european berry situation before crop...

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European Berrysituation before

crop 2018

XI Berry Seminar ; May 2018 Chile

Marek Pawlonka - Poland

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PRESENTATION IS MADE BY MR MAREK PAWLONKA - VF

CONCEPT ▪ With co-operation :

▪ Ph.D. Bozena Nosecka - Institute of

Agricultultar and Food Economics National

Ressearch Institute

▪ Ph.D. Dariusz Paszko - University of

Life Sciences Lublin

▪ Ph.D. Pawel Krawiec - University of Life

Sciences Lublin

z Plan of presentation1 Year 2017 and prognose for 2018 - general

overwiev

2 BLUEBERRY - wild and cultivate

3 Raspberry

4 Strawberry - will be very soon

5 Sauer cherries

6 New opportunity / trends

7 Sumarry

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Season 2017 and 2018

2017

▪ Frost demage in all

Europe

▪ Extremally poor crop for

most of the fruits

▪ New players on European

Berry production

2018

▪ Easy winter ; very good

spring

▪ Excellent flowering time

▪ Excellent prognose for all

kind of fruits

▪ And ???????

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Polish fruit production (ktons)

Fruits 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Fruits Total : 2743,5 3414,6 3843,2 4128,3 4188,9 4099,8 4637,7 3210,0Apples 1877,9 2493,1 2877,3 3085,0 3195,3 3168,0 3604,2 2500,0

Pears 46,5 62,8 64,7 75,7 73,7 69,6 81,5 60,0

Plums 83,8 91,8 102,5 102,4 106,1 94,9 109,5 60,0

Sauer cherries 147,2 175,0 175,4 188,2 176,5 179,4 194,8 70,0

Sweet cherries 40,1 38,0 41,1 47,6 48,1 48,1 53,8 20,0

Strawberry 153,4 166,2 150,2 192,6 202,5 204,9 197,0 177,0

Raspberry 92,9 118,0 127,1 121,0 125,9 79,9 129,1 100,0

Currant - Total196,7 169,6 194,5 198,5 162,6 159,9 166,8 130,0

Black currant 146,0 124,6 144,5 154,9 124,1 120,0 125,0 100,0

Red currant 50,7 45,0 50,0 43,6 38,5 39,1 41,1 30,0

Goosberry 14,2 14,6 16,3 15,0 12,4 12,1 12,5 10,0

Aronia 53,0 48,2 51,2 57,9 43,4 38,2 49,2 43,0

Cultivate

blueberry9,2 8,6 11,3 12,7 12,5 14,1 14,7 14,0

Another4,1 2,4 2,6 4,0 4,0 3,8 4,9 3,0

Źródło: Wyniki produkcji roślinnej – publikacje GUS.

5

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FROST DEMAGE SPRING 2017

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EXCELLENT FLOWERING FOR SAUER CHERRIES TREES

Start from 16 April - 2 weeks earlier then normal

Berry processing industry in Poland

2

4

10

37

8

1

5

617

1213

1430

16

19

21

23

22

40

36

31

25

41

44

29

24

15

42

16

20

26

35

9

1

2

3

4

56

7

89

10

11

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

1

2

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

2

3032

31

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

5152 53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

6667

68

69

70

71

72

73

74

7576

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91 92

Cold stores

Concentrates

factory

93

32

93

zakłady produkcji

koncentratów z

owoców kolorowych

duże mroźnie

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

licz

ba

zak

ład

ów

Number of factories

PRODUCTION OF FROZEN FRUITS IN POLAND : 2014 - 2017

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Źródło: GUS9

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RED BERRIES JUICE CONCENTRATE PRODUCTION - 2017 / 2018

NO BERRY CONCENTRATES QUANTITY (MT)

-season 2017/2018

MAX .

PRODUCTION

HISTORICALLY

1 STRAWBERRY J. C. 6 000 6 000

2 RASPBERRY J.C. 4 000 4 000

3 BLACK CURRANT J.C. 8 500 17 000

4 RED CURRANT J. C. 1 000 2 700

5 SAUER CHERRIES J.C. 3 000 17 000

6 ARONIA J. C. 7 000 17 000

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Cultivate blueberry in Poland

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Storage capacity for blueberry

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EUROPEAN BLUEBERRY PRODUCTION

