. Experts estimate, 76% drivers of buses
in town, 73% of trolleybuses, and 41% of trams in the capital are made up of foreigners.
In 2007, FMS issued approximately 29,000 permits for foreigners to work in
transportation in Moscow, and a total of around 30,000 labourers were working during
the same year. Ukraine was the single largest exporter of migrant workers (145,000) in
the sector, followed by Central Asian countries: 65,000 from Uzbekistan ; 51,000 from
Tajikistan; and 11,000 from Kyrgyzstan. Although rather a large number of foreigners
are employed as drivers in the transportation industry, traffic accidents occur frequently
due to their insufficient knowledge and experience in driving. This has led V.I.
Matvienko, the governor of Saint-Petersburg city, to adopt a compulsory exam for
drivers from CIS countries to test their knowledge on Russian traffic rules.
Housing and communal service is the fourth largest industry where foreign labour
migrants work in. In 2007, approximately 24,000 permits were issued to foreign citizens
to work in housing and communal service enterprises in Moscow and about the same
number of foreign labour migrants was working in the same year. Specific jobs in
housing and communal service industry are gardeners, sanitary engineers, electricians,
concierges, etc. Official figures show that foreigners account for approximately 13% of
the total work force in the housing and communal industry, and within the figure, 60%
to 90%3 of gardeners working in various districts of Moscow are foreigners.
In general, labour market in the capital city depends heavily on foreign labour force.
Accounts show that more than 15% of the total work force in Moscow is consisted of
foreign migrant workers, and in some branches such as construction, and trade, they are
the majority. In fact, there are economic sectors in Moscow which totally depend on
migrant workers.
70
On February 1st, 2009, the authorities of Moscow implemented new regulations
concerning registration of foreign citizens and residents from other regions of Russia. In
order to register for residency, it is now necessary to present documents which confirm
that a residential lease agreement has actually been signed. The authorities decided to
take control over the rental market for residencies, since, as experts estimate, though
125,000 flats are being rented, only 55,000 owners are paying official taxes. The city
has been losing from 80 million to 2 billion rubles annually for such reason.
Registration for residential lease agreements is entrusted to Unitarian Enterprise of the
City “Moscow City Centre of Leasing Houses.” Migrants are provided with a copy of
documents for registration of residential lease agreements within five days3 from entry.
The document costs them 382 rubles. Taking into account that foreign citizens must
register in Russia within three working days from the date of entry into Russia, such
change in regulation may cause confusion among labour migrants for them to obtain
official registration in Moscow.
Currently, labour shortage in Moscow has been compensated by migrant workers
who work on low wages. The major problem is that there is a mechanism in the
country which allows employers to ignore the poor working and living conditions of the
migrant workers. The situation does not ameliorate since migrant workers come from
countries where working and living conditions are even worse, and employers in Russia
are taking advantage of the fact that migrant workers will still work in poor conditions.
Savings and remittances of migrant workers from Central Asian countries
Labour migration has many socio-economic effects in Russia and Central Asian
countries. Migrant workers make up for various “non-prestigious niche” job markets
with severe working conditions, which residents of Russia are unwilling to take. All
branches of the economy have developed for the sake of foreign migrants. Construction
3 Registration by employment // Vzglyad. – 23 January 2009. – P. 1-2 4 Data of the Central Bank of Russia
71
industry in large cities, for a good example, has grown partly due to the use of cheap
labour force from abroad. Labour migration became not only the means of survival for a
significant part of CIS workers, but also an essential part of economic development in
the region.
Figure 5. Volume of remittances from Russia to CIS countries in 2008 through
systems of remittances and Post of Russia4 (mil.USD)
Labour migration from CIS countries increased the remittances from Russia to the
countries where the labour migrants originated from. Money passes both through
official (banks, and postal services) and informal (intermediaries, train conductor, and
relatives) channels. Inflow of savings and remittances of labour migrants have direct
economic effects on their countries of origin. They apply their earnings to pay debts,
and provide their families with necessities. According to the 2007 data of Central Bank
of Russia, the sum of remittances from Russia to CIS countries added up to
approximately 8.6 billion USD, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan accounting for
47% of the total amount. Uzbekistan received the highest amount of 1.7 billion USD,
followed by 1.6billion USD of Tajikistan. The average amount of one remittance to
Uzbekistan was 699 USD, 623 USD for Tajikistan, and 474 USD for Kyrgyzstan.
