farmers and planners

Charles CowapMBA MRICS FAAV

Planning for Farming’s FutureRTPI/NFU Conference

Harper Adams

9 November 2012

Charles Cowap

Chartered Surveyor

Harper Adams University College

Charles CowapMBA MRICS FAAVCharles CowapMBA MRICS FAAV

NEW LAND MANAGEMENT REQUIREMENTS ARE EMERGING

ECOSYSTEM SERVICESIncluding

Natural Environment White Paper

June 2011

RICS Thinkpiece: November 2012• Royal Charter

– Promote the usefulness of the profession to public advantage

• New opportunities in land management

• New ways of working in development

• New points to reflect in conventional valuations

• New types of valuation

Top 10 Business Opportunities

1= Biodiversity Offsetting (BDO) and Conservation Banking• Estimated size of market £50 – 300 million

pa from housing, plus other sectors• Brokerage, certification and registration• Additional costs to builders/developers

deducted from land value

1= Peatland Carbon Code and Carbon Credits• Peat restoration for carbon storage• Management schemes and incentives• Certification and brokerage

2. Woodfuel and Woodburning Stoves

3. UK ecosystem knowledge economy

4. Layered PES– Different Environmental Services

to different buyers– Eg

6. Carbon sequestration

7. Sustainability certification– Opportunities for

intermediaries

8. Sustainable tourism

9= Global centre of excellence in ESS certification

9= Water re-use technology

11 Reducing insurance risk through green infrastructure

12 Environmental bonds

http://www.valuing-nature.net/opportunities-uk-business-protect-and-value-natures-services-report-published-today [accessed 19 July 2012]

http://bit.ly/REeUat [7 November 2012]

Twitter - #agrichatuk 1 November 2012

@bcualisterscott [8 November 2012]https://twitter.com/bcualisterscott

[8 November 2012]

Key trends from the Foresight Report

Drivers:• Demographic Change• Economic growth(?),

changing global economic conditions

• Climate change• New technologies• Societal preferences and

attitudes• Policy and Regulatory

Framework

Other key trends from the Foresight Report

Lead to 3 key challenges

• + Demand for land in south-east

• Climate change and land use

• Delivery of public goods and services

APPROACHES FOR THE ESTIMATION OF NATURE’S VALUES

From TEEB Foundations, Chapter 5

Foresight Land Use Futures 2010

Market Analysis

Group Valuation

Contingent Valuation

Cost Methods

Replacement Cost

Methods

Avoided Cost

Methods

Deliberative Valuation

Regime Shift Analysis

Insurance ValueResilience

Value Risk Analysis

Ecological Footprint

Mitigation Cost

MethodInput/Output

Analysis

Joint Analysis

Production Function

Shorter term trends identified by Warwick Business School/Local Govt Association

• Ageing population

• Health

• Families in Crisis

• Climate Change

• Local Economic Development and Regeneration

Shorter term trends identified by Warwick Business School/Local Govt Association

Leading to:

• Diverse governance frameworks

• Different relationship between

– State (public)– Markets (private)– Civil Society (3rd Sector)

Rural Scenarios Project

Primary Production Countryside

Entrepreneurial C

ountryside

Primary Production Countryside

• Farming, Forestry, Minerals• Food, fibre, raw materials, energy• Land hungry

Competencies• Specialist Markets• Supply chains/contract management• Cost and quality challenges• Technical expertise

Generic strategy: Cost leadership??

Stakeholder Countryside

• Policy-driven and Initiative-led• Follow the funding• Extensive land use?Competencies• Networking, political nous• Presentation• Negotiation• AdaptationGeneric strategy: Differentiation??

Entrepreneurial Countryside

• Market-led, local and small in scale?• Limited land requirement, but value?

Competencies• Marketing• Opportunism• Promotion• Customer-service/relations• Strategy and Finance

Generic Strategy: Focus??

A Farmer Typology, 1999

A typology of FarmersAgribusiness

Potential Diversifiers

Contented Monoactives

Pluriactive successors

Hobby Farmers

Struggling Monoactives

Shucksmith M (1999) Structural changes in British Agriculture beyond 2000, Paper at Roots 1999, London, RICS

Rural Futures: French Rural Society to 2020

Generalised residential countryside

Sustainable towns and corporate large farms

Towards the nature countryside

Active and competitive rural areas

Economic efficiency

tEconomic

Environmentalist

Global Trader

At One with Nature

Dog and Stick

A Farm Scenario?

Questions?

Contact Details

In-house CPD programmes, professional-technical updates, organisational consultancy, and more:

cdcowap@gmail.com

07947 706505

Twitter: @charlescowap

Blog: http://charlescowap.wordpress.com/

Slideshare: http://www.slideshare.net/cdcowap

farmers and planners

land value1

foresight land use futures

funding extensive land

limited land requirement

southeast climate change

shorter term trends

management cost

use technology11

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