1. SPAIN OVER 28 000 TONS

2. MAROCCO 12 600 TONS

3. POLAND 14 000 TONS

4. GERMANY 8 800 TONS

5. FRANCE 8 200 TONS

6. NEDERLANDS 5 600 TONS

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VARIETY OF BLUEBERRY IN POLAND FROM END OF JUNE TO AUGUST

❖ BLUECROP

❖ DUKE

❖ PATRIOT

❖ BONUS

❖ CHANDLER

❖ SPARTAN

❖ DRAPER

❖ AURORA

❖ NELSON

❖ DARROW

❖ ELIOT

❖ LIBERTY

❖ CALYPSO

❖ TORO

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BLUEBERRY DESTINATION

▪ CULTIVATE

BLUEBERRY :

▪ MOST OF PRODUCTION -

FRESH MARKET ;

▪ VERY LIMITED QUANTITY

FOR INDUSTRY ( IQF )

▪ ANY QUATITY FOR JUICE

▪ WILD BLUEBERRY

▪ MAINLY FOR IQF

▪ FOR PUREE

▪ FOR FARMACUTICAL

PURPOSE

▪ FOR LOCAL MARKET

( EISCREAM ; BAKCERY )

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WILD BLUEBERRY - 2017 versus prognose 2018

❖ VERY POOR CROP FOR WILD BLUEBERRY 2017 ( ANY = 0

WILD BLUEBERRY FROM POLAND )

❖ LIMITED QUANTITY IN UKRAINE = HIGH PRICE LEVEL –

OVER 3 EURO/KG = IMPORT LOW BUSHIES BLUEBERRY

FROM CANADA

❖ CURREMT SITUATION : GOOD PROGNOSE FOR CROP ;

PRICE MUST TO BE IN COMPETITIVE LEVEL TO

CANADIAN LOW BUSHIES BLUEBERRY

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TRENDS IN BLUEBERRY PRODUCTION

❖ IINCREASING OF PRODUCTION

❖ FRESCH MARKET AS MAIN TARGET ( MAINLY EXPORT

BUT MORE AND MORE FOR POLISH FRESH MARKET )

❖ COOPERATION WITH SUPERMARKET CHAIN = EASY

EXPORT

❖ SMALL PRODUCERS SALE FOR LOCAL FRESCH MARKET

❖ PRODUCTION UNDER COVER

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TRADITIONAL SUMMER VARIETES

Malling

Seedling‘’Willamette

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Laszka

Przehyba

Sokolica

Glen Ample

SUMMER VARIETES NEW

Radziejowa

NEW POLISH

AUTUMN VARIETES 2015-2017

FARMERS PRICE FOR RASPBERRY

YEAR 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

PRICE Pln/

kg

3,25 3,6 2,3 2,7 4,3 4,75 7,7 5,2 4,4

PRICE Euro

/kg

0,77 0,96 0,55 0,64 1,02 1,13 1,83 1,24 1,05

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Y E A R : 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

RENTABILITY

OF

RASPBERRY

PRODUCTION

(%)

126 142 112 124 95 100 145 146 165 130 108

RENTABILITY OF POLISH RASPBERRY PRODUCTION (%)

POLISH RASPBERRY PRODUCTION IN FIGURES :

YEAR 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

AREA

(kha)

29,6 27,1 28,4 28 28 28 29,3 30

CROP

( kTons)

92,9 118 127,1 120 126 80 129,1 100

YIELD

(Ton/ha)

3,14 4,35 4,35 4,28 4,5 2,86 4,61 3,57

Destinations of using raspberries in Poland

NO : DESTINATION OF USE % OF CROP

1 I Q F 47 - 52 %

2 JUICE AND CONCENTRATES 18 - 27 %

3 JAM ;CONFITURES ; ANOTHERS 4 - 5 %

4 EXPORT AS FRESH AND PRE-

COOLED

13 -18 %

5 CONSUMPTION AS FRESH 8 -13 %

Direction of export of polish IQF raspberries (kT)

NO YEAR /COUNTRY 2013 2014 2015

1 GERMANY 20,4 18,2 20,7

2 BELGIQUE 10,3 9,0 8,1

3 SCANDINAVIEN 6,5 8,2 7,3

4 GREAT BRITAN 3,7 3,8 3,4

5 FRANCE 3,7 4,4 3,7

6 NEDHERLANDS 5,2 5,8 4,3

7 RUSSIA 4,3 2,3 0

8 BELARUS 0,9 1,1 2,3

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NEW RASPBERRY PRODUCERS IN EUROPE

❖ UKRAINE 32 000 TONS and grow

❖ SPAIN ONLY FOR FRESH MARKET

❖ BULGARIA 12 000 TONS ( ORGANIC ; FRESH MARKET ;

INDUSTRY )

❖ BOSNIA 3 000 ha ; 20 000 MT ;