By some data, labour migrants transfer about 15 billion USD from Russia annually.
72
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Kazakh Kyrgyz Tadzik Russia
Remittances Inflow: vs GDP, 2006
If there is enough transparency in the transactions, the country should be able to collect
4.5 billion USD worth tax (if the income tax rate for non-residents, 30%, were applied.),
without taking social insurance into account. However, many migrants work irregularly
and earn wages without paying taxes and social insurances.
BOX: Migration and Remittances in Tajikistan
The scale of remittances in Central Asia is huge as described in the main text. In this
box we would like to offer brief information from an examination on migration and
remittances in Tajikistan by using macro- and micro-data.
Source: Migration and Remittances Factbook, World Bank, 2008; The latest remittance data by the World Bank,<http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPROSPECTS/Resources/334934-1110315015165/RemittancesData_ Nov09(Public).xls>
According to the World Bank data, which relies on IMF Balance of Payment statistics,
remittances as a portion of GDP in Tajikistan and Kyrgyz in 2006 are 35% and 26%,
respectively (IMF Balance of Payments Statistics). As for Tajikistan, this figure is said to
amount up to 50% or so in 2008 (World Bank, 2010).
These figures taken from macro-level statistics may be astonishing for readers, but
examination on micro-data set also confirms the huge scale of remittances.
We used forms returned from Tajikistan Living Standards Survey (TLSS) conducted
by the World Bank and UNICEF. The data consist of representative sample on the level of:
0 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Kazakh Kyrgyz Tajikistan Russia
Remittances Inflow: vs. GDP, 2008.
73
0 17250-500 89
501-1000 1431001-1500 1231501-2000 1072001-2500 532501-3000 603001-3500 413501-4000 274001-4500 124501-5000 175001-6000 176001-7000 207001-8000 68001-9000 7
9001-10000 1010001-15000 1815001-30000 9
30000 and over 3
Max: 83,000Min: 50
Amount remitted (in USD)Average: 2,888Median: 1,725
(1) Tajikistan as a whole, (2) total urban and total rural areas, (3) the five main
administrative regions (oblasts) of the country. The size of sample is 4,860 households or
30,139 individuals.
Among family members currently living away from the household in 2007 (the
number of sample was 934), more than 80% of out-migrants remit in cash or in kind. The
median of the amount remitted was 1,725 USD and the average of that was 2,888 USD in
2007. We should note that per capita gross domestic product of Tajikistan in 2006 was 426
USD.
Tajik Migrants, by the Size of Remittances in 2007
Source: Calculated by the author from TLSS2007
The situation did not change much in 2009 from that in 2007. We utilized TLSS2009,
Tajikistan Living Standards Survey in 2009, conducted by the World Bank in November
2009. At this time the aim of the survey was to capture the effects of economic crisis and
the sample size was comparatively small. They consist of 1,503 households or 10,069
individuals, which means that the sample size was one-third of the former survey conducted
in 2007.
Amount Remitted, in US Dollars.(in cash & in kind in estimated market prices)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0
50-5
00
501-
1000
1001
-150
0
1501
-200
0
2001
-250
0
2501
-300
0
3001
-350
0
3501
-400
0
4001
-450
0
4501
-500
0
5001
-600
0
6001
-700
0
7001
-800
0
8001
-900
0
9001
-100
00
1000
1-15
000
1500
1-30
000
3000
0 an
d ov
er
person
74
0 4450-500 16
501-1000 461001-1500 201501-2000 492001-2500 102501-3000 313001-3500 23501-4000 104001-4500 74501-5000 05001-6000 26001-7000 17001-8000 28001-9000 2
9001-10000 010001-15000 315001-30000 1
Min: 220
Amount remitted (in 2007 US$)Average: 1,999Median: 1,496
Max: 22,004
By TLSS2009 we could point out that the scale of remittances by migrants shrunk to
two-third of the amount in 2007. This figure corresponds to the scale of shrinkage in
remittances in macro or national level statistics, therefore the macro data also can be
regarded as a reliable one. Irrespective to the shrinkage in remittances in 2009, the impact
of migrants’ remittances on Tajikistan economy must be quite huge if we take into account
the small size of gross domestic products of Tajikistan.
