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Does

Listed

Real Estate

Behave Like

Direct Real

Estate?

ACADEMIC

RESEARCH

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Final Report

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Contents table

Martin Hoesli

Elias Oikarinen

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Introduction

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Methods

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

𝑅𝐸𝐼𝑇𝑖,𝑑 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛽𝑖𝑀𝑆𝐢𝐼𝑖,𝑑 + πœ€π‘–,𝑑

𝛽𝑖

𝛽𝑖

𝛽𝑖

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Data

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Empirical analysis

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Conclusions

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

.3

.4

.5

.6

.7

.8

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Australia France Germany

Netherlands U.K. U.S.

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

1 2 3 4 5

Co

rrel

atio

n C

oef

fici

ent

Investment Horizon (Years)

Direct vs. Unlevered REITs Direct vs. Levered REITs

Unlevered REITs vs. Stocks Levered REITs vs. Stocks

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

-0.04

-0.03

-0.02

-0.01

0.00

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Risk Premium Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Global Liquidity Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

-0.03

-0.02

-0.01

0.00

0.01

0.02

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Aggregate Demand Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

-0.04

-0.03

-0.02

-0.01

0.00

0.01

0.02

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Credit Demand Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Sentiment Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

REIT Market Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

Direct RE response (alternate)

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Direct Market Shock

REIT response Direct RE response

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

References

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

T

F

W

E

European Public

Real Estate

Association

Appendix

4.6

4.8

5.0

5.2

5.4

5.6

5.8

6.0

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16

Australia

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

6.4

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16

France

4.8

5.0

5.2

5.4

5.6

5.8

6.0

6.2

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16

Germany

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

6.4

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16

Netherlands

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

6.4

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16

U.K.

4.4

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.0

6.4

00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16

Fitted Actual

U.S.

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