❖ KOSOVO 1 700 ha ; 7 500 MT ;

PERSPECTIVE 2018 - GOOD CROP =

OVERPRODUCTION

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RASPBERRY PLANTATION IN KOSOVO

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NEW RASPBERRY PLANTATION IN KOSOVO

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NEW COLD STORY IN KOSOVO

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SITUATION OF RASPBERRY BEFORE SEASON 2018

▪ STOCK OF IQF RASPBERRY IN EUROPE

▪ WAETHER CONDITION : EASY WINTER VERSUS VERY

DRY APRIL / MAY

▪ PRICE PRESSING = LOOSING OF QUALITY !!!! …and

QUANTITY

▪ PROBLEM WITH PEOPLE FOR THE CROP

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WHY RASPBERRY PRODUCTION DEVELOP SO FAST ???

1. SUPPORT AFTER BALCANS WAR FOR BOSNIA AND

KOSOVO = OPEN MARKET

2. SUPPORT FOR 1 HA = 400 EURO ; FOR NEW PLANTS 0,20

EURO/PLANT

3. RASPBERRY IS THE CHEAPEST „INDUSTRY” SMALL AND

MEDIUM SIZE PRODUCERS SALE HIS JOB

4. ANY BUSINESS PREPARATION = ”TO PRODUCE – THEN WE

SALE SOMEWHERE „

5. QUALITY ??? PEST CONTROL ??? STATE CONTROL ???

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POLISH STRAWBERRY PRODUCTION

YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

STRAWBERRY

PRODUCTION

( KTONS )

166 150 192 203 205 197 177

COMMENTS NORMAL

LEVEL

LACK

OF

GOODS

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Strawberry – start already in days !!!

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We expected very good strawberry crop ; waether until now – excellent – problem can

be with people for harvest

z How world policy influence for business

▪ Problem with Russia – WAR ON UKRAINE

= embargo for European Agriculture products

▪ European producers looking for new markets

▪ Prices for lot of products go down ( mainly for

products traditionaly exported to Russia - eg.

Sauer cherries ; Black currant ; Broccoli ;

Couliflower

▪ Export to Russia via Belarus

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POLISH SAUER CHERRIES PRODUCTION IN FIGURES

YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

SAUER

CHERRIES

175 175 188 177 179 195 72 ?????

COMMENTS NORMAL NORMAL 20,2 KTONS

EXPORT TO

RUSSIA

NORMAL

BUT NOT

EXPORT

TO

RUSSIA

AS IN 2015 EXTRE

MALLY

LOW

CROP

”BOMBER

CROP”???

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SAUER CHERRIES – AS IMPORTANT FRUIT FOR POLAND

▪ VERY POOR CROP IN 2017

▪ PROPABLY „BOMBER CROP „ IN 2018

▪ LIMITED „BLACK” EXPORT TO RUSSIA

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SAUER CHERRIES –AS IMPORTANT FRUIT FOR POLAND

§ VERY POOR CROP IN 2017

§ PROPABLY „BOMBER CROP „ IN 2018

§ LIMITED „BLACK” EXPORT TO RUSSIA

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NEW TREND IN POLISH BERRY PRODUCTION

❖ HASKAP ( Lonicera caerulea var.

Kamtschatica)

❖ SEA BUCKTHORN

❖RED CURRANT

❖ SWEET CHERRIES ( new varietes ; come-

back )

❖ROSA CANINA

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NUTRITIONAL VALUES OF FRUITS

▪ SEA BUCKTHORN - as SUPERFRUIT - very high level of all

kind of vitamins

▪ HASKAP - extremaly high antioxidants level ; phenol acid ;

▪ ROSA CANINA - Vitamin C ;

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HASKAP BPLANTATION with coveragainst birds

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HASKAP FRUITS

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SUMMARY :

1. CROP PROGNOSE IS PROMISING , BUT WE SHALL RESPECT

WAETHER – GENERALY SMALL RAINFALL

2. CROP CAN BE EARLY ; SHORT AND MOST OF PRODUCTS IN

THE SAME TIME

3. MOST OF PRODUCT WILL BE SALES AFTER POOR CROP IN

2017

4. THE BIGGEST PROBLEM ARE PEOPLE FOR THE HARVEST -

IT’S MIND THAT EVEN IF CROP IS GOOD - FRUIT WILL BE

NOT HARVESTED ( STRAWBERRY;RASPBERRY )

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BERRY SEMINAR CHILE MAY 2018

▪ THANK FOR YOUR ATTENTION

MAREK PAWLONKA

marek@vfc.com.pl