Tajik Migrants, by the Size of Remittances in 2009
Source: Calculated by the author from TLSS2009
Main problems faced by labour migrants from Central Asia states in Russia
The main reasons for labour migration from Central Asian states arise from the rapid
population growth in the region, the high levels of unemployment, decrease in
manufacturing productivity, and stagnation in the economy. Since the governments of
the states of Central Asia are not undertaking serious actions to promote employment,
there is no other way for the people than to search for job opportunities abroad. Russia,
Amount Remitted, 2009, in 2007 US$
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 50
-500
501-
1000
1001
-150
015
01-2
000
2001
-250
025
01-3
000
3001
-350
035
01-4
000
4001
-450
045
01-5
000
5001
-600
060
01-7
000
7001
-800
080
01-9
000
9001
-100
0010
001-
1500
015
001-
3000
0
75
which has rather a high capacity and diversity in the labour market, together with the
convenience of visa-free regime, has been quite attractive for labour migrants from
Central Asia. Main exporters of labour migrants in recent years are such countries as
former states of USSR.
By the State Committee data on Migration and Employment of Kyrgyzstan, the
current number of persons unemployed is 271,000. Although it is a tradition for
Kyrgyz people to hold big ceremonies on occasions such as weddings, jubilees, funerals
etc., it is impossible for them to save for such money without working abroad. In
Moscow, migrant workers may earn 800-1000 USD a month, whereas they may only
earn 300-400 USD a month in their country of origin. Towns, rural areas, and border
districts of Tajikistan, which suffered from civil war, have exported the most number of
labour migrants. These towns such as Isfarinsky, Kanibadamsky, Ashtsky, Ininsky,
Pendgikentsky, Shakhristansky in Sogdyiskaya oblast, are mainly on the border districts
of Uzbekistan. Also, territories such as Bokhtarsky, Vakhshsky, Farhorsky are in
Khatlonskaya oblast. Workers who leave their country for earnings are mostly men5.
Attractive factors of the labour market in Russia, especially the higher wages, have been
prompting a great inflow of migration into the Russian regions.
The research has allowed us to find out several problems faced by labour migrants
from Central Asia. Temporary or seasonal migration has become more common among
workers. A majority of labour migrants leave their country in spring and summer, and
return in autumn. They search for jobs by themselves or with the aid of relatives and
acquaintances, otherwise through intermediary persons who, with no appropriate license,
privately search jobs for migrants. The lack of fully developed policy for labour
migration has created room for intermediary persons to cheat on the migrants’ money by
recruiting them to fill in the niche markets.
There also exist illegal labour markets used personally or by firms. The most
“famous” market, “labour stock,” is on the corner of Little Circle Automobile Road and
Yaroslavl roadway, always overwhelmed by labour migrants from Central Asian states
5 Olimova S., Bosk I. Labor migration from Tajikistan. – Dushanbe: IOM, 2003. – P.31. 6 The Russian Federation and some CIS countries accept dual citizenship.
76
hoping to find work. When some of the employers fired workers due to economic crisis,
even more people looking for jobs came to the “labour stock.” Since many workers
coming to the illegal labour market do not have work permits, they have no choice but
to bear low wages and live in poor conditions. Employees say that representatives of
legal offices exploit them by making them work in construction and repairing of firms,
private dachas, houses, etc., without pay.
Many migrant workers work under harsh conditions and environments, always at
the risk of injuries and infectious diseases. The Labour Codex does not define
guidelines on the management of labour conditions of the workers. Migrant workers
work more than eight hours daily in many cases, without weekends or holidays.
Migrants say that employers who are unwilling to pay for “holidays,” return them once
to their home countries, and have them come back to work again. Most migrants are
unable to claim their rights for holidays.
What is making the situation more difficult is that many labour migrants do not have
signed official labour contracts. It is rather seldom for migrants to sign labour contracts
with private firms than with public offices. All of our attempts to see even one signed
contract have failed. It means that although contracts are signed, they are not given to
the migrants. Therefore, even when the migrant workers get into conflicts with the
employers, having no signed contracts makes it difficult for the migrants to seek legal
assistance and assert their rights in court.
Research shows that foreign workers are paid less than Russian citizens for doing
the same work. Even if the immigrant workers have Russian citizenship6, some are not
guaranteed to be paid the same wages as Russians. Employers often continue to
recognize them as immigrants and pay them less.
Poor living conditions are also one of the serious problems faced by migrant
workers in Russia. Many of them live where they work, often in places not suitable for
living. These places may be attics, basements, unfinished buildings or ones to be
demolished, garbage carts, trailers, bathrooms, etc. Needless to say, such places are
often unsanitary, and have no essential facilities for water, heating, or light. They easily
become ill by living under such conditions. But still, many migrants usually continue to
77
live and work in the same place. There once was a situation when a woman gardener
from Tajikistan gave birth to a child in a basement where she lived in7. It revealed the
difficulties of migrant workers to integrate into the Russian society, and also brought out
into open that such low standard of living has led to a creation of “parallel societies”
separating the migrants as the “second sort.” Such situation may lead to social conflicts.
Whether to include migrants into the medical insurance system or not is another
acute problem. Migrants may be divided into groups depending on the level of risks for
spreading infectious diseases or the seriousness of injuries. According to the data of
Department of Healthcare of Moscow, 105,000 foreign citizens received medical
treatment in 2007. 705 cases of tuberculosis, 219 cases of HIV/AIDS, and 908 cases of
syphilis have been reported 8 . The arrangements necessary for receiving medical
treatment have changed since 2008.
Under the pressure of Federal Antimonopoly Service, private medical organizations
acquired permits so that they may make arrangements for the migrant workers to
receive medical treatment. Experts say that although the number of cases of diseases
being discovered among migrants has reduced, (from January to November 2008, only
195 cases of tuberculosis, 61 cases of HIV/AIDS, and 283 cases of syphilis were
discovered), the acuteness of the problem has not changed. Many labour migrants are
still in unhealthful conditions, increasing the risk of spreading infectious diseases
among the population. Only several migrants interviewed had medical insurance.
As stated above, living conditions of migrant workers from Central Asia still remain
poor. Signing labour contracts would not solve all problems for migrant workers. As
long as no one regulates exploitation of migrant workers by employers who hire them
with unjustly low wages, and have no intentions to raise their pay or improve their
working conditions, the situation will not become better.
7 Broom on asphalt // Arguments and Facts. - #1-2, 2008. – P.23 8 Data of Department of Health of Moscow
78
Regulations on labour migration from Central Asia to Russia
The basic arrangements necessary for migrant workers from Central Asia to enter
into Russia do not differ from that of the labour migrants from other countries. Federal
Law from 25 July, 2002 #115-FL regarding “legal status of foreign citizens in the
Russian Federation,” which states the order of arrangements for foreign workers who do
not need visas, is applied to them.
On the other hand, there are several differences in the regulation among the citizens
of Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and CIS states. These differences are recognized in the mutual
intergovernmental agreement concerning regulations on labour migration from
Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. The agreement signed in Dushanbe on October 16th, 2004
among the Government of the Russian Federation, the Government of the Republic of
Tajikistan, and the citizens of the Republic of Tajikistan in the Russian Federation, is
currently valid. The agreement made it significantly easier for the two countries to
regulate the process of labour migration from Tajikistan to the Russian Federation.
Migrant workers are guaranteed for their social protection and medical aid. They are
also prevented from double taxation, allowed import and export of necessities including
financial resources, and given the rights to receive educational services.
However, issues involved in the agreement totally opposed some of the Russian
legislations. The Collegiate of Chamber of Accounts, checking the Agreement in
parallel with the Agency of State Financial Control, and Combating with Corruption of
the Republic of Tajikistan, pointed out serious insufficiencies in the Agreement in order
to put it into practice. They stated that it is incompatible to define the needs to attract
foreign workers on one hand, and to set quotas on the other. Since the number of labour
migrants to be accepted officially is limited by quotas, the number of residency which
may be provided is limited as well. Growing tension among foreign workers under such
circumstance has been the cause of increase in crimes committed both by foreign
citizens and to them, aggravating the risk of corruption in the foreign workers’ society.
There are also juridical inadequacies concerning the extension of work permits. For
example, in point 2 of article 4, the Agreement allows an extension of work permit up to
79
another year depending on the employer’s request. However, there are no clear criteria
on how the inspectors of the migration service should admit the employer’s request.
This situation gave rise to confusion among employers using foreign workers. Terms
of work permits may be extended upon request of the employers or customers of
services who are legally admitted the use of foreign workers. Additionally, point 9 of
article 13.1 of Federal law of “legal status of foreign citizens in Russian Federation”
enables that employers without official permit for the use of foreign workers may accept
foreign citizens from countries which does not require visas on entry.
According to article 6 of the Agreement, customers of services must issue
documents specifying the occupation and wages of the worker, and certify them with
seals. However, the Agreement was written without knowing the fact that customers of
services do not own any seals to actually certify the documents. Article 10 requires
migrant workers from Tajikistan to present copies of a health certificate, with proof of
immunization, and the result of a medical checkup proving the worker to be qualified
for work in terms of health condition. Meanwhile, migrants from other countries need
only to submit proof for not being infected to certain diseases listed by the Government
of Russia. Regulations on migrant workers from Tajikistan are stricter for the sake of
article 10 of the Agreement.
Recently the representatives of Mayor’s Office in Moscow declared their
willingness to accept 200,000 workers from Tajikistan annually in the form of organized
migration. The Government of the Republic of Tajikistan and the authorities of Moscow
came into an agreement to carry out such project to control labour activity and to protect
migrant workers socially. FMS of Russia has approved of the project as well. The
project is assumed to determine the annual size of organized migrant workers to be
attracted, in this case from Tajikistan, depending on the number of occupations available
in Moscow. If the project is carried out in full-scale, it may realize the implementation
of intergovernmental agreement concerning labour migration between Russia and
Tajikistan.
Compared to Tajikistan workers, experts estimate that migrant workers from
Kyrgyzstan are in a more favorable situation. First of all, there exists an agreement
80
between Russia and Kyrgyzstan for obtaining citizenship in a simple procedure. The
agreement allows citizens of Kyrgyzstan to obtain Russian citizenship in rather a short
term without acquiring work permits in Russia. Moreover, in 1996, an agreement was
signed between the Government of the Russian Federation and the Government of the
Republic of Kyrgyzstan to maintain good working conditions of the migrant workers
and to protect them socially. In the agreement, for example, the migrants may work for
two years, and may extend another year if desired.
An intergovernmental Protocol, signed in 2005, between the Russian Federation and
Kyrgyzstan in order to make changes in the above-mentioned agreement of 1996,
improved their conditions furthermore. The changes in the Protocol freed employers or
customers of services from preliminary payment which was paid to the migrants as
money necessary for the Kyrgyzstan migrants to return to their country upon expiration
of their labour term based on the Federal Law “of legal status of foreign citizens in the
Russian Federation.”
In addition, the Protocol agreed that independent entrepreneurs, who prefer to do
business without creating an entity of a juridical person, may still register on the
territory despite their length of stay.
However, the changes in the 2005 Protocol were inconsistent with the Russian
legislation in some aspects. For example, the Protocol obliges that the established order
of attraction for labour migrants does not apply to foreign workers who are employees
of juridical persons. At the same time, according to point 4, article 13 of the Federal
Law of “legal status of foreign citizens,” such foreign workers do not belong to
categories of citizens which the established order is not applied.
The Protocol also regulates that state registration of independent entrepreneurs, who
intend to host foreign workers for labour activity, must be processed despite the terms of
their stay on the territory of the host state. However, such rule is not in accordance with
point 1, article 22.1 of the Federal Law “of state registration of juridical persons and
independent entrepreneurs.” The Federal Law states that independent entrepreneurs may
be registered as foreign citizens living on the territory of the Russian Federation
temporarily or permanently.
81
Pilot project on organized labour migration has been carried out in interregional
level between Moscow and Kyrgyzstan.
The authorities of Moscow have at last started making effort in structuring an
organized recruitment of migrant workers from Central Asia which matches with the
demand in the Russian economy. The plan for recruitment is as follows:
Employers must first submit an application to the Committee of interregional links
and national policy of the Government of Moscow for the use of foreign specialists.
Number of workers necessary, amount of pay, guarantees of residency and medical
care will be specified in the application. Applications will be accepted by the
Department of Employment Services and directed to the agencies of labour of the
countries which may provide the desired human resources.
Next, the agencies of the countries, where the candidate workers originate from,
organize their medical checkups. After that, the Russian employers will receive a
notification that the group of candidates is ready to leave the country. A representative
of the employer then visits the country to determine whether the workers will match the
declared needs. If so, the representative confirms the workers’ departure.
In the third stage, the representative of the employer, the Committee of Employment
of the country which sends out the workers, and the group of migrants meet together in
Moscow. Migrant workers are provided with “economy class” accommodation. They
must submit documents to the Moscow Migration Bureau and go through all necessary
procedures according to the Russian regulations. The proposed structure was studied by
the Federal Migration Service of Moscow, and also examined by researchers. In 2008,
“Migration Bureau” was established by authorities of Moscow on the territory “ZIL”. It
is the first “labour stock” for migrant workers where they may get information of their
rights, obtain documents, and find accommodation at inexpensive rates.
Authorities are making progress in constructing special settlements for labour
migrants to live in. The regulations of the Government of Moscow “on measures of
attraction of foreign workers to enterprises in Moscow city” officially approved of a
project to construct temporary settlements equipped with living rooms, kitchen, shower
etc. Such equipment may induce foreign migrant workers to register themselves at
82
migration offices. Construction of settlements for migrants will be a project conducted
by public and private partnership 9 . Department of Architectural policy, and
Development and Reconstruction of Moscow collected applications by 2009 from
organizations which wish to acquire lands to construct such settlements. For example, in
Southern and Western Administration Okrug, four towns will become settlements for
foreign migrant workers and migrants currently working in the field of housing and
communication services in Lefortovo, Maryino, and Vyhino. The settlements will
probably be constructed in the streets of Aviamotornaya, Nizhnie Polya, Ferganskaya,
and Marynsky Park.10 It is planned to begin in autumn in 2010.11
Turkish construction firm “Enka” has carried out a similar project in the capital
which has been successful for a long time. 135,000 workers work in the construction
projects of this firm in Moscow, and Moscow oblast. Now the company has three
settlements for labour migrants. Settlement in the district of Taganka accounts for 1800
units of residences. Workers share one unit by four persons, and engineers share by two.
Every unit is equipped with a refrigerator, TV set, and a bathroom. The settlements have
medical clinics, training rooms, coin operated laundry, and a cafeteria. Workers live in
the units on the account of the company, and given rides to and from work by bus.12
The Government of Moscow also suggests introducing identification cards for
migrant workers which include information from FMS, health care offices, tax services,
security services, and other organizations. In relation to the plan, the Government of
Moscow and the Administration of FMS in Moscow began a project of “IC cards for
migrants”.
Meanwhile, there are difficulties in regulating labour migration on the regional level.
Although regional regulations must be approved by the federal authorities to be in
accordance with federal policies, federal regulations are not flexible enough to react to
the needs of various territories of Russia.
9 Reservations for guest workers // Arguments and facts. - #31, 2008. – P.5 10 Moscow will care of migrants // Vzglyad. – 23 July 2008. – P.1 11 Capital will settle guest workers in temporary settlements // www.izvestia.ru 12 Hotel “By guest worker” // Rossyiskay gazeta. – 9 September 2008. – P.1
83
Recommended amendments concerning regulations on labour migration from Central Asia into Russia
This research shows that irregular migrant workers from Central Asian states are
widely spread in various sectors of the economy in Russia. Although the official figures
of foreign workers are not so high, they work practically everywhere; Russian workers
on the list of employees are actually foreigners in many cases. Since the latter cost much
cheaper, the owners attempt to make profit from those differences. In fact, many
industries using migrant workers are becoming part of the shadow economy.
There are also problems involving social or human rights issues. Migrant workers
live in bad conditions, are paid low wages, and are exploited by employers. We may say
that forced labour has been taking place in some areas of the Russian economy. While
Russian workers became unwilling to take jobs in certain areas, more employers began
to hire foreign workers who are willing to work even for unjustly low wages. In order to
ameliorate such situation, next measures are suggested for amendment in the regulations
on labour migration:
1) to have the Russian regions and countries of Central Asia come into an agreement to
control the number of organized migration for temporary labour;
2) to develop an infrastructure for employing labour migrants from the countries of
Central Asia to work in Russian enterprises including licensed private employment
agencies;
3) to clarify regulations on licensing agencies, and to create a list of private
employment agencies;
4) to strengthen control on the use of labour migrants by employers, and also to inflict a
harsher punishment for exploiting irregular migrant workers;
5) to make an amendment to the Criminal Code and to introduce criminal punishment
for falsification and sale of registration documents, migration cards, etc;
6) to introduce criminal punishment for organizers and owners of firms making false
documents deceiving labour migrants;
84
7) to extend the limit of days for registration from three to six days counting from the
day of entry, and to extend the term of stay of labour migrants from Central Asian
countries to three years without annual deportation (if they are employed at the
time);
8) to fix a quota for each employer (enterprise, organization, firm, or independent
entrepreneur) based on a proof of the number of employees necessary before the
three-sided meeting;
9) to admit private employment of foreign labour migrants by natural persons and
independent entrepreneurs legally if all necessary requirements and conditions for
work permits are fulfilled;
10) to oblige employers to offer work for Russian workers, including those from other
territories;
11) to reduce the income tax rate from 30% to 13% and allow foreign citizens from
CIS countries to withdraw from the “shadow” economy;
12) to oblige employers to provide their migrant workers with health insurance, and
temporary residence equipped with minimal facilities (i.e. build settlements for
temporary stay);
13) to organize a system to observe working conditions, security, and living conditions
of migrant workers, together with the lawfulness of the employment itself;
14) to urge employers, who register migrant workers legally, to provide their
employees with health insurance, adequate residence, and security for labour by
reducing charges for social security from employers;
15) Trade unions should let themselves known among migrants actively, and support
them in their everyday problems;
16) to legalize irregular labour migrants from Central Asia into the territory of Russia
by charging penalty (in minimum size, if there is a specific employer, and in
maximum if there is no one);
17) to examine whether the registration procedure for temporary stay, residency, and
citizenship may be simplified depending on which category in Central Asia the
workers belong to (based on the interstate agreement between Kyrgyzstan,
85
Kazakhstan, and Belorussia and the Russian Federation, respectively);
18) to introduce a policy to regulate illegal removal of documents from foreign citizens
by law enforcement agencies, employers, and officials;
19) to create public learning centers which offer labour migrants from Central Asia
programs including Russian language and basic legislation matters in Russia. It may
be practical to create such centers in the temporary settlements of labour migrants.
It is necessary to develop a registration system to keep records of labour migrants –
especially the information on the existence of their work permit, and places of work.
The system should also be able to provide up-to-date information on the number and
distribution of foreign labour migrants. Central Database on Account of Foreign
Citizens, which the FMS has been developing over the past several years, could become
the basis for the creation of such registration system.
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